• Title/Summary/Keyword: 장기모델링

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Redefinition of the Original Benchmark Height using Long-term Tide Observations Analysis and GPS Levelling Methods (장기간 조위관측자료 분석과 GPS 수준측량 수준원점 성과 재정의)

  • Jung, Tae-Jun;Yoon, Hong-Sic;Hwang, Jin-Sang;Lee, Dong-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we suggested the period of tide observations is proper to calculate the mean sea level(MSL) precisely on Incheon tide station using wavelet analysis, and newly determined then the vertical reference surface of Korea using the calculated MSL. In order to calculate the height difference between the calculated MSL and specific ground station (ICGP) near the Incheon tide stations, we performed the laser measurements directly to the sea surface where located below ICGP. The orthometric-height of ICGP was determined that corrected the height difference to the calculated MSL using linear interpolation method. Finally, we connected the orthometric-height of ICGP with the original benchmark (ORBM) using GPS leveling methods for determining the new orthometric-height of ORBM. As the results, there is a variation amount of 0.026m between the new MSL was calculated in this study and old MSL was calculated in 1910's. Also, there is a difference of 0.035m between the new and old orthometric-heights of ORBM. The connection (or leveling) error of 0.009m was revealed in new orthometric height of ORBM with consideration of MSL variation which may caused by the error of GPS ellipsoid height and/or geoid model. In this study, we could be determined precisely the orthometric-height of ORBM based on the new MSL of Incheon Bay using only GPS leveling method, not a spirit leveling method. Therefore, it is necessary to determine the vertical datum strictly using long-term and continuously tide observations more than 19 years and to use the GPS leveling method widely in the height leveling work for the effective changeover from the orthonormal to the orthometric in national height system.

Development of the Retrieval System of Information Flow for a Large-scale and Complex Construction Project using Information Transfer Relationship on Business Process (업무 정보전달관계를 이용한 대형복합건설사업의 정보흐름 색시스템 개발)

  • Shin, Jinho;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Park, Moonseo;Yu, Jung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.84-93
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    • 2012
  • The information generated from large and complex construction projects transfer and evolve in long-term business cycle. Therefore, while there is any problem, such as delay, the cause of the problem might relate to the previous business process rather than where it arises. However, for complex project players and business relationships, it is unsuitable to search an information flow using traditional retrieval methods. This research addresses a relationship-based information search system to analyze the information flow in large-scale and complex construction projects. First, we identified the components of the information retrieval system customizing for a large-scale complex construction projects, and then developed the inference algorithm which define the relationship between business processes. For the validation, we applied the system on a business information system of urban regeneration projects and suggested some application using information flow retrieval system for project players and project managers. Using the system, players are easy to prepare for their work process and managers can define the causal flow of the problem.

Preliminary Hydrological Design for Sand Dam Installation at the Valley of Seosang-ri, Chuncheon (춘천 서상리 계곡부 샌드댐 설치를 위한 수문학적 예비 설계)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Lee, Jeongwoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.725-733
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    • 2019
  • Sand dams are structures that can be used as auxiliary water resources in case of drought as sand accumulates due to barriers crossing valley rivers and valley water is stored in the voids, increasing the water level. This structure, which is mainly used in arid regions such as Africa, has not been installed in Korea. In Korea, there are only a few cases where water is taken from debris barriers that prevent debris flow. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of water supply when the sand dam is installed downstream of the existing intake barrier in Seosang-ri valley, Chuncheon. For this purpose, modeling was performed by linking the basin hydrologic model and reservoir routing model. Changes in the water level, storage and discharge in the sand dam reservoir according to the size and intake of the sand dam are presented on a case-by-case basis. As a result of application, it was found that the water supply capacity due to the sand dam installation was improved at 95% reliability. Especially, when the size is L × B × Ho = 25 m × 15 m × 1 m and the pumping rates from intake barrier and sand dam are (Q1, Q2) = (30, 20), (35, 15) ㎥/day, the efficiency was the best for water supply of 50 ㎥/day.

Fuzzy Analysis of Consciousness Structure of Administrator for Determinative of Care Service Quality (요양서비스 질 결정요인에 대한 관리자의 의식구조 퍼지분석)

  • Jang, Yun-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.232-237
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this study is to structuralize a model of the factors determining the quality of nursing care perceived by the director or manager of a long-term care facilities (hospitalization of patients) using FSM(Fuzzy Structural Modeling), employed in structuralizing social systems. The results were as follows: first, quality in the top tier was shown to be connected with job commitment, commitment to the organization, work experience, care skills, knowledge about the elderly, training and education, which are factors in the middle tier; and second, the structure of the middle tier (job commitment, commitment to the organization, work experience, care skills, knowledge about the elderly, training and education) either showed a connection with the lower tier, which includes employment type, job satisfaction, leadership, relationship with users and workplace relationships, or showed a connection among the factors within. These results confirmed the following: first, care skills and knowledge about the elderly, which demonstrate the job expertise of caregivers, showed a connection with service quality based on work experience; second, job commitment in the middle tier was observed to affect various factors in the same tier such as care skills, knowledge about the elderly, training and education amongst others, and it was determined that it is an important determining factor in service quality. Lastly, a meaningful result was shown in relation to leadership. The leadership skills of the director of the facilities had a connection with the care caregivers' commitment to the organization, which had a connection with service quality. This structure showed the kind of role the director must play in order to improve service quality.

Retrieval of Land Surface Temperature Using Landsat 8 Images with Deep Neural Networks (Landsat 8 영상을 이용한 심층신경망 기반의 지표면온도 산출)

  • Kim, Seoyeon;Lee, Soo-Jin;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.487-501
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    • 2020
  • As a viable option for retrieval of LST (Land Surface Temperature), this paper presents a DNN (Deep Neural Network) based approach using 148 Landsat 8 images for South Korea. Because the brightness temperature and emissivity for the band 10 (approx. 11-㎛ wavelength) of Landsat 8 are derived by combining physics-based equations and empirical coefficients, they include uncertainties according to regional conditions such as meteorology, climate, topography, and vegetation. To overcome this, we used several land surface variables such as NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), land cover types, topographic factors (elevation, slope, aspect, and ruggedness) as well as the T0 calculated from the brightness temperature and emissivity. We optimized four seasonal DNN models using the input variables and in-situ observations from ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) to retrieve the LST, which is an advanced approach when compared with the existing method of the bias correction using a linear equation. The validation statistics from the 1,728 matchups during 2013-2019 showed a good performance of the CC=0.910~0.917 and RMSE=3.245~3.365℃, especially for spring and fall. Also, our DNN models produced a stable LST for all types of land cover. A future work using big data from Landsat 5/7/8 with additional land surface variables will be necessary for a more reliable retrieval of LST for high-resolution satellite images.

Sequential Bayesian Updating Module of Input Parameter Distributions for More Reliable Probabilistic Safety Assessment of HLW Radioactive Repository (고준위 방사성 폐기물 처분장 확률론적 안전성평가 신뢰도 제고를 위한 입력 파라미터 연속 베이지안 업데이팅 모듈 개발)

  • Lee, Youn-Myoung;Cho, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.179-194
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    • 2020
  • A Bayesian approach was introduced to improve the belief of prior distributions of input parameters for the probabilistic safety assessment of radioactive waste repository. A GoldSim-based module was developed using the Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm and implemented through GSTSPA (GoldSim Total System Performance Assessment), a GoldSim template for generic/site-specific safety assessment of the radioactive repository system. In this study, sequential Bayesian updating of prior distributions was comprehensively explained and used as a basis to conduct a reliable safety assessment of the repository. The prior distribution to three sequential posterior distributions for several selected parameters associated with nuclide transport in the fractured rock medium was updated with assumed likelihood functions. The process was demonstrated through a probabilistic safety assessment of the conceptual repository for illustrative purposes. Through this study, it was shown that insufficient observed data could enhance the belief of prior distributions for input parameter values commonly available, which are usually uncertain. This is particularly applicable for nuclide behavior in and around the repository system, which typically exhibited a long time span and wide modeling domain.

Flow Calibration and Validation of Daechung Lake Watershed, Korea Using SWAT-CUP (SWAT-CUP을 이용한 대청호 유역 장기 유출 유량 보정 및 검증)

  • Lee, Eun-Hyoung;Seo, Dong-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.9
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    • pp.711-720
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    • 2011
  • SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model was calibrated for the flow rate of the Deachung lake with a large area of 3108.29 $km^2$. Application of SWAT model requires significant number of input data and is prone to result in uncertainties due to errors in input data, model structure and model parameters. The SUFI-2 (Sequential Uncertainty Fitting Ver. 2) program and GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation) program in SWAT-CUP (SWAT-Calibration and Uncertainty Program) are used to select the best parameters for SWAT model. Optimal combination of parameter values was determined through 2,000 iterative SWAT model runs. The Nash-Sutcliffe values and $R^2$ values were 0.87 and 0.89 respectively indicating both methods show good agreements with observed data successfully. RMSE and MSE values also showed similar results for both programs. It seems the SWAT-CUP has a great practical appeal for parameter optimization especially for large basin area and it also can be used for less experienced SWAT model users.

An Effect of Concreteness and Fairness of Service Contract on Performance of Service Provider in Logistics Outsourcing (물류계약 조항의 구체성과 공정성이 물류기업의 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jin-Su;Song, Sang-Hwa
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.129-153
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    • 2012
  • Even though logistics service outsourcing becomes widespread in manufacturing and service industries, logistics service providers encounter fierce competition and lower profit. Decreased profit has negative impact on service providers' competitiveness, which in turn threats successful relationship with shippers. In this paper, we investigate the factors which influence the performance of service providers. Factors related to service contract are examined and we test an effect of concreteness and fairness of service contract. PLS (Partial Least Square) modeling method is applied and validated using data from logistics service providing companies in Korea. In the model, service contract clauses are classified into two categories including cost and risk sharing terms. PLS analysis shows that partnership and performance of service relationship is improved when contract clauses are specified in detail. This study will contribute in providing an operational direction in effectively establishing a positive relationship between the logistics service provider and the shipper.

One-month lead dam inflow forecast using climate indices based on tele-connection (원격상관 기후지수를 활용한 1개월 선행 댐유입량 예측)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Jung, Il Won;Kim, Chul Gyium;Kim, Tae Guk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.361-372
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    • 2016
  • Reliable long-term dam inflow prediction is necessary for efficient multi-purpose dam operation in changing climate. Since 2000s the teleconnection between global climate indices (e.g., ENSO) and local hydroclimate regimes have been widely recognized throughout the world. To date many hydrologists focus on predicting future hydrologic conditions using lag teleconnection between streamflow and climate indices. This study investigated the utility of teleconneciton for predicting dam inflow with 1-month lead time at Andong dam basin. To this end 40 global climate indices from NOAA were employed to identify potential predictors of dam inflow, areal averaged precipitation, temperature of Andong dam basin. This study compared three different approaches; 1) dam inflow prediction using SWAT model based on teleconneciton-based precipitation and temperature forecast (SWAT-Forecasted), 2) dam inflow prediction using teleconneciton between dam inflow and climate indices (CIR-Forecasted), and 3) dam inflow prediction based on the rank of current observation in the historical dam inflow (Rank-Observed). Our results demonstrated that CIR-Forecasted showed better predictability than the other approaches, except in December. This is because uncertainties attributed to temporal downscaling from monthly to daily for precipitation and temperature forecasts and hydrologic modeling using SWAT can be ignored from dam inflow forecast through CIR-Forecasted approach. This study indicates that 1-month lead dam inflow forecast based on teleconneciton could provide useful information on Andong dam operation.

The Uncertainty Analysis of SWAT Simulated Streamflow Applied to Chungju Dam Watershed (충주댐 유역의 유출량에 대한 SWAT모형의 예측불확실성 분석)

  • Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Park, Jong-Yoon;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Lee, Ji-Wan;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.29-29
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    • 2011
  • SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형은 물리적 기반의 준분포형 강우-유출 모형으로서, 대규모의 복잡한 유역에서 장기간에 걸친 다양한 종류의 토양과 토지이용 및 토지관리 상태에 따른 유출과 유사 및 오염물질의 거동에 대한 토지관리 방법의 영향을 예측이 가능하여, 수자원 관리 계획 및 유역관리를 위한 의사결정 지원 등 그 적용 범위가 매우 광범위하다. 이러한 모형의 적용성 검증을 위해서는 매개변수 민감도 분석 및 검 보정, 예측 불확실성 분석을 필요로 한다. 최근 수문 모델의 불확실성을 분석하기 위한 다양한 기법들이 개발 되었는데, 본 연구는 충주댐 유역(6,581.1 m)을 대상으로 유역출구점의 실측 일 유출량 자료(1998~2003)를 바탕으로 SWAT 모형의 유출관련 매개변수(총 18개)에 대한 불확실성 분석을 실시하였다. 이때 사용된 분석 기법으로는 SUFI2 (Sequential Uncertainty FItting algorithm 2), GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation), ParaSol (Parameter Solution)등을 적용 하였다. 이러한 기법은 모두 SWAT-CUP (SWAT-Calibration Uncertainty Program, Abbaspour, 2007) 모형에 탑재되어있으며, 모형의 결과로써 검 보정, 매개변수의 민감도 분석, 각종 목적 함수 및 불확실성의 범위 등이 자동으로 산출 되므로 모형의 사용자가 불확실성 평가 기법의 분석 및 비교를 손쉽게 할 수 있다. 그 결과 대표적인 목적 함수인 결정 계수( $^2$)와 NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Model Efficiency)는 모두 0.65에서 0.92사이의 값을 나타내어 대체적으로 모의가 잘 이루어졌음을 알 수 있었다. 그러나 불확실성의 범위를 나타내는 지표인 p-factor 및 r-factor에서는 평가 기법 별로 그 차이가 확연하게 드러났다. 여기서 p-factor는 불확실성 범위에 실측치가 포함되는 비율이며, r-factor는 불확실성의 상대적인 범위로 각각 1과 0에 가까울수록 모의 기법의 성능이 우수함을 의미한다. 세 가지 알고리듬 중에서 SUFI2의 p-factor가 약 0.51로 가장 높게 나타났으며, ParaSol의 r-factor가 0.00으로 가장 작게 나타났다. 여기서 p-factor는 불확실성 범위에 실측치가 포함되는 비율이며, r-factor는 불확실성의 상대적인 범위를 의미한다. 본 연구의 결과는 SWAT 모형을 이용한 수문모델링에서 수문분석에 따른 예측결과의 불확실성을 정량적으로 평가함으로서, 모형의 적용성 평가 및 모의결과의 신뢰성 확보에 근거자료로 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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