• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잠재 변수

Search Result 556, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Comparison of Drought Index of Agricultural Reservoir by Period (농업용 저수지의 저수량 자료 기간별 가뭄지수 비교)

  • KIM, Sun Joo;BARK, Min Woo;KANG, Seung mook;KWON, Hyung Joong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.391-391
    • /
    • 2018
  • 가뭄은 일반적으로 강수량의 부족에 기인하며, 수자원의 이용 및 관리에 큰 영향을 미치는 자연재해이다. 2013년부터 2015년까지 우리나라의 연 평균 강수량은 각각 1,162mm, 1,173mm, 948mm로 평년대비 89.0%, 89.8%, 72.1%의 적은 강수를 보였다. 이는 마른장마, 평년보다 적게 발생한 태풍 등의 영향 인 것으로 판단되며 이러한 강수의 부족으로 인해 전국적으로 가뭄이 빈번하게 발생하였다. 이에 가뭄의 대처방안에 대한 관심이 증대되었고, 가뭄을 정량적으로 표현하고자 하는 연구들이 진행되었다. 가뭄은 크게 수문학적, 기상학적, 농업적 가뭄으로 구분되며 각각의 기준에 따라 다양한 변수들을 이용한 지표들이 개발되었다. 개발된 가뭄 지표는 가뭄을 평가하고 대비하기 위한 의사결정에 유용한 자료로 사용되고 있다. 농업적 가뭄은 강우부족, 실제와 잠재증발산량의 차이, 토양수분 부족, 저수지 또는 지하수위의 저하 등 농작물의 생육과 수확량에 직접적인 영향을 미치는 특성들을 고려하여 평가해야 하며, 이러한 특성들을 고려한 가뭄 지수로는 저수지 가뭄지수(RDI), 토양수분지수(SMI), 통합농업가뭄지수(IADI) 등이 개발되었다. 저수지 가뭄지수는 가뭄발생의 위험과 크기를 순별 가용저수량의 빈도를 이용하여 나타낸 가뭄 지표이다. 따라서 가뭄 지표를 산정하는데 사용된 자료의 기간에 따라 그 값의 차이가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 각각 10개년, 20개년, 30개년 기간의 백산저수지 농업지구 저수량 자료를 사용하여 2011년부터 2015년까지의 저수지 가뭄지수를 산정하였으며 이를 각각 비교하였다. 2006년부터 2015년까지 10개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012년 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내고 있었고 특히, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수가 -4.1으로 가장 심한 가뭄을 나타내었다. 1996년부터 2015년까지 20개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내며 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수는 각각 -0.9, -1.0으로 10개년의 기간을 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 모습을 보였다. 1986년부터 2015년까지 30개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄을 나타내고 있었으며, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 경우 각각 -1.7, -1.0으로 20개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 심한 가뭄을 나타내지만, 10개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 가뭄을 나타내었다. 백산저수지의 경우 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄이 발생하였으나, 용수공급이 불가능 할 정도의 가뭄이 발생하지는 않은 것으로 조사되었으며, 30개년 자료를 사용한 가뭄지수가 이와 가장 근사한 가뭄정도를 나타내고 있다.

  • PDF

Comparison of Reservoir Drought Index According to the Period of Reservoir Storage Data on Agricultural Reservoir (농업용 저수지의 저수량 자료 기간별 가뭄지수 비교)

  • Kim, Sun Joo;Kwon, Hyung Joong;Bark, Min Woo;Kang, Seung Mook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2017.05a
    • /
    • pp.337-337
    • /
    • 2017
  • 가뭄은 일반적으로 강수량의 부족에 기인하며, 수자원의 이용 및 관리에 큰 영향을 미치는 자연재해이다. 2013년부터 2015년까지 우리나라의 연 평균 강수량은 각각 1,162mm, 1,173mm, 948mm로 평년대비 89.0%, 89.8%, 72.1%의 적은 강수를 보였다. 이는 마른장마, 평년보다 적게 발생한 태풍 등의 영향 인 것으로 판단되며 이러한 강수의 부족으로 인해 전국적으로 가뭄이 빈번하게 발생하였다. 이에 가뭄의 대처방안에 대한 관심이 증대되었고, 가뭄을 정량적으로 표현하고자 하는 연구들이 진행되었다. 가뭄은 크게 수문학적, 기상학적, 농업적 가뭄으로 구분되며 각각의 기준에 따라 다양한 변수들을 이용한 지표들이 개발되었다. 개발된 가뭄 지표는 가뭄을 평가하고 대비하기 위한 의사결정에 유용한 자료로 사용되고 있다. 농업적 가뭄은 강우부족, 실제와 잠재증발산량의 차이, 토양수분 부족, 저수지 또는 지하수위의 저하 등 농작물의 생육과 수확량에 직접적인 영향을 미치는 특성들을 고려하여 평가해야 하며, 이러한 특성들을 고려한 가뭄 지수로는 저수지 가뭄지수(RDI), 토양수분지수(SMI), 통합농업가뭄지수(IADI) 등이 개발되었다. 저수지 가뭄지수는 가뭄발생의 위험과 크기를 순별 가용저수량의 빈도를 이용하여 나타낸 가뭄 지표이다. 따라서 가뭄 지표를 산정하는데 사용된 자료의 기간에 따라 그 값의 차이가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 각각 10개년, 20개년, 30개년 기간의 백산저수지 농업지구 저수량 자료를 사용하여 2011년부터 2015년까지의 저수지 가뭄지수를 산정하였으며 이를 각각 비교하였다. 2006년부터 2015년까지 10개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012년 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내고 있었고 특히, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수가 -4.1으로 가장 심한 가뭄을 나타내었다. 1996년부터 2015년까지 20개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2012 ~ 2015년에 가뭄을 나타내며 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 가뭄지수는 각각 -0.9, -1.0으로 10개년의 기간을 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 모습을 보였다. 1986년부터 2015년까지 30개년 기간의 자료를 사용하여 산정한 가뭄지수는 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄을 나타내고 있었으며, 2015년 6월 상순과 중순의 경우 각각 -1.7, -1.0으로 20개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 심한 가뭄을 나타내지만, 10개년 자료를 사용하였을 때보다 완화된 가뭄을 나타내었다. 백산저수지의 경우 2011년부터 2015년까지 가뭄이 발생하였으나, 용수공급이 불가능 할 정도의 가뭄이 발생하지는 않은 것으로 조사되었으며, 30개년 자료를 사용한 가뭄지수가 이와 가장 근사한 가뭄정도를 나타내고 있다. 이는 저수량자료의 기간이 크면 빈도값의 신뢰성이 높아지기 때문인 것으로 판단되며 저수지 가뭄지수의 경우 저수량 자료가 누적될수록 좀 더 정확한 가뭄상황을 표현할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

The Brand Identity Design Evaluation Using EEG Measurement (뇌전도를 활용한 브랜드 아이덴티티 디자인 평가)

  • Han, Yu-Rim;Kim, Da-Sol;Han, Ji-Ae;You, Sicheon
    • Smart Media Journal
    • /
    • v.7 no.4
    • /
    • pp.106-113
    • /
    • 2018
  • Brand identity (BI) is a key asset that affects consumers' psychological cognition of products and services. In the initial planning stage of the BI design development for a company, a unique approach strategy is required. In the final evaluation stage, a reasonable design evaluation method involving potential consumers needs to be prepared. However, conventional brand identity design evaluation processes tend to depend on the results of surveys, and in many cases it is impossible to be free from the distorting phenomenon of survey respondents' psychological manifestation which is often revealed in the process of the surveys. In this context, this research has explored whether the method of utilizing EEG data of the subjects along with the conventional survey method of preference could be helpful in the process of evaluating the brand identity design. To achieve that, we correlated the subject's preference survey results with the subject's EEG data. 'Attractiveness' and 'concentration' were used as variables. As a result, it was found that there was a high correlation between the results of preference survey on 'attractiveness' and the results of 'EEG' on 'concentration'. Therefore, in addition to the existing conventional qualitative evaluation methods, we confirmed that design evaluation methods using EEG are useful for evaluating tacit knowledge objects such as the BI design.

A experimental Feasibility of Magnetic Resonance Based Monitoring Method for Underground Environment (지하 환경 감시를 위한 자기공명 기반 모니터링 방법의 타당성 연구)

  • Ryu, Dong-Woo;Lee, Ki-Song;Kim, Eun-Hee;Yum, Byung-Woo
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.596-608
    • /
    • 2018
  • As urban infrastructure is aging, the possibility of accidents due to the failures or breakdowns of infrastructure increases. Especially, aging underground infrastructures like sewer pipes, waterworks, and subway have a potential to cause an urban ground sink. Urban ground sink is defined just as a local and erratic collapse occurred by underground cavity due to soil erosion or soil loss, which is separated from a sinkhole in soluble bedrock such as limestone. The conventional measurements such as differential settlement gauge, inclinometer or earth pressure gauge have a shortcoming just to provide point measurements with short coverage. Therefore, these methods are not adequate for monitoring of an erratic subsidence caused by underground cavity due to soil erosion or soil loss which occurring at unspecified time and location. Therefore, an alternative technology is required to detect a change of underground physical condition in real time. In this study, the feasibility of a novel magnetic resonance based monitoring method is investigated through laboratory tests, where the changes of path loss (S21) were measured under various testing conditions: media including air, water, and soil, resonant frequency, impedance, and distances between transmitter (TX) and receiver (RX). Theoretically, the transfer characteristic of magnetic field is known to be independent of the density of the medium. However, the results of the test showed the meaningful differences in the path loss (S21) under the different conditions of medium. And it is found that the reflection coefficient showed the more distinct differences over the testing conditions than the path loss. In particular, input reflection coefficient (S11) is more distinguishable than output reflection coefficient (S22).

A Research on the Cabin Service Quality Factors in a National Carrier affecting Overseas Tourist's Experience and Satisfactiont (여객의 해외여행 관광지 관광체험과 관광만족에 영향을 미치는 국적항공사 객실서비스 품질 요인 연구)

  • Yoon, Han-Young;Jang, Ji-Seung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.9
    • /
    • pp.188-197
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study analyzed empirically the effects of the perception of outbound passengers, who flew from Korea to overseas tourist destinations, on the cabin service quality, tourist experience, and tourist satisfaction. For empirical analysis, a survey was given to Korean passengers using a national carrier of South Korea. Based on empirical analysis, the researchers judged that the analysis results and implications could be applied to inbound foreign passengers who visited Korea for the tourism purposes if researchers generated significant results from empirical analysis. This paper designed a research model that represented the meaningful relationship among, airline cabin-service quality, tourist experience, and tourist satisfaction following preceding research. According to the analysis, that factors that consisted of the cabin service quality had a significant effect on the tourist satisfaction with a mediating effect of both the cognitive and emotional tourist experience. Therefore, the perception on airline's cabin service quality of the national carrier would be a starting point that can help improve the tourist satisfaction.

A Study on Classification of Variant Malware Family Based on ResNet-Variational AutoEncoder (ResNet-Variational AutoEncoder기반 변종 악성코드 패밀리 분류 연구)

  • Lee, Young-jeon;Han, Myung-Mook
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2021
  • Traditionally, most malicious codes have been analyzed using feature information extracted by domain experts. However, this feature-based analysis method depends on the analyst's capabilities and has limitations in detecting variant malicious codes that have modified existing malicious codes. In this study, we propose a ResNet-Variational AutoEncder-based variant malware classification method that can classify a family of variant malware without domain expert intervention. The Variational AutoEncoder network has the characteristics of creating new data within a normal distribution and understanding the characteristics of the data well in the learning process of training data provided as input values. In this study, important features of malicious code could be extracted by extracting latent variables in the learning process of Variational AutoEncoder. In addition, transfer learning was performed to better learn the characteristics of the training data and increase the efficiency of learning. The learning parameters of the ResNet-152 model pre-trained with the ImageNet Dataset were transferred to the learning parameters of the Encoder Network. The ResNet-Variational AutoEncoder that performed transfer learning showed higher performance than the existing Variational AutoEncoder and provided learning efficiency. Meanwhile, an ensemble model, Stacking Classifier, was used as a method for classifying variant malicious codes. As a result of learning the Stacking Classifier based on the characteristic data of the variant malware extracted by the Encoder Network of the ResNet-VAE model, an accuracy of 98.66% and an F1-Score of 98.68 were obtained.

Health Risk Management using Feature Extraction and Cluster Analysis considering Time Flow (시간흐름을 고려한 특징 추출과 군집 분석을 이용한 헬스 리스크 관리)

  • Kang, Ji-Soo;Chung, Kyungyong;Jung, Hoill
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.99-104
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose health risk management using feature extraction and cluster analysis considering time flow. The proposed method proceeds in three steps. The first is the pre-processing and feature extraction step. It collects user's lifelog using a wearable device, removes incomplete data, errors, noise, and contradictory data, and processes missing values. Then, for feature extraction, important variables are selected through principal component analysis, and data similar to the relationship between the data are classified through correlation coefficient and covariance. In order to analyze the features extracted from the lifelog, dynamic clustering is performed through the K-means algorithm in consideration of the passage of time. The new data is clustered through the similarity distance measurement method based on the increment of the sum of squared errors. Next is to extract information about the cluster by considering the passage of time. Therefore, using the health decision-making system through feature clusters, risks able to managed through factors such as physical characteristics, lifestyle habits, disease status, health care event occurrence risk, and predictability. The performance evaluation compares the proposed method using Precision, Recall, and F-measure with the fuzzy and kernel-based clustering. As a result of the evaluation, the proposed method is excellently evaluated. Therefore, through the proposed method, it is possible to accurately predict and appropriately manage the user's potential health risk by using the similarity with the patient.

Evaluating meteorological and hydrological impacts on forest fire occurrences using partial least squares-structural equation modeling: a case of Gyeonggi-do (부분최소제곱 구조방정식모형을 이용한 경기도 지역 산불 발생 요인에 대한 기상 및 수문학적 요인의 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Dongwook;Yoo, Jiyoung;Son, Ho Jun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.54 no.3
    • /
    • pp.145-156
    • /
    • 2021
  • Forest fires have frequently occurred around the world, and the damages are increasing. In Korea, most forest fires are initiated by human activities, but climate factors such as temperature, humidity, and wind speed have a great impact on combustion environment of forest fires. In this study, therefore, based on statistics of forest fires in Gyeonggi-do over the past five years, meteorological and hydrological factors (i.e., temperature, humidity, wind speed, precipitation, and drought) were selected in order to quantitatively investigate causal relationships with forest fire. We applied a partial least squares structural equation model (PLS-SEM), which is suitable for analyzing causality and predicting latent variables. The overall results indicated that the measurement and structural models of the PLS-SEM were statistically significant for all evaluation criteria, and meteorological factors such as humidity, temperature, and wind speed affected by amount of -0.42, 0.23 and 0.15 of standardized path coefficient, respectively, on forest fires, whereas hydrological factor such as drought had an effect of 0.23 on forest fires. Therefore, as a practical method, the suggested model can be used for analyzing and evaluating influencing factors of forest fire and also for planning response and preparation of forest fire disasters.

A Study on Mediating Effect of International Marketing Activity between R&D and Network Capabilities and Performance of Korean INNOBIZs (기술개발·네트워크 역량과 경영성과간 관계에서 국제마케팅 활동의 매개적 역할에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Ki-Chang;Kim, Moon-Hong
    • International Area Studies Review
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.181-204
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study researched relationship between R&D capability(TC), Network capability(NC), International marketing activity(IMA) and effect to performance of Korean globalizing INNOBIZs. In former research, they found out that TC, NC, IMA effect to performance directly. But they didn't focus on the relationship between the variables and Korean INNOBIZs. Recently, Global environment of competition is getting more and more complicated. So even the companies develop the excellent product, the companies can not get superior performance than competitor as long as the company combine with IMA or NC. In this study, empirical analysis performed using covariance structural analysis for Korean INNOBIZs. As we know in former research, TC and IMA have a positive effect on performance directly. But NC does not have a direct effect on performance. Also we found out TC and NC intermediated by MC have positive effect on performance. This result is theoretically and practically suggestive that using the company developed NC in International IMA effect on Performance.

A Study on the Background of Start-Ups and the Factors of Entrepreneurship in Young Job Seekers' Willingness to Start a Business: Verification of the Mediating Effect of Perception of Businessmen (청년구직자의 창업 배경과 기업가정신이 창업 의지에 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 사업가에 대한 인식의 매개 효과 검증)

  • Oh, Hee Shun;Ha, Kyu Soo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.87-103
    • /
    • 2021
  • The government is trying to create jobs by providing 160 billion won in 2021 to revitalize youth start-ups, but the number of youth unemployment and potential unemployment is hitting a record high of 1.2 million due to the shock of employment due to COVID-19. Although start-ups are encouraged as an alternative to revitalizing jobs, the success rate of young start-ups is low due to lack of start-up funds and experience. The purpose of this study is to understand the need to diversify start-up education and career education by understanding start-up policies through one-time funding and short-term education. The results of the study on the factors affecting the willingness to start a business were as follows, by sampling 344 students from specialized high schools preparing for employment and 344 young people in their 20s who are seeking jobs. First, among the entrepreneurship subvariables, innovation, autonomy of job value, and desire for economic achievement are significant, and the older the person surveyed, the more positive the perception of the entrepreneur was. Second, as you get older, your will to start a business decreases, and your experience in successful start-up models and start-up education has an impact on your will to start a business. Third, perception of entrepreneurs is a partial medium effect, which indirectly influences the willingness to start a business and directly or indirectly influences the willingness to start a business through the autonomy of job values, the desire to achieve economic and entrepreneurship.