• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.1822-1829
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 계산된 유량과 실측 유량을 비교하여 Clark 단위도 방법의 매개변수를 추정하고자 하였다. 오산천과 진위천 상류유역에 대하여 Arcview와 WMS로 지형자료에 대한 전 처리를 한후, HEC-HMS 프로그램을 이용하여 유출량을 산정하였다. 2001년부터 2005년까지 4개의 사상에 대하여 강우량, 기흥저수지와 이동저수지의 실제 방류량을 이용하여 유출량을 산정하였으며, Clark 모형의 매개변수를 Russel 공식, Sabol 공식 및 HEC-HMS 프로그램에 내장된 Nelder-Mead 최적화 방법을 이용하여 매개변수를 각각 산정하여 회화 지점의 실측 유출량과 비교.평가하였다. 빈도가 큰 유출사상의 경우에는 Sabol 식을 적용한 결과가 Russel 식을 적용한 모의결과보다 첨두유량의 재현성이 우수하게 나타났으며, 유출량이 작은 경우에는 Russel 식을 적용한 모의결과가 우수하였다. 첨두가 중제곱평균제곱근오차, 잔차자승의 합, 절대잔차의 합 등 3가지의 서로다른 목적함수를 적용하여 매개변수를 자동 보정하였을 때, 목적함수에 따른 첨두유량의 오차는 거의 동일하였으며, 첨두시간에 대한 오차는 첨두가중제곱평균제곱근오차를 적용했을 때 가장 작은 것으로 분석되었다. 그리고 Clark 유역 추적모형의 자동보정을 통하여 추정한 매개변수인 도달시간과 저류상수는 강우사상에 따라서 변동하는 특성을 나타내기 때문에 최적의 도달시간 및 저류상수는 홍수사상별로 추정되어야 하며 이 결과는 홍수량 산정을 위한 매개변수 추정과정의 비유일성 및 복잡성을 암시하고 있다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.25 no.9
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• pp.1452-1460
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• 2001

A new method of parameter determination in the fatigue residual strength degradation model is proposed. The new method and minimization technique is compared experimentally to account for the effect of tension-compression fatigue loading of spheroidal graphite cast iron and graphite/epoxy laminate. It is shown that the correlation between the experimental results and the theoretical prediction on the fatigue life and residual strength distribution using the proposed method is very reasonable. Therefore, the proposed method is more adjustable in the determination of the parameter than minimization technique for the prediction of the fatigue characteristics.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.271-279
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• 2006

Acoustic Emission (AE) technology is an effective nondestructive testing for continuous monitoring of defect formation and failures in structural materials. This paper presents a source location model using Acoustic Emission (AE) sensors in a Pre-Stressed Concrete (PSC) beam and the evaluation of the model was performed through lab experiments. 54 AE events were made on the surface of the 5m-PSC beam using a Schmidt Hammer and arrival times were measured with 7AE sensors. The source location f3r each event was estimated using least squares. The results were compared with actual positions and the RMSE (Root Mean Square Errors) was about 2cm.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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• v.11D no.6
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• pp.1269-1276
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• 2004

The Parameter Estimation for software existing reliability models, Goel-Okumoto, Yamada-Ohba-Osaki model was reviewed and Rayleigh model based on Rayleigh distribution was studied. In this paper, we discusses comparison of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimator and Bayesian estimation based on Gibbs sampling to analysis of the estimator' pattern. Model selection based on sum of the squared errors and Braun statistic, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. A numerical example was illustrated using real data. The current areas and models of Superposition, mixture for future development are also employed.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.7
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• pp.1155-1163
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• 2016

This paper deals with an estimation procedure of variance components in a mixed effects model by projections. Projections are used to obtain sums of squares instead of using reductions in sums of squares due to fitting both the assumed model and sub-models in the fitting constants method. A projection matrix can be obtained for the residual model at each step by a stepwise procedure to test the hypotheses. A weighted least squares method is used for the estimation of fixed effects. Satterthwaite's approximation is done for the confidence intervals for variance components.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.151-157
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• 2003

OLS로 알려진 기존의 주절 방법은 변수수의 증가에 따라 다중공선성(Multicollinearity)의 문제와 더불어 해석력(Interpretability)이 떨어지는 문제를 가지게 된다. 본 연구에서는 파라미터의 절대값의 크기(L1-Norm)에 제약을 줌으로써 이와 같은 OLS의 문제를 해결할 수 있는 동시에, 잔차의 제곱합대신 절대오차를 사용하는 Least Absolute Value(LAV) 방법을 사용함으로써 이상치에 로버스트한 결과를 주는 방법론을 제안한다. 또한. 본 연구에서 제안하는 방법이 선형계획법에 의해 모델처럼 될 수 있는 특성으로 인해 제약조건이 있는 이차 형태의 최적화 문제보다 수행 속도면에서 뛰어난 결과를 주는 것을 수치예제을 통해 보인다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.1-16
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• 1992

In regression diagnostics, a number of joint influence measures based on various statistical tools have been discussed. We consider an alternate representation in terms of the predicted residual and g-leverage determined by the remaining points. By this approach, we choose the predicted residual sum of squares for the keypoints as joint influence measure and propose a new expression of it so that we can extend the single case form to the multiple case one. Furthermore we suggest a seach method for joint influence after investigating some properties of the new expression.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.37 no.7
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• pp.581-587
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• 2004

An experimental watershed was selected and sustainable yield was evaluated. The study area(3.89$\textrm{km}^2$) was located in Kyungpook Sangju Yangchon-dong. The visual MODFLOW was verified by comparing the observed and estimated groundwater table. The analysis of the observed and estimated groundwater table from 19 March 2003 to 18 March 2004 showed that the average error was 0.0009m, the error sum of squares 7.245$m^2$, absolute mean error 0.094 m, root mean square error 0.141m, and the model efficiency was 92%. The normal, 10- and 30- year drought frequency years were selected and sustainable yield was evaluated in these periods. Ratios of sustainable yield to the annual infiltration were 14.5% for the normal year(1992), 15.1% for the 10-year(1994), and 15.2% for the 30-year drought frequency year(1982). The results of this study can be used as a basic information for groundwater development and management planning considering regional characteristics.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.629-643
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• 2014

It is common to check the validity of an assumed model with the heavy use of diagnostics tools when conducting data analysis with regression techniques; however, outliers and influential data points often distort the regression output in undesired manner. Jang and Anderson-Cook (2013) proposed a graphical method called a firework plot for exploratory analysis that could visualize the trace of the impact of possible outlying and/or influential data points on individual regression coefficients and the overall residual sum of squares(SSE) measure. They developed 3-D plot as well as pair-wise plot for the appropriate measures of interest. In this paper, the approach was extended further to tell the strength of their approach; in addition, a more meaningful interpretation was possible by adding a measure not mentioned in their paper. This approach was applied to the mixture experiment because we felt that a detailed analysis of statistical measure sensitivity is required in a small experiment.

• Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.88-96
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• 2013

The objective of this research was to evaluate the suitability of sigmoidal and firstorder kinetic equations for simulating the methane production from solid wastes. The sigmoidal kinetic equations used were modified Gompertz and Logistic equations. Statistical criteria used to evaluate equation performance were analysis of goodness-of-fit (Residual sum of squares, Root mean squared error and Akaike's Information Criterion). Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) was employed to compare goodness-of-fit of equations with same and different numbers of parameters. RSS and RMSE were decreased for first-order kinetic equation with lag-phase time, compared to the first-order kinetic equation without lag-phase time. However, first-order kinetic equations had relatively higher AIC than the sigmoidal kinetic equations. It seemed that the sigmoidal kinetic equations had better goodness-of-fit than the first-order kinetic equations in order to simulate the methane production.