• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이산자료

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내구소비재 보유함수의 추정: 이진수 종속변수를 이용한 회귀분석

  • Yoon, Suk Bum;Lee, Hoe Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.117-154
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    • 1977
  • 본논문에서는 첫째로 단일방정식 모형에서 종속변수가 양자택일(binary choice)의 이산확률변수일 때 이러한 이진적 종속변수(binary dependent variable)의 변동을 설명하는데 사용되는 몇 가지 모형을 소개하고 각각의 표기 및 추정방법, 추정량의 성질, 예측 및 검정 문제 등에 관하여 비교 서술하고자 한다. 둘째, 종속변수가 이산과 연속의 혼합형태일 때 앞에 소개된 모형이 어떻게 적용될 수 있는가를 살펴보며, 셋째, 선택대상 및 종속변수의 수가 증가하여 일반화된 선다형모형(multiple choice model)의 경우, 표기 및 추정방법을 단일방정식 기법을 이용하여 추가로 총람하고자 한다. 넷째, 본논문에서는 또한 내구소비재 구입에 관한 조사자료를 이용하여 실제 많이 사용되는 몇 개의 모형을 선택하여 적용하고 각각의 예측력을 분석함으로써 각 모형을 비교 검토하는데 목적이 있다.

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Evaluation of Retrieval Accuracy of NO2 Column Density from Pandora Raw Data According to Wavelength Range and Absorption Cross-section Using DOAS Method (Pandora 원시자료로부터 차등흡수분광법을 이용하여 이산화질소 칼럼 농도 산출 시 파장 구간 및 흡수단면적에 따른 산출 정확도 평가)

  • Kim, Serin;Kim, Daewon;Lee, Hanlim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the effect of wavelength range and absorption cross-section used to retrieve nitrogen dioxide (NO2) vertical column density (VCD) from Pandora was analyzed using Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (DOAS). During the GEMS Map of the Air Pollution (GMAP) 2020 campaign, data from direct sunlight observation with Pandora instrument in Seosan was used, and NO2 VCD was retrieved under four conditions. The average NO2 VCD under the four conditions ranged from 1.22×1016~1.38×1016 molec. cm-2, with a maximum difference of 0.16×1016 molec. cm-2 between each condition. The fitting error averaged 3.19~9.59%, showing an error within 10% in all cases, and the RMS was 5.11×10-3~7.16×10-3 molec. cm-2. The retrieved NO2 VCD using 4 conditions shows a slope in the range of 0.98 to 1.09 and correlation of 0.96 to 0.98 in comparison with Pandonia Global Network (PGN).

Bactericidal Effects of Food-borne Bacteria using Chlorine Dioxide and Electrolyzed Water (이산화염소수와 전해수를 이용한 식중독균의 살균효과)

  • Lee, Hye-Rin;Kim, Su-Jin;Bang, Woo-Suk
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.232-237
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    • 2022
  • The present study investigated the bactericidal effects of chlorine dioxide (CD) and electrolyzed water (EW) on pathogenic bacteria, such as Bacillus cereus, Staphylococcus aureus, Salmonella Typhimurium, and Escherichia coli O157:H7, by treatment them with CD and EW, respectively, for 0, 2, 4, 6, 8, and 10 min. Additionally, the sensitivities of Gram-positive (B. cereus and S. aureus) and Gram-negative (S. Typhimurium and E. coli O157:H7) to CD and EW were compared, respectively. In CD, the D-values for B. cereus, S. aureus, S. Typhimurium, and E. coli O157:H7 were 1.85±0.64, 2.06±0.85, 2.26±0.89, and 2.59±0.40 min, respectively. In EW, the D-values for B. cereus, S. aureus, S. Typhimurium, and E. coli O157:H7 were 2.13±0.32, 1.64±0.64, 1.71±0.32, and 1.86±0.36 min, respectively. All strains decreased consistently for 10 min in both CD and EW. However, the D-values of each bacterial species did not differ significantly between CD and EW (P>0.05). When comparing the bactericidal effect of CD and EW, no difference in D-value was observed, even though the pH and available chlorine concentration of CD were significantly lower than those of EW. These data could be used for the application of CD and EW in the food industry, considering characteristics such as the selection of optimal disinfectants, determination of optimal concentrations, and sensitivity to disinfection targets.

Literature Review of Commercial Discrete-Event Simulation Packages (상용 이산사건 시뮬레이터 패키지들에 대한 선행연구 분석)

  • Jihyeon Park;Gysun Hwang
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • Smart factory environments and digital twin environments are established, and today's factories accumulate vast amounts of production data and are managed in real time as visualized results suitable for user convenience. Production simulation techniques are in the spotlight as a way to prevent delays in delivery and predict factory volatility in situations where production schedule planning becomes difficult due to the diversification of production products. With the development of the digital twin environment, new packages are developed and functions of existing packages are updated, making it difficult for users to make decisions on which packages to use to develop simulations. Therefore, in this study, the concept of Discrete Event Simulation (DES) performed based on discrete events is defined, and the characteristics of various simulation packages were compared and analyzed. To this end, studies that solved real problems using discrete event simulation software for 10 years were analyzed, and three types of software used by the majority were identified. In addition, each package was classified by simulation technique, type of industry, subject of simulation, country of use, etc., and analysis results on the characteristics and usage of DES software were provided. The results of this study provide a basis for selection to companies and users who have difficulty in selecting discrete event simulation package in the future, and it is judged that they will be used as basic data.

Tree Based Cluster Analysis Using Reference Data (배경자료를 이용한 나무구조의 군집분석)

  • 최대우;구자용;최용석
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.535-545
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    • 2004
  • The clustering method suggested in this paper produces clusters based on the 'rules of variables' by merging the 'training' and the identically structured reference data and then by filtering it to obtain the clusters of the 'training data' through the use of the 'tree classification model'. The reference dataset is generated by spatially contrasting it to the 'training data' through the 'reverse arcing' algorithm to effectively identify the clusters. The strength of this method is that it can be applied even to the mixture of continuous and discrete types of 'training data' and the performance of this algorithm is illustrated by applying it to the simulated data as well as to the actual data.

A Time-Series Study of Ambient Air Pollution in Relation to Daily Mortality Count in Yeosu (여수시의 대기오염과 일별 사망의 상관성에 관한 연구 - 미세먼지와 이산화황을 대상으로 -)

  • Park, Hee-Jin;Woo, Kyung-Sook;Chung, Eun-Kyung;Kang, Tack-Shin;Kim, Geun-Bae;Yu, Seung-Do;Son, Bu-Soon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.66-77
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    • 2015
  • The association between daily total/cardiovascular mortality and air pollution in Yeosu was investigated over 11-year period (January 2001 to December 2011). The purpose of this study was to evaluate th relative importance of the major air pollutants [particulate matter ($PM_{10}$), sulfur dioxide ($SO_2$)] as predictors of daily total/cardiovascular mortality. People aged 65 and older showed total mortality increase by 5.0% with $SO_2$ concentration increase by 11.67ppb(IQR) was found to raise mortality caused by circulatory diseases by 8.6%, exhibiting a statistically significant result.

Core Demand Market by Visitor's Characteristics of Mountain Types of a National Park -focused on Demographic and Social Economical Factors- (국립공원 방문객 특성을 이용한 핵심수요시장연구 -인구통계학적 변인과 사회경제학적 변인을 중심으로-)

  • Gwak, Gang-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.361-368
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    • 2013
  • This research aims to offer the information required for demand increase on marketing strategy level by investigating Mudeungsan visitors' demographic characteristics and social economical variables. To accomplish this study, the proper analyzing model needs to be applied because a grave error of parameters will be led if regression model appropriate for analyzing the data of a continuous probability variable is applied, in case that dependent variable is a discrete random variable which have a discrete probability distribution. Therefore data analysis was performed with Poisson model. However, as the data was showing an overdispersion, parameter was estimated with the Binomial Poisson model able to cover the problem. As a result, some explanatory variables turned out to be significant such as visitor's age, occupation, preferred season to visit, type of company, five days working, and preferring type of tourism. Author could offer to the national park the information about characteristics of core market revealed and marketing strategy for it, based on those influential variables.

Small Sample Characteristics of Generalized Estimating Equations for Categorical Repeated Measurements (범주형 반복측정자료를 위한 일반화 추정방정식의 소표본 특성)

  • 김동욱;김재직
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.297-310
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    • 2002
  • Liang and Zeger proposed generalized estimating equations(GEE) for analyzing repeated data which is discrete or continuous. GEE model can be extended to model for repeated categorical data and its estimator has asymptotic multivariate normal distribution in large sample sizes. But GEE is based on large sample asymptotic theory. In this paper, we study the properties of GEE estimators for repeated ordinal data in small sample sizes. We generate ordinal repeated measurements for two groups using two methods. Through Monte Carlo simulation studies we investigate the empirical type 1 error rates, powers, relative efficiencies of the GEE estimators, the effect of unequal sample size of two groups, and the performance of variance estimators for polytomous ordinal response variables, especially in small sample sizes.

희박다항분포확률에 대한 국소최대우도 추정량

  • Baek, Jang-Seon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2002
  • $p=(p_{}1,p_{2},{\cdots},p_{k})^{T}$의 확률벡터를 가진 다항분포로부터 관측된 칸 돗수(cell frequency) 벡터가 $N=(N_{1},N_{2},{\cdots},N_{k})^{T}$이며 ${\sum}{\limits}_{j=1}^{k}N_{j}=n$이라 하자. 총돗수 n이 칸의 총갯수 k에 비하여 상대적으로 매우 작을 때 이러한 이산형 자료를 희박다항분포자료(sparse multinomial data)라 한다. 이러한 희박다항분포자료의 칸들이 순서화 되어 있을 때 우리는 i번째 칸의 확률 $p_{i}$를 돗수 추정량 $N_{j}/n$ 들을 평활함으로써 추정 할 수 있다. Aerts, et al.(1997)과 Baek(1998) 등에 의해 제안된 국소최소제곱기준에 근거한 국소다항커널추정량은 희박점근일치성의 좋은 성질을 가짐에도 불구하고 확률추정지가 음수값을 가질 수 있는 단점을 내포하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위하여 국소최대우도 기준에 근거한 새로운 커널추정량을 제안하고, 그것의 점근적 성질을 연구하였다.

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확률회귀모형을 이용한 고속도로의 사고요인 분석

  • Lee, Gi-Yeong;Lee, Yong-Taek
    • 도로교통
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    • s.94
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구는 사고요인과 사고모형의 문헌고찰을 통해 고속도로를 주행하는 버스와 화물차의 사고모형을 개발하고 그 적용방안에 대해 고찰하고자 수행되었다. 고속도로 사고 중 대형차로 인한 차량당 사고율은 승용차보다 월등히 높아 사고의 심각성을 나타내고 있으며, 따라서 이에 대한 별도의 검토가 필요한 시점에 와 있다. 특히 본 연구에 활용된 자료는 비집계된 사상자수로 구간자료를 집합화함으로써 발생하는 문제점을 해소할 수 있다. 모형의 분석기법으로 국내의 경우, 대부분 단순회귀식으로 사고모형을 개발, 적용하여 왔으나 사고수와 사상자수의 특성상 이산적 확률변수로 해석하여 포아송분포와 음이항분포로 적용하는 것이 바람직하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 버스와 화물차의 사고유형별로 적합한 사고 모형을 개발하여 이로 인한 인사사고 요인에 대한 영향을 분석하고 그 적용방안을 제시하였다. 이러한 연구는 도로설계, 운영, 교통법규, 교통행정 등의 분야에서 거시적인 정책적 방향성을 제시하리라 판단된다. 특히 본 연구는 고속도로 운영주체인 한국도로공사의 고속도로사고조서를 바탕으로 사고유형별 사고모형을 개발, 적용한 것으로 고속도로의 안정성 향상을 위한 제반 정책 수립에 기초자료로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

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