• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정나무 모형

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The study of foreign exchange trading revenue model using decision tree and gradient boosting (외환거래에서 의사결정나무와 그래디언트 부스팅을 이용한 수익 모형 연구)

  • Jung, Ji Hyeon;Min, Dae Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.161-170
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    • 2013
  • The FX (Foreign Exchange) is a form of exchange for the global decentralized trading of international currencies. The simple sense of Forex is simultaneous purchase and sale of the currency or the exchange of one country's currency for other countries'. We can find the consistent rules of trading by comparing the gradient boosting method and the decision trees methods. Methods such as time series analysis used for the prediction of financial markets have advantage of the long-term forecasting model. On the other hand, it is difficult to reflect the rapidly changing price fluctuations in the short term. Therefore, in this study, gradient boosting method and decision tree method are applied to analyze the short-term data in order to make the rules for the revenue structure of the FX market and evaluated the stability and the prediction of the model.

A Study on Regional Variations for Disease-specific Cardiac Arrest (질환성 심정지 발생의 지역별 변이에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Il-Su;Kim, Eun-Ju;Kim, Yoo-Mi;Hong, Sung-Ok;Kim, Young-Taek;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.353-366
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to examine how region-specific characteristics affect the occurrence of cardiac arrest. To analyze, we combined a unique data set including key indicators of health condition and cardiac arrest occurrence at the 244 small administrative districts. Our data came from two main sources in Korea Center For Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC): 2010 Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Surveillance and Community Health Survey. We analyzed data by using multiple regression, geographically weighted regression and decision tree. Decision tree model is selected as the final model to explain regional variations of cardiac arrest. Factors of regional variations of cardiac arrest occurrence are population density, diagnosis rates of hypertension, stress level, participating screening level, high drinking rate, and smoking rate. Taken as a whole, accounting for geographical variations of health conditions, health behaviors and other socioeconomic factors are important when regionally customized health policy is implemented to decrease the cardiac arrest occurrence.

Development of a convergence inpatient medical service patient experience management model using data mining (데이터마이닝을 이용한 융복합 입원 의료서비스 환자경험 관리모형 개발)

  • Yoo, Jin-Yeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.401-409
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a convergence inpatient medical service patient experience management model(IMSPEMM) that can help in the management strategy of a medical institution to create a patient-centered medical culture. Using the original data from the 2018 Medical Service Experience Survey, 593 people with medical services inpatient(MSI) over the age of 15 were analyzed. By using the decision tree model, we developed a prediction model for overall satisfaction(OS) with the inpatient medical service experience(IMSE) and the intention to recommend patient experience(RI), and were classified into 4 and 7 types. The accuracy of the model was 68.9% and 78.3%. The OS level of IMSE was the nurse area and the hospital room noise management area, and the RI decision factor was the nurse area. It is significant that the IMSPEMM for MSI was presented and confirmed that the nurse area and the noise management area of the hospital room are important factors for the inpatient experience. It is considered that further research is needed to generalize the IMSPEMM.

Study on Development of Classification Model and Implementation for Diagnosis System of Sasang Constitution (사상체질 분류모형 개발 및 진단시스템의 구현에 관한 연구)

  • Beum, Soo-Gyun;Jeon, Mi-Ran;Oh, Am-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2008.08a
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    • pp.155-159
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    • 2008
  • In this thesis, in order to develop a new classification model of Sasang Constitutional medical types, which is helpful for improving the accuracy of diagnosis of medical types. various data-mining classification models such as discriminant analysis. decision trees analysis, neural networks analysis, logistics regression analysis, clustering analysis which are main classification methods were applied to the questionnaires of medical type classification. In this manner, a model which scientifically classifies constitutional medical types in the field of Sasang Constitutional Medicine, one of a traditional Korean medicine, has been developed. Also, the above-mentioned analysis models were systematically compared and analyzed. In this study, a classification of Sasang constitutional medical types was developed based on the discriminate analysis model and decision trees analysis model of which accuracy is relatively high, of which analysis procedure is easy to understand and to explain and which are easy to implement. Also, a diagnosis system of Sasang constitution was implemented applying the two analysis models.

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Development to Prediction Technique of Slope Hazards in Gneiss Area using Decision Tree Model (의사결정나무모형을 이용한 편마암 지역에서의 급경사지재해 예측기법 개발)

  • Song, Young-Suk;Chae, Byung-Gon
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2008
  • Based on the data obtained from field investigation and soil testing to slope hazards occurrence section and non-occurrence section in gneiss area, a prediction technique was developed by the use of a decision tree model, which is one of the statistical analysis methods. The slope hazards data of Seoul and Kyonggi Province, which were induced by heavy rainfall in 1998, were 104 sections in gneiss area. The number of data applied in developing prediction model was 61 sections except a vacant value. Among these data, the number of data occurred slope hazards was 34 sections and the number of data non-occurred slope hazards was 27 sections. The statistical analyses using the decision tree model were applied to chi-square statistics, gini index and entrophy index. As the results of analyses, a slope angle, a degree of saturation and an elevation were selected as the classification standard. The prediction model of decision tree using entrophy index is most likely accurate. The classification standard of the selected prediction model is composed of the slope angle, the degree of saturation and the elevation from the first choice stage. The classification standard values of the slope angle, the degree of saturation and elevation are $17.9^{\circ}$, 52.1% and 320 m, respectively.

A Study on the Judgement Rating for Level of Need for Long-term Care Insurance Using a Decision Tree (노인 장기요양보험의 등급판정을 위한 의사결정나무 연구)

  • Han, Sang-Tae;Kang, Hyun-Cheol;Choi, Bo-Seung;Lee, Seong-Keon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2011
  • Long-term care insurance is a social insurance system that provides benefits to the elderly who have difficulty taking care of themselves for a period of at least 6 months. This system was started in July, 2008 and it is very important to set proper judgement ratings for the approval process. We try to develop and improve the judgement rating system using decision tree models. Our tree model is found to be more stable and efficient than the previous one.

통계적 분류방법을 이용한 문화재 정보 분석

  • Kang, Min-Gu;Sung, Su-Jin;Lee, Jin-Young;Na, Jong-Hwa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.120-125
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 통계적 분류방법을 이용하여 문화재 자료의 분석을 수행하였다. 분류방법으로는 선형판별분석, 로지스틱회귀분석, 의사결정나무분석, 신경망분석, SVM분석을 사용하였다. 각각의 분류방법에 대한 개념 및 이론에 대해 간략히 소개하고, 실제자료 분석에서는 "지역별 문화재 통계분석 및 모형개발 연구 1차(2008)"에 사용된 자료 중 익산시 자료를 근거로 매장문화재에 대한 분류방법별 적합모형을 구축하였다. 구축된 모형과 모의실험의 결과를 통해 각각의 적합모형에 대한 비교를 수행하여 모형의 성능을 비교하였다. 분석에 사용된 도구로는 최근 가장 관심을 갖는 R-project를 사용하였다.

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Prediction Model of Construction Safety Accidents using Decision Tree Technique (의사결정나무기법을 이용한 건설재해 사전 예측모델 개발)

  • Cho, Yerim;Kim, Yeon-Choel;Shin, Yoonseok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.295-303
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    • 2017
  • Over the past 7 years, the number of victims of construction disasters has been gradually increasing. Compared with projects in other industries, construction projects are highly exposed to safety risks. For this reason, the research methods of predicting and managing the risk of construction disasters are urgently needed that can be applied to a construction site. This study aims to propose a prediction model for a construction disaster using the decision tree technique. The developed the model is reviewed the applicability by evaluating its accuracy based on disaster data. The top three of the prediction values obtained from the proposed model were enumerated, and then the cumulative accuracy were also calculated. The prediction accuracy was 40 percent for the first value, but the cumulative accuracy was 80 percent. Thus, as more disaster data was accumulated, the cumulative accuracy appeared to be higher. If utilized in construction sites, the model proposed in this study would contribute to a reduction in the rate of construction disasters.

Improving the Performance of Supervised Learning Models using Error Pattern Modeling (오차패턴 모델링을 이용한 지도학습 모형에서의 성능 향상)

  • Heo, Jun;Kim, Jong-U
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.280-286
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    • 2005
  • 본 논문은 이분형 목적변수를 가지는 데이터에서, 의사결정나무나 신경망과 같은 지도 학습(Supervised Learning)의 훈련을 통한 각종 예측 및 분류 정확도를 향상시키기 위해서 오차 패턴을 이용한 새로운 Hybrid 데이터 마이닝 기법을 제안한다. 오차 패턴을 이용한 Hybrid 기법이란 데이터 마이닝의 서로 다른 기법을 각 데이터에 적용한 다음 기법간의 불일치되는 부분만을 다시 패턴화 하여, 이를 최종 모형에 적용하여, 기존에 1개의 방법만을 사용하였을 경우보다, 더욱 좋은 정확도를 가질 수 있도록 하는 방법이다. 본 기법의 검증을 위하여, 10개의 실제 검증용 자료를 사용하였으며, 분석 결과 신경망과 의사결정나무 분석과 같은 기존의 방법보다 전체적으로 예측력이 향상됨을 보였다.

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데이터마이닝 기법을 활용한 스팸메일 분류 및 예측모형 구축에 관한 연구

  • 안수산;신경식
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.359-366
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    • 2000
  • 기업의 환경에서 이-메일(e-mail)은 회사내의 업무흐름을 완전히 뒤바꾸며 혁명적인 변화를 이끌고 있다. 업무 공간의 극복, 사내 커뮤니케이션의 극대화 등 이-메일이 제공하는 장점이 매우 많다. 그러나 최근 사회적 문제가 되고 있는 스팸 메일(spam mail)의 등장은 이러한 장점의 커다란 반대급부를 제공한다. 스팸메일이란 인터넷이용자들에게 원하지도 않았는데 무작위로 발송되는 광고성 이-메일을 일컫는 말로, 벌크(bulk)메일, 정크(junk)메일, 언솔리시티드(Unsolicited)메일과도 유사한 의미로 사용된다. 스팸메일은 사용자들로 하여금 스트레쓰의 요인이 되게 함은 물론, 이를 발신하고 수신하는 과정에서 이용되는 서버에 엄청난 부하를 줄 뿐만 아니라, 공공의 성격을 지니는 네트웍 자원을 아무런 비용의 지불 없이 독점하게 되는 좋지 않은 결과를 가져오게 된다. 본 연구에서는 데이터마이닝의 기법 중 분류(classification tack) 문제에 적웅이 활발한 인공신경망 (artificial neural networks)과 의사결정나무(decision tree)기법을 이용하여 스팸메일의 분류와 예측을 가능케 하는 모형을 구축한다.

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