• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정 알고리즘

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A Decision Support Model for Sustainable Collaboration Level on Supply Chain Management using Support Vector Machines (Support Vector Machines을 이용한 공급사슬관리의 지속적 협업 수준에 대한 의사결정모델)

  • Lim, Se-Hun
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2005
  • It is important to control performance and a Sustainable Collaboration (SC) for the successful Supply Chain Management (SCM). This research developed a control model which analyzed SCM performances based on a Balanced Scorecard (ESC) and an SC using Support Vector Machine (SVM). 108 specialists of an SCM completed the questionnaires. We analyzed experimental data set using SVM. This research compared the forecasting accuracy of an SCMSC through four types of SVM kernels: (1) linear, (2) polynomial (3) Radial Basis Function (REF), and (4) sigmoid kernel (linear > RBF > Sigmoid > Polynomial). Then, this study compares the prediction performance of SVM linear kernel with Artificial Neural Network. (ANN). The research findings show that using SVM linear kernel to forecast an SCMSC is the most outstanding. Thus SVM linear kernel provides a promising alternative to an SC control level. A company which pursues an SCM can use the information of an SC in the SVM model.

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Study of the experimentation methodology for the counter fire operations by using discrete event simulation (이산사건 시뮬레이션을 활용한 대화력전 전투실험 방법론 연구)

  • Kim, Hyungkwon;Kim, Hyokyung;Kim, Youngho
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2016
  • Counter Fire Operations can be characterized as having a system of systems that key features include situational awareness, command and control systems and highly responsive strike achieved by precision weapons. Current modeling methodology cannot provide an appropriate methodology for a system of systems and utilizes modeling and simulation tools to implement analytic options which can be time consuming and expensive. We explain developing methodology and tools for the effectiveness analysis of the counter fire operations under Network Centric Warfare Environment and suggest how to support a efficient decision making with the methodology and tools. Theater Counter Fire Operations tools consist of Enemy block, ISR block, C2 block and Shooter block. For the convenience of using by domain expert or non simulation expert, it is composed of the environments that each parameter and algorithm easily can be altered by user.

Improvement of Reservoir Turbidity Prediction Model with Considering Particle Sizes of Suspended Sediments (부유물질 크기분포를 고려한 저수지 탁도 예측 모델 개선)

  • Lee, Heung-Soo;Chung, Se-Woong;Liu, Huan;Jeong, Hee-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1378-1383
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    • 2008
  • 댐 저수지에서 지속적인 탁도를 유발하는 물질은 쉽게 침강되지 않는 $20{\mu}m$이하의 작은 부유물질(SS)이며, 가을 수직혼합 시기까지 침강되지 않은 부유물질은 다시 재부상하는 경우도 발생한다. 저수지내 탁수의 장기 체류는 수자원 이용과 하류하천의 수생태계에 다양한 문제를 야기하고 있어 일부 댐에서는 실시간 탁도 감시 장치를 설치하고 취수설비를 개선하는 등의 탁수저감 대책의 노력을 기울이고 있으나, 시설의 최적 운영을 지원할 수 있는 탁수 거동 및 탁도 예측에 관한 연구는 아직 부족한 실정이다. 특히, 탁도는 물 속에 존재하는 부유물질의 광학적 특성(light attenuation)을 나타내는 지표로써 SS와는 물리적인 물성이 달라 실시간 계측자료(탁도)와 모델의 모의 변수(SS)가 다른 문제점 때문에 모델링에 어려움이 있었다. 지금까지 탁도 모델링은 대부분 탁도와 SS의 상관관계를 이용하는 방법을 사용하였다. 그러나 이 방법은 탁도-SS 관계가 실측지점과 입자크기분포에 따라 달라지는 특성 때문에 변환과정에 예측결과의 불확실성이 내재한다는 지적을 받아왔다. 본 연구의 목적은 저수지로 유입한 탁수의 보다 과학적이고 정확한 탁도 예측을 위해 탁도를 유발하는 부유물질의 입자크기 분포와 공간적으로 변하는 탁도-SS의 상관관계를 고려할 수 있는 표준화된 탁도 모델링 방법을 개발하고, 실측자료를 사용하여 제시된 탁도 모델링 방법의 예측 성능을 평가하는데 있다. 부유물질의 이송-확산-침강 모델은 2차원 횡방향 평균 수리 모델과 연결(coupling)되어 수행되며, 저수지 수면을 통한 열 교환, 바람과 바닥 조도에 의한 난류혼합과 성층해석, 하천 유입수의 저수지내 밀도류 유동, 그리고 입자 크기별 부유물질의 독립침강을 해석한다. 부유입자의 크기분포와 공간적으로 서로 다른 탁도-SS 관계를 고려한 탁도 예측모델은 기존의 탁도를 종속변수로 사용한 예측 방법 또는 단일 입자크기를 사용한 모델보다 개선된 모의결과를 보여주었다. 본 연구에서 제시된 탁도 예측 알고리즘은 실시간 탁수감시와 예측 모델링, 그리고 댐 방류수 탁도 관리를 위한 선택취수 설비의 운영을 위한 의사결정지원시스템에 적용 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

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A Cost Effective Reference Data Sampling Algorithm Using Fractal Analysis (프랙탈 분석을 통한 비용효과적인 기준 자료추출알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • 김창재
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2000
  • Random sampling or systematic sampling method is commonly used to assess the accuracy of classification results. In remote sensing, with these sampling method, much time and tedious works are required to acquire sufficient ground truth data. So , a more effective sampling method that can retain the characteristics of the population is required. In this study, fractal analysis is adopted as an index for reference sampling . The fractal dimensions of the whole study area and the sub-regions are calculated to choose sub-regions that have the most similar dimensionality to that of whole-area. Then the whole -area s classification accuracy is compared to those of sub-regions, respectively, and it is verified that the accuracies of selected sub regions are similar to that of full-area . Using the above procedure, a new kind of reference sampling method is proposed. The result shows that it is possible to reduced sampling area and sample size keeping up the same results as existing methods in accuracy tests. Thus, the proposed method is proved cost-effective for reference data sampling.

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A Study on Injury Severity Prediction for Car-to-Car Traffic Accidents (차대차 교통사고에 대한 상해 심각도 예측 연구)

  • Ko, Changwan;Kim, Hyeonmin;Jeong, Young-Seon;Kim, Jaehee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.13-29
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    • 2020
  • Automobiles have long been an essential part of daily life, but the social costs of car traffic accidents exceed 9% of the national budget of Korea. Hence, it is necessary to establish prevention and response system for car traffic accidents. In order to present a model that can classify and predict the degree of injury in car traffic accidents, we used big data analysis techniques of K-nearest neighbor, logistic regression analysis, naive bayes classifier, decision tree, and ensemble algorithm. The performances of the models were analyzed by using the data on the nationwide traffic accidents over the past three years. In particular, considering the difference in the number of data among the respective injury severity levels, we used down-sampling methods for the group with a large number of samples to enhance the accuracy of the classification of the models and then verified the statistical significance of the models using ANOVA.

Spatial Decision Support System for Development and Conservation of Unexecuted Urban Park using ACO - Ant Colony Optimization - (장기 미집행 도시계획시설 중 도시공원을 위한 보전/개발 공간의사결정 시스템 - 개미군집알고리즘(ACO)를 이용하여-)

  • Yoon, Eun-Joo;Song, Eun-Jo;Jeung, Yoon-Hee;Kim, Eun-Young;Lee, Dong-Kun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2018
  • Long-term unexecuted urban parks will be released from urban planning facilities after 2020, this may result in development of those parks. However, little research have been focused on how to develop those parks considering conservation, development, spatial pattern, and so on. Therefore, in this study, we suggested an optimization planning model that minimizes the fragmentation while maximizing the conservation and development profit using ACO (Ant Colony Optimization). Our study area is Suwon Yeongheung Park, which is long-term unexecuted urban parks and have actual plan for private development in 2019. Using our optimization planning model, we obtained four alternatives(A, B, C, D), all of which showed continuous land use patterns and satisfied the objectives related to conservation and development. Each alternative are optimized based on different weight combinations of conservation, development, and fragmentation, and we can also generated other alternatives immediately by adjusting the weights. This is possible because the planning process in our model is very fast and quantitative. Therefore, we expected our optimization planning model can support "spatial decision making" of various issue and sites.

A Hybrid Model of Network Intrusion Detection System : Applying Packet based Machine Learning Algorithm to Misuse IDS for Better Performance (Misuse IDS의 성능 향상을 위한 패킷 단위 기계학습 알고리즘의 결합 모형)

  • Weon, Ill-Young;Song, Doo-Heon;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.11C no.3
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    • pp.301-308
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    • 2004
  • Misuse IDS is known to have an acceptable accuracy but suffers from high rates of false alarms. We show a behavior based alarm reduction with a memory-based machine learning technique. Our extended form of IBL, (XIBL) examines SNORT alarm signals if that signal is worthy sending signals to security manager. An experiment shows that there exists an apparent difference between true alarms and false alarms with respect to XIBL behavior This gives clear evidence that although an attack in the network consists of a sequence of packets, decisions over Individual packet can be used in conjunction with misuse IDS for better performance.

A Seamless Positioning System using GPS/INS/Barometer/Compass (GPS/INS/기압계/방위계를 이용한 연속 측위시스템)

  • Kwon, Jay-Hyoun;Grejner-Brzezinska, D.A.;Jwa, Yoon-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.14 no.3 s.37
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2006
  • In this contribution, an integration of seamless navigation system for the pedestrian is introduced. To overcome the GPS outages in various situations, multi-sensor of GPS, INS, electronic barometer and compass are considered in one Extented Kalman filter. Especially, the integrated system is designed for low-cost for the practical applications. Therefore, a MEMS IMU is considered, and the low quality of the heading is compensated by the electronic compass. In addition, only the pseudoranges from GPS measurements are considered for possible real-time application so that the degraded height is also controlled by a barometer. The mathematical models for each sensor with systematic errors such as biases, scale factors are described in detail and the results are presented in terms of a covariance analysis as well as the position and attitude errors compared to the high-grade GPS/INS combined solutions. The real application scenario of GPS outage is also investigated to assess the feasible accuracy with respect to the outage period. The description on the current status of the development and future research directions are also stated.

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Statistical Radial Basis Function Model for Pattern Classification (패턴분류를 위한 통계적 RBF 모델)

  • Choi Jun-Hyeog;Rim Kee-Wook;Lee Jung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2004
  • According to the development of the Internet and the pervasion of Data Base, it is not easy to search for necessary information from the huge amounts of data. In order to do efficient analysis of a large amounts of data, this paper proposes a method for pattern classification based on the effective strategy for dimension reduction for narrowing down the whole data to what users wants to search for. To analyze data effectively, Radial Basis Function Networks based on VC-dimension of Support Vector Machine, a model of statistical teaming, is proposed in this paper. The model of Radial Basis Function Networks currently used performed the preprocessing of Perceptron model whereas the model proposed in this paper, performing independent analysis on VD-dimension, classifies each datum putting precise labels on it. The comparison and estimation of various models by using Machine Learning Data shows that the model proposed in this paper proves to be more efficient than various sorts of algorithm previously used.

Recognition of Control Chart Pattern using Bi-Directional Kohonen Network and Artificial Neural Network (Bi-Directional Kohonen Network와 인공신경망을 사용한 관리도 패턴 인식)

  • Yun, Jae-Jun;Park, Cheong-Sool;Kim, Jun-Seok;Baek, Jun-Geol
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2011
  • Manufacturing companies usually manage the process to achieve high quality using various types of control chart in statistical process control. When an assignable cause occurs in a process, the data in the control chart changes with different patterns by the specific causes. It is important in process control to classify the CCP (Control Chart Pattern) recognition for fast decision making. In former research, gathered data from process used to apply as raw data, leads to degrade the performance of recognizer and to decrease the learning speed. Therefore, feature based recognizer, employing feature extraction method, has been studied to enhance the classification accuracy and to reduce the dimension of data. We propose the method to extract features that take the distances between CCP data and reference vector generated from BDK (Bi-Directional Kohonen Network). We utilize those features as the input vectors in ANN (Artificial Neural Network) and compare with raw data applied ANN to evaluate the performance.