• Title/Summary/Keyword: 절단분포

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ROC Curve Fitting with Normal Mixtures (정규혼합분포를 이용한 ROC 분석)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Lee, Won-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.269-278
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    • 2011
  • There are many researches that have considered the distribution functions and appropriate covariates corresponding to the scores in order to improve the accuracy of a diagnostic test, including the ROC curve that is represented with the relations of the sensitivity and the specificity. The ROC analysis was used by the regression model including some covariates under the assumptions that its distribution function is known or estimable. In this work, we consider a general situation that both the distribution function and the elects of covariates are unknown. For the ROC analysis, the mixtures of normal distributions are used to estimate the distribution function fitted to the credit evaluation data that is consisted of the score random variable and two sub-populations of parameters. The AUC measure is explored to compare with the nonparametric and empirical ROC curve. We conclude that the method using normal mixtures is fitted to the classical one better than other methods.

Distribution of Geomorphological Landscape Resources of Goryeong-gun, and Its Application Plan (고령군 지형경관자원의 분포와 활용방안)

  • Son, Myoung-Won
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to search for geomorphological landscape resources of Goryeong-gun, to provide fundamental data for their management through mapping their distribution, and to present their conservation and application plan. The results are as follow: Firstly, geomorphological landscape resources in mountain area are Misungsan and Jusan mountain of Goryeong-up, Sangbiri valley of Deoggok-myeon, and isolated hill of Gaejin-myeon. Secondly, geomorphological landscape resources in riparian area are natural wetlands such as Jinchonneup of Bu-ri Gaejin-myeon, Hochonneup and Dalseongseupji of Hochon-ri Dasan-myeon, Bongsanneup of Bongsan-ri Ugok- myeon; artificial wetlands following the construction of weir such as riparian wetland of Oe-ri Goryeong-up and Banun-ri Gaejin-myeon; meander core and abandoned channel of Banun-ri Gaejin -myeon, river cliffs such as Naegok-ri Goryeong-up and Weolo-ri Ugok-myeon; sand bars and braided channel of Yajeong-ri Ugok-myeon. Thirdly, Jinchonneup swamp area of Bu-ri Gaejin-myeon have characteristics of typical floodplain landform, and its conservation conditions is relatively satisfactory, and its accessibility to metropolis is great, so it is a good place to construct eco-park. And construction of inquiry learning place at Banun-ri Gaejin-myeon will increase the opportunity to observe environmental changes following incised meander cutoff and ecological affirmative functions of a weir.

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Statistical analysis of estimating incubation period distribution and case fatality rate of COVID-19 (COVID-19 바이러스 잠복 시간 분포 추정과 치사율 추정을 위한 생존 분석의 적용)

  • Ki, Han Jeong;Kim, Jieun;Kim, Sohee;Park, Juwon;Lee, Joohaeng;Kim, Yang-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.777-789
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    • 2020
  • COVID-19 has been rapidly spread world wide since late December 2019. In this paper, our interest is to estimate distribution of incubation time defined as period between infection of virus and the onset. Due to the limit of accessibility and asymptomatic feature of COVID-19 virus, the exact infection and onset time are not always observable. For estimation of incubation time, interval censoring technique is implemented. Furthermore, a competing risk model is applied to estimate the case fatality and cure fraction. Based on the result, the mean incubation time is about 5.4 days and the fatality rate is higher for older and male patient and the cure rate is higher at younger,female and asymptomatic patient.

A 3-D finite element analysis on the mandibular movement pattern and stress distribution during symphyseal widening (하악 이부확장 시 하악골 이동 양상과 응력 분포에 관한 삼차원 유한요소법적 연구)

  • Lee, Do-Hoon;Hong, Hyun-Sil;Chae, Jong-Moon;Jo, Jin-Hyung;Kim, Sang-Cheol
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.13-30
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    • 2008
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to evaluate the displacement pattern and the stress distribution of the finite element model 3-D visualization during symphyseal widening according to the osteotomy position, osteotomy type, and distraction device. Methods: The kinds of distraction devices used were tooth-borne type, hybrid type, bone-borne type and tooth-borne type $30^{\circ}$ angulated, and the kinds of osteotomy design were vertical osteotomy line between the central incisors and step osteotomy line through the symphysis. Results: All reference points of the mandible including the condyles were displaced laterally irrespective of the osteotomy position, osteotomy method and distraction device. The anteroposterior or vertical displacements showed small differences between the groups. The widening pattern of the osteotomy line in the tooth-borne type of device was v shaped, and that of bone-borne type was a reverse v shape. However, the pattern in the hybrid type was parallel. The lateral displacement of the mandibular angle by the bone-borne device was more remarkable than the other types of devices. The displacement by the $30^{\circ}$ angulated tooth-borne type was different between the left and right sides in both the transverse and anteroposterior aspects. Conclusion: The design of the distraction devices and osteotomy line can influence the displacement pattern and the stress distribution during mandibular symphyseal distraction osteogenesis procedures.

Formation processes of low river terraces in Korea (우리나라 저위하안단구(低位河岸段丘)의 형성요인)

  • Son, Myoung-Won
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 2001
  • According to the change of stream power/resisting power relationship due to the crustal movement or the climatic change, most channel landforms which reflect the equilibrium state of fluvial system are eroded and a part of them is remained as a river terrace. In many rivers in Korea are extensively distributed the relatively younger low river terraces. But their accurate formation mechanism is not known. In this paper, the formation processes and the dating of low river terraces distributed in Nakdong River basin will be investigated. Stream power of the downward erosion was revived because the sea level fell down. So stream power was superior to the resisting power under the cool-wet climatic condition during the last glacial period. Thus the river bed was excavated deeply, so that low river terraces were built up. And many incised meander loops were cut during this period. But, when fluvial system did not have equilibrium over all reaches, the last glacial period ended and the sea level initiated to rise rapidly. The headward erosion from the fall of sea level during the last glacial period had kept up to Hagye Fall because of the cutting of incised meander loops. Deeply excavated valleys and abandoned channel of cut-meander in lower reaches of a stream were filled with sediments. Thus the longitudinal profile of the uppermost reaches reflect the last interglacial, the upper reaches the last glacial, and the middle/1ower reaches recent fluvial system. Therefore low river terraces have been formed since the last glacial period.

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Transection of the posterior horn of the medial meniscus at the posterior tibial attachment - Clinical features and A new repair technique (Pullout suture) - (내측 반월상 연골 후각의 후방 경골 부착부위의 절단 파열 - 임상 양상 및 새로운 봉합 수기(pullout suture) -)

  • Ahn, Jin-Hwan;Ha, Chul-Won;Kim, Ho;Kim, Sung-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Arthroscopy Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 1999
  • Purpose : The importance of meniscal repair is well recognized. But transeciton of the posterior horn of the medial meniscus at the posterior tibial attachment is rarely documented and known irreparable. We experienced 9 cases of transection, and present clinical features and pull out suture technique. Methods and Materials : There were 9cases of transection of the posterior horn of medial meniscus from September 1998 to July 1999 in our hospital. Age was 59.3 years in average and ranged from 38 to 70years. Clinical features and MRI made diagnosis in all cases. We confirmed the diagnosis with arthroscopy and repaired the transection with pullout suture technique. Clinical features : Transection of the posterior horn of the medial meniscus at the posterior tibia attachment occurred frequently in middle aged people. They complained posterior knee pain, but they have no history of definitive trauma. Characteristically they had difficulty in full flexion of the knee and in having a squatting position. MRI is very important in diagnosis of transection, especially in coronal view, there is separation of the posterior horn of the meniscus from the posterior tibial attachment. Surgical technique : Pullout suture technique includes debridement of fibrous or scar tissue, exposure of the subchondral bone of the posterior tibial attachment site, suture the transected end of the meniscus with PDS suture, bone tunnel formation from the anteromedial aspect of the proximal tibia, insertion of wire loop through the tibia tunnel, pull the PDS suture through the tibia tunnel out of the joint and stabilize the PDS with post-tie technique to the proximal tibia. Conclusion : Transection of the posterior horn of the medial meniscus at the posterior tibial attachment is not common clinically and rarely documented. Clinical features and MRI are very important in diagnosis of this type tear. Arthroscopic pullout sutures is useful for treatment of this type tear of the meniscus.

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Density Profile Measurement of Needle-punched Carbon/Carbon Nozzle Throat by the Analysis of Computed Tomography Image (전산화 단층촬영 영상 분석에 의한 탄소/탄소 목삽입재의 밀도 분포 측정)

  • Kim Dong-Ryun;Yun Nam-Gyun;Lee Jin-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.469-474
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    • 2005
  • Tn this study, the noll-destructive computed X-ray tomography was adopted to observe the density distribution of the needle-punched C-C composites nozzle throat. The density distribution of the C-C was evaluated within ${\pm}0.01g/cm^3$ with 98.74% confidence when the correction of the image and high signal-to-noise ratio were achieved by the optimization of the beam hardening, the electrical noise and the scattered X-ray. The density variation of the C/C with the computed tomography was in good agreement with the results obtained by the water immersion method and the observation with scanning electron microscope.

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Internal Dose Assessment of Worker by Radioactive Aerosol Generated During Mechanical Cutting of Radioactive Concrete (원전 방사성 콘크리트 기계적 절단의 방사성 에어로졸에 대한 작업자 내부피폭선량 평가)

  • Park, Jihye;Yang, Wonseok;Chae, Nakkyu;Lee, Minho;Choi, Sungyeol
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.157-167
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    • 2020
  • Removing radioactive concrete is crucial in the decommissioning of nuclear power plants. However, this process generates radioactive aerosols, exposing workers to radiation. Although large amounts of radioactive concrete are generated during decommissioning, studies on the internal exposure of workers to radioactive aerosols generated from the cutting of radioactive concrete are very limited. In this study, therefore, we calculate the internal radiation doses of workers exposed to radioactive aerosols during activities such as drilling and cutting of radioactive concrete, using previous research data. The electrical-mobility-equivalent diameter measured in a previous study was converted to aerodynamic diameter using the Newton-Raphson method. Furthermore, the specific activity of each nuclide in radioactive concrete 10 years after nuclear power plants are shut down was calculated using the ORIGEN code. Eventually, we calculated the committed effective dose for each nuclide using the IMBA software. The maximum effective dose of 152Eu constituted 83.09% of the total dose; moreover, the five highest-ranked elements (152Eu, 154Eu, 60Co, 239Pu, 55Fe) constituted 99.63%. Therefore, we postulate that these major elements could be measured first for rapid radiation exposure management of workers involved in decommissioning of nuclear power plants, even if all radioactive elements in concrete are not considered.

Comparing Survival Functions with Doubly Interval-Censored Data: An Application to Diabetes Surveyed by Korean Cancer Prevention Study (이중구간중도절단된 생존자료의 생존함수 비교를 위한 검정: 한국인 암 예방연구 중 당뇨병에의 응용)

  • Jee, Sun-Ha;Nam, Chung-Mo;Kim, Jin-Heum
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.595-606
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    • 2009
  • Two tests were introduced for comparing several survival functions with doubly interval-censored data and illustrated with data surveyed by Korean Cancer Prevention Study (Jee et al., 2005). The test which extended Kim et al. (2006)'s test to the doubly interval-censored data has an advantage over Sun (2006)'s test in terms of saving computation time because the proposed test only depends on the size of risk set, and also the proposed test is applicable to continuous failure time data as well as discrete failure time data unlike Sun's test. Comparing male with female groups on the incubation time of diabetes was highly different and the survival of female group was longer than that of male one. Regardless of gender, the difference in survival functions of four age groups was highly significant with p-value of less than 0.001. This trend was more remarkable for female group than for male one. Simulation results showed that the significance level of both tests was well controlled and the proposed test was better than Sun's test in terms of power.

Identifying the Effects of Drivers' Behavior on Habitual Drunk Driving with Truncated Count Data Model (절단된 가산자료모형을 이용한 상습 음주운전자들의 습관적 음주운전 행태분석)

  • Yang, Si-Hun;Kim, Do-Gyeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2011
  • Traffic problems caused by drunk drivers have been steadily raised from the past. Even though the previous researches have focused on the development of countermeasures for preventing drunk driving, the number of drivers violating the DUI (Driving-Under-Influence) regulation is still increasing. Many studies seek countermeasures for preventing drunk driving by comparing the differences between general and drunk drivers. However, few researches have investigated focusing only on the characteristics of drunk drivers. It is well known that characteristics of general drivers are different from those of drunk drivers, and also habitual drunk drivers have different characteristics from non-habitual drunk drivers. Motivated by this fact, only the drivers who have violated DUI regulation are considered in the analysis. This study primarily aims to provide alternative solutions for reducing habitual drunk drivers who are highly inclined to do drunk driving repeatedly. For the analysis, various types of variables potentially effecting drunk driving behavior were investigated, and then truncated count data models were developed to analyze the effects of the variables selected on drunk driving. The results showed that 1) a truncated negative binomial model is better fitted to the data; and 2) five variables including experiential learning, the lack of self-control, self-reflection, the fear of crackdown, and the level of dependence on vehicles were found to be statistically significant.