• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정량적 위험도 해석

Search Result 132, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Hypervelocity Impact Analyses Considering Various Impact Conditions for Space Structures with Different Thicknesses (다양한 두께의 우주 구조물에 대한 다양한 충돌 조건의 초고속 충돌 해석 연구)

  • Won-Hee Ryu;Ji-Woo Choi;Hyo-Seok Yang;Hyun-Cheol Shin;Chang-Hoon Sim;Jae-Sang Park
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.43-57
    • /
    • 2023
  • The hypervelocity impact simulations of space objects and structures are performed using LS-DYNA. Space objects with spherical, conical, and hollow cylindrical shapes are modeled using the Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH). The direct and indirect impact zones of a space structure are modeled using the SPH and finite element methods, respectively. The Johnson-Cook material model and Mie-Grüneisen Equation of State are used to represent the nonlinear behavior of metallic materials in hypervelocity impact. In the hypervelocity impact simulations, various impact conditions are considered, such as the shape of the space object, the thickness of the space structure, the impact angle, and the impact velocity. The shapes of debris clouds are quantitatively classified based on the geometric parameters. Conical space objects provide the worst debris clouds for all impact conditions.

Safety Index Evaluation from Resistivity Monitoring Data for a Reservoir Dyke (전기비저항 상시관측에 의한 제체 안전도 지수 산출)

  • Cho, In-Ky;Kang, Hyung-Jae;Lee, Byoung-Ho;Kim, Byoung-Ho;Yi, Sang-Sun;Park, Young-Gyu;Lee, Bo-Hyun
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.155-162
    • /
    • 2006
  • An abnormal seepage flow, which is mainly caused by the piping, is one of the major reasons for embankment dam failure. A leakage detection is therefore a vital part of an embankment dam's monitoring. Resistivity method, which is an efficient tool to detect leakage zones, has been used all over the world for an embankment dam's monitoring. Although the resistivity method gives us very useful information about the leakage problem, there is no more quantitative interpretation than the low resistivity zones in the 2-dimensional resistivity section are regraded simply as the anomalous seepage zones. Recently, resistivity monitoring technique is applied for the detection of leakage zones. However, its interpretation still remains in the stage of presenting the resistivity ratio itself. An increased seepage flow increases a porosity and an increasing porosity decreases the dam's stability. Therefore, the porosity is one of the major factors for an embankment dam's stability. Based on Archie's experimental formula, we try to evaluate a porosity distribution from the resistivity data which is obtained on the dam's crest. We also attempt to represent a procedure to evaluate a safety index of the embankment dam from the resistivity monitoring data.

Macroeconomic Consequences of Pay-as-you-go Public Pension System (부과방식 공적연금의 거시경제적 영향)

  • Park, Chang-Gyun;Hur, Seok-Kyun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.225-270
    • /
    • 2008
  • We analyze macroeconomic consequences of pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) public pension system with a simple overlapping generations model. Contrary to large body of existing literatures offering quantitative results based on simulation study, we take another route by adopting a highly simplified framework in search of qualitatively tractable analytical results. The main contribution of our results lies in providing a sound theoretical foundation that can be utilized in interpreting various quantitative results offered by simulation studies of large scale general equilibrium models. We present a simple overlapping generations model with a defined benefit(DB) PAYGO public pension system as a benchmark case and derive an analytical equilibrium solution utilizing graphical illustration. We also discuss the modifications of the benchmark model required to encompass a defined contribution(DC) public pension system into the basic framework. Comparative statics analysis provides three important implications; First, introduction and expansion of the PAYGO public pension, DB or DC, result in lower level of capital accumulation and higher expected rate of return on the risky asset. Second, it is shown that the progress of population aging is accompanied by lower capital stock due to decrease in both demand and supply of risky asset. Moreover, risk premium for risky asset increases(decreases) as the speed of population aging accelerates(decelerates) so that the possibility of so-called "the great meltdown" of asset market cannot be excluded although the odds are not high. Third, it is most likely that the switch from DB PAYGO to DC PAYGO would result in lower capital stock and higher expected return on the risky asset mainly due to the fact that the young generation regards DC PAYGO pension as another risky asset competing against the risky asset traded in the market. This theoretical prediction coincides with one of the firmly established propositions in empirical literature that the currently dominant form of public pension system has the tendency to crowd out private capital accumulation.

  • PDF

Impact of assessment of climate variability on urban drainage system (기후변동성이 도시배수체계에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kang, Na-Rae;Kim, Yong-Seon;Kim, Hung-Soo;Seo, Byung-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.867-867
    • /
    • 2012
  • 기후변화와 변동으로 인해 기온, 강수, 증발산 등의 수문순환 요소들이 과거와는 다르게 빠른 속도로 변하고 있다. 이에 따라 지난 수십 년간 기후변화가 수문학적 극한사상에 미치는 잠재적 영향은 수자원공학 관련 분야에서 관심 대상이 되어왔으며, 많은 선행 연구들은 극한 수문사상의 규모 및 빈도가 증가한다는 결과를 보여 주었다. 우리나라의 경우 최근 10년간(1999~2008년) 1일 100mm 이상 집중호우의 발생빈도는 총 385회로, 70~80년대 222회에 비해 무려 1.7배나 증가했다. 2011년의 경우 7월초부터 8월 중순까지 지속적인 장마와 집중호우로 인해 1285.3mm의 누적강수량이 발생하였으며, 서울 및 수도권 지역에서 100년 빈도 설계강수량을 초과하는 집중호우 발생으로 서울의 도심지역 곳곳이 침수되어 많은 재산피해와 인명피해를 입혔다. A1B 기후변화 시나리오에 따르면 21세기말(2071~2100년)에는 20세기말(1971~2000년)에 비해 약 17%가 증가할 것으로 전망하고 있다. 이처럼 기후변화는 특히 도시수공시설물을 설계하는데 있어 가장 중요한 변수인 극한강우사상을 변화시키기 때문에 도시배수시설물을 계획하고 설계하는 수공기술자들에게 기후변화를 고려하는 일은 자명한 일이다. 또한, 기후변화로 인한 수문과정의 점진적 변화 영향은 도시배수관련 기반시설물의 첨두홍수량과 빈도를 변화시킬 것으로 예상하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기후변동이 도시배수체계에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위해 외부기상인자의 변동을 반영할 수 있는 비정상성 빈도해석기법을 이용하여 지속시간 1기간, 3시간, 24시간 빈도별 설계강수량을 산정한 후 도시유출모형인 XP-SWMM 모형을 통해 도시배수체계에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 이를 통해 현재의 도시배수체계와 비교함으로써 기후변동이 도시배수체계에 미치는 영향을 정량화하였다.

  • PDF

Occurrence of Apple Scar Skin viroid and Relative Quantity Analysis Using Real-time RT-PCR (Apple Scar Skin viroid 발생상황 및 Real-time RT-PCR을 이용한 상대정량 분석)

  • Kim, Dae-Hyun;Kim, Hyun-Ran;Heo, Seong;Kim, Se-Hee;Kim, Min-A;Shin, Il-Sheob;Kim, Jeong-Hee;Cho, Kang-Hee;Hwang, Jeong-Hwan
    • Research in Plant Disease
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.247-253
    • /
    • 2010
  • Apple scar skin viroid (ASSVd) is one of the smallest viral pathogens infecting fruits, especially apple, and causes a significant damage to fruit trees. ASSVd usually induced the skin-dapple ring symptoms, but in 'Fuji' varieties, corked spot were occurred on the fruit skin in 2009. This new symptom will be of great helpful to diagnosis ASSVd in sight. ASSVd was surveyed in apple and pear from 2009 to 2010 in Korea, and ASSVd was identified in 20 out of 1,193 trees. The infection rate was 1.7%. To screen the infectivity of ASSVd among apple cultivars, real-time RT-PCR was applied followed by designing of ASSVd specific primers based on highly conserved regions of several ASSVd isolates including Korean isolate. NADH dehydrogenase subunit 5 (nad 5) gene, which is mRNA of the mitochondrial gene, was used for internal control. In this study, ASSVd infected apples were classified into 12 groups depending on different symptoms and symptom severity (scaring, rusting or malformation). Taken together, this study suggested that real-time PCR analysis was more sensitive to detect the low copy of ASSVd on early viroid infected apple skins than regular RT-PCR method.

A Study on the Reliability and Validity of the Collection of the Ethnography Method of Service Experience Data - Focusing on I know You_AI Service - (서비스경험데이터의 에스노그라피 방식 수집에 대한신뢰성과 타당성 연구 - I know you_AI 서비스를 중심으로 -)

  • Ahn, Jinho;Lee, Jeungsun
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.43-55
    • /
    • 2020
  • Recently, as the importance of experience data increases, there are many attempts to deal with experience data from a data science perspective. In the case of approaching as a collection method of a quantitative survey method that seeks to quantify numerically such as big data, it is difficult to interpret the value of experience in a wide range, and it is relatively expensive and time consuming, and personal information infringement There is a limit to the analysis due to the risk of However, since ethnography, a procedure for collecting experience data based on qualitative research, is mainly carried out in the natural real environment of future customers from the perspective of users, it is possible to confirm the nature that customers face with a small sample. In addition, it is also easy to interpret the relational dimension of the empirical data. Although the ethnography method of collecting experiential data is economical and efficient, it is important to reduce errors in the collection process because the lack of scientific procedures for the data collection process can be a problem. It is important to secure the validity of whether the correct measurement tool is used for ethnography-based experiential data collection and to secure the reliability of the use of a valid measurement tool and method by accurately selecting the measurement target. From this point of view, it is necessary to verify the reliability of the research method that clearly selects the measurement target and secures the validity for the development of the correct measurement method and tool for the collection of ethnography experience data. Therefore, in this study, a verification study was conducted on the data and methodology cases of the'I know you_AI' service that analyzes the customer experience of self-employed based on the ethnography method of collecting experience data..

Application of Spatial Data Integration Based on the Likelihood Ratio Function nad Bayesian Rule for Landslide Hazard Mapping (우도비 함수와 베이지안 결합을 이용한 공간통합의 산사태 취약성 분석에의 적용)

  • Chi, Kwang-Hoon;Chung, Chang-Jo F.;Kwon, Byung-Doo;Park, No-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.428-439
    • /
    • 2003
  • Landslides, as a geological hazard, have caused extensive damage to property and sometimes result in loss of life. Thus, it is necessary to assess vulnerable areas for future possible landslides in order to mitigate the damage they cause. For this purpose, spatial data integration has been developed and applied to landslide hazard mapping. Among various models, this paper investigates and discusses the effectiveness of the Bayesian spatial data integration approach to landslide hazard mapping. In this study, several data sets related to landslide occurrences in Jangheung, Korea were constructed using GIS and then digitally represented using the likelihood ratio function. By computing the likelihood ratio, we obtained quantitative relationships between input data and landslide occurrences. The likelihood ratio functions were combined using the Bayesian combination rule. In order for predicted results to provide meaningful interpretations with respect to future landslides, we carried out validation based on the spatial partitioning of the landslide distribution. As a result, the Bayesian approach based on a likelihood ratio function can effectively integrate various spatial data for landslide hazard mapping, and it is expected that some suggestions in this study will be helpful to further applications including integration and interpretation stages in order to obtain a decision-support layer.

A Study on the Elaboration of Request for Proposal of Localization Parts using AHP method (AHP 기법을 적용한 부품국산화 제안요청서 정교화 연구)

  • Song, Hyeong-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.35-44
    • /
    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to elaborate the request for proposal (RFP) for the localization parts development support project of core parts carried out by the Defense Agency for Technology and Quality. The RFP is the most important document throughout the localization parts project, including project announcement and developer selection, design and test of the development product, final evaluation, and standardization of the project. However, if the RFP is not established at the beginning of the project, there is an increased risk of business failure due to frequent changes by various reasons. In this study, we recognized the necessity of elaboration of RFP and applied the AHP method for quantitative elaboration. Eight requirements of the RFP related to the mechanical/electrical performance of localized development products and three elaboration methods for each requirement were designed in a hierarchical structure, and each weight was calculated by applying the 5-point scale AHP method. The AHP survey was conducted with 20 developers participating in the localization parts project, and the consistency ratio of the AHP survey result was less than 0.1. The elaboration method with the highest value among the calculated weights is classified, and the analysis results and future research directions of the elaboration method are presented.

Analysis of the Effectiveness of Nature-based Solutions for River Flood Level Reduction (하천 홍수위 저감을 위한 자연기반해법의 적용효과 분석)

  • Hoyong Lee;Minseok Kim;Junhyeong Lee;Taewoo Lee;Hung Soo Kim;Soojun Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.379-385
    • /
    • 2023
  • EDue to climate change and urbanization, the localized heavy rainfall frequently exceeded a design storm rainfall and flood damage has occurred in South Korea. The concept of addressing sustainable river management and environmental and social issues through Nature-based Solutions (NbS) is gaining attention as it seeks to resolve these issues through ecosystem services. Therefore, in this study, the flood reduction effect by river management using NbS was quantitatively analyzed for the Hwang River, which is directly downstream of Hapcheon Dam, South Korea. Floodplain excavation and dyke relocation, which are methods of the NbS, were applied to the flood risk area of the Hwang River. As a result of analyzing the flood level of the river through the unsteady flow analysis of HEC-RAS, we obtained flood level reduction by 8 cm at the confluence of the Nakdong River. The results of this study can be expected to be sufficiently utilized as a basis for use as a management plan through NbS rather than the river management with grey infrastructure.

Assessment of Liquefaction Potential Using Correlation between Shear Wave Velocity and Normalized LPI on Urban Areas of Seoul and Gyeongju (정규화LPI와 전단파 속도의 상관관계를 활용한 서울과 경주 지역 액상화 위험도 평가)

  • Song, Young Woo;Chung, Choong Ki;Park, Ka Hyun;Kim, Min Gi
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.38 no.2
    • /
    • pp.357-367
    • /
    • 2018
  • Recent earthquakes in Gyeongju and Pohang have raised interest in liquefaction in South Korea. Liquefaction, which is a phenomenon that excessive pore pressure is generated and the shear strength of soil is decreased by repeated loads such as earthquakes, causes severe problems such as ground subsidence and overturning of structures. Therefore, it is necessary to identify and prepare for the possibility of liquefaction in advance. In general, the possibility of liquefaction is quantitatively assessed using the Liquefaction Potential Index (LPI), but it takes a lot of time and effort for performing site response analysis which is essential for the liquefaction evaluation. In this study, a simple method to evaluate the liquefaction potential without executing the site response analysis in a downtown area with a lot of borehole data was proposed. In this simple method, the correlation between the average shear wave velocity of the target location ground and the LPI divided by thickness of liquefiable layer was established. And the applicable correlation equation for various rock outcrop accelerations were derived. Using the 104 boreholes information in Seoul, the correlation equation between LPI and the shear wave velocity (ground water level: 0m, 1m, 2m, 3m) is obtained and the possibility of liquefaction occurrence in Seoul and Gyeongju is evaluated. The applicability of the proposed simple method was verified by comparing the LPI values calculated from the correlation equation and the LPI values derived using the existing site response analysis. Finally, the distribution map of LPI calculated from the correlation was drawn using Kriging, a geostatistical technique.