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해외기업인수(海外企業引受)의 전략적(戰略的) 의의(意義) 및 주가(株價)에 미치는 영향(影響)

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chan
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.271-293
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    • 1992
  • 연구에서는 해외기업 인수의 생존전략가설(生存戰略假說)(Shapiro,1989)을 $1986{\sim}1991$년까지 해외기업을 인수한 30개 국내 인수기업의 주식수익률 자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. 해외기업 인수에 관한 정보의 공시가, 전체표본(全體標本)의 경우, 국내 인수기업의 주식가격에 중립적이거나 혹은 부정적인 효과를 가져다 주었다. 또한, 국내 인수기업중에서 외국기업을 인수해야 할 긴박성의 정도에 따라 전체표본을 성장기업(成長企業)과 한계기업(限界企業)으로 분리하여 각 표본을 대상으로 인수에 관한 정보의 공시가 주가(株價)에 미치는 효과를 분석하였다. 소표본의 분석 결과에 따르면, 성장기업의 경우는 초과수익률이 통계적으로 0에 가까운 중립적인 반응을 보였으며, 한계기업의 경우는 통계적으로 유의한 마이너스 초과수익률을 나타내어 생존전략 가설을 확인시켜 주었다. 따라서, 국내기업에 의한 해외기업 인수는 국제화를 통해 초과수익을 추구하기 위한 전략이라기 보다는, 국내 및 국제시장에서 살아남기 위한 생존전략의 한 방안으로 추진된다고 결론지을 수 있다.

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시계열분석(時系列分析)에 의한 주식수익율(株式收益率) 변동성(變動性)의 예측(豫測)

  • Park, Dong-Gyu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.343-367
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    • 1992
  • 이 연구는 시계열분석(時系列分析)에 의해 주식수익율(株式收益率)의 변동성(變動性)을 예측하는 모델을 개발하고 그것에 의해 도출된 예측치(豫測値)의 실제변동성(實際變動性)에 대한 예측력(豫測力)을 미국의 주식시장자료를 사용하여 검증 비교하였다. 구체적으로 수익률변동성에 대한 (1) 역사적(歷史的) 변동성(變動性), (2) ARMAX 예측치(豫測値), (3) GARCH 예측치(豫測値) 등이 도출되고 그것들의 예측력이 통계적 비교와 회귀분석 등의 여러차원의 평가기준에 의해서 비교된다. 실증결과에 따르면 선택된 독립변수들에 근거한 ARMAX 예측치가 다른 예측치들 보다 모든 평가기준에서 우수한 예측력을 보였다. GARCH 예측치는 기대와는 달리 만족스러운 예측력을 보여주지 못했다. 본 연구에서 예측력이 실증된 ARMAX 예측치를 다양한 옵션가격결정모형의 변동성투입요소로 사용하는 것은 보다 정확한 옵션의 이론가격을 도출하는 데 크게 기여할 것이다. 또한, 이 논문의 실증결과는 각종의 자산가격결정이론, 수익률분포이론 등의 학문적 분야 뿐만 아니라 주식수익률 변동성의 동향이 일반투자자들의 투자전략에 결정적 영향을 미친다는 점에서 실무적인 관점에서도 시사하는 바가 크다고 할 것이다.

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우리나라 재벌기업의 소유구조 결정요인

  • Jeong, Gyun-Hwa
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.339-368
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    • 1998
  • 우리나라 재벌기업은 소유집중에 의한 소유경영과 비관련사업다각화를 경영의 특징으로 하고 있으며 정부는 경제력집중의 완화와 재벌기업의 경쟁력 제고를 위하여 공정거래법 등을 통하여 소유분산과 업종전문화를 지속적으로 추진해 왔다. 본 연구는 이러한 정부의 재벌정책에 방향을 제시코자 재벌기업의 기업지배형태를 고찰하고 30대 재벌기업의 1997년 자료를 이용하여 그룹차원과 개별기업차원으로 나누어 재벌기업의 소유구조 결정요인을 실증적으로 분석하였다. 분석 결과 그룹차원에서 소유구조결정요인은 상장비중을 제외하고는 뚜렷한 요인이 식별되지 않아 그룹차원에서는 대주주가 지분관리를 하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 개별 기업차원에서는, 먼저 대주주의 총지분은 개별기업의 특성과는 거의 무관하게 결정되는 것으로 나타났으나, 개인의 지분은 상장후 경과년수 및 기업규모와 부의 유의적인 관계를 나타내었으며 법인지분은 기업규모와는 무관하나 상장후 경과년수와는 오히려 정의 유의적인 관계를 보였다. 또한 주력기업에 대하여는 대주주가 개인지분을 높게 유지하려는 경향이 있음도 드러났다. 또한 총지분을 종속변수로 사용한 경우의 모형의 설명력이 개인지분이나 법인지분을 종속변수로 사용한 경우에 비해 현저히 낮게 나타나 향후의 소유구조 결정요인에 대한 연구에 있어서 종속변수로서 총지분을 사용하고자 하려면 면밀한 사전분석이 필요함이 시사되었다.

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엘살바도르 주요 항만의 항만개발 F/S 및 기본계획수립 사례

  • Lee, Ji-Hun;Lee, Jung-U
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.84-86
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 해양수산부가 지원하는 해외항만개발협력사업의 일환으로, 중미국가인 엘살바도르 주요 2개항의 항만개발 타당성조사 및 기본계획 수립을 목적으로 하되 장래 해외항만개발사업에서 참고할 수 있도록 정리하였다. 주요 내용으로는 국가 일반현황 및 지역분석, 인프라 현황 분석, 시장조사 및 물동량 수요추정, 항만 개발규모 및 중장기 개발방향 제시, 경제성 및 재무성 분석을 통해 수원국에 필요한 국가 상위계획 자료를 제공하는 것이며, 연구결과가 계획에만 그치지 않도록 사업시행을 위한 재원조달 방안 및 항만 활성화 방안 등 실질적 사업현실화 방안을 제시하였다.

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Bankruptcy Prediction using Fuzzy Neural Networks (퍼지신경망을 이용한 기업부도예측)

  • 김경재;한인구
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.135-147
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    • 2001
  • This study proposes bankruptcy prediction model using fuzzy neural networks. Neural networks offer preeminent learning ability but they are often confronted with the inconsistent and unpredictable performance for noisy financial data. The existence of continuous data and large amounts of records may pose a challenging task to explicit concepts extraction from the raw data due to the huge data space determined by continuous input variables. The attempt to solve this problem is to transform each input variable in a way which may make it easier fur neural network to develop a predictive relationship. One of the methods selected for this is to map each continuous input variable to a series of overlapping fuzzy sets. Appropriately transforming each of the inputs into overlapping fuzzy membership sets provides an isomorphic mapping of the data to properly constructed membership values, and as such, no information is lost. In addition, it is easier far neural network to identify and model high-order interactions when the data is transformed in this way. Experimental results show that fuzzy neural network outperforms conventional neural network for the prediction of corporate bankruptcy.

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Effect of Cash flow on the R&D investment of Pharmaceutical Companies - focused on KOSDAQ market (제약회사의 현금흐름이 연구개발투자에 미치는 영향 -코스닥시장을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Munjae;Choi, Mankyu
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.473-480
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the influence of the cash flow of pharmaceutical companies on R&D investment. 143 pharmaceutical companies listed in the KOSDAQ market from 2009 to 2013. Financial statements and comments in general and internal transactions were extracted from TS-2000 of the Korea Listed Company Association (KLCA), and data related to stock price was extracted from KISVALUE-III of NICE Information Service Co., Ltd. STATA 12.0 was used as the statistical package for panel analysis. The summary of the findings and the interpretation of the significance of this are as follows: First, the current ratio (internal finance) had a positive influence on R&D investment. Second, the debt ratio (external finance) had a negative influence on R&D investment. The pharmaceutical company prefers internal funds to external funds due to the asymmetry of information in the loan markets. In other words, this shows why internal finances have a significant influence on R&D investment at pharmaceutical companies.

An Empirical Study on the Variable Rate Deposit Insurance Premium in Korea (변동예금보험료율의 부과에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.279-304
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    • 2003
  • This study presents some empirical results on variable rate deposit insurance premium in Korea. The study estimates deposit insurance premium for all insured financial institutions in Korea using Ronn and Verma(1986) model which is based on Merton(1977)'s option pricing model. The sample period is 1995-2001 and the study includes trend analysis and cross-sectional analysis for premium estimation. The study also includes the correlation analysis between the estimates and profitability and capitalvariables such as BIS capital ratios, ROE and ROA. The results show that the estimates differ across financial institutions and sample periods. Thus it supports that each deposit premium should reflect its own risks. It also supports the necessity for the system of variable rate deposit insurance premium.

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A Neural Network Approach to Compare Predictive Value of Accounting Versus Market Data (신경망 접근법을 이용한 회계자료와 시장자료의 미래예측력 비교)

  • Kim, Choong-Nyoung;Jun, Sang-gyung;Kinsun Tam
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2004
  • This research compares the use of accounting data versus market data in the prediction of bankruptcy. Comparison is made through neural networks so that prediction accuracy is model-independent. Results of this study indicate that both market and accounting data provide useful information on corporate bankruptcies. Interestingly, using market and accounting information together can achieve substantial gain in prediction accuracy.

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The Effects of the High-tech Manufacturing Ventures' External Collaborations on the Management Performance: Focusing on the Mediation Effect of Internal Core Competencies (첨단제조 벤처기업의 외부적 협력활동 경험이 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 내부 핵심역량의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Younghun;Song, Eugene
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.69-84
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    • 2021
  • As industrial structural changes in the 4th Industrial Revolution have recently led to the need for fostering high-tech industries and high-tech manufacturing industries have been showing high value-added creation, the importance of high-tech manufacturing ventures has increased a lot as well. As a result of this, the government is actively supporting and fostering them. However, it appears that high-tech manufacturing ventures seem to have a lot of difficulty in securing competitive advantages due to the lack of internal core competencies and experience in the rapidly changing international economic conditions. In order for high-tech manufacturing ventures to strengthen internal core competencies, external collaborations with other companies or institutions which have diverse experience, technology skills and abundant resources are actively promoted. Accordingly, based on resource-based theory and transaction cost theory, the authors analyzed the effects of the high-tech manufacturing ventures'external collaborations on internal core competencies and management performance in this study. In order to verify the hypothesis of this study, the 2020 data on"The Research on the Precision Status of Ventures'compiled by the Ministry of SMEs and Startups since 1999 were utilized. According to the results of this study, the experience of external collaborations had a positive impact on the internal core competencies and non-financial management performance, while there was no direct impact on financial management performance. Moreover, the relationship between the experience of external collaborations and management performance is mediated by the internal core competencies. Additionally, it was found that the internal core competencies positively affected both non-financial and financial management performances, and non-financial management performance again had a significant impact on the financial management performance. Finally, the experience of external collaborations had a positive impact on both development, manufacturing, and marketing factors forming the internal core competencies. However, the impacts of individual factors were different in the management performance. Development and marketing factors were shown to have a significant impact on both non-financial and financial management performance, while the manufacturing factor had a significant impact only on financial management performance.

Analyzing the effectiveness of public R&D subsidies on private R&D expenditure (정부보조금의 민간연구개발투자에 대한 효과분석)

  • Kim, Ho;Kim, Byung Keun
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.649-674
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of public R&D subsidies on private R&D. We have analyzed rationales for the public R&D subsidy from different perspectives. On the basis of literature review, a two step research model is constructed: participation phase (when firms benefit from public subsidies) and decision phase (when firms make decision on additional R&D investments). Using propensity score matching(PSM) method, we compare the potential outcome of the treated group to a matched controlled group of non-subsidized firms. The data used in this paper was collected from various sources. The Korean Innovation Survey 2008(manufacturing sector) is a main source of data. Financial data such as revenue, asset and capital stock, and number of employees were supplemented from the Nice Information Service KIS Value database. The R&D survey, conducted by MEST(Ministry of Education, Science and Technology) each year, was also used for the R&D expenditures of the manufacturing firms. This study comes up with the following empirical results. First, a firm's innovation capability, financial constraints, and sector appear to influence the selection of firms who were benefited from government's financial supports for R&D. Second, empirical results show that public R&D funding complements private investment on average and appear to have perpetual effects on the following year. Finally, sectoral difference in the effect of public subsidies on firms' R&D investment was confirmed. In addition, SMEs show more positive effects than large firms.

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