• Title/Summary/Keyword: 자연환경 변수

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Study on Water Stage Prediction by Artificial Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm (인공신경망과 유전자알고리즘을 이용한 수위예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo, Woon-Ki;Jee, Hong-Kee;Lee, Soon-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1159-1163
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    • 2010
  • 최근의 극심한 기상이변으로 인하여 발생되는 유출량의 예측에 관한 사항은 치수 이수는 물론 방재의 측면에서도 역시 매우 중요한 관심사로 부각되고 있다. 강우-유출 관계는 유역의 수많은 시 공간적 변수들에 의해 영향을 받기 때문에 매우 복잡하여 예측하기 힘든 요소이다. 과거에는 추계학적 예측모형이나 확정론적 예측모형 혹은 경험적 모형 등을 사용하여 유출량을 예측하였으나 최근에는 인공신경망과 퍼지모형 그리고 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 인공지능기반의 모형들이 많이 사용되고 있다. 하지만 유출량을 예측하고자 할 때 학습자료 및 검정자료로써 사용되는 유출량은 수위-유량 관계곡선식으로부터 구하는 경우가 대부분으로 이렇게 유도된 유출량의 경우 오차가 크기 때문에 그 신뢰성에 문제가 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 선행우량 및 수위자료로부터 단시간 수위예측에 관해 연구하였다. 신경망은 과거자료의 입 출력 패턴에서 정보를 추출하여 지식으로 보유하고, 이를 근거로 새로운 상황에 대한 해답을 제시하도록 하는 인공지능분야의 학습기법으로 인간이 과거의 경험과 훈련으로 지식을 축적하듯이 시스템의 입 출력에 의하여 연결강도를 최적화함으로서 모형의 구조를 스스로 조직화하기 때문에 모형의 구조에 적합한 최적 매개변수를 추정할 수 있다. 따라서 정확한 예측이 어려운 하천수위를 과거의 자료로 부터 학습된 신경망의 수학적 알고리즘을 통해 유출량의 예측에 적용할 수 있을 것이다. 유전자 알고리즘은 적자생존의 생물학 원리에 바탕을 둔 최적화 기법중의 하나로 자연계의 생명체 중 환경에 잘 적응한 개체가 좀 더 많은 자손을 남길 수 있다는 자연선택 과정과 유전자의 변화를 통해서 좋은 방향으로 발전해 나간다는 자연 진화의 과정인 자연계의 유전자 메커니즘에 바탕을 둔 탐색 알고리즘이다. 즉, 자연계의 유전과 진화 메커니즘을 공학적으로 모델화함으로써 잠재적인 해의 후보들을 모아 군집을 형성한 뒤 서로간의 교배 혹은 변이를 통해서 최적 해를 찾는 계산 모델이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 인공신경망의 가중치를 유전자 알고리즘에 의해 최적화시킨후 오류역전파알고리즘에 의해 신경망의 학습을 진행하는 모형으로 감천유역의 선산수위표지점의 수위를 1시간~6시간까지 예측하였다.

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Statistical Tests for the Flow Change in Sumjin River (섬진강의 유량변화 통계 검정)

  • Lee, Gwang-Man;Yun, La-Young;Lee, Seung-Yoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.1067-1077
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    • 2008
  • An understanding of temporal trends of stream flows can help in the river management and the water resources planning for natural circumstances and human communities. Changes in temperature, precipitation, flow, and land use (agriculture, flood prevention activities, reservoir operation, interbasin diversion, etc.) are all eventually reflected in the flow pattern of the river. An assumption that the stationarity of the hydrologic series implying time-invariant characteristics of the time series accepted in water structure designs can no longer be valid if the flow changes as a result of the climate change or the stream flow use. Therefore, the identification and description of the characteristics of changes in hydrologic time series is a very important task in the river basin management. In this study, the statistical tests on the flow change forced by excess water diversions in the Sumjin River basin were performed by ways of single variable and time series variable comparisons. The tests showed that currently the Sumjin River basin statistically keeps its homogeneity in annual streamflow series, but the changed situation has been appeared in dry season streamflow series.

A SVR Based-Pseudo Modified Einstein Procedure Incorporating H-ADCP Model for Real-Time Total Sediment Discharge Monitoring (실시간 총유사량 모니터링을 위한 H-ADCP 연계 수정 아인슈타인 방법의 의사 SVR 모형)

  • Noh, Hyoseob;Son, Geunsoo;Kim, Dongsu;Park, Yong Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.321-335
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    • 2023
  • Monitoring sediment loads in natural rivers is the key process in river engineering, but it is costly and dangerous. In practice, suspended loads are directly measured, and total loads, which is a summation of suspended loads and bed loads, are estimated. This study proposes a real-time sediment discharge monitoring system using the horizontal acoustic Doppler current profiler (H-ADCP) and support vector regression (SVR). The proposed system is comprised of the SVR model for suspended sediment concentration (SVR-SSC) and for total loads (SVR-QTL), respectively. SVR-SSC estimates SSC and SVR-QTL mimics the modified Einstein procedure. The grid search with K-fold cross validation (Grid-CV) and the recursive feature elimination (RFE) were employed to determine SVR's hyperparameters and input variables. The two SVR models showed reasonable cross-validation scores (R2) with 0.885 (SVR-SSC) and 0.860 (SVR-QTL). During the time-series sediment load monitoring period, we successfully detected various sediment transport phenomena in natural streams, such as hysteresis loops and sensitive sediment fluctuations. The newly proposed sediment monitoring system depends only on the gauged features by H-ADCP without additional assumptions in hydraulic variables (e.g., friction slope and suspended sediment size distribution). This method can be applied to any ADCP-installed discharge monitoring station economically and is expected to enhance temporal resolution in sediment monitoring.

A Study on the Quantitative Analysis for the Forest Landscape (삼림경관에 관한 계량적 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 서주환
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.39-67
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    • 1987
  • The purpose of this thesis is to suggest objective basic data for the environmental design through the quantitative analysis of the visual quality included in the physical environment of forest landscape. For this, landscape values of forest landscape have been evaluated by using the Iverson method, the images structure of forest landscape's main utilizing space have been analysed by the factor analysis algorithm, degree of visual preferences have been pleasured mainly by questionnaries and SBE method, and finally these thesis can be summarized as fallow LCP with high values of Iverson factors I and IV yield high landscape value. Specifically, Iverson factor IV has been found to play the dominant. For all experimental points, significant seasonal variations in S.D. scale values have been observed. In natural parks, where artificial structures are complementary to the natural landscape, main factors of image are S.D. scales such as the visual sequence, the formal simplicity of structures, the emphasis, the unification of heterogeneous factors and the assimilation. Factors covering the spatial image of natural parks have been found to be the overall evaluation, the individual characteristics, the tidiness, the potentiality, the dignity, the intimacy and the space volume. For all seasons, factors such as the individual characteristics, the dignity, the tidiness, the potentiality, yield high factor scores. As for factors determining the degree of visual preference, variables such as the summit, the skyline, rocks, the water and the degree of natural destruction by artificial structures yield high values for all seasons.

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Development of Snow Depth Frequency Analysis Model Based on A Generalized Mixture Distribution with Threshold (최심신적설량 빈도분석을 위한 임계값을 가지는 일반화된 혼합분포모형 개발)

  • Kim, Ho Jun;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2020
  • An increasing frequency and intensity of natural disasters have been observed due to climate change. To better prepare for these, the MOIS (ministry of the interior and safety) announced a comprehensive plan for minimizing damages associated with natural disasters, including drought and heavy snowfall. The spatial-temporal pattern of snowfall is greatly influenced by temperature and geographical features. Heavy snowfalls are often observed in Gangwon-do, surrounded by mountains, whereas less snowfall is dominant in the southern part of the country due to relatively high temperatures. Thus, snow depth data often contains zeros that can lead to difficulties in the selection of probability distribution and estimation of the parameters. A generalized mixture distribution approach to a maximum snow depth series over the southern part of Korea (i.e., Changwon, Tongyeoung, Jinju weather stations) are located is proposed to better estimate a threshold (𝛿) classifying discrete and continuous distribution parts. The model parameters, including the threshold in the mixture model, are effectively estimated within a Bayesian modeling framework, and the uncertainty associated with the parameters is also provided. Comparing to the Daegwallyeong weather station, It was found that the proposed model is more effective for the regions in which less snow depth is observed.

Effects of genotype and environmental factors on content variations of the bioactive constituents in rice seeds (벼의 유전형질과 재배환경 요인이 기능성물질 함량 변이에 미치는 영향 비교)

  • Soo-Yun Park;Hyoun-Min Park;Jung-Won Jung;So Ra Jin;Sang-Gu Lee;Eun-Ha Kim;Seonwoo Oh
    • Journal of Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.65 no.4
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    • pp.429-438
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    • 2022
  • The composition of crops reveal natural variation according to genetic characteristics and environmental factors such as the cultivated regions. For comparative investigation of the impact of genetic difference and environmental influence on the levels of bioactive components in rice seeds, 23 cultivars including indica, japonica, and tongil rice were grown in two location in Korea (Jeonju and Cheonan) for two years (2015 and 2016). Sixteen compounds consisting of tocopherols, tocotrienols, phytosterols, and policosanols were identified from 368 rice samples and the compositional data were subjected to data mining processes including principal component analysis and Pearson's correlation analysis. Under 4 different environmental conditions (Jeonju in 2015, Cheonan in 2015, Jeonju in 2016, Cheonan in 2016), the natural variability of rice seeds showed that the genetic background (indica vs japonica vs tongil) had more impact on the compositional changes of bioactive components compared to the environments. Especially, the results of correlation analysis revealed negative correlation between α-, β-tocopherols and γ-, δ-tocopherols as a representative genetic effect that did not changed by the environmental influence.

Real-time fluvial sediment load monitoring method using H-ADCP and support vector regression (H-ADCP와 서포트벡터회귀를 이용한 실시간 하천 유사량 모니터링 방법)

  • Noh, Hyoseob;Son, GeunSoo;Kim, Dongsu;Park, Yong Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.25-25
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    • 2022
  • 하천의 개발 및 보전 계획을 수립하는 데에 있어 자연하천의 부유사량 및 총유사량을 계측하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 우리나라에서는 매년 국내 자연하천을 대상으로 부유사량을 실측하고 실측 부유사량을 바탕으로 수정 아인슈타인 방법을 적용해 총유사량을 산정하고 있으나 이 또한 홍수기에 국한되어 있다. 가장 일반적인 유사량 계측 방법인 시료 채집에 의한 방법은 많은 노력과 비용을 수반하기 때문에 유사량 관측소와 관측 빈도를 늘릴 수 없는 실정이다. 최근에는 ADCP 음파 신호의 후방산란도가 부유사 농도에 따라 증가한다는 성질을 이용해 부유사 농도 계측에 ADCP를 이용하고자 하는 노력이 계속되고 있다. 이러한 특성을 이용해 본 연구에서는 전라남도 나주시에 위치한 남평교 자동유량관측소에 설치된 횡방향 ADCP (H-ADCP)를 대상으로 서포트 벡터 회귀(SVR)를 적용한 실시간 유사량 모니터링 모형을 제안하였다. 여기서 제시하는 유사량산정 모형은 크게 유량과 초음파 산란도를 입력 변수로 해 부유사 농도를 산정하는 서포트 벡터 회귀 모형과 첫 번째 모형으로부터 산정된 부유사 농도와 흐름 정보를 이용해 총유사량을 산정하는 모형으로 구성되어 있다. 개발된 SVR 부유사량 및 총유사량 산정 모형의 정확도가 결정계수(R2) 기준으로 각각 0.82, 0.90 으로 나타났다. 주목할 점은, 본 연구에서 제시하는 SVR 모형을 이용해 멱함수 기반 유사량 관계식으로는 예측할 수 없는 유사량의 이력현상을 재현해낼 수 있다는 것이다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 H-ADCP 기반 총유사량 모니터링 방법은 기존 자동 유량 관측소 시설을 그대로 이용할 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 따라서 실무 적용 시 낮은 추가비용으로 양질의 유사량 모니터링이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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A Research on the Application of Eco-Friendly Approval Criteria in Forest Land-use (자연친화적 산지이용허가기준 적용 방안 연구)

  • Park, Shin-Won;Choi, Sang-Hee;Cho, Young-Tae
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2012
  • The research which it sees is the simulation research for "The Ecological Diversion of Forest Land-Use System". It accomplished the simulation which applies a permission standard, it developed escape it did a model and the basic draft. From the research which it sees in order to investigate the application characteristic of natural intimate mountain district application standard the mountain district whole aspect instance middle actual object a time mountain district use standard about under selecting which it will yell it applied. "Natural intimate mountain district development standard triangular position plan research" from compatibility of the mode of life mountain district whole aspect permission standard which is proposed about under investigating it presented the improvement program and a institutional improvement direction of corresponding standard. About under preserving plan it applies the yearly environment the mountain district to sleep it prepares the foundation for it accomplished the transcendental research for. With the achievement resources which the mountain district has resultantly must preserve a value, limit of the development size it will be able to minimize the effect which it follows in development, the arrangement method back could be proposed, also the case which will use the mountain district where it is damaged induces the development which cabinets to the concept of demobilization, the case which will apply the existing forest resources takes a triangular position with the act it will be able to increase the circulating value of the resources and will do.

Temperature Compensation Technique for Steel Sleeve Packaged FBG Strain Sensor and Its Application in Structural Monitoring

  • Yun, Ying-Wei;Jang, Il-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2008
  • As bare Fiber Bragg Grating (FBG) sensors are very fragile, bare FBG without encapsulation is not properly applied in practical infrastructures directly due to the harsh environment in practical engineering. Steel sleeve packaged FBG strain sensor is widely used in civil engineering. Since FBG senses both strain and temperature simultaneously, for accurate measurement of strain, temperature compensation for FBG strain sensors is indispensable. In this paper, based on the FBG's strain and temperature sensing principles, the temperature compensation techniques for steel sleeve packaged FBG sensors are brought forward. And the experiment of concrete early-age shrinkage monitoring by dual FBG sensors is carried out to test the feasibility of the temperature compensation technique.

Hydrological Drought Analysis using Copula Theory (Copula 이론을 이용한 수문학적 가뭄 분석)

  • Kwak, Jae Won;Kim, Duck Gil;Lee, Jong Soo;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.3B
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2012
  • Drought is a normal and recurrent phenomenon. But, recurring prolonged droughts have caused consequences and diverse impacts on human system. Therefore, understanding drought characteristics is indispensable element in well-prepared drought management. This study aims to investigate the hydrological droughts of Pyongchang stream and Upstream of Namhan-river in Korean peninsula. For modelling of the joint distribution of drought duration and drought severity, the copula method is used to construct the bivariate drought distribution and return period from the predetermined marginal distributions of drought duration and drought severity. As the result, the most severed drought of the Pyongchang stream and Upstream of Namhan-river occuring during period 1967 to 2007 is the 1981 and 1973. Return period for this drought derived from copula is 550 and 110 years.