• Title/Summary/Keyword: 임무성공률

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A Study on the Estimation of Launch Success Probability for Space Launch Vehicles Using Bayesian Method (베이지안 기법을 적용한 우주발사체의 발사 성공률 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Seung-Woo;Kim, In-Gul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.48 no.7
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    • pp.537-546
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    • 2020
  • The reliability used as a performance indicator during the development of space launch vehicle should be validated by the launch success probability, and the launch data need to be fed back for reliability management. In this paper, the launch data of space launch vehicles around the world were investigated and statistically analyzed for the success probabilities according to the launch vehicle models and maturity. The Bayesian estimation of launch success probability was reviewed and analyzed by comparing the estimated success probabilities using several prior distributions and the statistical success probability. We presented the method of generating prior distribution function and considerations for Bayesian estimation.

A Study on the Prediction of Failure Rate of Airforce OO Guided Missile Based on Field Failure Data (야전운용제원에 기반한 공군 OO유도탄 고장률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Cheonkyu;Ma, Jungmok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.428-434
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    • 2020
  • The one-shot weapon system is destroyed after only one mission. So, the system requires high reliability. Guided missiles are one-shot weapon systems that have to be analyzed by storage reliability since they spend most of their life in storage. The analysis results depend on the model and the ratio of correct censored data. This study was conducted to propose a method to more accurately predict the future failure rate of Air force guided missiles. In the proposed method, the failure rate is predicted by both MTTF (Mean Time To Failure) and MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) models and the model with a smaller error from the real failure rate is selected. Next, with the selected model, the ratio of correct censored data is selected to minimize the error between the predicted failure rate and the real failure rate. Based on real field data, the comparative result is determined and the result shows that the proposed sampling rate can predict the future failure rate more accurately.

다목적실용위성 3호 초기 궤도조정 결과 분석

  • Jeong, Ok-Cheol;Kim, Dong-Gyu;Jeong, Dae-Won;Kim, Hak-Jeong
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.163.2-163.2
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    • 2012
  • 다목적실용위성 3호는 2012년 5월 발사되어, 위성 기능점검을 위한 시험을 성공적으로 완료하였다. 위성이 발사체로부터 분리된 이후 임무궤도(고도 685km, 승교점 지방시 13시 30분을 갖는 태양동기궤도)를 획득하기 위해서는 궤도조정이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 다목적실용위성 3호의 초기운영 기간 동안 수행한 총 10번의 궤도조정 계획 및 결과에 대해 기술하였다. 궤도조정 1 단계에서는 궤도조정 절차 및 기능을 점검하기 위해 6번의 시험 궤도조정을 순차적으로 수행하였고 이후 2 단계에서는 임무궤도 진입을 위해 4번의 궤도조정을 실시하였다. 궤도조정을 위해서는 원하는 추력분사 방향을 맞추기 위해 롤 방향 또는 피치 방향의 자세제어가 필요한데, 추력기를 사용하여 자세를 기동하는 모드(Del-V Mode)와 휠을 사용하여 자세를 기동하는 모드(Fine Del-V Mode)로 구분된다. 시험 궤도조정에서는 우선적으로 두 가지 모드에 대한 모드전환 시험을 실시하여 위성체 및 지상국 운영절차에 대한 이상 유무를 점검하였고, 이후 추력기 분사량을 10초로 설정하여 예측 대비 실제 궤도변경 결과값을 확인하였다. 시험 궤도조정의 결과를 토대로 본 궤도조정에서는 임무궤도를 획득하기 위한 경사각 조정 및 고도 조정을 수행하였다. 경사각 조정 시에는 승교점 지방시의 변화량을 줄이고, 이후 자연 교란력에 의한 궤도변화를 고려하여 목표궤도를 계획하였다. 또한, 고도 조정 단계에서는 연료 사용량 및 이심률 변화를 최소화 할 수 있도록 전형적인 호만 궤도천이 방식을 적용하였다. 궤도조정 결과 당초 목표한 값을 정확하게 달성하였고, 궤도조정 이후 궤도변화도 장기간 동안 임무궤도 범위를 유지함을 확인할 수 있었다.

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A Study on the RAM Object Values (RAM 요소설계 목표값 연구)

  • 이한규;최진희
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.218-230
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    • 2000
  • In the weapon system development/operation stage, the goals of RAM activities are to support the cost effective performance optimization in design and operation supports. In the study, the main contents are as follows; 1) To establish the operational concept and circumstance of the subsequent tank, the combat/operation scenario, the operational mode summary and mission profile for subsequent tank development are analyzed. 2) To evaluate the administrative and logistics down time for subsequent tank, the prefigured logistics circumstance and maintenance system are analyzed. 3) To calculate the RAM object values, a mathematical model for the user are developed. 4) To examinate the propriety of the RAM object values, the combat readiness are reviewed. The obtained RAM object values are provided to predict and analyze for the combat readiness, staying power, mission reliability, equipment availability and the logistic support capability.

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A Study on the Knowledge Base Construction of Expert System for S/W Project Management (소프트웨어 사업관리 지원용 전문가시스템의 지식베이스 구축에 관한 연구)

  • 김화수;최병권
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.397-406
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    • 2000
  • 대부분의 국방정보시스템의 소프트웨어는 높은 가용성, 신뢰성, 신속성, 정확성 등을 요구하는 대규모이면서 복잡한 실시간 시스템이다. 이러한 국방정보시스템의 소프트웨어 개발사업에 있어서 저비용 고효율의 미개국방경영 건설을 위하고 강한 전투력을 육성하기 위해서는 국방정보시스템의 효율적인 소프트웨어 개발사법이 요구된다. 따라서, 국방정보시스템의 소프트웨어 사업관리자가 개발사업을 관리하고 감독하는데 있어서 개발자와 사용자간의 조정 및 통제 기능을 수행하고 해당 국방정보시스템의 특성을 파악하여 성공적인 사업수행을 할 수 있도록 기술적인 사업관리 측면에서 구체적이고 상세화된 방안/지침을 제공하기 위한 전문가시스템의 지식베이스 도메인 지식개발에 관한 연구이다. 기존의 국방정보시스템의 사업관리자가 경험을 동해 축적해 온 기술, 정책, 아이디어, 노하우 등에 대한 지식을 습득하고 사업 관련자료에서 제시한 소프트웨어 생명주기 단계별 방안이나 지침 등을 바탕으로 하여 식별된 사실이나 내용을 지식베이스로 구축하여 국방정보시스템의 사업관리자가 필요로 할 때 설명모듈을 거쳐 임무 및 세부활동사항을 게시하여 줌으로써 사업관리 경험이 부족하거나 사업관리자가 교체되었을 때 사업관리자들이 업무를 지속적으로 연계시켜 임무수행이 가능하도록 기초/기반 여건을 제공하고자 한다. 본 논문은 국방정보시스템의 소프트웨어 개발사업에서 소프트웨어 생명주기 단계별 사업관리자의 임무 및 세부활동사항 지원용 전문가시스템을 개발할 때 이용할 수 있도록 도메인 지식을 개발하는 것이며 논문의 결과를 활용시 기대되는 효과는 본문을 참고 바란다.의 장점을 취합하여 설계되었다. 본 시스템은 기존의 UN/EDIFACT표준을 사용하고 있는 EDI환경과 기존 VAN 방식의 EDI 중계 시스템과 연동되며, 향후 관세청의 XML/EDI 표준 시행을 미리 대비하는 선도연구로서 자리매김이 된다. 본 연구에서는 개발된 XML/EDI 통관시스템은 향후, 서비스의 최대 걸림돌이 되어왔던 값비싼 EDI 사용료의 부담에서 벗어날 수 있게 할 것이며, 저렴한 EDI구축/운영 비용으로 전자문서교환의 활성화와 XML이 인터넷 기반의 문서유통 표준으로 자리매김할 수 있는 중요한 계기가 될 것이다.재무/비재무적 지표를 고려한 인공신경망기법의 예측적중률이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 로지스틱회귀 분석의 재무적 지표모형은 훈련, 시험용이 84.45%, 85.10%인 반면, 재무/비재무적 지표모형은 84.45%, 85.08%로서 거의 동일한 예측적중률을 가졌으나 인공신경망기법 분석에서는 재무적 지표모형이 92.23%, 85.10%인 반면, 재무/비재무적 지표모형에서는 91.12%, 88.06%로서 향상된 예측적중률을 나타내었다.ting LMS according to increasing the step-size parameter $\mu$ in the experimentally computed. learning curve. Also we find that convergence speed of proposed algorithm is increased by (B+1) time proportional to B which B is

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The Development of the Automatic Linkage Establishment System for the Long Range Communication (장거리 통신을 위한 주파수 자동탐색 시스템 개발)

  • No, Sangwan;Lee, Soonyoung;Kim, Minsoo
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2019
  • This study suggests the development of the ALE (Automatic Link Establishment) system for the long-range communication with a helicopter at the lands or marines by HF (High Frequency) radios. In the condition of LOS or more than 35 NM, the communication success rate is significantly lowered when the frequency is manually selected because of the reduced transmission power and various strong RF environment noise signals. In this paper, we make an effort to overcome the difficulties of choosing the optimal frequency when the operating frequency selection is manually operated in long-distance communication or LOS uncertain environment. The ALE system is designed based on the frequency analysis propagation software and is verified that the communication success rate is increased by applying the proposed system. The ALE system was applied to the helicopter system and the ground/flight test was conducted. As a result, the superiority and efficiency of the proposed system were verified.

Design and Implementation of Interface System for Swarm USVs Simulation Based on Hybrid Mission Planning (하이브리드형 임무계획을 고려한 군집 무인수상정 시뮬레이션 시스템의 연동 인터페이스 설계 및 구현)

  • Park, Hee-Mun;Joo, Hak-Jong;Seo, Kyung-Min;Choi, Young Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • Defense fields widely operate unmanned systems to lower vulnerability and enhance combat effectiveness. In the navy, swarm unmanned surface vehicles(USVs) form a cluster within communication range, share situational awareness information among the USVs, and cooperate with them to conduct military missions. This paper proposes an interface system, i.e., Interface Adapter System(IAS), to achieve inter-USV and intra-USV interoperability. We focus on the mission planning subsystem(MPS) for interoperability, which is the core subsystem of the USV to decide courses of action such as automatic path generation and weapon assignments. The central role of the proposed system is to exchange interface data between MPSs and other subsystems in real-time. To this end, we analyzed the operational requirements of the MPS and identified interface messages. Then we developed the IAS using the distributed real-time middleware. As experiments, we conducted several integration tests at swarm USVs simulation environment and measured delay time and loss ratio of interface messages. We expect that the proposed IAS successfully provides bridge roles between the mission planning system and other subsystems.

Development of a Cost Effective Radio Communication System for UAS (무인항공기용 저비용 고효율 무선통신 시스템 개발)

  • Park, Sang-Hyuk;Kim, Sung-Su;Choi, Kee-Young;Park, Choon-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.600-607
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    • 2008
  • Reliable wireless transmission of data generated by the flight critical subsystems or mission equipments of the unmanned aerial system is critical for mission success. As the UAS system becomes more sophisticated, its dependency on a reliable high rate radio communication system also increases. This requirement is applied not only during the operation phase but also in the early development test phase. This paper introduces a practical cost-effective communication system for a UAS. The downlink module combines analog NTSC video signal with onboard data, and send them using 2.4 GHz carrier wave. The uplink system has less a severe requirement on the bandwidth, and thus uses 430 MHz signal. This paper also presents a sample packet structure which can be adopted for many UAS of similar class.

Development of a Control Law to Pneumatic Control for an Anti-G Suit (Anti-G 슈트 공압 제어를 위한 제어법칙 개발)

  • Kim, Chong-sup;Hwang, Byung-moon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.548-556
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    • 2015
  • The highly maneuverable fighter aircraft such as F-22, F-16 and F-15have the high maneuverability to maximize the combat performance, whereas the high maneuver characteristics might degrade the pilot's mission efficiency due to fatigue's increase by exposing him to the high gravity and, in the worst case, the pilot could face GLOC (Gravity-induced Loss Of Consciousness). The advanced aerospace company has applied the various technologies to improve the pilot's tolerance to the gravity acceleration, in order to prevent the pilot from entering the situation of the loss of consciousness. Especially, the Anti-G Suit(AGS) equipment to protect the pilot against the high gravity in flight could improve the mission success rate by decreasing the pilot's fatigue in the combat maneuver as well as prevent the pilot from facing GLOC. In this paper, a control algorithm is developed and verified to provide an optimal air pressure to AGS according to the gravity increase during the high performance maneuver. This result is expected, as the key technology, to contribute to the KF-X(Korean Fighter eXperimental), project in the near future.

A Methodology for Estimating Reliability and Development Cost of a New Liquid Rocket Engine -focused on Staged Combustion Cycle with LOX/LH2 (액체로켓엔진의 신뢰도 및 개발비용 추정 방법 -LOX/LH2 다단연소 사이클을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Kyungmee O.;Hwang, Junwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.437-443
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    • 2014
  • Engine is one of the most important parts in a rocket for completing its mission successfully. In this paper, we provide a methodology for estimating reliability and development cost of a liquid rocket engine newly developed. To estimate reliability, a baseline engine is selected considering factors whose effects on reliability are unquantifiable. Then reliability of a baseline engine is adjusted to reflect the effect of factors that can be modeled quantitatively. Using the previous Transcost engine cost expressed in terms of mass and the number of hot firing tests, the engine development cost is reexpressed in reliability and thrust requirements. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the application of the methodology to a turbopump rocket engine using staged combustion cycle with LOX/LH2 propellant.