• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잠재성장모델

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A Data Based Methodology for Estimating the Unconditional Model of the Latent Growth Modeling (잠재성장모형의 무조건적 모델 추정을 위한 데이터 기반 방법론)

  • Cho, Yeong Bin
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2018
  • The Latent Growth Modeling(LGM) is known as the arising analysis method of longitudinal data and it could be classified into unconditional model and conditional model. Unconditional model requires estimated value of intercept and slope to complete a model of fitness. However, the existing LGM is in absence of a structured methodology to estimate slope when longitudinal data is neither simple linear function nor the pre-defined function. This study used Sequential Pattern of Association Rule Mining to calculate slope of unconditional model. The applied dataset is 'the Youth Panel 2001-2006' from Korea Employment Information Service. The proposed methodology was able to identify increasing fitness of the model comparing to the existing simple linear function and visualizing process of slope estimation.

Predictors of Attitudes toward Own Aging among Middle-Aged and Elderly Adults -Panel Analysis Using Latent Growth Modeling- (중노년층의 본인의 노화에 대한 태도에 영향을 미치는 요인 -잠재성장모델을 이용한 패널분석)

  • Lee, Mi-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.101-124
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    • 2012
  • This study examined the longitudinal changes of self-perceptions of own aging among middle-aged and elderly adults, using the latent growth modeling with the three waves of the "Aging and the Quality of Life of the Elderly in Korea", which sampled adults aged over 45 living in Seoul and Chuncheon. The dependent variable is attitudes toward own aging, the sub-scale of the Philadelphia Geriatric Center Morale Scale developed by Lawton (1975). The results showed that the research participants' attitudes of their own aging deteriorated over time. In addition, the lower initial status of the research participants' attitudes of their own aging was associated with being older, being non-married, living in rural areas, attaining the lower level of education, having the fewer social activities, reporting the worse subjective economic status, and reporting the worse subjective health status. The slope of the research participants' attitudes of their own aging differed by the residence areas, educational attainments, subjective economic status and subjective health status. In particular, the difference of the initial status by educational attainments grew over time. Social welfare policy and practice implications are discussed for middle-aged and elderly adults to improve attitudes toward their own aging.

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Change in potential evapotranspiration based on representative scenario by TOPSIS in North Korea (TOPSIS에 의한 대표 시나리오에 근거한 북한 잠재증발산량의 변화)

  • Ryu, Young;Sung, Jang Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.195-195
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    • 2020
  • 이 연구는 기후변화 위험에 노출되어 있는 북한에 대한 잠재증발산량의 미래 변화를 전망하였다. 이를 위해 IPCC AR5의 RCP 기후변화 시나리오로부터 모의된 미래 기온자료를 APCC (APEC Climate Center) Integrated Modeling (AIMS)를 사용하여 25개 관측 지점에 대해서 상세화하여, McGuinness-Borne 방법으로 잠재증발산량을 추정하였다. 6개의 성능 지표와 TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution)로 27개 GCMs 간의 과거 기후 재현성을 비교하여, 관측 지점 규모에서 적정 GCM을 선정하였다. 마지막으로 각 지점에서 선정된 대표 시나리오(representative climate change scenarios, RCCS)로 북한 지역의 잠재증발산량의 미래 변화를 3개의 구간(F1: 2011-2040; F2: 2041-2070; F3: 2071-2100)에서 all CCS(climate change scenario)와 비교하고, 미래 변화를 정량적으로 제시하였다. 그 결과 공간 해상도가 더 높은 GCM이 RCCS로 선정되었으며, 미래로 갈수록 잠재증발산량이 증가하리라 전망되었다. 또한, 여름철 잠재증발산량의 모델 간 변동성은 미래 구간에 따라 점진적으로 증가되었고, 연 평균 증발산량은 과거 기후대비 1.4배(F1), 2.0배(F2) 및 2.6배(F3) 증가하였다.

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Analysis of Characteristics and Land Use Regulation of Urban Growth Potential Area in Busan Metropolitan City (부산권 도시성장 잠재지역의 특성 및 토지이용규제 실태 분석)

  • KIM, Ho-Yong;KIM, Ji-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.138-148
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    • 2018
  • Land use regulations introduced for rationalization of land use due to the diversification of socio-economic development, resulting in inconvenience to the people's economic life, have recently changed the paradigm due to deregulation. In this study, the potential areas for urban growth in the Busan area were derived by simulating using the CA model and spatial characteristics were analyzed along with land use regulated areas. The analysis examined whether the land use regulations were actually intended to curb urban growth and promote the efficiency of land use, or if there were other factors that could cause inconvenience to the people's lives. The analysis showed that the greenbelt zones in areas with high development pressure outside urban areas were acting as land use regulations, but there were multiple regulations on land use in many areas. Therefore, it is deemed that various approaches and reviews will be needed, including reconsideration of multiple regulations in areas with high urban growth potential, while maintaining the net function of land use regulations.

The Longitudinal Relationship between Korean Youth's Social Withdrawal, Depression and Community Sense Using Latent Growth Model : A Mediating Effect of Achievement Values (잠재성장모형을 활용한 중학생의 사회적 위축 및 우울과 공동체 의식 간의 종단적 관계 연구 : 성취가치의 매개효과)

  • Oh, Min-Ah;Jo, Hye-Young
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the longitudinal relationship between Korean youth's social withdrawal, depression and community sense mediated by achievement values. For this purpose, we analyzed three years of the longitudinal panel data (2011-2013) of the Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey (KCYPS). Data were collected from 2,351 first year middle school students using the latent growth model using SPSS 18.0 and AMOS 22.0. The main analysis results were as follows. First, social withdrawal and depression decreased and community sense increased as time passed. These results supported the linear change model. Second, the initial status of social withdrawal and depression had effects on the initial status and change rates of community sense. Achievement values, the partial mediator, had a positive influence on initial community sense but had a negative influence on change rates of community sense. We discussed how to improve Korean youth's community sense based on these results.

An Study of Demand Forecasting Methodology Based on Hype Cycle: The Case Study on Hybrid Cars (기대주기 분석을 활용한 수요예측 연구: 하이브리드 자동차의 사례를 중심으로)

  • Jun, Seung-Pyo
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.14 no.spc
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    • pp.1232-1255
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes a model for demand forecasting that will require less effort in the process of utilizing the new product diffusion model while also allowing for more objective and timely application. Drawing upon the theoretical foundation provided by the hype cycle model and the consumer adoption model, this proposed model makes it possible to estimate the maximum market potential based solely on bibliometrics and the scale of the early market, thereby presenting a method for supplying the major parameters required for the Bass model. Upon analyzing the forecasting ability of this model by applying it to the case of the hybrid car market, the model was confirmed to be capable of successfully forecasting results similar in scale to the market potential deduced through various other objective sources of information, thus underscoring the potentials of utilizing this model. Moreover, even the hype cycle or the life cycle can be estimated through direct linkage with bibliometrics and the Bass model. In cases where the hype cycles of other models have been observed, the forecasting ability of this model was demonstrated through simple case studies. Since this proposed model yields a maximum market potential that can also be applied directly to other growth curve models, the model presented in the following paper provides new directions in the endeavor to forecast technology diffusion and identify promising technologies through bibliometrics.

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Software reliability evaluation during development phase considering testing-effort (시험노력을 고려한 개발단계의 소프트웨어 신뢰성 평가)

  • 이재기;신상권;홍성백;윤병남
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.36S no.3
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    • pp.18-26
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    • 1999
  • 소프트웨어 개발과정에서는 설계 및 코딩에 의해서 프로그램 내에 많은 결함이 삽입되고 시험을 거치는 동안 결함은 발견되고 수정되어 진다. 이와 같은 반복 작업을 통해서 소프트웨어 내에 잠재하고 있는 에러들을 발견, 조치함으로써 소프트웨어 품질은 향상되고 품질에 대한 신뢰성이 높아진다. 본 논문에서는 위와 같은 소프트웨어 개발 과정을 거치는 동안에 많은 시험이 동반되고 이에 따른 시험의 여러 자원이 투입되는데 착안하여 소프트웨어 신뢰도가 성장되어 가는 과정에 수반된 시험능력을 기반으로 한 시험능력의존형 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모델을 살펴보고 이를 적용하여 개발중인 소프트웨어에 대한 시험능력 투입에 따른 신뢰도를 평가하였다. 또 S-Shaped Model에 의한 평가치와 비교하여 시험이 진행됨에 따라 소프트웨어 고장 발견율이 상승되는 것을 보였다.

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Median Filtering Detection using Latent Growth Modeling (잠재성장모델링을 이용한 미디언 필터링 검출)

  • Rhee, Kang Hyeon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2015
  • In recent times, the median filtering (MF) detector as a forensic tool for the recovery of forgery images' processing history has concerned broad interest. For the classification of MF image, MF detector should be designed with smaller feature set and higher detection ratio. This paper presents a novel method for the detection of MF in altered images. It is transformed from BMP to several kinds of MF image by the median window size. The difference distribution values are computed according to the window sizes and then the values construct the feature set same as the MF window size. For the MF detector, the feature set transformed to the model specification which is computed using latent growth modeling (LGM). Through experiments, the test image is classified by the discriminant into two classes: the true positive (TP) and the false negative (FN). It confirms that the proposed algorithm is to be outstanding performance when the minimum distance average is 0.119 in the confusion of TP and FN for the effectivity of classification.

Recreating Competitive Global Innovation Clusters in Korea: Switching Forces and Collective Responses (경쟁력 있는 글로벌 혁신클러스터 재창조 전략 : 전환력과 집단적 대응)

  • Lee, Jeong-Hyop
    • Journal of the Korean Academic Society of Industrial Cluster
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.28-43
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    • 2008
  • This paper searches for a potential path of Korean clusters to be competitive global innovation clusters (CGICs) and provides appropriate policy interventions to promote the cluster formation process in Korea. It argues that clusters which have their distinctive competitiveness are created as the cluster members are collectively responding to the switching forces in a rapidly changing capitalist economy. The Korean economy has acquired various assets through the rapid economic progress and these can be efficiently utilized for the creation of globally leading clusters in Korea. The process is not just copying the one and only Silicon Valley model but to create the distinguished Korean model of locally embedded innovation. That requires a recreation process of innovation clusters in Korea.

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A Longitudinal Study on the Influence of Learning Effort, Attitude, and Achievement Goal on Mathematics Academic Achievement : For elementary and secondary school students (학습노력, 태도 및 성취목표가 수학 학업성취도에 미치는 직·간접적인 영향에 대한 종단연구: 초·중학생을 대상으로)

  • Kim, YongSeok
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2021
  • Factors influencing mathematics academic achievement are constantly changing and have direct and indirect effects on mathematics achievement, so longitudinal studies that can predict and analyze their growth are needed. This study uses longitudinal data on students from 2011 (5th grade of elementary school) to 2015 (2nd grade of middle school) of the Seoul Education Longitudinal Study, and divides them into groups with similar longitudinal changes in mathematics academic achievement. The direct and indirect effects of learning attitudes and achievement goals were examined. As a result of the study, it was found that learning effort and learning attitude had a direct effect on mathematics achievement in 1 group (2277 students, 67.7%), and learning attitude had a direct effect on mathematics achievement in 3 groups (958 students, 28.5%). And it was found that learning effort h ad an indirect effect. In addition, it was found that both learning attitudes, learning efforts, and achievement goals had no effect on the academic achievement of mathematics in the second group (127 students, 3.8%).