• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.304-313
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• 2012

Uncertainty increases as a result of environment change and change of individual decision-making in extreme weather. This study consider individual decision-making which has been not covered until now. The purpose of this study is making Agent-Based Model to predict it more accurate that how much change travel demand in heavy rain and heavy snow. Through this model, it can be utilized to forecast travel demand, changes in travel behavior and traffic patterns. It will be also possible to predict discomfort index and risk of accidents.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.97-100
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• 2001

제조 기업의 가치사슬 최적화를 위한 전략적, 운영상 의사결정 문제는 수리적 모델을 이용한 DSS의 효과적인 활용을 통하여 해결 될 수 있다. 의사결정 프로세스는 필연적으로 공급사슬의 여러 성과 목표와 관련 조직간의 Trade-off 및 연계관계(Interaction)가 고려되므로 복수의 DSS 활용이 필요하게 된다. 이와 관련하여 본 논문에서는 공급 사슬 전체의 최적화를 위한 다수의 전략적 목표 및 의사결정 프로세스, 연계된 수리적 모델들을 정의하고, 관련 조직 및 성과 지표 별 부분적 최적화(Local Optimality)를 지양하고 전체최적화 (Global Optimality)를 달성하기 위한 DSS Logic을 철강산업 프로세스를 대상으로 수리적 모델들의 분할(Decomposition) 및 통합개념을 통하여 제시하였다.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.297-311
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• 2011

This paper deals with a strategic investment decision model for improving investment profit in shipping industry. Despite the quantitative expansion of Korean shipping business, many shipping firms have suffered financial difficulties due to financial and operating risks that result from the characteristics of capital-intensive business as well as of volatility of shipping markets. As a result, managers in charge of making an investment decision, particularly in tramper business sector, are required to take both financial and operating risk factors into consideration. Put it differently, managers are strongly recommended to avoid these risks by ship asset play; buy-low and sell-high, which results in considerable capital gain and cost reduction. In addition, managers in shipping industry are also recommended to consider the ship chartering investment alternative when the freight markets show extreme volatility as the case of 2008 triggered by sub-prime mortgage financial crisis in USA. For example, the BDI suffered plunging down from 1000 in 2008 to 100 in 2010. Consequently, the 4th largest shipping company in Korea, DAEHAN Shipping Co., has collapsed primarily due to excessive tonnage expansion during the peak time of bulk market. In sum, the strategic investment decision model, suggested in this paper, is designed to include such factors as capital gain by asset play, timely chartering for alternative shipping service, and optimization of operating profit by tonnage adjustment in accordance with change in the shipping markets concerned.

• Journal of Information Technology and Architecture
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.221-231
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• 2012

최근 국방 분야의 모델링 및 시뮬레이션에서는 훈련 비용과 개발 비용을 절감하기 위하여 재구성 가능한 시뮬레이션 모델의 연구를 추진하고 있다. 기존 연구에서는 소프트웨어 프로덕트 라인 공학을 적용하여 BCM(Basic Component Model)을 정의하고 이들을 재구성 할 수 있는 도구를 개발하였다. 하지만 프로덕트를 생성하기 위한 컴포넌트 재구성 시 설계자의 의사를 체계적으로 반영할 수 없으며, 각각의 컴포넌트들의 정량적 요소를 비교,평가 후 컴포넌트를 선택하여 프로덕트를 구성하기 어렵다는 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 컴포넌트 재구성 시 설계자의 의사결정과정을 지원하고자 컴포넌트들의 메타데이터를 조사하고 계층적으로 분석하여 컴포넌트를 선정할 수 있는 방법을 제안한다. 또한 이것을 기반으로 컴포넌트 재구성 조합 모형을 도출 할 수 있도록 하는 의사결정체계를 제시한다. 먼저 의사결정의 한 방법인 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Procedure)를 이용하여 컴포넌트를 선정하고, 다음으로 선정된 컴포넌트를 검색하고 선택할 수 있는 의사결정지원시스템을 설계 하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.283-284
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• 2012

본 논문에서는 온톨로지 기반의 가상세계를 구현하고, 그 구현된 가상세계의 거주자가 경험하는 정보를 이미 정의된 지식구조로 저장하여, 재사용성과 다양성을 보장한다. 시간의 흐름과 공간적 위치 관계의 표현을 위한 S-T(시공간) 그래프와 일련의 정의된 사건과 이벤트가 가상세계 거주자인 에이전트의 지식구조에 맞게 변형, 축소된 후에 저장되어 최종적으로 에이전트를 둘러싼 환경변화자체가 에이전트의 의사결정을 좌우하지 않고, 에이전트의 지식을 기반으로 에이전트 자신의 의사결정 시스템에 따라 환경에 대응하는 다양한 행동을 보여준다. 이러한 에이전트의 지식구조를 구현하기 위하여 기본적으로 온톨로지라는 가상세계 자체를 아우르는 추상화 모델이 필요하며, 이 모델을 상속하여 실세계의 Object들을 정의 해 나간다. 정의된 온톨로지를 기반으로 가상세계에 Object들을 등장 시키고, 시공간적 변화에 따른 정보들이 에이전트의 지식구조로 변형되어 저장되어 진다, 이렇게 저장된 정보들이 에이전트의 의사결정 시스템에 적용되어 에이전트의 다양한 행위를 보장 할 수 있다.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.15 no.11
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• pp.147-153
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• 2017

The Korean government has implemented various policies to introduce the cloud to the public sector. The objectives of the paper are to develop a decision-making model and to propose the roadmap for cloud introduction in the public sector. To achieve these objectives, we analyze the characteristics of public services and types of cloud service. Then we develope a cloud introduction method using fuzzy AHP based convergence decision-making model. As a result of this study, we decided to prioritize the cloud service candidates and proposed a three-step roadmap. The results are expected to contribute to cloud introduction and transition in the public sector and establishment of the cloud policy. In the future, it will be necessary to develop budget plans as well as additional decision-making factors for cloud adoption.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.38C no.4
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• pp.344-350
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• 2013

It is essential to consider geometry in the early design stage for rational design decisions. However, a crucial decision had been taken by conversation, physical model, and gesture rather than BIM mode which can analyze geometry efficiently. This research proposes the framework of interaction between BIM model and physical model for real-time BIM analysis. Through this real-time system framework of two models, architects can adopt BIM data at early design stage to review analysis of BIM model. It should facilitate dynamic design based on rich BIM information from an early stage to a final stage.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.3D
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• pp.381-389
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• 2009

Korean government is investing 1.8 billion won on infrastructure and investment on PPP projects constitutes 16.3%. This phenomenon is to promote private investment as well as lessening government burdens of public budgeting. However, the only criterion to be considered is government financial status in selecting public or private highway investment projects. So systematic decision support model is required in choosing public or private highway investment projects. So, this paper suggests a systematic decision support model for deciding public or private highway investment at the early stage of project planning. Furthermore, this paper identifies key decision variables with respect to economic, politic, project management criterions based on the related literatures and feedbacks from experts. This paper analyzed 30 cases of government investment and PPP projects and got the survey result from highway specialists. As a result, this paper presents an interval with respect to economic criteria using mean and standard deviation and a logistic regression equation which can predict the possibility of PPP project. Through this study, decision maker of central or local government can decide public or PPP highway project more systematically and reasonably.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.121-127
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• 2013

As the worldwide trade of agricultural products became liberalized with the establishment of WTO and FTA, relatively cheaper agricultural products have influenced the Korean domestic market substantially. Fortunately, foreign countries have soften their restrictions on Korean agricultural exports, providing Korean farmers with more opportunities to advance into the world market. This study aims to propose a multiple-criteria decision-making model for selecting an optimal tomato export farm, as the part of an effort to vitalize exports of domestic agricultural products amid the competitive agricultural market worldwide. For this purpose, we are suggesting a 2-step decision-making model which consists of a simple hierarchy decision model that preliminary selects tomato export farms and a detailed hierarchy decision model that chooses the final and optimal tomato export farm. We applied the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to determine the relative importance of the used evaluation factors and to choose the tomato export farms with most potential. Eventually, the systematic and efficient decision-making model proposed in this paper can be applied to determine the optimal export farms for crops other than tomato, and thus it can encourage the competitiveness of Korean agricultural exports.

• Proceedings of the Korea Association of Information Systems Conference
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• 2000.05a
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• pp.115-121
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• 2000

본 연구는 인공신경망 모형에서 최적 입력 변수를 선정하기 위하여 새로운 선처리 기법인 약체연결뉴런 제거법을 제안하고 그 예측력의 우월성을 순수 인공신경망과 의사결정트리로 선처리한 인공신경망 모델과 각각 비교했으며, 그 결과를 보면 본 연구에서 제안하고 있는 약체연결뉴런 제거법에 의해 입력변수 선정과정을 거친 모델의 성과가 순수 인공신경망이나 의사결정트리로 선처리한 인공신경망 모델에 비해 예측적중율이 우수한 것으로 나타났다.