• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재해위험도

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Comparison of Reservoir Drought Index According to the Period of Reservoir Storage Data on Agricultural Reservoir (농업용 저수지의 저수량 자료 기간별 가뭄지수 비교)

  • Kim, Sun Joo;Kwon, Hyung Joong;Bark, Min Woo;Kang, Seung Mook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.337-337
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    • 2017
  • 가뭄은 일반적으로 강수량의 부족에 기인하며, 수자원의 이용 및 관리에 큰 영향을 미치는 자연재해이다. 2013년부터 2015년까지 우리나라의 연 평균 강수량은 각각 1,162mm, 1,173mm, 948mm로 평년대비 89.0%, 89.8%, 72.1%의 적은 강수를 보였다. 이는 마른장마, 평년보다 적게 발생한 태풍 등의 영향 인 것으로 판단되며 이러한 강수의 부족으로 인해 전국적으로 가뭄이 빈번하게 발생하였다. 이에 가뭄의 대처방안에 대한 관심이 증대되었고, 가뭄을 정량적으로 표현하고자 하는 연구들이 진행되었다. 가뭄은 크게 수문학적, 기상학적, 농업적 가뭄으로 구분되며 각각의 기준에 따라 다양한 변수들을 이용한 지표들이 개발되었다. 개발된 가뭄 지표는 가뭄을 평가하고 대비하기 위한 의사결정에 유용한 자료로 사용되고 있다. 농업적 가뭄은 강우부족, 실제와 잠재증발산량의 차이, 토양수분 부족, 저수지 또는 지하수위의 저하 등 농작물의 생육과 수확량에 직접적인 영향을 미치는 특성들을 고려하여 평가해야 하며, 이러한 특성들을 고려한 가뭄 지수로는 저수지 가뭄지수(RDI), 토양수분지수(SMI), 통합농업가뭄지수(IADI) 등이 개발되었다. 저수지 가뭄지수는 가뭄발생의 위험과 크기를 순별 가용저수량의 빈도를 이용하여 나타낸 가뭄 지표이다. 따라서 가뭄 지표를 산정하는데 사용된 자료의 기간에 따라 그 값의 차이가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 각각 10개년, 20개년, 30개년 기간의 백산저수지 농업지구 저수량 자료를 사용하여 2011년부터 2015년까지의 저수지 가뭄지수를 산정하였으며 이를 각각 비교하였다. 2006년부터 2015년까지 10개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012년 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내고 있었고 특히, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수가 -4.1으로 가장 심한 가뭄을 나타내었다. 1996년부터 2015년까지 20개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내며 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수는 각각 -0.9, -1.0으로 10개년의 기간을 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 모습을 보였다. 1986년부터 2015년까지 30개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄을 나타내고 있었으며, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 경우 각각 -1.7, -1.0으로 20개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 심한 가뭄을 나타내지만, 10개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 가뭄을 나타내었다. 백산저수지의 경우 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄이 발생하였으나, 용수공급이 불가능 할 정도의 가뭄이 발생하지는 않은 것으로 조사되었으며, 30개년 자료를 사용한 가뭄지수가 이와 가장 근사한 가뭄정도를 나타내고 있다. 이는 저수량자료의 기간이 크면 빈도값의 신뢰성이 높아지기 때문인 것으로 판단되며 저수지 가뭄지수의 경우 저수량 자료가 누적될수록 좀 더 정확한 가뭄상황을 표현할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Study of Local Area Weather Condition Monitoring System in WSN (WSN기반의 국지적 기상모니터링 시스템 고찰)

  • Chung, Wan-Young;Jung, Sang-Joong;Kim, Jong-Jin;Kwon, Tae-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 2009
  • An local area weather condition monitoring system to minimize many disasters from the sudden change of weather condition in local and mountain area is proposed. Firstly, the comparison of present state of the related monitoring systems and the possibility of realization with some merits are investigated. Moreover, this paper present direction of local area weather condition monitoring system based on integration of wireless sensor network and CDMA network following some case study. Through the efficient integration of both networks, the measured weather condition data from sensors can be transmitted to the server or mobile to monitor with high reliability. The proposed monitoring system will guide new type of project in wireless sensor network and support alarm service of the sudden change of weather condition to mobile user from central official regulations.

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A Study on Detection and Monitoring in land creeping area by Using the UAV (무인기를 활용한 산지 땅밀림 피해지점 탐지 및 모니터링 방안 연구)

  • Seo, Jun-Pyo;Woo, Choong-Shik;Lee, Chang-Woo;Kim, Dong-Yeob
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.481-487
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    • 2018
  • This paper proposes a method to detect and monitor the land creeping area using a UAV to analyze the damaged area efficiently. Using a UAV, it was possible to secure the safety of the investigators before the field survey and effectively utilize it to establish an investigation plan because an orthophoto can be used to detect and scale the cracks in a land creeping area. In addition, it was possible to analyze the scale of the crack quantitatively by extracting the topographic information from the orthophoto. The study sites were found to have a total crack area of 1.01 ha, a length of 1.07 km, an average width of 10 m, and a step distance of 1 to 10 m. Periodic UAV measurements can be used to detect displacements on the land creeping area and monitor the direction and scale of crack spread. Therefore, it is expected to be used effectively during recovery planning. Applying the UAV to the land creeping area resulted in the qualitative and quantitative results quickly and easily in dangerous mountainous watersheds. Therefore, it is expected that it will contribute to the development of related industries because of the high availability of a UAV in forest soil sediment disasters, such as landslides, debris flow, and land creeping area.

A Study on Selection of Standard Scenarios in Korea for Climate Change (기후변화 표준 시나리오 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2010
  • One of the most important issues for projecting future water resources and establishing climate change adaptation strategies is 'uncertainty'. In Korea, climate change research results were very heterogeneous even in a same basin, but there have been few climate change studies dealt with the uncertainty reduction. This is because emission scenarios, GCMs, downscaling, and rainfall-runoff models that were used in the previous studies were almost all different. In this research, fifty one GCM scenarios based A and B emission scenarios were downloaded and then compared with the observed values for a period from January 2001 to December 2008. The downloaded GCM scenarios in general simulated well the observed but did not simulated well the observed precipitation especially for the flood season in Korea. The accuracy of each GCM scenario was measured with the model efficiency, PDF-based, and Relative Entropy methodology. Among the selected GCM scenarios with three methodologies, the four common GCM scenarios(CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, B1), MIROC3.2medress(NIES, B1), CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, A2), CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, A1B) were finally selected. Results of the four selected GCMs were heterogeneity and projected increases of precipitation for the Korean Peninsula by from 27.36% to 12.49%, respectively. It seems very risky to rely a water planning or a management policy on use of a single climate change scenario and from this research results. Therefore, the four selected GCM scenarios proposed quantitatively were considered firstly for the water supply in the dry season and the drought management strategy in the Korean Peninsula for the future.

A Preliminary Study on Micro-earthquakes Occurred from 2010 to 2017 in Busan, Korea (2010-2017년 부산지역의 미소 지진 예비 탐색)

  • Yoon, Soheon;Han, Jongwon;Won, Deokhee;Kang, Su Young;Ryoo, Yong Gyu;Kim, Kwang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.272-282
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    • 2019
  • Although the knowledge of current seismicity is a critical information for making and implementing effective earthquake-related policy, the detailed seismicity information of the metropolitan areas with high-population density has been largely underestimated due to the high-level of cultural noise and small earthquake magnitude. This study presents 12 earthquakes including 2 earthquakes previously known and 10 additional earthquakes occurred from 2010 to 2017 in Busan, but they were unreported by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Matched filter technique is used to detect micro-earthquakes. Although the epicenters of micro-earthquakes though present a distinguished linearity, a correlation with faults in the area is unknown. A repeated micro-seismicity suggests that there are subsurface structures responsible for observed events. If large earthquakes occur along the fault in Busan, they may cause catastrophic natural disasters. Given the fact that the recent earthquakes did not accompany any surface signatures, it is highly recommended that the current micro-seismicity be investigated, and updated seismicity information be incorporated into establishing active fault maps in Korea.

A Study on the Urban Inundation Flooding Forecasting According to the Water Level Conditions (내수위 조건에 따른 도시내수침수 예보에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Tai-ho;Choo, Yean-moon;Jeon, Hae-seong;Gwon, Chang-heon;Lee, Jae-gyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2019
  • The frequency of natural disasters and the scale of damage are increasing due to the abnormal weather phenomenon occurring all over the world. As a result, as the hydrological aspect of the urban watershed changes, the increase in impervious area leads to serious domestic flood damage due to increased rainfall. In order to minimize the damage of life and property, domestic flooding prediction system is needed. In this study, we developed a flood nomogram capable of predicting flooding only by rainfall intensity and duration. This study suggests a method to set the internal water immersion alarm criterion by analyzing the characteristics of the flooding damage in the flooded area in the metropolitan area where flooding is highly possible and the risk of flooding is high. In addition, based on the manhole and the pipe, the water level was set as follows under the four conditions. 1) When manhole overflows, 2) when manhole is full, 3) when 70% of the pipe is reached, and 4) when 60% of the pipe is reached. Therefore, it can be used as a criterion and a predictive measure to cope with the pre-preparation before the flooding starts, through the rainfall that causes the flooding and the flooding damage.

A study on the risk factors of the fishermen's in offshore large powered purse seine fishery using the accident compensation insurance proceeds payment data of NFFC (수협의 어선원 재해보상보험 자료를 이용한 대형선망어업 선원의 위험요인 연구)

  • CHOI, Jun-Ik;KIM, Hyung-Seok;LEE, Chun-Woo;OH, Taeg-Yun;SEO, Young-Il;LEE, Yoo-Won;RYU, Kyung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.82-93
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    • 2019
  • The International Labor Organization (ILO) selected fishing as the most dangerous group of jobs in the world, and it is well known in Korea as a 4D industry. Offshore large purse seine accounts for the largest portion of the fishing industry in the coastal region with high death rate and the accident rate. The repeated disaster rate survey by the Korea Maritime Institute (KMI) shows offshore large purse seiner is the highest at 22.3 percent and coastal gill nets and offshore stow net are following at 12.4 percent and 11.9 percent in order. Therefore, risk factors occurring in offshore large purse seiners were analyzed based on data from the National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives (NFFC) for three years from 2015 to 2017 and 4M (Man, Machine, Media, Management) 3E (Engineering, Education, Enforcement) techniques were used to provide a safe fishing environment. The number of accidents on offshore large purse seiners each year was more than 150, and the number of accidents on every fishing boats was as high as 17 percent in 2015. If the accident rate and the risk level were divided by insurance, the accident resulting from contact with machinery was the highest, and the risk of a contact with gear was low but frequently occurring. This was caused by collisions and contact with gear in situations where death and disappearance risk are not high, and accident types in situations where death and loss risk are considered to be contact with machinery, falls or other accidents. Through these analysis techniques, the frequency and risk of each type of accident on a offshore large purse seiners can be demonstrated, and it is expected to raise awareness of a safer fishing environment and contribute to the reduction of accidents.

Detection of Landslide-damaged Areas Using Sentinel-2 Image and ISODATA (Sentinel-2 영상과 자기조직화 분류기법을 활용한 산사태 피해지 탐지 - 2020년 곡성 산사태를 사례로 -)

  • KIM, Dae-Sun;LEE, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.253-265
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    • 2020
  • As the risk of landslide is recently increasing due to the typhoons and localized heavy rains, effective techniques for the landslide damage detection are required to support the establishment of the recovery planning. This study describes the analysis of landslide-damaged areas using ISODATA(Iterative Self-Organizing Data Analysis Technique Algorithm) with Sentinel-2 image, regarding the case of Gokseong in August 7, 2020. A total of 4.75 ha of landslide-damaged areas was detected from the Sentinel-2 image using spectral characteristics of red, NIR(Near Infrared), and SWIR(Shortwave Infrared) bands. We made sure that the satellite remote sensing is an effective method to detect the landslide-damaged areas and support the establishment of the recovery planning, followed by the field surveys that require a lot of manpower and time. Also, this study can be used as a reference for the landslide management for the CAS500-1/2(Compact Advanced Satellite) scheduled to launch in 2021 and the Korean Medium Satellite for Agriculture and Forestry scheduled to launch in 2024.

Analysis of Plate Motion Parameters in Southeastern South Korea using GNSS (GNSS를 활용한 한반도 동남권 지역의 지각 변동 파라미터 분석)

  • Lee, Seung Jun;Yun, Hong Sic
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.697-705
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with an analysis of crustal movement for the sourthern part of Korean peninsula using GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) data. An earthquake of more than 5.0 occurred in the southeastern region of the Korean Peninsula, and it is necessary to evaluate the risk of earthquakes in various ways.In order to reveal long-term tectonic movement patten in Pohang and Gyeongju provinces, we derived crustal movement parameters related with elastic theory. We used GAMIT/GLOBK for analyzing seven-year interval GNSS data of CORS (Continuously Operating Reference Stations). The azimuth of velocity vectors trended generally about 110° with an mean magnitude of 31mm/yr.The main characteristics of the strain change for seven-year in Korea obtaind from our study. Direction of the principal axis of the maximum compression is ENE-WSW as a whole, through there are some exceptions. The mean rate of the maximum shear strain change is (0.11±0.07)μ/yr, that is approximately one third that of Chubu district, Central Japan. Taking into account our results, the mean rate of maximum shear in southern part of Korean peninsula is considered as reasonable. The mean azimuth of principal strain is about (85.4°±26.8°). There are some exceptions of azimuth because the average azimuth differ from the left and right side in Yangsan fault which are about (73.2°±21.5°) and (105.2°±17.0°) respectively, It is noteworthy that the high seismicity areas in the southern part of Korea peninsula almost coincides with the area of large strain rate. As a conclusion, it could be stated that the our study represents the characteristics of crustal deformation in the southern part of peninsula, and contributes to the researches on earthquake disaster management.

Estimation of Potential Risk and Numerical Simulations of Landslide Disaster based on UAV Photogrammetry (무인 항공사진측량 정보를 기반으로 한 산사태 수치해석 및 위험도 평가)

  • Choi, Jae Hee;Choi, Bong Jin;Kim, Nam Gyun;Lee, Chang Woo;Seo, Jun Pyo;Jun, Byong Hee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.675-686
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    • 2021
  • This study investigated the ground displacement occurring in a slope below a waste-rock dumping site and estimated the likelihood of a disaster due to a landslide. To start with, photogrammetry was conducted by unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to investigate the size and extent of the ground displacement. From April 2019 to July 2020, the average error rate of the five UAV surveys was 0.011-0.034 m, and an elevation change of 2.97 m occurred due to the movement of the soil layer. Only some areas of the slope showedelevation change, and this was believed to be due to thegroundwater generated during rainfall rather than the effect of the waste-rock load at the top. Sensitivity analysis for LS-RAPID simulation was performed, and the simulation results were compared and analyzed by applying a digital elevation model (DEM) and a digital surface model (DSM)as terrain data with 10 m, 5 m, and 4 m grids. When data with high spatial resolution were used, the extent of the sedimentation of landslide material tended to be excessively expanded in the DEM. In contrast, in the result of applying a DSM, which reflects the topography in detail, the diffusion range was not significantly affected even when the spatial resolution was changed, and the sedimentation behavior according to the river shape could be accurately expressed. As a result, it was concluded that applying a DSM rather than a DEM does not significantly expand the sedimentation range, and results that reflect the site situation well can be obtained.