• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정모델

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A Decision Support Model for the Exchange Risk Management of Overseas Construction Projects (해외 건설 프로젝트의 환리스크 관리를 위한 의사결정 지원 모델)

  • An, Chi-Hoon;Yoo, Hyun-Seok;Kim, Young-Suk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2012
  • Overseas construction project orders have shown steady increase since 2001, and it took 44.5% of the total construction project orders in 2010. Overseas construction project needs more complex risk management because it is affected by more various circumstance factors than the domestic construction is. Previous studies have centered on the internal risk factors to assist the decision-making, but there are few researches on the importance and techniques of foreign exchange risk management. Inadequate management of foreign exchange risk has been found to cause huge damages due to the lacking recognition on the importance of foreign exchange risk management. Therefore, current study designed a foreign exchange risk manage model to help efficient management and decision-making. This model was developed as a technique to meet the demand of the increasing overseas construction projects for the efficient management of foreign exchange risk, and the technique will lower the risk with more and more accurate outcome by accumulating the data of profit-and-loss.

A study on Business Process Model for Extended and Integrated Supply Chain Planning : Focused on Negotiation (확장.통합된 공급사슬계획에서 협상을 위한 비즈니스 프로세스 모델에 관한 연구)

  • 강윤철;정한일;박진우
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2004
  • The advance of information technology has changed the business environment, and the business process between the trading partners has been evolved with these changes. However, the business process between trading partners requires human interface for interchanging information or making a decision even though they collaborate each other or are coupled tightly, and this interrupts seamless business processes between them. To overcome this limitations, a new concept of self-integration has been emerged. The self-integration means a true integration among enterprise applications without human interface, and it might be the future direction of integrations. In this study, we introduced the concept of self-integration environment and business process model for supply chain planning. And, we analyzed the negotiation processes and classified the negotiation patterns for integrated supply chain planning in self-integration environment, and then we proposed a generic business process model for negotiation of extended and integrated supply chain planning by integrating the suggested negotiation pattern with business scenarios.

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AHP-based Technology Start-ups Factors Analysis System (AHP에 기반을 둔 기술창업 요인 분석 시스템)

  • Joun, Hyang-Soon;Lee, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.311-317
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    • 2015
  • It is important to analyze and offer specialized start-ups effect factors for collegians in order to systematically and successfully support technology-centered start-ups of collegians, whose social experience is insufficient. However, consistently changing start ups environmental analysis is difficult, which can be a problem, because technology-centered start-ups factor analysis is carried out depending on statistical package. This paper proposes an ATSA system that demonstrates effect factors on technology-centered start-ups decision making as a hierarchial structure by using AHP, inputs the effect factors to judgment matrix after pre-processing, calculates standardized values and weights, verifies consistency, and draws priorities through weights integration. It was confirmed that the ATSA system can efficiently support decision making for technology-centered start-ups by quantitatively analyzing qualitative factors through experiments by applying multi-criteria decision making to the analyses of start-ups founders' internal and external factors and various start-ups environments.

A tunnel construction cost estimation model using system dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 터널공사비 예측 모델 개발)

  • Park, Yong-Woo;Park, Hee-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.316-318
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    • 2010
  • 도로건설에 있어 계획단계에서 초기공사비의 정확한 예측을 위해 아직 연구가 미흡한 터널공사비 예측 모델을 시스템 다이내믹스를 이용하여 개발함으로써 합리적인 터널공사비 예측을 위한 토대를 마련하여 올바른 의사결정을 돕고 예산 낭비를 방지하기 위함을 목적으로 하였다.

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항만하역의 최적화 모형

  • 김성철;한재호
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.3
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    • pp.58-61
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    • 1986
  • 본 고는 P사의 원료 수급에 관한 계량적 모델을 제시함으로써 문제의 규모와 복잡성 때문에 해결이 어려웠던 문제를 단계적 의사결정에 의해 접근함으로써 현상의 이해와 더불어 실제 응용을 가능케하기 위한 시도의 일환이다. 먼저 고려되어야 할 적정 재고수준의 산정과 배선계획은 향후 기술하기로 하며 컴퓨터의 발전과 더불어 조직적인 문제해결을 위한 계량적 모델을 통한 접근방법의 한 예를 기술하였다.

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Development of Decision Model and Management System to minimize Pavement Utility Cut for Road Facility (도로시설 재굴착 방지를 위한 의사결정모델 및 관리시스템 개발)

  • Cho, Jin-Young;Jang, Oun-Sung;Lee, Min-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.164-171
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    • 2013
  • In urban planning, road facility is used not only for the transportation purpose but also for the utility line space purpose such as electrical, gas, tele communication, heating, water, sewer, and so on. However, since these utilities are built by many different groups, it becomes very difficult to communicate each other. Delay in one party can cause another party's schedule delay but they don't commuicate often. Also, some delay in utility work can cause frequent pavement cut. And, this will impact on construction cost, schedule delay, low quality, user complain and cost. This study developed spatiotemporal decision model to prevent prequent utility cut for mega project such as new urban development project. In addition, this study developed utility cut management system to manage utility cut schedule under pavement. Finally, developed system was applied to new urban development project and verified there effectiveness.

A Study on a Conceptualization-oriented SDSS Model for Landscape Design (조경설계를 위한 공간개념화 지향의 공간의사결정지원시스템 모델에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun Hyung
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2014
  • By combining the role of current GIS technology and design behaviors from the cognitive perspective, spatial conceptualization can be extended efficiently and creatively for ill-structured problems. This study elaborates the model of a conceptualization-oriented SDSS(Spatial Decision Support System) for a landscape design problem. Current information-oriented GIS technology plays a minor role in planning and design. The three attributes in planning and design problems describe how the deficiencies of current GIS technology can be seen as a failure of the technology. These are summarized: (1) Information Explosion/Information Ignorance (2) Dilemma of Rigor and Relevance (3) Ill-structured Nature of planning and Design. In order to implement the conceptualization idea in the current GIS environment, it will be necessary to shift from traditional, information-oriented GISs to conceptualization-oriented SDSSs. The conceptualization-oriented SDSS model reflects the key elements of six important theories and techniques. The six useful theories and techniques are as follows; (1) Human Information Processing (2) Tool/Theory Interaction (3) The Sciences of the Artificial and Epistemology of Practice (4) Decision Support Systems (DSSs) (5) Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) (6) Creative Thinking. The future conceptualization-oriented SDSS can provide capabilities for planners and designers to figure out some "hidden organizations" in spatial planning and design, and develop new ideas through its conceptualization capability. The facilitation of conceptualization has been demonstrated by presenting three key ideas for the framework of the SDSS model: (1) bubble-oriented design support system (2) prototypes as an extension of semantic memory, and (3) scripts as an extension of episodic memory in a cognitive pschology perspective. The three ideas can provide a direction for the future GIS technology in planning and design.

Attention/LIME method to analyze decision process of RNN (Attention과 LIME기법을 활용한 순환신경망의 의사결정 요인 분석)

  • Yoon, Joo-Sung;Park, Jong-Cheol;Ha, Jong-Su;An, Jin-Hyeon;Kim, Hyeon-Cheol
    • Proceedings of The KACE
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    • 2017.08a
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    • pp.253-256
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    • 2017
  • 딥러닝으로 만들어진 모델의 내부는 black box와 같은 특성을 가져 동작 규칙을 알기 어렵다. 최근 기계학습의 발전으로 인공지능이 전보다 더 복잡한 문제를 해결할 수 있으나 위와 같은 이유로, 모델이 내린 판단의 근거를 알기 어렵다. 그러므로 딥러닝의 동작 규칙을 사람이 이해할 수 있는 형식으로 나타내려는 노력이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 Attention과 LIME 기법을 활용하여 IMDB 데이터를 감성 분석한 순환신경망의 의사결정 요인을 분석하였다. 각 기법을 활용했을 때의 장단점과 실제 구현에 있어 등장하는 문제에 대해 알아보고자 한다.

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A Study on User-Oriented Library Management (이용자지향적 도서관경영에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Hi-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean BIBLIA Society for library and Information Science
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.193-210
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    • 2011
  • In this era all successful organizations, whether profit or nonprofit, accept marketing concept as management philosophy and try to maximize consumer satisfaction in order to achieve their own goals. Libraries are no exception. A consumer decision process model is borrowed to explain how library service users act through five stages. Armed with information about library users, library management can be more user-oriented and bring higher user satisfaction. Some measures for effective library management are suggested.

PPGA for the Optimal Load Planning of Containers (컨테이너의 최적 적하계획을 위한 PPGA)

  • Kim, Kil-Tae;Cho, Seok-Jae;Jin, Gang-Gyoo;Kim, Si-Hwa
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.517-523
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    • 2004
  • The container load planning is one of key factors for efficient operations of handling equipments at container ports. When the number of containers are large, finding a good solution using the conventional genetic algorithm is very time consuming. To obtain a good solution with considerably small effort, in this paper a pseudo-parallel genetic algorithm(PPGA) based on both the migration model and the ring topology is developed The performance of the PPGA is demonstrated through a test problem of determining the optimal loading sequence of the containers.