• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.16 no.10
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• pp.125-132
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of managerial predictive accuracy on managerial performance-compensation. In this study, we compared managerial performance with managerial performance, And to analyze the relationship between manager compensation and manager compensation using managerial profit prediction accuracy. As a result of this study, there is a significant positive relationship between profit prediction accuracy and manager compensation, which can be interpreted as a result of manager's ability to compensate manager's ability to predict the future well. In this paper, we propose a new methodology that can be used to analyze the effects of managerial compensation on managerial compensation. This is because there is a difference in that it is proved to be a factor. Therefore, it is important to note that the prediction of the future of the company also identifies the additional determinants that affect manager compensation contracts with the key managerial capabilities.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2014.10a
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• pp.409-411
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• 2014

There have been various advanced research on how changes of analysts' profit forecasts affect stock prices. Also, consensus, which is usually drawn by the arithmetic mean of profit forecasts, has been widely harnessed among investors in stock market. Recently, it is emphasized to reflect the internal factors of individual forecasts to raise the accuracy of consensus. Based on national and international research, this study proposes a new methodology in consensus by applying statistically meaningful factors in computation.

• Management & Information Systems Review
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.151-165
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• 2017

This study investigates the effect of revenue recognition by percentage of completion method on financial analysts' earnings forecasting information in order industry. Specifically, we examines how the analysts' earnings forecast errors and biases differ according to whether or not to report the unbilled revenue account balance and the level of unbilled revenue account balance. The sample consists of 453 firm-years listed in Korea Stock Exchange during the period from 2010 to 2014 since the information on unbilled revenue accounts can be obtained after the adoption of K-IFRS. The results are as follows. First, we find that the firms with unbilled revenue account balances have lower analysts' earnings forecast accuracy than the firms who do not report unbilled revue account balances. In addition, we find that the accuracy of analysts' earnings forecasts decreases as the amount of unbilled revenue increases. Unbilled revenue account balances occur when the revenue recognition of the contractor is faster than the client. There is a possibility that managerial discretionary judgment and estimation may intervene when the contractor calculates the progress rate. The difference between the actual progress of the construction and the progress recognized by the company lowers the predictive value of financial statements. Our results suggest that the analysts' earnings forecasts may be more difficult for the firms that report unbilled revenue balances as applying the revenue recognition method based on the progress criteria. Second, we find that the firms reporting unbilled revenue account balances tend to have higher the optimistic biases in analysts' earnings forecast than the firms who do not report unbilled revenue account balances. And we find that the analysts' earnings forecast biases are increases as the amount of unbilled revenue increases. This study suggests an effort to reduce the arbitrary adjustment and estimation in the measurement of the progress as well as the introduction of the progress measurement method which can reflect the actual progress. Investors are encouraged to invest and analyze the characteristics of the order-based industry accounting standards. In addition, the results of this study empower the accounting transparency enhancement plan for order industry proposed by the policy authorities.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.157-166
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• 2020

Firms perform various actions that affect management performance measurement by managing the volatility and capital cost of reported income through income smoothing. This study attempted to analyze with a focus on the relationship between managerial competence and income smoothing. Therefore, this study attempted to analyze and focus on the relationship between managerial competency and profit softening using a measure of managerial competency presented in Demerjian et al. (2012). The results of the analysis are as follows. It was confirmed that there was a significant positive relationship between manager ability and income smoothing at the 1% level. When managers make income, it can be interpreted that managers with superior ability can make profits better by accurately predicting the future. It is the same result as the expectation of this study that managers with excellent ability have high incentives to soften profits by reducing profit volatility through more accurate forecasting. Therefore, this study empirically analyzed that managers with excellent abilities are more effective in implementing income smoothing strategies.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.107-114
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• 2019

This study analyzes the effect of the accuracy of future management performance, which managers voluntarily announce in the previous year's disclosure, on managers compensation. In the case of a company that disclosed the bad news in the previous year, the ability to predict uncertain future will be more important, and expects executives with better predictability to receive more compensation. The results of this study show that there is a significant negative(-) relationship between the accuracy of the manager's earnings forecast and the performance - compensation of the firms that disclosed the bad news in the previous year. The accuracy of the manager's disclosure is important, and it is confirmed that the manager's compensation increases as the incentive of the manager's effort to reduce future uncertainty. The results of this study are as follows: there is a positive relationship between the managerial performance and the managerial competence of managers. It is important to note that there is a difference and that we have identified additional determinants of the manager compensation contract.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.1-24
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• 2008

We empirically examined the forecasting abilities of analysts in the Korean stock market with regard to their earnings estimates, and the impacts of their reports on stock prices. Further, we also examine if there is any difference in analysts' forecasting accuracy and stock prices impacts depending upon the geographical distance between analysts and companies they follow. We found the following interesting empirical results. First, analysts have tendency to overestimate sales, operating income, and net income, consistent with the previous literature. Second, the degree of overestimation depends upon the geography of companies. That is, it is smaller for companies headquartered in Seoul than companies in local provinces. Third, analysts' earnings estimates are also more accurate for companies located in Seoul. So, we conjecture that analysts have easier access to the information for the companies. Fourth, when analysts downgrade target prices, companies in Seoul are less negatively affected than those in local provinces. Even when analysts revise downward stock recommendations, stock prices of companies in Seoul go up. Overall, analysts' price impacts are more favorable for Seoul-located companies. Last, but not least, when foreign ownership is higher, investors react less negatively to downward revisions of stock recommendation, but react more negatively to downward revisions of target prices.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.129-153
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• 1999

본 논문에서는 기업의 성장성변수(기업지분의 시장가치 대 장부가치 비율, MB)가 이익반응 계수에 체계적인 영향은 미치는가를 1991년부터 1994년까지 한국증권시장을 대상으로 재무분석가의 예측치에 의한 사건시점방법을 사용하여 실증적으로 분석하였다. 여러 사건시점을 분석한 결과 기업의 성장성과 이익반응계수가 유의적인 정의 관계가 있다는 것을 발견하였다. 이는 우리나라 증권시장에서 성장성이 높은 기업에서의 이익변화가 성장성이 낮은 기업에 비하여 주식수익률에 더 큰 영향을 미친다는 것을 의미한다, 이에 추가로 Skinner와 Sloan(1998)에서 발견된 고성장기업에서 부의 비기대이익에 대한 큰 폭의 주식수익률 하락이 우리나라 시장에서도 나타나는가를 분석하였다. 이들의 결과와는 달리 우리나라 증권시장에서는 이러한 현상이 발견되지 않았으며, 이는 고성장기업에 대하여서도 이익정보가 주식시장에 적절하게 반영된 다는 것을 나타낸다. 본 논문은 우리나라 증권시장에서 기업이익과 수익률간의 사건시점방법을 통한 연구에 있어서 기업의 성장성변수(기업의 시장가치대 장부가치의 비율)가 통제되어야 하는 변수라는 것을 나타낸다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.586-590
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• 2003

고객 분류는 고객관계관리(CRM)의 한 부분으로서 기업에게 이익을 주는 고객의 속성과 구매패턴을 분석함으로써 목표 고객을 결정하는 것을 의미한다. 현재까지 고객 분류에 관한 연구는 특정한 시점에서 고객의 속성과 구매 패턴을 분석함으로써 이루어졌다. 그러나 인터넷 쇼핑몰과 같은 동적인 환경에 있어서 기존의 정적인 분석방법은 시간에 따라 지속적으로 변하는 고객의 행동 변화를 찾아내고, 예측하는데 적합하지 않다. 본 논문에서는 Decision Tree, ANOVA 분석, ARIMA 모형을 사용하여, 특정한 시점에서의 고객 분류뿐만 아니라 미래 시점에서의 고객 분류를 예측하고 패턴을 분석하는 동적인 고객 분류 방법을 제안한다. 동적인 고객 분류를 통해 인터넷 쇼핑몰 기업은 효율적인 마케팅 전략을 작성하여 기업의 이익을 증진시킬 수 있다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.280-286
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• 2019

This study first examines whether the matching principle reduces information asymmetry and verifies the effect on earnings sustainability and information asymmetry. In the presence of information asymmetry between managers and information users, managers can reduce information asymmetry by increasing the quality of earnings. Information asymmetry is measured by the financial analysts' earnings forecast variance. When we look at the results of previous studies, verify whether information asymmetry decreases as the response to the revenue cost increases and whether negative relationship between profit persistence and information asymmetry appears when the response to the revenue cost is high. As a result, firms with high revenue cost response showed a decrease in information asymmetry. The persistence of the earningss from the high earnings-cost response shows that the analysts' earnings forecast dispersion decreases. This means that the better the response to the revenue cost, the better the quality of the earnings and the less the information risk about the uncertainty of the enterprise. This study is different from the previous studies in that it analyzed whether the persistence of the earnings that responded to the high revenue cost reduces the information asymmetry. The results of this study suggest that managers can reduce the information asymmetry by carrying out appropriate revenue - cost responses, which provides important implications for stakeholders who use accounting earnings information.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.93-124
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• 2003

This paper studies the financial analyst's forecasting activities on the firm's operating performance during the period from 1999 to 2003. In this study, financial analyst's forecasting activities are focused on the sales, operating income and net income and financial analyst's forecasting accuracy, forecasting revising patterns and forecasting activities to the unexpected firm's operating performance are studied. Some empirical findings in this study are as follows. First, standard estimate error on the sales, operating income and net income are all significantly negative value and so financial analyst's forecast on the firm's operating performance are upwardly biased. Second, domestic financial analyst's forecasting activities is relatively more accuracy than foreign financial analyst's forecasting activities. Third, forecasting time is more close to the end of the operating performance announcement day, forecasting activities are more accuracy. Fourth, comparing with individual financial analyst's forecast, consensus forecast is more accuracy. Fifth, in the comparative forecasting activities study according to the prior firm's operating performance, financial analyst's forecasting revision activities are found to be upward or downward. Sixth, financial analysts overreact in the sales forecast and underreact in the operating income and net income forecast. Seventh, in the empirical analysis on the Easterwood-Nutt's test model(1999) which the firm's performance change are divided into the expected performance change and the unexpected performance change, it is found that financial analyst's forecasting activities on the firm's operating performance are systematically optimistic.