• Title/Summary/Keyword: 적설심

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Extraction of Snowmelt Parameters using NOAA AVHRR and GIS Technique for 5 River Basins in South Korea (NOAA AVHRR 영상 및 GIS 기법을 이용한 국내 5대강 유역의 융설 매개변수 추출)

  • Shin, Hyung-Jin;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.119-124
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    • 2007
  • The few observed data related snowmelt was the major cause of difficulty in extracting snowmelt factors such as snow cover area, snow depth and depletion curve. Remote sensing technology is very effective to observe a wide area. Although many researchers have used remote sensing for snow observation, there were a few discussions on the characteristics of spatial and temporal variation. Snow cover maps were derived from NOAA AVHRR images for the winter seasons from 1997 to 2006. Distributed snow depth was mapped by overlapping between snow cover maps and interpolated snowfall maps from 69 meteorological observation stations. Model parameters (Snow Cover Area: SCA, snow depth, Snow cover Depletion Curve: SDC) building for 5 major watersheds in South Korea. Especially SDC is important parameter of snowmelt model.

Projection of Future Snowfall and Assessment of Heavy Snowfall Vulnerable Area Using RCP Climate Change Scenarios (RCP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 미래 강설량 예측 및 폭설 취약지역 평가)

  • Ahn, So Ra;Lee, Jun Woo;Kim, Seong Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.545-556
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    • 2015
  • This study is to project the future snowfall and to assess heavy snowfall vulnerable area in South Korea using ground measured snowfall data and RCP climate change scenarios. To identify the present spatio-temporal heavy snowfall distribution pattern of South Korea, the 40 years (1971~2010) snowfall data from 92 weather stations were used. The heavy snowfall days above 20 cm and areas has increased especially since 2000. The future snowfall was projected by HadGEM3-RA RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios using the bias-corrected temperature and snow-water equivalent precipitation of each weather station. The maximum snowfall in baseline period (1984~2013) was 122 cm and the future maximum snow depth was projected 186.1 cm, 172.5 mm and 172.5 cm in 2020s (2011~2040), 2050s (2041~2070) and 2080s (2071~2099) for RCP 4.5 scenario, and 254.4 cm, 161.6 cm and 194.8 cm for RCP 8.5 scenario respectively. To analyze the future heavy snowfall vulnerable area, the present snow load design criteria for greenhouse (cm), cattleshed ($kg/m^2$), and building structure ($kN/m^2$) of each administrative district was applied. The 3 facilities located in present heavy snowfall areas were about two times vulnerable in the future and the areas were also extended.

Mapping Technique for Heavy Snowfall Distribution Using Terra MODIS Images and Ground Measured Snowfall Data (Terra MODIS 영상과 지상 적설심 자료를 이용한 적설분포도 구축기법 연구)

  • Kim, Saet-Byul;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Lee, Ji-Wan;Yu, Young-Seok;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2011
  • This study is to make snowfall distribution map for the 4 heavy snowfall events of January 2001, March of 2004, December of 2005 and January of 2010, and compare the results for three cases of construction methods. The cases are to generate the map by applying IDW(Inverse Distance Weighting) interpolation to 76 ground measured snowfall point data (Snow Depth Map; SDM), mask out the SDM with the MODIS snow cover area (MODIS SCA) of Terra MODIS (MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) (SDM+MODIS SCA; SDM_M), and consider the snowdepth lapse rate of snowfall by elevation (Digital Elevation Model; DEM) to the second case (SDM_M+DEM; SDM_MD). By applying the MODIS SCA, the SCA of 4 events was 62.9%, 44.1%, 52.0%, and 69.0% for the area of South Korea. For the average snow depth, the SDM_M decreased 0.9cm, 1.9cm, 0.8cm, and 1.5cm compared to SDM and the SDM_MD increased 1.3cm, 0.9cm, 0.4cm, and 1.2cm respectively.

Studies on the Structural Design of Biological Production Facility I. Frequency Analysis of Weather Data for Design Load Estimation (생물생산시설의 구조설계에 관한 연구 I. 설계하중 산정을 위한 기상자료 빈도분석)

  • 김문기;손정익;남상운;이동근;이석재
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 1992
  • This study was attemped to provide some fundamental data for the safety structural design of biological production facility. Wind speed and snow depth according to recurrence intervals for design load estimation were calculated by frequency analysis using the weather data of 60 stations in Korea. The following results were obtained : 1. Type-I extremal distribution was selected for the probability density function of yearly maximum wind speed and snow depth and result of Chi-square goodness of fit showed highly significance at most regions. 2. Design frequency factors for given number of samples and recurrence intervals were calculated, and also design wind speed and snow depth as shown in Table 5-Table 6 and Fig.3-Fig.4 were derived. 3. About 46.4% of the winds having maximum wind speed at every station was analyzed to be same direction, and the consideration of this fact may improve the structural safety. 4. Considering wind speed and snow depth, protected cultivation is very difficult in Ullungdo and the Youngdong districts, and strong structural design is needed in the Chungnam and Junbuk west seaside against snow depth and the west-south seaside against wind speed in Korea.

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Evaluation of Snow Damage Prediction Funtion Depending on Historical Snow Data. (적설 관측 여부에 따른 대설피해 예측함수 적용성 검토)

  • Lee, Hyeong Joo;Chung, Gunhui
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.403-403
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    • 2018
  • 최근 세계적인 기상이변으로 국지적인 대설과 한파가 발생하고 있다. 특히 최근 2018년 1월 8일 미국에 100년만의 한파로 인해 체감온도가 영하 69도까지 떨어지고, 우리나라에서도 2월 8일 제주도 폭설과 한파로 인해 교통이 마비되는 등의 피해가 발생한 것으로 알려져 겨울철 자연재해에 대한 관심이 대두되고 있다. 이로 인해 대설피해 예측 및 저감에 대한 연구가 다수 진행되고 있으나, 적설 관측소는 전국 229개 시 군 구 중 약 100여개에 불과하여 미관측 지역에 대한 데이터 수집에 어려움을 겪고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 적설 관측 지점별 대설피해 예측함수를 개발하고 적용성을 검토하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 4단계 구성과정을 통해 연구를 수행하였다. 첫째, 전국 대설피해 관측지점 및 미관측지점을 구분하고, 관측 이력 20년 이상 지역을 표본으로 채택하였다. 둘째, 재해통계 활용 및 문헌조사를 통해 대설피해 유발인자 조사 및 분석하였다. 셋째, 비닐하우스의 최소 설계기준 적설심의 절반인 10 cm 미만에서 발생한 피해는 기타 외적인 요인이 작용하였을 것으로 보고 제외하였다. 넷째, 다중회귀분석을 통해 대설피해 예측 함수를 개발하고 적용성 검토를 실시하였다. 검토 결과 수정된 결정계수가 약 0.8 이상 나타내었으며, 이는 대설피해의 정확하고 예측을 위해 적설심 관측이 매우 중요한 것을 나타내며, 적설관측의 공간적인 정확도가 향상된다면 대략적인 피해규모 예측이 가능한 것으로 판단되었다.

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Evaluation of bias and uncertainty in snow depth reanalysis data over South Korea (한반도 적설심 재분석자료의 오차 및 불확실성 평가)

  • Jeon, Hyunho;Lee, Seulchan;Lee, Yangwon;Kim, Jinsoo;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.543-551
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    • 2023
  • Snow is an essential climate factor that affects the climate system and surface energy balance, and it also has a crucial role in water balance by providing solid water stored during the winter for spring runoff and groundwater recharge. In this study, statistical analysis of Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS), Modern.-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), and ERA5-Land snow depth data were used to evaluate the applicability in South Korea. The statistical analysis between the Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) ground observation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and the reanalysis data showed that LDAPS and ERA5-Land were highly correlated with a correlation coefficient of more than 0.69, but LDAPS showed a large error with an RMSE of 0.79 m. In the case of MERRA-2, the correlation coefficient was lower at 0.17 because the constant value was estimated continuously for some periods, which did not adequately simulate the increase and decrease trend between data. The statistical analysis of LDAPS and ASOS showed high and low performance in the nearby Gangwon Province, where the average snowfall is relatively high, and in the southern region, where the average snowfall is low, respectively. Finally, the error variance between the four independent snow depth data used in this study was calculated through triple collocation (TC), and a merged snow depth data was produced through weighting factors. The reanalyzed data showed the highest error variance in the order of LDAPS, MERRA-2, and ERA5-Land, and LDAPS was given a lower weighting factor due to its higher error variance. In addition, the spatial distribution of ERA5-Land snow depth data showed less variability, so the TC-merged snow depth data showed a similar spatial distribution to MERRA-2, which has a low spatial resolution. Considering the correlation, error, and uncertainty of the data, the ERA5-Land data is suitable for snow-related analysis in South Korea. In addition, it is expected that LDAPS data, which is highly correlated with other data but tends to be overestimated, can be actively utilized for high-resolution representation of regional and climatic diversity if appropriate corrections are performed.

Application of Snowmelt Parameters and the Impact Assessment in the SLURP Semi-Distributed Hydrological Model (준 분포형 수문모형 SLURP에서 융설매개변수 적용 및 영향 평가)

  • Shin, Hyung-Jin;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.8
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    • pp.617-628
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is to prepare snowmelt parameters using RS and GIS and to assess the snowmelt impact in SLURP (Semi-distributed Land Use-based Runoff Process) model for Chungju-Dam watershed $(6,661.5km^2)$. Three sets of NOAA AVHRR images (1998-1999, 2000-2001, 2001-2002) were analyzed to prepare snow-related data of the model during winter period. Snow cover areas were extracted using 1, 3 and 4 channels, and the snow depth was spatially interpolated using snowfall data of ground meteorological stations. With the snowmelt parameters, DEM (Digital Elevation Model), land cover, NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and weather data, the model was calibrated for 3 years (1998, 2000, 2001), and verified for 1 year (1999) using the calibrated parameters. The average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies for 4 years (1998-2001) discharge comparison with and without snowmelt parameters were 0.76 and 0.73 for the full period, and 0.57 and 0.19 for the period of January to May. The results showed that the spatially prepared snow-related data reduced the calibration effort and enhanced the model results.

Probable annual maximum of daily snowfall using improved probability distribution (개선된 확률밀도함수 적용을 통한 빈도별 적설심 산정)

  • Park, Heeseong;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.259-271
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    • 2020
  • In Korea, snow damage has happened in the region with little snowfalls in history. Also, accidental damage was caused by heavy snow leads and the public interest on heavy snow has been increased. Therefore, policy about the Natural Disaster Reduction Comprehensive Plan has been changed to include the mitigation measures of snow damage. However, since heavy snow damage was not frequent, studies on snowfall have not been conducted on different points. The characteristics of snow data commonly are not the same as the rainfall data. Some southern coastal areas in Korea are snowless during the year. Therefore, a joint probability distribution was suggested to analyze the snow data with many 0s in a previous research and fitness from the joint probability distribution was higher than the conventional methods. In this study, snow frequency analysis was implemented using the joint probability distribution and compared to the design codes. The results were compared to the design codes. The results of this study can be used as the basic data to develop a procedure for the snow frequency analysis in the future.

Frequency Analysis of Snow depth Using Bayesian mixture distribution (Bayesian 혼합분포를 활용한 최심신적설량 빈도분석)

  • Kim, Ho Jun;Urnachimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.136-136
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    • 2020
  • 홍수와 가뭄은 우리나라에 대표적인 수재해로서 관련 연구도 활발히 진행되고 있다. 반면 겨울철에 발생하는 적설의 경우 발생빈도와 피해가 상대적으로 적었으며 관련 연구 또한 미비한 실정이다. 우리나라 일부 남부지방은 강우와 다르게 연중 눈이 내리지 않는 경우가 존재하며, 자료 중 '0'값을 가지게 된다. 이로 인해 최적분포형 선정 및 매개변수 추정에 어려움이 있으며, 특히 '0'값으로 인해 단일 확률분포를 이용한 빈도해석은 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 연중 눈이 내리지 않는 무적설량을 고려하기 위하여 두 가지 이상의 확률분포함수를 결합한 혼합분포함수를 개발하였다. Bayesian 기법을 이용하여 무강우의 기준이 되는 값(δ)을 매개변수로 고려하여 추정하였으며, 이에 따른 적설발생 평균확률(P을 Mixing Ratio로 고려하여 혼합분포함수를 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 산하 관측소 중 20년 이상의 지점을 선정하여 최심신적설량을 활용하였으며, 빈도별 확률적설심을 산정하였다. 적합한 확률분포형 선정을 위해 먼저 Bayesian 기법으로 매개변수와 우도함수를 산정한 후 각 분포형의 BIC(bayesian information criterion)값을 비교하였다. 선정된 최적분포형에 대해 빈도분석을 실시하여 최심신적설량을 제시하였다. 추가적으로 무강우를 기존 기준인 '0'으로 고정하여 본 연구에서 제시한 결과 값과 비교하였다.

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