• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이항로짓모형

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A Study on Determinants of Use and Satisfaction of Reverse Mortgage Considering Socioeconomic Characteristics of the Elderly (고령층의 사회경제적 특성을 고려한 주택연금 이용 및 만족도 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Jae Song;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the reverse mortgage utilization and satisfaction of the elderly. Based on the survey data of the reverse mortgage demand in 2016, we carried out empirical analysis using the binary logit model and the ordered logit model. First of all, as a result of the empirical analysis using the binary logit model, the determinants of using the reverse mortgage were age, region, assets, household member, children with financial help, and education level. As a result of the empirical analysis using the ordered logit model, the determinants of the satisfaction level of the reverse mortgage were estimated to be age, gender, and region. Based on the results of the empirical analysis, it is necessary to find a way to increase the participation rate of the reverse mortgage and to improve the satisfaction of the user.

Identifying Key Factors to Affect Vehicle Inspection and Maintenance(I/M) Test Results Using a Binary Logit Model (California Case Study) (이항로짓모형을 이용한 자동차 배출가스 검사결과에 미치는 요인분석(미국 캘리포니아 사례를 중심으로))

  • Chu, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.3 s.89
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2006
  • For the past decades, vehicle emissions has been a major source of air pollution in urban areas Vehicle inspection and maintenance (I/M) test programs were developed for major metropolitan areas to reduce urban air pollution. However. there are a few studies of exploring major factors to influence I/M test failure. This study develops a logit model to identify key factors affecting overall test failure, using the vehicle I/M test data from California in October 2002. The model results indicate that vehicle age, odometer reading, engine size, vehicle make, presences of emissions control equipment, and test types have significant effects on the probability of I/M test failure.

A Study on an ETCS Demand Forecasting Model of Toll Roads in Changwon City (유료도로 ETCS 이용수요 예측모형에 관한 연구 (창원시를 중심으로))

  • Kim, Kyung-Whan;Ha, Man-Bok;Jeon, Yeon-Hoo;Lee, Ik-Su
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1 s.31
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2007
  • Since early 1990s, several developed countries have applied the Electronic Toll Collection System (ETCS) to toll roads in order to solve traffic congestion and delay problems at toll plazas. For the successful operation of the ETCS, it is important to correctly forecast the ETCS using rate. In this study, it was conceived to develop a sophisticated demand forecasting model of the ETCS for toll roads in Changwon City The Binary Logit and neural network models were tested for the model considering 11 explaining variables. The best results in prediction accuracy and goodness-of-fit were obtained on the neural network model. However, because of the difficulty in predicting the 11 variables and its fitness in wide range, the Binary Logit model which considers three policy variables only is recommended as the model to forecast the ETCS using rate.

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A Study on Change of Travel Patterns According to Public Transportation Reform (A Case Study of Gyeongsan City) (대중교통체계 개편에 따른 대중교통 이용자들의 통행패턴 변화에 관한 연구 (경산시를 사례로))

  • Yun, Dae-Sik;Park, Hyeon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2010
  • The main objective of this paper is to analyze change of travel patterns according to public transportation reform. The paper uses data collected from Gyeongsan City. So far few researches, especially using before-and-after individual travel survey, have been conducted on analyzing effects of public transportation reform. For this research, some descriptive statistical analyses and statistical hypotheses tests were conducted. Furthermore, some empirical logit models were estimated for analyzing the individual effects of the public transportation reform. Finally, some important foundings, policy implications, and limitations of this research are discussed.

Bayesian analysis of cumulative logit models using the Monte Carlo Gibbs sampling (몬테칼로깁스표본기법을 이용한 누적로짓 모형의 베이지안 분석)

  • 오만숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 1997
  • An easy Monte Carlo Gibbs sampling approach is suggested for Bayesian analysis of cumulative logit models for ordinal polytomous data. Because in the cumulative logit model the posterior conditional distributions of parameters are not given in convenient forms for random sample generation, appropriate latent variables are introduced into the model so that in the new model all the conditional distributions are given in very convenient forms for implementation of the Gibbs sampler.

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Market Segmented Analysis of Electric Vehicle Purchasing Behavior in Seoul (서울시 전기차 구매행태에 대한 시장분할 분석)

  • HAHN, Jin-Seok;LEE, Jang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we analyzed the electric vehicle (EV) purchasing behavior with market segmentation in Seoul using the binary logit model. For the model estimation, the experimental design of SP survey generated 24 scenarios with purchase price, charging station availability, and driving range of EVs. The results of market segmentation analysis indicated that the owners of subcompact and compact size cars were primarily affected by the purchasing price while those of mid and full size cars were more sensitive to the charging station availability. By housing type, the charging station availability was the most important factor for the residents of apartment while the purchase price was the most important factor to choose the EVs. These results presented that the EV supply strategy of the automobile manufacturer should be diversified according to the marketing target and the expansion of the public charging infrastructure should be the top priority in the government policy.

Analyzing the Influence of Policy Measures for Growth Management Plan (성장관리방안 정책수단의 영향력 분석)

  • Jeon, Byung-Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.253-268
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    • 2020
  • This study examined the effectiveness of policy measures in a growth management plan by analyzing empirically the influence of regulations and incentives in a non-urban growth management plan of Sejong City using the binomial logistic model. The parcel unit data related development location of Sejong City from 2012 to 2017 was used in the model. The analysis showed that time regulation in the growth management plan has a negative (-) impact on the spread of development, which means it is effective in slowing urban sprawl by lowering the profits of developers. The time regulation applied in Sejong City needs to be used actively in other cities in Korea to prevent urban sprawl. Nevertheless, floor ratio incentives had no influence in inducing development within the growth management area, which means a new incentive policy to meet the local characteristics is needed to strengthen the effectiveness of the growth management plan. This study is meaningful because it attempted an empirical analysis of the effects of the growth management plan at The National Territory Act, and this study could encourage further studies.

Value of Travel-Time Savings in Metropolitan Road Freight Transportation with Freight Classification Code (화물품목 분류에 따른 대도시권 공로화물운송의 시간가치 산정)

  • 최창호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2002
  • The objective of this study is to reveal a shipper's preference for road freight transport according to commodity classification code. The shipper's preference in freight transport can be obtained by using value of travel-time savings. The characteristics of freight are so various that the shipper's preference also appear widely different. In these days, there were few attempts to estimate value of freight travel-time savings in Korea. but most of them included only rail or marine freight transport so it couldn't obtain unique travel-time savings for road freight transport. In this study the value of travel-time savings of road freight transport was estimated according to commodity classification code. Revealed preference method and associated binominal logit models were applied to estimate the value of travel-time savings in transit from a Seoul metropolitan commodity flow survey data in 1998. Data sets were segmented by commodity classification code and nineteen binominal legit models were estimated according to segmented groups. The results of this study showed that the value of freight travel-time savings varied wide ranges from 16,441 won to 66,769 won per hour a vehicle along with commodity classification code.

Determinants of Seafarers' Employment Stability (외항선원 고용형태 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Tae-Hwee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.534-540
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    • 2020
  • Like most developed countries, South Korea is experiencing a severe lack of seafarers. Because young people's demands for a high quality of life has led them to seek shore-based careers. The wage difference between seafaring and shore-based careers has been decreasing gradually, however South Korea's unique Boarding Service Reserve System Policy has helped recruit and retain young sailors and, since 2017, the government has focused on creating new jobs and stabilizing the status of irregular workers in both private and public sectors. It specifically established the Economic, Social & Labor Council to carefully analyze seafarers' employment stability, which previously had been overlooked in the country. This research used the Binary Logit Model (BLM) to analyze the determinants of seafarers' employment stability in both permanent and non-permanent positions. We found that seafarers' employment stability correlated highly with their education level. This means that seafarers who graduated from the above mentioned two maritime universities would have more job stablity than those who graduated from maritime high schools or general universities. Other independent variables, such as the shipping company, vessel, hip management companies, work assignment, rank, and license had no significant impact on employment stability.

Development of Mode Choice Model and Applications Considering Connectivity of Express Way (고속도로 연계성을 반영한 고속철도 수단선택모형 개발 및 적용)

  • Cho, Hang-Ung;Chung, Sung-Bong;Kim, Si-Gon;Oh, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2011
  • Until now, in planning and constructing KTX and the Express Way, the connectivity and transfer between these facilities have not been considered. In this study the effect of mode choice behavior by connecting KTX and the Express Way is analyzed through estimating Multinomial Logit Model and Binary Logit Model. The SP and RP surveys to develop these models were carried out and the data were selected from the passengers using the KTX station, Express Bus Terminals and Rest Areas in the Express Way. To test the effect of connectivity and transfer in the field, the case study for Dongtan KTX station was carried out. According to the results, connecting the KTX station and the Express Way has the effect of increasing the demand by 30%. And this is caused by saving about 120 minutes of traveling time from Seoul to Pusan. This study shows that the connectivity and transfer can increase the efficiency of transportation system and the improvement in the mobility and accessibility will maximize the usages of these two facilities.