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http://dx.doi.org/10.7731/KIFSE.2018.32.5.105

Long-Term Estimation of 119 Ambulance Services by Demographic Changes in Korea  

Kang, Kyunghee (Dept. of Emergency Health Science, Gachon University)
Publication Information
Fire Science and Engineering / v.32, no.5, 2018 , pp. 105-111 More about this Journal
Abstract
Based on the Statistical Yearbook of 119 Emergency Medical Services in 2017 (National Fire Agency, 2018) and Population Projection by Province: 2015~2045 (Statistics Korea, 2017), this study analyzed the effects of population changes, such as low fertility and aging on the use of ambulance services in the future. The population of Korea is expected to decline after peaking in 2031, but the number of elderly people aged over 70 is expected to continue to increase. The rates of emergency ambulance transport (REAT, the number of patients transferred per 1,000 inhabitants) are not changed significantly, compared to the recent trends, but the ambulance services for elderly over 70 years of age will increase exponentially. Therefore, the population changes due to low fertility and aging is accompanied by a quantitative and qualitative change in ambulance services, and from the long term perspectives, it is necessary to consider not only the effective response of ambulance services due to aging, but also the adjustment of existing jurisdictions due to population changes and the relocation of manpower and resources.
Keywords
Ambulance service; Population changes; Long-term estimation; Aging;
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