• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이탈 고객 예측

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Analysis to Customer Churn Provoker's Roles Using Call Network of a Telecom Company (소셜 네트워크 분석을 기반으로 한 이동통신 잠재고객 이탈에 대한 연구)

  • Chun, Heuiju;Leem, Byunghak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.23-36
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we investigate how churn customers (who play a central connector or broker role) affect other customers' churn in their call networks with ego-network analysis using call data of a mobile telecom company in Korea. As a result of investigating Reciprocal Network, we found a relationship of attrition among churn customers. Churn provokers who influence other customers' attrition exist in customer churn networks. The characteristics of churn provokers is that they play a central connector and broker role in their groups. The proportion of churn provokers increases and the churn provoker's influence increases because the network is a reciprocal one.

An Empirical Study on Key Factors Affecting Churn Behavior with the Voices of Contact Center Customers (고객센터 상담내용 분석을 통한 이탈 요인에 관한 실증 연구)

  • Jang, Moonkyoung;Yoo, Byungjoon;Lee, Jaehwan
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.141-158
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    • 2017
  • Along with IT development, customers are getting more easily to express their opinions using various IT channels. In this situation, complaint management is a pressing issue for companies to acquire and maintain loyal customers with low cost. Most of previous studies have investigated customer complaint information by quantitative variables such as demographic information, transaction information, or complaint frequency, but studies focusing on qualitative aspects of complaint information are limited. Therefore, this paper considers the possibility for customers to leave even when they complain occasionally or briefly. This paper analyzes the quantitive aspects as well as the qualitative aspects using sentiment analysis with Exit-voice theory. The dataset contains 268,364 inquiries of 46,235 customers obtained from a contact center of a private security company in Korea. This paper carries out logistic regression and the results imply that the customers's explicit response and their implicit sentiment have different effect on customers leave. This study is expected to provide useful suggestions for the effective complaint management.

A study on customer's churning construct in the mobile communication service (이동통신 서비스의 고객이탈 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Soo-Tai;Kim, Do-Goan;Lee, Yun-Hee;Jin, Chan-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2013.07a
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    • pp.109-110
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    • 2013
  • 국내 이동통신 서비스 시장 사업자들은 신규고객 유치에 집중하기 보다는 기존고객 유지에 더 관심을 가지고 있다. 이러한 배경에는 새로운 신규고객의 창출에 소요되는 비용이 기존고객을 유지하는 비용이 적게 들기 때문이다. 따라서 고객이탈을 발생시키는 요인이 무엇인지를 본 연구에서 알아보고자 한다.

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Analysis of customer churn prediction in telecom industry using Machine learning & Deep learning (머신러닝, 딥러닝을 이용한 통신서비스 이용고객 분석 및 이탈 예측)

  • Kim, Sang-Hwi;Kim, Ki-Won;Kim, Yoo-Sung;Yoon, Tae-Young;Jeon, Jae-Wan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.568-571
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    • 2020
  • 최근 빅데이터 기술이 다양한 산업과 접목되고 있다. 그 중 고객 이탈 방지가 최우선인 통신사들 또한 예외가 아닐 수 없다. 이에 본 논문은 통신사 데이터에 머신러닝 알고리즘을 접목. 이탈 예측과 데이터 추이를 분석하고, 이를 시각화 하여 일목요연하게 표출하는 과정을 제공함으로서 통신사의 고객 유치 정책을 위한 토대를 마련할 것이다.

Customer Lifetime Value Model Using Segment-Based Survival Analysis (고객 세분화에 기반한 생존분석을 활용한 고객수명 예측 모델)

  • Chun, Heui-Ju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2011
  • Customer Lifetime or Customer Lifetime Value is a essential metric of differentiated CRM marketing and differentiated marketing strategy as a company core competency. However, customer lifetime used in companies is easily obtained from a confined simple customer attrition rate at some specific time point regardless of customer characteristics. In this study, in order to overcome the constraints of previous simple methods and to make practical use of it in industries, we suggest a method that estimates a customer lifetime using a customer segment based survival analysis with the censored data of customers; in addition, we apply this method to A mobile telecom company data. A method using customer segment based survival analysis is suggested in this study 1) includes all customers having different subscription dates, 2) reduces individual error, 3) can reflect trends after the observed time point and is more realistic.

Informally Patients Prediction Model of Admission Patients (입원환자 데이터를 이용한 예약부도환자 이탈방지 모형 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Yeob;Ham, Sung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.3465-3472
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    • 2009
  • The aims of this study is to medical record data warehouse which had been collected from hospital information systems. continuous patient 2,118 60.5%, informally patient 1,385 39.5%. In using survival factors sex, age, area, insurance, admission-course, medical treatment, out-patient lesson, out-patient form, conference diagnosis, operation, cancer, medical reservation. As a result of making a predictive modeling using the logistic regression, the fitness of the predictive modeling of informally patient was 66.0% and neural network, the predictive was 66.72% and CHAID, the predictive was 63.25%, which is a data mining. The expected modeling of the informally patients, the hospital through the continuous patient management and trust of hospital.

Performance Improvement of data Mining by Input Data Discrimination (입력자료 판별에 의한 데이터 마이닝의 성능개선)

  • 이재식;이진천
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2000
  • 데이터 마이닝의 수행 예측 오차를 줄이기 위한 방법으로 하나의 문제를 여러 기법들을 결합하여 해결하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 새로운 결합 모델을 제시하고 이를 통해 예측 오차를 감소시킬 수 있는 가능성을 제시한다. 제시된 결합모델의 성능을 검증하기 위해서 국내 자동차보험 회사의 고객데이터를 바탕으로 고객이탈 예측문제를 다루었다. 결합모델의 예측결과를 의사결정나무, 사례기반추론 그리고 인공신경망 중 하나의 기법만을 사용하여 예측한 결과와 비교 평가하였다. 평가 결과, 결합 모델의 예측 적중률이 개별 기법의 예측 적중률보다 우수했다.

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Customer Purchase Behavior Modeling using Association Rule Mining (연관 규칙을 활용한 고객구매 제품 분석)

  • Cho Byong Sok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.322-324
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    • 2008
  • 패션 시장은 항상 경쟁이 치열하고 고객의 변화 및 이탈이 심한 시장이다. 경쟁의 요소가 품질 등의 가격적인 요소에서 디자인 및 서비스 등 비 가격 적인 요소의 중요성이 부각되고 있다. 이에 따라 고객 정보에 대한 분석을 기반으로 한 마케팅 및 판매 전략이 중요한 것은 두말할 필요가 없다. 정보 기술과 다양한 분석 기법은 다양한 방법으로 고객의 행동을 분석하여 고객의 구매 형태를 분석 및 예측하여 고객별로 차별화된 마케팅과 서비스를 제공할 수 있도록 한다.

Customer Segmentation of a Home Study Company using a Hybrid Decision Tree and Artificial Neural Network Model (하이브리드 의사결정나무와 인공신경망 모델을 이용한 방문학습지사의 고객세분화)

  • Seo Kwang-Kyu;Ahn Beum-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.518-523
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    • 2006
  • Due to keen competition among companies, they have segmented customers and they are trying to offer specially targeted customer by means of the distinguished method. In accordance, data mining techniques are noted as the effective method that extracts useful information. This paper explores customer segmentation of the home study company using a hybrid decision tree and artificial neural network model. With the application of variance selection process from decision tree, the systemic process of defining input vector's value and the rule generation were developed. In point of customer management, this research analyzes current customers and produces the patterns of them so that the company can maintain good customer relationship. The case study shows that the predicted accuracy of the proposed model is higher than those of regression, decision tree (CART), artificial neural networks.

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Customer Churn Prediction of Automobile Insurance by Multiple Models (다중모델을 이용한 자동차 보험 고객의 이탈예측)

  • LeeS Jae-Sik;Lee Jin-Chun
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.167-183
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    • 2006
  • Since data mining attempts to find unknown facts or rules by dealing with also vaguely-known data sets, it always suffers from high error rate. In order to reduce the error rate, many researchers have employed multiple models in solving a problem. In this research, we present a new type of multiple models, called DyMoS, whose unique feature is that it classifies the input data and applies the different model developed appropriately for each class of data. In order to evaluate the performance of DyMoS, we applied it to a real customer churn problem of an automobile insurance company, The result shows that the DyMoS outperformed any model which employed only one data mining technique such as artificial neural network, decision tree and case-based reasoning.

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