• Title/Summary/Keyword: 저출산고령화

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Labor Force Shortage Projection and Policy Implications: Impact of Demographic Transition in Korea (저출산 고령화에 따른 노동력 부족 전망과 정책적 함의)

  • Lee, Sang-Lim
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2012
  • In this study, labor force projections are made in order to examine the process and magnitude of labor shortage caused by population ageing in Korea. Starting from theoretical review and analysis of population projection data, this study presents that serious transitions of labor market are expected to begin between 2020 and 2030. This study shows even in case of encouraging higher labor participation, labor shortage cannot be offset but only delay and alleviate effects of population ageing. Finally, this study points out some important implications of labor policy including sensitive social and political issues which should be considered.

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Long-Term Estimation of 119 Ambulance Services by Demographic Changes in Korea (인구 변동에 따른 119 구급 서비스의 장기 추계)

  • Kang, Kyunghee
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2018
  • Based on the Statistical Yearbook of 119 Emergency Medical Services in 2017 (National Fire Agency, 2018) and Population Projection by Province: 2015~2045 (Statistics Korea, 2017), this study analyzed the effects of population changes, such as low fertility and aging on the use of ambulance services in the future. The population of Korea is expected to decline after peaking in 2031, but the number of elderly people aged over 70 is expected to continue to increase. The rates of emergency ambulance transport (REAT, the number of patients transferred per 1,000 inhabitants) are not changed significantly, compared to the recent trends, but the ambulance services for elderly over 70 years of age will increase exponentially. Therefore, the population changes due to low fertility and aging is accompanied by a quantitative and qualitative change in ambulance services, and from the long term perspectives, it is necessary to consider not only the effective response of ambulance services due to aging, but also the adjustment of existing jurisdictions due to population changes and the relocation of manpower and resources.

Low Fertility & Infertility (저출산/불임)

  • Kim, Young-Shim;Hwang, Hae-Shin;Hwang, Hye-Jung
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2009
  • Recently, low birthrate has been recognized as a social problem, which is expressed as catastrophy of population. There are several reasons why low birth rate has occurred directly and indirectly, generating total economic and social burden for our society. That is, low birthrate should not be simply regarded as reduction of population. The present study identified the reasons of low birthrate and the current status of infertility, and examined practical and theoretical issues in terms of low birthrate. It is our contention that low birthrate and infertility is one of the most important governmental issue to enhance quality of life of the public. Thus, integrated and systematic policy must be developed and implemented to effectively meet the issues.

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Implementation of Probabilistic Predictive Artificial Intelligence for Remote Diagnosis in Aging Society (고령화 사회 원격 진료를 위한 확률론적 예측인공지능 연구)

  • Jeong, Jae-Seung;Ju, Hyunsu
    • Prospectives of Industrial Chemistry
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2020
  • 저출산 고령화 사회로의 진입은 대한민국뿐만 아니라 전 세계적으로 많은 사회 문제를 야기하고 있다. 그 중에서 고령 인구 증가로 인한 의료 수요 증가와 이를 뒷받침 할 의료인력 부족은 곧 다가올 사회문제이다. 4차 산업 혁명으로 인해 다양한 사회문제에 대한 혁신적인 해법들이 제시되고 있는데, 본 기고문에서는 다가올 고령화 사회에서 의료인력 부족 등에 의한 해결법으로 원격의료 지원을 위한 인공지능 활용을 다루고자 한다. 병 진단 및 예측을 위한 여러 가지 인공지능 알고리즘은 이미 많이 개발 되어 있으나, 일반적으로 딥러닝에 많이 쓰이는 인공신경망 구조인 합성곱 뉴럴네트워크(convolution neural network)나 기존 퍼셉트론(perceptron) 구조에서 벗어나 확률론적 인공신경망 중에 하나인 베이지안 뉴럴네트워크(Bayesian neural network)를 다루고자 한다. 그중에서 연산효율적이며 뉴로모픽 하드웨어로 구현 가능성이 높고 실제 진단 예측(diagnosis prediction) 문제 해결에 강점을 보이는 알고리즘으로써 naive Bayes classifer를 활용한 연구를 소개하고자 한다.

The Effects of Changes in Household Structure on Service Consumption in Korea (가구구조 변화가 서비스 수요에 미치는 효과 분석)

  • HWANG, Soo Kyeong
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.57-85
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the effects of changes in household structure on service demand. The structure of households in Korea has been quickly changed due to low birth rate and population aging as well as increasing women's participation in the workforce. Their consumption patterns may have been altered by the structural changes. This paper focuses on the additional demand for market services replacing household activities such as household chores and care services. First, using a 3-sector time allocation model, we theoretically analyze the mechanism that marketization of household production can lead to the expansion of service industries. Next, in order to analyze the effects of changes in household structure on consumption demand, we estimate the Engel curves according to the QUAIDS model. For empirical work, the Survey of Household Finances was used. According to the results, structural changes in Korean households, such as an increase in single-person households, a decrease in families with a spouse or children under 6 years old, and an increase in dual-earner households, have caused an increase in medical expenses, education and training costs, and expenses for household services, which are typically substitutes for household production services.

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A Study on Strengthening of Health Care Protection and Sustainability Plan (건강보험 보장성 강화 및 지속가능성 제고 방안 연구)

  • Jung, Yong-Ju
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.96-110
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    • 2021
  • Korea is faced with the challenge of adapting to the world's fastest - growing low birthrate, aging society, and low growth with low interest rate era. With low fertility and aging population, the factors of financial income of health insurance are decreasing, and the increase of public interest in health, high cost medical technology and the development of medicine are leading to increase expenditure of health insurance. In this study, I will examine the strengthen protection of health insurance, financial stabilization, and fairness of medical care. First, the present status and limitations of health insurance were identified through domestic policy report, domestic and foreign literature, and precedent research. Second, the foreign health insurance policy measures to stabilize the finances were examined separately. Based on this study, in order to maintain sustainable health insurance through reinforcement and financial stabilization of health insurance, the current financial income structure of health insurance must be renovated. It will be necessary to expand government subsidies and discover new tax revenues. In addition, a policy to save finances by reorganizing the medical bill payment system and medical delivery system will also be needed.

Extended Issues of Interoperability for Video Conference in Smart Work (스마트워크 환경에서 영상협업을 위한 연동기능 확장 이슈)

  • Jeong, Okjo;Min, Jaehong;Yi, Jong-Wha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2013.11a
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    • pp.1461-1463
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    • 2013
  • 최근 들어 근로자의 이동시간 단축을 통한 에너지 절감뿐만 아니라 저출산 고령화에 따른 노인 인구의 경제활동 유도, 출산여성에 대한 경력단축 방지, 장애인에 대한 근로활동 제공 등을 위한 근로 환경의 변화가 요구되고 있다. 이러한 근로환경을 제공하기 위한 스마트워크는 기존 사무실에서 근무하는 환경을 탈피하여 댁내, 스마트워크 센터, 또는 이동 중에도 마치 직장에서 근무하는 것처럼 업무를 효율적으로 수행할 수 있는 환경을 제공한다. 스마트워크는 현재 사용중인 여러 가지의 기술들을 근로환경에 맞게 채택하여 구현할 수 있으며, 특히 근로자의 업무 생산성을 높이기 위한 협업기능이 제공될 필요가 있다. 영상협업 기능은 영상, 음성 및 콘텐츠 공유를 통해 원격지 간에 효과적인 업무를 수행할 수 있도록 제공하는 기능이다. 본 논문은 스마트워크에서 영상협업을 제공하기 위하여 요구되는 상호연동 기능확장을 위한 표준화 이슈에 대하여 기술한다.

Scenario Analysis of Fertility in Korea using the Fertility Rate Prediction Model (출산율 예측모형을 이용한 한국의 출산력 시나리오 분석)

  • Kim, Keewhan;Jeon, Saebom
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.685-701
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    • 2015
  • The low fertility rate and the unprecedented rapid pace of population aging is a significant factor degrading the national competitiveness and the social security system of Korea. The government has implemented various maternity incentives to alleviate the low birth problem; however, the policy seems in effective to solve the problem of low fertility. This study proposes a conditional birth-order specific fertility rate and investigates the policy effects of fertility transition in Korea to provide a basis for more effective policy development. The use of a conditional birth-order specific fertility rate allows for an effective calculation of the change and the effect in total fertility rate than a birth-order specific fertility rate. We compare the effects of the total fertility rate according to various scenarios that enables us to calculate how the total fertility rate can achieve the current multi-child childbirth support policy of the government and estimate how the total fertility rate can be achieved when focusing on the first or second childbirth support policy. We also summarize the research results on policy development for a practical increase in the childbirth that considers the rapid decrease in women of childbearing age (15-49 years) due to continued low fertility and present the number of childbirths in accordance with the total fertility rate.

2015년 창조융합 R&D 추진방향

  • Kim, Yeong-Myeong
    • Information and Communications Magazine
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.12-14
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    • 2014
  • ICT 기술이 타 산업과의 융합으로 새로운 산업과 일자리를 창출하는 창조경제 실현의 핵심수단으로 재조명되면서, 국가의 산업 경쟁력 제고와 전반적인 사회문제 해결은 물론 저출산 고령화, 산업 기술 패러다임 변화 등에 따른 장기적인 국가적 수요를 해결할 수 있는 대안으로 인지되고 있다. 이러한 이유로 ICT 기반의 융합 R&D형태를 갖는 창조융합분야의 R&D역할과 중요성은 더욱 커지고 있는 실정이다. 본 고에서는 이와 관련된 미래창조과학부의 2015년 창조융합분야의 R&D 추진방향을 소개하고자 한다.

입직연령 하향을 위한 조기졸업제도의 활용방안

  • Jeong, Gi-Seop
    • 대학교육
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    • s.149
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    • pp.83-87
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    • 2007
  • 우리 사회의 고령화와 저출산이 심각한 사회문제로 제기되면서 경제활동인구의 감소에 대비해 입직연령 하향의 필요성이 강하게 제기되기 시작했다. 이를 위해 취학연령의 하향, 수학년한의 단축 등과 같은 학제개편 논의가 제기되고 있으나 학자들이나 이해단체 간의 이견이 분분하고, 관련 종사자들간의 이해관계가 얽혀 단기간에 합의를 도출하기는 어려운 상황이다. 따라서 현 제도적으로 가능한 조기졸업 활성화에 대한 진지한 논의는 하나의 대안이 될 수 있다. 여기에서 입직연령 하향과 대학경쟁력, 그리고 조기졸업제의 효과적인 활용방안에 대해 살펴보기로 하자.

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