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Prediction of Covid-19 confirmed number of cases using SARIMA model (SARIMA모형을 이용한 코로나19 확진자수 예측)

  • Kim, Jae-Ho;Kim, Jang-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2022
  • The daily number of confirmed cases of Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) ranges between 1,000 and 2,000. Despite higher vaccination rates, the number of confirmed cases continues to increase. The Mu variant of COVID-19 reported in some countries by WHO has been identified in Korea. In this study, we predicted the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Korea using the SARIMA for the Covid-19 prevention strategy. Trends and seasonality were observed in the data, and the ADF Test and KPSS Test was used accordingly. Order determination of the SARIMA(p,d,q)(P, D, Q, S) model helped in extracting the values of p, d, q, P, D, and Q parameters. After deducing the p and q parameters using ACF and PACF, the data were transformed and schematized into stationary forms through difference, log transformation, and seasonality removal. If seasonality appears, first determine S, then SARIMA P, D, Q, and finally determine ARIMA p, d, q using ACF and PACF for the order excluding seasonality.

Development of Acquisition System for Biological Signals using Raspberry Pi (라즈베리 파이를 이용한 생체신호 수집시스템 개발)

  • Yoo, Seunghoon;Kim, Sitae;Kim, Dongsoo;Lee, Younggun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.12
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    • pp.1935-1941
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    • 2021
  • In order to develop an algorithm using deep learning, which has been recently applied to various fields, it is necessary to have rich, high-quality learning data. In this paper, we propose an acquisition system for biological signals that simultaneously collects bio-signal data such as optical videos, thermal videos, and voices, which are mainly used in developing deep learning algorithms and useful in derivation of information, and transmit them to the server. To increase the portability of the collector, it was made based on Raspberry Pi, and the collected data is transmitted to the server through the wireless Internet. To enable simultaneous data collection from multiple collectors, an ID for login was assigned to each subject, and this was reflected in the database to facilitate data management. By presenting an example of biological data collection for fatigue measurement, we prove the application of the proposed acquisition system.

A Study on Personal Environment Service on the Smartphone (스마트폰 중심의 개인환경서비스 연구)

  • Yun, Ho-Young;Kim, Jong-Ho;Park, Sun-Hwa;Jung, So-Hee;Ro, Kwang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.1169-1172
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 고가의 인프라 구축이라는 제약 때문에 현재까지 기초적인 수준에 머물러있는 홈 네트워크의 문제점을 극복하고자 제안된 스마트폰 중심의 개인환경서비스(PES : Personal Environment Service)를 연구하였다. 개인환경서비스는 스마트폰과 무선랜, 블루투스 등의 모듈이 탑재된 가전기기와 근거리 무선통신으로 사용자의 선호도를 저장하고 있는 프로파일을 교환하여 가전기기를 자동으로 설정해 주며 프로파일은 서비스 서버에도 전송되어 지속적으로 갱신, 사용자에게 편리한 생활을 제공해 준다. 본 연구는 이러한 스마트폰 중심의 개인환경서비스의 데모 시스템 구조 및 시연 시스템을 구축하였다. 데모시스템의 스마트폰 플랫폼은 구글 사의 안드로이드 2.2 (Froyo) 버전이며, 지능형 가전기기와는 블루투스 통신을 통해 사용자와 서비스 프로파일을 교환한다. 가전기기는 PC, 난방기기, 가스렌지, TV, 라디오 총 5가지를 구현하였는데 실제 가전기기를 구현할 수 없는 한계로 인해 PC를 제외한 가전기기는 블루투스 임베디드 보드에 LCD 디스플레이를 설치한 모의(pseudo) 가전기기로 대체하였다. 스마트폰에 저장되어 있는 사용자 프로파일은 각각의 가전기기별 선호도를 환경설정을 통해 설정할 수 있게 하였고, 선호도를 설정하면 가전기기는 블루투스 통신으로 스마트폰의 사용자 프로파일을 전송받아 자동 설정해 준다. 서비스 서버는 스마트폰과 가전기기의 모든 로그를 전송받아 패턴분석 과정을 거쳐 사용자의 프로파일을 자동으로 설정해주어서 사용자는 개인에게 최적화된 생활환경을 제공받게 된다. 개인환경서비스는 현재 표준화 규격 개발을 위해 제조업체, 이동통신사, 연구소, 대학교 등에서 활발히 연구 중에 있으며, 향후에는 현재까지 개발된 데모 시스템을 토대로 프로토콜을 연구, 수립하여 표준화 규격 개발에 기여할 예정이다.

A Case Study on the Protection of Accounts and Assets on Cryptocurrency Exchanges: Focusing on the Processes of Related Institutions (가상통화거래소의 계정 및 자산 보호에 관한 사례연구: 유관기관의 프로세스를 중심으로)

  • Yoonjoo Lee;Dongwon Lee;Ingoo Han
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.135-161
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    • 2020
  • With the growth of blockchain and cryptocurrency-related markets, cryptocurrency exchanges are growing as a new industry. However, as the legal and regulatory definitions of cryptocurrencies are still in progress, unlike existing industrial groups, they are not under the supervision of regulatory agencies. As a result, users (i.e., cryptocurrency investors) have suffered two types of damage that could occur from hacking and other accidents on the exchanges. One type of the damage is the loss of assets caused by the extortion of personal information or account and the other is the damage from users who might be involved in external frauds. Both are analyzed in comparison with existing operators whose functions are like the exchanges. The results of this study show that membership (KYC: Know Your Client), log-in, and additional authentication in transactions are on the similar level to those of the operators while the fraud detection system (FDS) and anti-money laundering (AML) of fiat currencies and cryptocurrencies need rapid improvement.

A Study on the Design of Office Filing System Furniture (사무용 수납가구의 디자인 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 신화경;하숙녕
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2002
  • Against the projection that the volume of filing would be drastically cut in the Information Age, the needs for filing in this age increases gradually. In this respect, it is critical to study the design of office filing system furniture. Through this study, we could find out what shall be the major requirements for office lijillg system furniture. This study would also provide important raw data for developing more efficient and more satisfactory office filing system furniture. Subject for this study includes 6 representative filing system furniture including a lateral file cabinet. For the design analysis, we used catalogues of foreign and domestic office furniture, particularly filing system furniture. The analysis is classified into the following six categories such as size, shape, color, material, handle, and filing method, mobility, flexibility, and so on. According to the analysis of office furniture in the market, requirements of furniture fit for office environment are found to be as follows. -Instead of the fixed-type furniture, movable furniture is more adaptable to the ever-evolving office environment. -Design the office furniture in accordance with a standardized module would provide a more unity and diversity of arrangement in space particularly when it is arranged with other furniture. -Development of more diverse color, which ranges from achromatic color to wooden color to other various colors, is more favored in the ever-changing office environment. -As the grip provides a variety of image to the furniture let alone its function, its development is required to be more diverse and more conforming 10 the design of Ihe furniture. -The filing methods in general are with drawer and shelf, among which the drawers design is usually fixed. However, under the evolving office furniture environment, the design of Ihe drawer, bolh inlerior and exterior, shall be more diverse and flexible.

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Classification of Seismic Stations Based on the Simultaneous Inversion Result of the Ground-motion Model Parameters (지진동모델 파라미터 동시역산을 이용한 지진관측소 분류)

  • Yun, Kwan-Hee;Suh, Jung-Hee
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.183-190
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    • 2007
  • The site effects of seismic stations were evaluated by conducting a simultaneous inversion of the stochastic point-source ground-motion model (STGM model; Boore, 2003) parameters based on the accumulated dataset of horizontal shear-wave Fourier spectra. A model parameter $K_0$ and frequency-dependent site amplification function A(f) were used to express the site effects. Once after a H/V ratio of the Fourier spectra was used as an initial estimate of A(f) for the inversion, the final A(f) which is considered to be the result of combined effect of the crustal amplification and loca lsite effects was calculated by averaging the log residuals at the site from the inversion and adding the mean log residual to the H/V ratio. The seismic stations were classified into five classes according to $logA_{1-10}^{max}$(f), the maximum level of the site amplification function in the range of 1 Hz < f < 10 Hz, i.e., A: $logA_{1-10}^{max}$(f) < 0.2, B: 0.2 $\leq$ $logA_{1-10}^{max}$(f) < 0.4, C: 0.4 $\leq$ $logA_{1-10}^{max}$(f) < 0.6, D: 0.6 $\leq$ $logA_{1-10}^{max}$(f) < 0.8, E: 0.8 $\leq$ $logA_{1-10}^{max}$(f). Implication of the classified result was supported by observing a shift of the dominant frequency of average A(f) for each classified stations as the class changes. Change of site classes after moving seismic stations to a better site condition was successfully described by the result of the station classification. In addition, the observed PGA (Peak Ground Acceleration)-values for two recent moderate earthquakes were well classified according to the proposed station classes.

Effect of Soft Handoff Technique on CDMA Cell Coverage in a Lognormally Shadowed Channel (전파음영 채널 환경에서 소프트 핸드오프 기법이 CDMA 셀룰러 시스템의 셀 커버리지에 미치는 영향)

  • Oh, Hyon-Kyu;Kim, Hang-Rae;Kim, Nam
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.871-881
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, the effect of soft handoff technique on CDMA cell coverage is analyzed in a lognormally shadowed channel, which uses the Hata propagation model, Also, the rate of increase for the cell coverage is analyzed by calculating the hard and soft handoff margin. When the outage probability is 0.02 and the standard deviation of the received signal is 2.5 dB in a lognormally shadowed channel, the transmit power of the mobile station which is located in the cell boundary is increased by the hard handoff margin of 5.13 dB and by the soft handoff margin of 3.68 dB, respectively. So, the rate of increase for the cell coverage is 1.39 in case of using the soft handoff technique. It is shown that if the (E$\_$b//N$\_$0/)$\_$req/ value is 7 dB, the cell coverage of the CDMA cellular system with soft handoff technique in city area is 3.33 km in case of the 850 MHz frequency and 1.36 km in case of the 1900 MHz frequency. Also, the accurate cell coverage with soft handoff technique is supported that could be serviced by the base-station in CDMA cellular system.

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Design and Implementation of Crash Recovery Technique with Bounded Execution Time for NAND Flash File System (낸드 플래시 파일 시스템을 위한 결함 복구 시간 제한 기법의 설계 및 구현)

  • Kang, Seung-Yup;Park, Hyun-Chan;Kim, Ki-Man;Yoo, Chuck
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.330-338
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    • 2010
  • Flash storage devices are very popularly used in portable devices such as cell phones, PDAs and MP3 players. As technology is improved, users want much bigger and faster storage system. Paradoxically, people have to wait more and more time proportionally to the capacity of their storage devices when these are trying to be recovered after file system crash. It is serious problem because booting time of devices is dominated by crash recovery of flash file system. In this paper, we design a crash recovery mechanism, named 'Working Area(WA hereafter)' technique, which has bounded crash recovery execution time. With WA technique, write operations to flash memory are only performed in WA. Therefore, by simply scanning the latest WA. We can recover a file system crash because every change for flash memory is occured only in latest WA. We implement the WA technique based on YAFFS2 and evaluate by comparing with traditional techniques. As a result, WA technique shows that its crash recovery execution time is 25 times faster than Log-based Method when we use 1 gig a bytes NAND flash memory in worst case. This gap will be futher and futher as storage capacity grows.

AFTL: An Efficient Adaptive Flash Translation Layer using Hot Data Identifier for NAND Flash Memory (AFTL: Hot Data 검출기를 이용한 적응형 플래시 전환 계층)

  • Yun, Hyun-Sik;Joo, Young-Do;Lee, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.18-29
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    • 2008
  • NAND Flash memory has been growing popular storage device for the last years because of its low power consumption, fast access speed, shock resistance and light weight properties. However, it has the distinct characteristics such as erase-before-write architecture, asymmetric read/write/erase speed, and the limitation on the number of erasure per block. Due to these limitations, various Flash Translation Layers (FTLs) have been proposed to effectively use NAND flash memory. The systems that adopted the conventional FTL may result in severe performance degradation by the hot data which are frequently requested data for overwrite in the same logical address. In this paper, we propose a novel FTL algorithm called Adaptive Flash Translation Layer (AFTL) which uses sector mapping method for hot data and log-based block mapping method for cold data. Our system removes the redundant write operations and the erase operations by the separating hot data from cold data. Moreover, the read performance is enhanced according to sector translation that tends to use a few read operations. A series of experiments was organized to inspect the performance of the proposed method, and they show very impressive results.

Ligament Injuries of Knee in the Recreational Skiers (스키에 의한 슬관절 인대 손상)

  • Lee Dong Chul;Ko Jin Hyeok;Kim Dong Han
    • Journal of Korean Orthopaedic Sports Medicine
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2003
  • Purpose: This study is to analyse the injury patterns of knee ligament and the factors influencing ligament injuries of knee, and to evaluate the changes of knee function and activity after ski injury. Materials and Methods: Thirty cases of ligament injuries of knee were studied with a questionaire, stress radiographs, magnetic resolution imaging, and physical examination. Mean age was 28.6 years old and mean follow up was 29.6 months. Clinical evaluation of Lysholm knee scoring scale was used for knee function and Tegner activity score was used for activity change after ski injury. Results: The anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury accompanied with medial collateral ligament(MCL) injury was most in 11 cases and isolated MCL injury was the next in 9 cases. The common types of injury mechanism were Phantom foot phenomenon (13 cases, 43$\%$) and valgus external rotation injury (12 cases, 40$\%$), which constitute 83$\%$ of all case. At the last follow up, the mean Lysholm score was 93.4 and mean Tegner activity score was 4.2. The reduced Tegner activity score after injury was 1.9. Among several injury groups, the evaluation of knee function and activity was best in the isolated MCL injury group and worst in the ACL injury accompanied with MCL injury group. The factors to influence ski injury were participation to ski class, release of binding, and skiing long time more than 2 hours. Conclusions: Lysholm score at last follow up revealed good grading, but sports activity after ski injury was reduced when compared with pre-injury state. It seems to need a active, systemic sports rehabilitation program after sports injury.

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