• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재무상황

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An Empirical Study on the Contrian Strategy's Abnormal Returns and Systematic Risk Change (반전거래전략의 투자성과와 체계적 위험의 변화에 관한 실증연구)

  • Woo, Choon-Sik;Kwak, Jae-Su다
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.67-89
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    • 2000
  • 반전거래전략의 투자성과와 체계적 위험의 관계를 분석한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 시장모형과 Ibbotson(1975)의 RATS 모형을 이용하여 형성기간과 검증기간의 베타계수를 측정한 결과 체계적 위험의 변동가설에서 예견하는 것과 일치하는 결과를 발견할 수 있었다. 승자 포트폴리오의 베타계수는 검증기간에서 하락하는 한편 패자 포트폴리오와 차익 포트폴리오의 베타계수는 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, RATS 모형을 이용하여 검증기간의 비정상수익률을 측정한 결과, 차익 포트폴리오의 경우 시장조정수익률 모형을 이용할 때의 월평균비정상수익률(1.32%)보다 작은 0.87%(t=3.153)이었다. 이러한 결과는 반대거래전략의 투자성과가 체계적 위험의 변화에 기인하는 증거로서 의미를 갖는다. 한편 형성기간과 검증기간에서 베타계수와 월평균비정상수익률의 변화를 분석한 결과 베타계수와 월평균비정상수익률이 동일 방향으로 변화하였던 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 반전거래전략의 투자성과가 체계적 위험의 변화에 기인하는지를 검증하기 위하여 Chan (1988)의 모형을 이용하여 체계적 위험과 시장위험프리미엄의 관계를 분석한 결과, Chan(1988)이 주장한 것처럼, 패자 포트폴리오와 차익 포트폴리오의 경우 베타계수와 시장위험프리미엄 사이에 양(+)의 상관관계가, 그리고 승자 포트폴리오의 경우에는 음(-)의 상관관계가 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 넷째, Chan(1988)이 주장한 것처럼, 체계적 위험과 시장위험프리미엄의 변화 관계가 시장상황에 따라 영향을 받는지를 검증하기 위하여 활황시장과 침체시장으로 분류하여 각 시장상황에 따라 베타계수를 추정하였다. 추정결과에 의하면, 패자 포트폴리오의 베타계수는 활황시장에서 1.0967(t=13.018), 침체시장에서 1.0883(t=15.310)을 보였으며, 승자 포트폴리오의 베타계수는 활황시장에서 0.9468(t=9.100), 침체시장에서 0.9086 (t=7.431)을 보였다. 다시 말하여 패자 포트폴리오의 베타계수는 시장상황에 따라 거의 차이를 보이지 않았지만, 승자 포트폴리오의 베타계수는 침체시장보다 활황시장에서 크게 나타남으로써 체계적 위험 변동가설과 일치하는 결과를 보였다.

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Influence of Overseas Construction Business on Construction Companies' Financial Stability (해외건설사업이 건설업체 재무적 안정성에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Cho, Kyu-Su;Lee, Sang-Hyo;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2013
  • The changes in business structure of domestic construction companies suggest that there is a close relationship between the volume of overseas project and a company's financial condition. Based on this assumption, this study conducts an empirical analysis on a relationship between overseas project and financial stability of a construction company. The ratio of liquidity and liability was used as liquidity index and stability index respectively. The analysis was based on quarterly time-series data between 2000 and 2010. Two models were constructed for the analysis: Model 1 was based on the liquidity ratio and the amount of domestic and overseas construction project; Model 2 was based on the debt ratio and the amount of domestic and overseas construction project. The analysis results showed that the increasing amount of overseas project facilitated short-term financing with greater liquidity, and yet it was not very effective in lowering the debt ratio. This suggests that the dramatic increase in overseas construction project, which is observed recently, is not entirely an optimistic sign.

An Empirical Study on the Risk Index of Korean Securities Industry (우리나라 증권산업의 위험지수 작성에 관한 실증연구)

  • Chang, Kook-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.131-153
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    • 2008
  • This paper calculates the Risk Index of Korean securities industry that summarizes the information contained in seventeen financial indicators that represent risk categories such as capital adequacy(C), asset quality(A), earnings(E), and liquidity(L) by using the NBER statistical methodology. For the validation of Risk Index, expected default frequency has been used, and the result has been proved to be positive. According to the compiled Risk Index, the level of risks of Korean securities industry has been decreasing from the second quarter of 2003 to the first quarter of 2006 by 22 percent. But the risk has been increasing during the periods from the first quarter of 2002 to the first quarter of 2003 and from the first quarter of 2006 to the last quarter of 2006.

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The Effect of Optimistic Investors' Sentiment on Anomalious Behaviors in the Hot Market IPOs (낙관적 투자자의 기대가 핫마켓상황 IPO 시장의 이상현상에 미치는 영향력 검증)

  • Kim, Hyeon-A;Jung, Sung-Chang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.1-33
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    • 2010
  • This study explores if the higher initial returns and the poorer long-run performance observed in the IPOs markets are associated with the firms offered in the 'hot markets,' and then empirically examines the effect of optimistic investors' sentiment on this phenomenon, particularly in the aspects of both pricing mechanism and the opportunistic behavior of offering firms. We analyzed a total of 432 IPO firms for the years between 2001 and 2005. This analysis finds that the initial returns and long-run under-performances of 'IPOs in the hot market' are significantly higher than those of 'IPOs in the cold market.' This study also finds that the proxy variables for the optimistic investors' sentiment have a positive effect on the initial return and negative effect on the long-run performance. Finally, this research finds no difference of ownership structure, venture capital backed, and financial properties between hot market IPOs and cold market IPOs. R&D expenditure rate and financial qualities of IPOs are higher in the hot market than in the cold market. These results do not support the 'windows of opportunity' hypothesis that low quality firms take advantage of hot market condition for successful IPOs.

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The Study on the Risk Predict Method and Government Funds Supporting for Small and Medium Enterprises (로짓분석을 통한 중소기업 정책자금 지원의 위험예측력에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Chang-Yeoul;Ham, Hyung-Bum
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2009
  • Prior bankruptcy studies have established that bankrupt firm's pre-filing financial ratios are different from those of healthy firms or of randomly selected going concerns. However, they may not be sufficiently different from the financial ratios of other firms in financial distress to allow the development of a ratio-based model that predicts bankruptcy with reasonable accuracy. As the result, in the multiple discriminant model, independent variables divided firms into bankrupt firms and healthy firms are retained earnings to total asset, receivable turnover, net income to sales, financial expenses, inventory turnover, owner's equity to total asset, cash flow to current liability, and current asset to current liability. Moreover four variables Retained earnings to total asset, net income to sales, total asset turnover, owner's equity to total asset indicate that these valuables classify bankrupt firms and distress firms. On the other hand, Owner's Equity to borrowed capital, Ordinary income to Net Sales, Operating Income to Total Asset, Total Asset Turnover and Inventory Turnover are selected to predict bankruptcy possibility in the Logistic regression model.

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Analysis of Newly Married Couples' Financial Position and Divorce: Focusing on the Household Debt (신혼가구의 재무상태와 이혼 : 부채를 중심으로)

  • Yang, Eun Mo;Bae, Ho Joong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.23-53
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to examine how newly married couple's financial position influence the decision of divorce by using data from the Korea Labor and Income Panel Study (KLIPS). In particular, we closely examine the period between marriage and divorce for the households married since 2000. As a measure of household financial position, we focus on hosing debts because it can be considered as one of the most important factors for newly married couples. The key findings are as follows. First of all, age for marriage, age gaps between husband and wife and education level have a vital influence on the decision of divorce. In addition, in general, the household debts have decisive and negative effects on the future divorce decision. Especially, not only high absolute amount of debt but also high relative debt to household total income bring about a decision of divorce. The findings of this study suggest that systematic debt relief policies for newly married couples would be needed to build healthy family.

The Effects of Enterprise Value and Corporate Tax on Credit Evaluation Based on the Corporate Financial Ratio Analysis (기업 재무비율 분석을 토대로 기업가치 및 법인세가 신용평가에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoo, Joon-soo
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.95-115
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    • 2019
  • In the context of today's business environment, not only is the nation or company's credit rating considered very important in our recent society, but it is also becoming important in international transactions. Likewise, at this point of time when the importance and reliability of credit evaluation are becoming important at home and abroad, this study analyzes financial ratios related to corporate profitability, safety, activity, financial growth, and profit growth to study the impact of financial indicators on enterprise value and corporate taxes on credit evaluation. To proceed with this, the financial ratio of 465 companies of KOSPI securities listed in 2017 was calculated and the impact of enterprise value and corporate taxes on credit evaluation was analyzed. Especially, this further study tried to derive a reliable and consistent conclusion by analyzing the financial data of KOSPI securities listed companies for eight years from 2011, which is the first year of K-IFRS introduction, to 2018. Research has shown that the significance levels among variables that show the profitability, safety, activity, financial growth, and profit growth of each financial ratio were significant at the 99% level, except for the profit growth. Validation of the research hypothesis found that while the profitability of KOSPI-listed companies significantly affects corporate value and income tax, indicators such as safety ratio and growth ratio do not significantly affect corporate value and income tax. Activity ratio resulted in significant effects on the value of enterprise value but not significant impacts on income taxes. In addition, it was found that the enterprise value has a significant effect on the company's credit and corporate income taxes, and that corporate income taxes also have a significant effect on the corporate credit evaluation, and this also shows that there is a mediating function of corporate tax. And as a result of further study, when looking at the financial ratio for eight years from 2011 to 2018, it was found that two variables, KARA and LTAX, are significant at a 1% significant level to KISC, whereas LEVE variables is not significant to KISC. The limitation of this study is that credit rating score and financial score cannot be said to be reliable indicators that investors in the capital market can normally obtain, compared to ranking criteria for corporate bonds or corporate bills directly related to capital procurement costs of enterprise. Above all, it is necessary to develop credit rating score and financial score reflecting financial indicators such as business cash flow or net assets market value and non-financial indicators such as industry growth potential or production efficiency.

Effect of Entrepreneurial Characteristics and Market Characteristics of Small Business Owners on Business Performance With the Mediation of Digital Literacy (소상공인의 창업가특성과 시장특성이 디지털 리터러시를 매개로 사업성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Ji Min;Kang, Hee Kyung
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2021
  • Currently, small business owners are facing a situation where it is difficult to run their business in the existing way due to the spread of digital technology and the prolonged COVID-19. As a necessary competency for them, this study focused on digital literacy and examined the relationship between digital literacy and individual and market characteristics, business performance of small business owners. The specific research purpose is to examine the effect of entrepreneurial characteristics, which are individual factors, and market characteristics, which are environmental factors, on business performance and the mediating effect of digital literacy. In previous studies, various factors explaining the business performance of small business owners were reviewed, and innovation and self-determination, which are entrepreneurial characteristics of small business owners, and market competition and growth were derived as independent variables, and financial and non-financial performance were set as dependent variables. The hypothesis was established as digital literacy was expected to play a role in mediating the relationship between independent and dependent variables. For empirical research, a survey was conducted on small business owners across the country, and the analysis results are summarized as follows. It was found that the innovation and self-determination of small business owners had a positive (+) significant effect on financial and non-financial performance. In addition, it was confirmed that the degree of competition in the market had no significant effect on financial and non-financial performance, and that the growth of the market had a significant positive (+) effect on financial and non-financial performance. In the case of the mediating effect of digital literacy, it was confirmed that innovation had a partial mediating effect on non-financial performance, and digital literacy had a complete mediating effect on the effect of market competition on financial and non-financial performance. Finally, it was confirmed that digital literacy has a partial mediating effect on the effect of market growth on non-financial performance. Looking at the results, it can be seen that the entrepreneurial characteristics of small business owners, which correspond to innovation and self-determination, directly act as a factor to increase business performance, and market characteristics indirectly increase digital literacy to achieve results. Based on the above research results, the implications and limitations of the study and future research directions were presented together.

A Study on Determinants of Venture Capital Investments During Economic Booms and Busts (경제 호황과 후퇴의 시기에 벤처캐피탈 투자 의사결정요인 비교연구)

  • Kim, Jinsoo;Park, Ji-Hoon;Lee, Sang-Myung
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2024
  • Recently, venture capital investment has been shrinking globally due to high interest rates and economic slowdown. Korea is no exception. Due to the downturn in the M&A and public markets, increasing economic uncertainty, and the aftermath of corporate bankruptcies, venture capitalists are facing many difficulties in raising funds. In the changed economic environment, the investment decision factors of venture capitalists have also changed. However, studies on VCs' investment decisions have focused on the general economic environment. This study examines how VCs' investment decision-making factors change during economic recessions and booms. To this end, we interviewed active investors who have experienced both economic recessions and booms to compare how VCs' investment decision factors change: 1) personal characteristics of founders, 2) experience of founders, 3) product/service, 4) market, 5) financial situation, 6) contract terms and 7) venture capital co-investment. The results showed that founder's personal characteristics, experience, and product/service were more important during the economic recession. Market is slightly more important during economic booms. The importance of financial situation and investment conditions increased sharply during the recession compared to the boom. Finally, venture capital co-investment did not differ significantly between recessions and booms. By understanding the investment decision-making factors of venture capitalists in the recent difficult venture investment environment, this study aims to help startups raise funds and survive in a difficult market.

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Relationship between Net working capital and Cash flows in General Hospitals, Hospitals (병원의 현금흐름 종류가 순운전자본에 미치는 영향)

  • Jung, Yong-Mo;Ha, Au-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.312-318
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    • 2017
  • This study calculated the cash flow using the financial information by fiscal year for 25 general hospitals and 23 hospitals, and analyzed the relationship between cash flow and net working capital. The analysis results showed that 73.3% of general hospitals and 83.3% of hospitals did not secure funds required for operating activities by fiscal year. The cash flow types that affect net working capital were expenses not involving cash outflows and changes in borrowings in general hospitals, and expenses not involving cash outflows and income not involving cash inflows and changes in borrowings in hospitals. However, in case of shortage of funds required for operating activities, at general hospital, due to expenses not involving cash outflows being high and income not involving cash inflows being low and resulting in increased borrowing, at hospital, due to expenses not involving cash outflows being high and resulting in increased borrowing. Therefore, for the stability of cash flow in management activities, the adequacy and relevance of the expenses not involving cash outflows need to be reviewed, and it will be necessary to review the appropriate internal policy measures to systematically and rationally manage cash flow in consideration of cash flows.