• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.39-48
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• 2011

To predict the shelf-life of ammunition stockpiled in intermediate have practical meaning as a core value of combat support. This research is to Predict the shelf-life of ammunition by applying time series analysis based on report from ASRP of the 155mm, KD541 performed for 6 years. This study applied time series analysis using 'Mini-tab program' to measure the amount of stabilizer as time passes by is different from the other one that uses regression analysis. The average shelf-life of KD541 drawn by time series analysis was 43 years and the lowest shelf-life assessed on the 95% confidence level was 35 years.

• Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.62-67
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• 1998

This study was undertaken to find out distribution and contamination sources of microbes on the processing steps and to estimate quality index and shelf life of fried bean curd. It was necessary that the sanitation for water, processing environment and instruments at digestion, formation, cutting and processes after frying must be controlled and microbial growth at digestion and formation must be inhibited, to process efficiently and to improve shelf life of fried bean curd. It was evaluated that quality indexes as to sensory evaluation, especially texture, mold generation and total viable cell counts will be useful to estimate shelf life of fried bean curd and that shelf life of fried bean curd was 6 days.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.30-36
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• 2013

This paper presents a method to estimate a storage life for loss of stabilizer content as storage periods using accelerated life test data. The estimate of storage life based on deterministic accelerated life test and degradation data cannot describe a condition distribution and storage life distribution. Previously, the method to show the condition distribution and storage life distribution by using gamma process has been studied. But it has limitation because it is impossible to collect the deterioration data at initial production phase. The estimated storage life presented by this study shows the similar value to previous studies and the method can describe the condition distribution and storage life distribution. So, the estimation method studied in this paper can be used for a life cycle management about deterioration of propellant for propulsion unit or components of missile, too.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.48 no.6
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• pp.695-699
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• 2010

The propellant KM10, a single propellant manufactured from nitrocellulose, was known to cause natural degradation phenomena at long term storage. In this study, the self-life was estimated using high temperature acceleration aging tests and stockpile analysis test. For the life expectancy estimation, Arrhenius equation and Berthelot equation were used in the high temperature acceleration tests, and the first order regression was used in the Stockpile analysis test. The self-life of propellant KM10 using the Arrhenius equation and Berthelot equation showed significantly different results as 43.73, 16.53 years in the high temperature acceleration test, and it showed 42.94 years in the Stockpile analysis test. The value of self-life predicted by Arrhenius equation was reasonable when compared with the result of E. R. Bixon.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.31 no.5
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• pp.611-620
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• 2018

Limitations on human and material resources make it is difficult to conduct Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program (ASRP) tasks for the entire ammunition. Stockpile ammunition life prediction studies can contribute to efficient ASRP tasks. This study assess the shelf-life of ammunition, using survival analysis based on ASRP results for 60mm and 81mm mortar ammunition from 2003 to 2016. Traditional assessments often use solely storage duration as the only main independent variable; however, this assessment used other factors such as ammunition magazine shape and weather factors with the stockpile shelf-life as independent variables to conduct a Cox's proportional hazard model analysis. This was then followed by an assessment of ammunition magazine type, maximum temperature and rainfall factors influence on the shelf-life of 60mm and 81mm mortar ammunition. As a result, the type of ammunition magazine, maximum temperature and the rainfall influence the shelf-life of 60mm and 81mm mortar ammunition.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.43-52
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• 2022

Operational reliability of the single-use turbo engine for guided weapons must be guaranteed even after long-term storage. Rolling element bearings have a great influence on the operational reliability of the turbo engine, however changes in micro dimensions of bearings by an oxide layers on rolling elements and raceways may cause failures after long-term storage. In this study, changes in dimensions of bearings were measured and roughness of rolling elements was used for estimating the storage life. Storage life estimation was performed via two kinds of methods, Weibayes method and random sample generation method. The results of two methods were compared and their characteristics were analyzed. This study will contribute to establish an efficient maintenance schedule for the single-use turbo engine.

• Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.9-14
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• 2021

In computing systems that require high reliability, the method of predicting the lifetime of a storage device is one of the important factors for system management because it can maximize usability as well as data protection. The life of a solid state drive (SSD) that has recently been used as a storage device in several storage systems is linked to the life of the NAND flash memory that constitutes it. Therefore, in a storage system configured using an SSD, a method of accurately and efficiently predicting the lifespan of a NAND flash memory is required. In this paper, a method for optimizing the lifetime prediction of a flash memory-based storage device using the frequency of NAND flash memory failure is proposed. For this, we design a cost matrix to collect the frequency of defects that occur when processing data in units of Drive Writes Per Day (DWPD). In addition, a method of predicting the remaining cost to the slope where the life-long finish occurs using the Gradient Descent method is proposed. Finally, we proved the excellence of the proposed idea when any defect occurs with simulation.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.59-65
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• 1990

In order to predict the shelf-life of cigarettes packaged in typical flexible film under conditions of various temperature, relative humidity and sealing degree, a computer iterative technique was used. Although there were some significant differences at initial equilibrium relative humidity(55%), the experimental results agree fairly well with predictions following the student's t test($\alpha$=0.01) in most cases. Essentially, the higher the storage temperature, the shorter the shelf-life of the cigarette product. The bigger the differences from the initial equilibrium relative humidity, the shorter the storage period of the cigarette. Moisture transfer through the film at relatively high temperature gave higher confidence. The sealing degree, one of the storage parameters, appeared to be a major influencing factor to shelf-life. Slopes($\beta$) of the temp., sealing degree and %rh of the dependent variable to shelf life were 0.49, -0.39 and -0, 28 respectively, when analysed by multiple regression of SPSS software. Below 600m1/min sealing decree of the packed cigarette through the sealing Position at 30mmH20 differential pressure, the shelf-life could be increased by more than six months.

• Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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• 2020.08a
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• pp.359-360
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• 2020

리튬 이온 배터리가 전기 자동차의 주 동력원으로 사용됨에 따라 배터리의 잔존 수명 예측기술의 중요성이 부각되고 있다. 사용 환경에 적합한 잔존 수명 예측을 위해 전기 자동차의 주행 환경을 모사하여 충전 및 방전이 빈번하게 나타나는 UDDS 프로파일에서 범용적으로 사용할 수 있는 수명 인자를 선정하는 것이 필수적이다. 배터리의 잔존 용량과 가장 상관도가 높은 수명 인자를 선정함으로써, 인공지능 기반 예측 알고리즘의 정확도 향상을 기대 할 수 있으며, 태양광 ESS와 같은 상이한 특성의 어플리케이션에도 범용적인 적용이 가능하다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.154-156
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• 2017

Constant variance of degradation data over time has been generally assumed to estimate storage lifetime using destructive, accelerated degradation data over time. However, performance data of ammunitions deteriorate over time, and the standard deviation would tend to increase over time. This paper shows storage lifetime comparison results for constant variance and time-variant variance assumptions of degradation data over time, and proposes that time-variant variance assumption should be considered to increase accuracy in lifetime estimation.