• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.33-55
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• 1995

포지인식도(Fuzzy Cognitive Map : FCM)는 추상적이고 비구조적이며 동적인 응용영역에서 전문가의 인과관계 지식(causal knowledge)을 표현하는데 매우 유용한 도구이다. FCM이 기존의 다른 네트워크 형태의 지식표현방법과 다른 차이점은 대상 문제의 개념변수들을 퍼지집합으로 묘사하고, 개념 변수간의 관계를 퍼지 인과관계로 다룬다는 것이다. 그런데 FCM의 특성이 아직 충분히 논의되지 않은 상태에서는 FCM의 적용에 있어 오류가 일어날 수 있다. 본 논문의 목적은 첫째, FCM의 특성과 의미를 보다 명확히 하여 이론적인 측면을 보강하고자 한다. 이를 위해 논리적관계(implication)와는 다른 인과관계의 정의를 다시 확인하고, 이정의에 기초한 퍼지 인과관계의 특성을 파악하고, 퍼지 인과관계와 대비되는 퍼지 부분인과관계 및 단방향 개념변수를 새로이 정의함으로써 FCM구축에 있어 잘못된 이해가 없게 하며, 둘째, FCM에서는 추론 방식이 갖추어야 할 원칙을 명시하고 이에 따라 이러한 원칙을 준수하는 새로운 추론 방식을 제시한다.

• Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.335-346
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• 2008

Causal relations in ontology should be defined based on the inference types necessary to solve problems specific to application as well as domain. In this paper, we present a model to define and extract causal relations for application ontology for Question-Answering (QA) on fault-diagnosis of electronic devices. Causal categories are defined by analyzing generic patterns of QA application; the relations between concepts in the corpus belonging to the causal categories are defined as causal relations. Instances of casual relations are extracted using lexical patterns in the concept definitions of domain, and extended incrementally with information from thesaurus. On the evaluation by domain specialists, our model shows precision of 92.3% in classification of relations and precision of 80.7% in identifying causal relations at the extraction phase.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2009.11a
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• pp.291-292
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• 2009

모바일 장치에서 얻을 수 있는 정보는 의미 있는 다양한 개인 정보를 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 모바일 장치에서 얻을 수 있는 정보를 분석하여 특이성을 추론하는 방법을 제안한다. 특이성 추론 방법으로 인과관계의 지식을 모델링하고 표현하며 추론하는 주요 형식화 방법의 하나인 FCM(Fuzzy Cognitive Map)을 사용하였다. 제안된 방법은 모바일 장치에서 얻은 정보와 추론된 특이성을 개념노드로 이용하여 새로운 특이성을 추론하며, 개념노드간의 인과관계를 효율적으로 표현한다.

• Korean Journal of Child Studies
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• v.29 no.5
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• pp.243-269
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• 2008

The role of domain-specific causal mechanism information and domain-general conditional probability in young children's causal reasoning on physics and psychology was investigated with the participation of 121 3-year-olds and 121 4-year-olds recruited from seven child care centers in Seoul, Kyonggi Province, and Busan. Children watched moving pictures on physical and psychological phenomena, and were asked to choose an appropriate cause and justify their choice. Results showed that young children's causal reasoning differed depending on domain-specific mechanism. In addition, their causal reasoning on physics and psychology differed by the developmental level of causal mechanism. The interaction of domain-specific mechanism and domain-general conditional probability influenced children's causal reasoning : evident conditional probability between domain-appropriate cause and effect helped children make more inferences based on domain-specific causal mechanism.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.8 no.12
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• pp.1-9
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• 2008

Fuzzy Cognitive Map, one of ways to model, describe and infer reasoning relations, is widely used in the field of reasoning knowledge engineering. Despite of the natural and easy understanding of decision and smooth explanation of relation between front and rear, reasoning relation is organized with mathematical haziness and complex algorithm and rarely has an interactive user interface. This paper suggests an interactive Fuzzy Cognitive Map(FCM) construction support system. It builds a FCM increasingly concerning multiple experts' knowledge. Futhermore, it supports user-supportive environment by dynamically displaying the structure of Fuzzy Cognitive Map which is constructed by the interaction between experts and the system.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.615-632
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• 2017

Unlike randomized trial, statistical strategies for inferring the unbiased causal relationship are required in the observational studies. The matching with the propensity score is one of the most popular methods to control the confounders in order to evaluate the effect of the treatment on the outcome variable. Recently, new methods for the causal inference in latent class analysis (LCA) have been proposed to estimate the average causal effect (ACE) of the treatment on the latent discrete variable. They have focused on the application study for the real dataset to estimate the ACE in LCA. In practice, however, the true values of the ACE are not known, and it is difficult to evaluate the performance of the estimated the ACE. In this study, we propose a method to generate a synthetic data using the propensity score in the framework of LCA, where treatment and outcome variables are latent. We then propose a new method for estimating the ACE in LCA and evaluate its performance via simulation studies. Furthermore we present an empirical analysis based on data form the 'National Longitudinal Study of Adolescents Health,' where puberty as a latent treatment and substance use as a latent outcome variable.

• Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.453-472
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• 2009

This article describes the interview data with two preservice teachers where they dealt with five water-filling problems for the investigation of their covariational thinking. The study's results revealed that two students developed their covariation levels from Direction level to Instantaneous Rate with an aid of the pre-constructed GSP simulations for the problem situations. However, this study also points out that there is a missing important feature for a function notion, 'causality' in the covariation framework and suggests that future research should combine students' conception of causality with their covariational thinking for the investigation of their development of a function concept.

• Journal of Families and Better Life
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.333-354
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• 2008

This study aimed to investigate the role of domain-specific causal mechanism information and domain-general conditional probability in young children's causal reasoning on psychology and biology. Participants were 121 3-year-olds and 121 4-year-olds recruited from seven childcare centers in Seoul, Kyonggi Province, and Busan. After participants watched moving pictures on psychological and biological phenomena, they were asked to choose appropriate cause and justify their choices. Results of this study were as follows: First, young children made different inferences according to domain-specific causal mechanisms. Second, the developmental level of causal mechanisms has a gap between psychology and biology, and biological knowledge was proved to be separate from psychological knowledge during the preschool period. Third, young children's causal reasoning was different depending on the interaction effect of domain-specific mechanisms and domain-general conditional probability: children could make more inferences based on domain-specific causal mechanisms if conditional probability between domain-appropriate cause and effect was evident. To conclude, it can be inferred that the role of domain-specific causal mechanisms and domain-general conditional probability is not competitive but complementary in young children's causal reasoning.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.51-60
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• 2006

The goal of qualitative analysis is to capture and formalize qualitative and intuitive knowledge about physical world. Qualitative reasoning has been successfully applied to electric and mechanical mechanism domains, in which most of reasoning has focused on simulation. This paper introduces a qualitative comparative analysis technique which predicts how a change in a given situation propagates. We developed a comparative analysis technique which extends previous research by including a reasoning technique about the relative rate of the change of a parameter. Previous research focuses only on the relative change of a parameter. Causal model for the given situation is generated from qualitative domain model. The propagation by the change in causal relations are traced by applying our comparative analysis. By providing explanation as well as prediction for the given change, our technique is expected to be used in design, diagnosis, intelligent tutoring system, environmental evaluation.

• Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.57-66
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• 1999

We believe that science experiments in a laboratory are essential for science education. Scientific experiments begin with situations set by selecting and locating tools and reagents. and by proper experimental behavior, and thereafter situations are changed by natural laws and intermediate experimental behavior. While scientists and students do experiments, they build a cognitive model internally, do causal reasoning on the model to derive system behavior, and then learn scientific truth. We suggest not only a representation method for a 2-dimentional model and for ontological entities necessary in causal reasoning, but also an inferencing method to derive behavior. Chemistry experiments are chosen for the implementation. For the ontological entities, we consider experimental tools, reagents and their heirarchical structures, physics and chemistry natural laws, and functional abstraction knowledge. In order to show the usefulness of our methods, we have developed a program, called ACUArtificial Chemistry Laboratory), which provides an experiment environment where students can do non-predetermined experiments, and shows experiment려 system behavior similar to what happens in the same situation in a real world and descriptions about why it happens.