• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인과 추리

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매니아 9인이 추천하는 유명작가의 명작들

  • Kim, Yeon-Su
    • The Korean Publising Journal, Monthly
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    • s.173
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    • pp.10-13
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    • 1995
  • 후덥지근한 여름철엔 추리소설이 제격이다. 최근엔 추리소설도 장르가 세분화, 의학추리.과학추리.서스펜스.SF 등 다양한 형태로 소개돼 독자들의 호기심을 끌어당긴다. 추리소설의 진미는 흥미 진진한 줄거리 속에 펼쳐지는 풍부한 상상력의 세계에 있다. 매니아들이 추천하는 유명작가들의 작품을 통해 품격 높은 '추리'의 독특한 세계 속으로 들어가 본다.

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Active Inferential Processing During Comprehension in Poor Readers (미숙 독자들에 있어 이해 도중의 능동적 추리의 처리)

  • Zoh Myeong-Han;Ahn Jeung-Chan
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.75-102
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    • 2006
  • Three experiments were conducted using a verification task to examine good and poor readers' generation of causal inferences(with because sentences) and contrastive inferences(with although sentences). The unfamiliar, critical verification statement was either explicitly mentioned or was implied. In Experiment 1, both good and poor readers responded accurately to the critical statement, suggesting that both groups had the linguistic knowledge necessary to the required inferences. Differences were found, however, in the groups' verification latencies. Poor, but not good, readers responded faster to explicit than to implicit verification statements for both because and although sentences. In Experiment 2, poor readers were induced to generate causal inferences for the because experimental sentences by including fillers that were apparently counterfactual unless a causal inference was made. In Experiment 3, poor readers were induced to generate contrastive inferences for the although sentences by including fillers that could only be resolved by making a contrastive inference. Verification latencies for the critical statements showed that poor readers made causal inferences in Experiment 2 and contrastive inferences in Experiment 3 doting comprehension. These results were discussed in terms of context effect: Specific encoding operations performed on anomaly backgrounded in another passage would form part of the context that guides the ongoing activity in processing potentially relevant subsequent text.

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인과적 마코프 조건과 비결정론적 세계

  • Lee, Yeong-Eui
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.47-67
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    • 2005
  • Bayesian networks have been used in studying and simulating causal inferences by using the probability function distributed over the variables consisting of inquiry space. The focus of the debates concerning Bayesian networks is the causal Markov condition that constrains the probabilistic independence between all the variables which are not in the causal relations. Cartwright, a strong critic about the Bayesian network theory, argues that the causal Markov condition cannot hold in indeterministic systems, so it cannot be a valid principle for causal inferences. The purpose of the paper is to explore whether her argument on the causal Markov condition is valid. Mainly, I shall argue that it is possible for upholders of the causal Markov condition to respond properly the criticism of Cartwright through the continuous causal model that permits the infinite sequence of causal events.

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Causal reasoning studies with a focus on the Power Probabilistic Contrast Theory (힘 확률 대비 이론에 기반을 둔 인과 추론 연구)

  • Park, Jooyong
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.541-572
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    • 2016
  • Causal reasoning is actively studied not only by psychologists but, in recent years, also by cognitive scientists taking the Bayesian approach. This paper seeks to provide an overview of the recent trends in causal reasoning research with a focus on the power probabilistic contrast theory of causality, a major psychological theory on causal inference. The power probabilistic contrast theory (PPCT) assumes that a cause is a power that initiates or inhibits the result. This power is purported be understood through statistical correlation under certain conditions. The paper examines the supporting empirical evidence in the development of PPCT. Also, introduced are the theoretical dispute between the PPCT and the model based on Bayesian approach, and the current developments and implications of research on causal invariance hypothesis, which states that cause operates identically regardless of the context. Recent studies have produced experimental results that cannot be readily explained by existing empirical approach. Therefore, these results call for serious examination of the power theory of causality by researchers in neighboring fields such as philosophy, statistics, and artificial intelligence.

A STUDY OF PRINCIPLES OF ORIENTAL MEDICINE CONCERNING THE DISEASE OF DIGESTIVE SYSTEM (-소화계질환(消化系疾患)에 관(關)한 한의학원리(韓醫學原理)의 고찰(考察)-)

  • Lee, Jong Hyong
    • The Journal of Internal Korean Medicine
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 1976
  • 소화계질환(消化系疾患)이라고 하면 그 범위(範圍)가 매우 넓으나 대체로 크게 두가지로 구분(區分)할 수 있다. 하나는 소화기계통장기(消火器系統臟器)의 기질적(器質的) 질환(疾患)이고 다른 하나는 음식물(飮食物)의 섭취(攝取) 소화(消火) 흡수(吸收) 및 영양화(營養化)에 관계(關係)되는 기능적(機能的)인 질환(疾患)이다. 한의학상(韓醫學上) 소화계질환(消化系疾患)은 다분(多分)히 후자(後者) 즉(卽) 기능적(機能的) 질환(疾患)쪽을 많이 연구(硏究)한 경향(傾向)이 있으며 이것을 [비위내상(脾胃內傷)]위장병(胃腸病)이라고 부르고 있다. 한의학상(韓醫學上) 음식물(飮食物)과 질병(疾病)에 관(關)한 관찰(觀察)은 일찍이 상고시대(上古時代)로부터 매우 고조(高潮)되였던 것으로 생각된다. 내경(內經)(B. C200)에 의(依)하면 인간(人間)이 그 수명(壽命)을 다함에 있어 무엇보다도 음식(飮食)의 절제(節制)를 잘해야 한다는 설명(說明)이 있고, 천금방(千金方)(AD682)에는 신체(身體)를 강건(强健)케 하는 기본(基本)은 음식(飮食)에 있으며 의자(醫者)가 질병(疾病)을 치료(治療)함에 있어 마땅히 먼저 식치(食治)(식이요법(食餌療法))를 하되 식치(食治)로 낫지 않거던 용약(用藥)하라고 하였고, 삼인방(三因方)(AD1174)는 질병(疾病)의 삼대원인(三大原因) 중(中) 음식(飮食)으로 일어나는 원인(原因)을 가장 중요(重要)한 것으로 보았고 1250년대(年代) 이동원(李東垣)은 [비위론(脾胃論)]을 저술(著述)하여 소화계(消化系)에 관(關)한 이론(理論)을 특별(特別)히 천명(闡明)하였다. 이와 같이 한의학(韓醫學)은 음식(飮食)과 양생(養生), 영양(榮養)과 질병(疾病), 그리고 소화기능(消火機能)에 관(關)하여 고대(古代)로부터 중요시(重要視)해온 것이다. 그러나 그 이론(理論)들이 다분(多分)히 현상적관찰(現象的觀察)과 경험적추리(經驗的推理)로서 설명(說明)되었기 때문에 현대의학(現代醫學)(서양의학(西洋醫學))과 같은 조직해부학(組織解剖學) 및 생화학적(生化學的)인 이론(理論)과는 상위(相違)한 점(點)이 많다. 더욱이 음양오행설(陰陽五行說)이라는 다분(多分)히 형이상적(形而上的)인 학(學) 사유(思惟)로서 관찰추리(觀察推理)되였기 때문에 현대의학(現代醫學)과의 비교설명(比較說明)이 거의 불가능(不可能)하며 또한 한의학이론(韓醫學理論)의 과학적근거제시(科學的根據提示)도 현재(現在)로서는 어려운 형편(形便)이다. 그러나 이 의학(醫學)은 이미 2,000여년간(餘年間) 동양(東洋)에서 전래(傳來)한 경험의학(經驗醫學)으로서 동양인(東洋人)들은 이 의학(醫學)으로 소화계질환(消化系疾患)을 포함(包含)한 여러 가지 인간(人間)의 질병(疾病)을 치료(治療)해 왔고 현재(現在)도 이 의학(醫學)으로 치료(治療)를 하고 있고 실제적(實際的)으로 많은 치효(治效)를 보고 있는 것이다. 그러므로 이 의학(醫學)속에는 아직도 현대과학(現代科學)으로서 해명(解明)되지 못하는 어떤 요소(要素)들이 깃들여 있는 것이 확실(確實)하며 이것을 밝혀내기 위해서 우리 의학자(醫學者)들은 이 의학(醫學)에 관(關)한 모든 것을 연구(硏究)해 보아야 한다. 이런 뜻에서 본고찰(本考察)은 한방(漢方)의 역대제문헌(歷代諸文獻)을 섭렵(涉獵)하여 소화계질환(消化系疾患)에 관(關)한 제이론(諸理論)들을 발췌(拔萃), 한방(漢方)에서 보는 (1) 소화기관(消化器官)의 생리(生理) (2) 병리(病理), 증후(證候) (3) 치법원리(治法原理)을 조사고찰(調査考察)해 본 것이다.

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Rule-Inferring Strategies for Abductive Reasoning in the Process of Solving an Earth-Environmental Problem (지구환경적 문제 해결 과정에서 귀추적 추론을 위한 규칙 추리 전략들)

  • Oh, Phil-Seok
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.546-558
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to identify heuristically how abduction was used in a context of solving an earth-environmental problem. Thirty two groups of participants with different institutional backgrounds, i,e., inservice earth science teachers, preservice science teachers, and high school students, solved an open-ended earth-environmental problem and produced group texts in which their ways of solving the problem were written, The inferential processes in the texts were rearranged according to the syllogistic form of abduction and then analyzed iteratively so as to find thinking strategies used in the abductive reasoning. The result showed that abduction was employed in the process of solving the earth-environmental problem and that several thinking strategies were used for inferring rules from which abductive conclusions were drawn. The strategies found included data reconstruction, chained abduction, adapting novel information, model construction and manipulation, causal combination, elimination, case-based analogy, and existential strategy. It was suggested that abductive problems could be used to enhance students' thinking abilities and their understanding of the nature of earth science and earth-environmental problems.

Characterization of Avian Adenovirus Associated Virus I. Isolation and Identification of Avian Adenovirus Associated Virus (Avian Adenovirus Associated Virus (AAAV)의 특성에 관한 연구 I. AAAV의 분리 및 동정)

  • Rhee, Young O.;Yates, Vance J.
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1980
  • 매추리 유래 가금 adenovirus인 QBV로 부터 CsCl을 사용한 균질밀도분배원심분리법으로 AAAV의 분리를 시도하였으며, 분리된 바이러스의 순수성을 전자현미경 및 혈청학적인 방법을 통하여 증명하였으며 순수 분리된 AAAV를 항원으로 사용한 혈청반응을 개발하였다. 즉, CsCl의 밀도 1.38 및 $1.42gm/cm^3$의 분획들은 순수한 AAAV이었으며 $1.42gm/cm^3$의 분획은 토끼에서 양성혈청제조용 면역원으로 1.38 및 $1.42gm/cm^3$의 분획은 혈청반응용 표준항원으로 사용하였다. AAAV 표준항원 및 가토 양성혈청계는 MDV, IBDV, ITV 및 "helper"인 가금 adenovirus와의 교차반응이 없었으며 혈청학적인 특이성이 인정되었다. 또한 상기 혈청학적 반응을 이용하여 AAAV의 동정은 물론 AAAV에 대한 닭의 항체검출을 가능하게 하였다.

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A Study on Validating Causal Reasoning Ability Test for Children (아동용 인과추론능력검사 개발 예비 연구)

  • Shin, Jongho;Lee, Hyeon-Ju;Kim, Jeong-Ha;Hwang, hyeyoung;Gwon, Hui-Gyeong;Sim, Jeong-A
    • (The) Korean Journal of Educational Psychology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.367-384
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to develop picture testing instrument for measuring children's causal reasoning ability on events that can occur in daily life. The measurement instrument contains three domain of human development; haman behavior domain, human psychology domain, and natural/physical domain. Through this study, researchers designed a concept model based on theoretical framework and prior studies and investigated the reliability and validity of the measurement instrument which was developed in accordance with the concept model. For the empirical validation research, a pretest was conducted to 336 elementary school students in grade 2 to 4 in Seoul. Considering reliability and validity of the developed measurement instrument and factor loadings, researchers sorted out 18 questions. And then 18 question test and KICE Critical Thinking Ability Test was conducted to 509 elementary school students in grade 1 to 4 in Seoul. According to the result of the tests, the researchers sorted out final 12 questions. The Cronbach's alpha, reliability of the children's causal reasoning ability test consisted of the final 12 question, was significant as .72. Also, the result of exploratory factor analysis showed that factors of this test were haman behavior domain, human psychology domain, and natural/physical domain. Moreover, the correlation between the KEDI Reasoning Ability Test(2003) scores and the scores of the test developed in the current study was significant as .55. Finally, the result of the analysis about children's grade differences, the development by discrepancy of age was significant in total points and that of each domain. The children's causal reasoning ability test developed by this study can be useful not only for the evaluation of children's thinking ability but also for screening of the handicapped children in thinking ability development.

A Statistical Study on the Competitive Advantages and Management Performances of Korean Firms in India (인도 진출 한국기업의 경쟁우위요인과 경영성과에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Chul;Kim, Jin
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.265-286
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this research can be said as follows. The close examination of competitive advantages of Korean enterprises who have been participating and dominating the management activities directly in India. And the Analysing of the correlation between the competitive advantages and the management performances of Korean firms there. That is, the factors which exercise their influence over the local management positively can be activated and developed reasonably and systematically while the others which exercise their influence over it negatively have to be eliminated, at least. The factors of competitive advantages on this paper are from ones which could generally be recognized on the basis of the preceding studies, and the management performances are divided by three sub-variables like sales, profits and management satisfaction. As empirically statistical method, Regression coefficient analysis as inferential statistics as well as Pearson's correlation as descriptive is implemented for this paper of testing some hypotheses.

Vegetation Structure and Soil Properties of Hemerocallis hongdoensis Population (홍도원추리(Hemerocallis hongdoensis Makino) 개체군의 식생구조와 토양특성)

  • Hwang, Yong;Kim, Mu-Yeol;Song, Ho-Kyung
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.868-875
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    • 2012
  • This study was carried out to analyze the vegetation properties, soil characteristics and ordination of Hemerocallis hongdoensis population in South Korea. The Hemerocallis hongdoensis population was classified into Mallotus japonicus dominant population, Viburnum wrightii dominant population, Melampyrum setaceum dominant population. Hemerocallis hongdoensis were mainly distributed along the coast of south-western iland of the Korean penninsula and it's population was located at an elevation of 6m to 362m. In the study sites, soil organic matter, total nitrogen, exchangeable potassium, exchangeable calcium, exchangeable magnesium, cation exchange capacity and soil pH were 16.18~21.70%, 0.56~0.97%, 0.42~0.88mg/kg, $3.38{\sim}5.65cmol^+/kg$, $1.12{\sim}2.38cmol^+/kg$, $25.93{\sim}41.45cmol^+/kg$, and 4.45~4.86 respectively. Mallotus japonicus dominant population was found in the steep sloped area that has high percentage of cation exchange capacity and total nitrogen than other populations. Viburnum wrightii dominant population was found gentle sloped area that has low percentage of cation exchange capacity and total nitrogen. Melampyrum setaceum dominant population was found in the medium sloped area that has medium percentage of cation exchange capacity and total nitrogen. Current status of Hemerocallis hongdoensis habitats is very vulnerable with local development constantly threatening the species' survival. Thus, concrete conservation plans to protect natural habitats should be set up as soon as possible.