• Analyses & Alternatives
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.71-102
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• 2020

This study analyzes the effect of demographic changes on economic growth. We use the supply-side output identity to forecast the growth potential of the Korean economy. According to the results, even based on optimistic assumptions and prospects, the economic growth rate is likely to fall drastically starting in 2020. Of course, to maintain growth potential, efforts to increase productivity are necessary. However, given the historical experience of developed countries, it is not clear whether the huge trend of demographic change can be offset by efforts to increase productivity. In the so-called '30-50 club' countries, both labor productivity and growth rate tend to fall after reaching the per capita income of $30,000. The degree of decline in the growth rate is closely related to changes in the working age population and the prime-age workforce. The results are similar when tracking the path of changes in total factor productivities of the economy. When a certain level of income is reached, the increase in total factor productivity also tends to slow down. The ripple effects of rapid changes in demographics will indeed be extensive. The negative impact is likely to be concentrated at a time when the working age population, the prime-age workforce, and the total population shrink simultaneously. Above all, it is necessary to use the government's fiscal space to block the possibility of a rapid fall in the growth rate. In addition, it is important to continuously implement various reform tasks that should be promoted, such as improving the education system and strengthening the social safety net.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.492-492
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• 2018

'물발자국(Water Footprint)' 개념은 가상수의 개념이 확장된 것으로 제품 생산과 서비스 전 과정에서 사용된 물의 양을 나타낸다. 따라서 한 국가내의 수자원 총량의 산출 시에 국제 무역을 통해 수출-수입되는 가상수의 양까지 고려하여 국가 물 총합(Water Budget)을 계산한다. 본 연구는 가상수의 수자원 활용에 관한 산업적 차원의 비교를 위하여 산업별 물발자국 산정모델을 구축하고자 하였다. 산업별 물발자국을 산정하기 위하여 첫째, 산업별 용수사용량에 기초하여 물발자국을 산정하였고, 둘째, 단위 물발자국에 기초하여 산업별 물발자국을 산정하였다. 먼저 산업별 용수사용량에 기초한 물발자국 산정은 하향식 접근법을 적용하였다. 국가 산업별 물발자국을 산정한 결과, 산업 전체 물발자국은 약 330억$m^3$이며 그 중 농업계가 연간 118.8억$m^3$으로 전체 물발자국의 36%를 차지하였다. 그 다음은 생활계로 전체의 34%인 111억 4천만$m^3$이다. 축산계의 물 사용량은 연간 2억 6천 7백만$m^3$ 정도이지만, 오염물질을 정화하는데 필요한 물인 회색수의 양이 많아 물발자국이 73억 $m^3$으로 비교적 높게 산정되었다. 공업계의 가상수량은 연간 26억$m^3$으로 타 산업에 비하여 오염부하량이 높지 않아 회색수량이 작게 나타났다. 다음으로 단위 물발자국에 기초하여 산업별 물발자국을 산정하였다. 단위 물발자국과 생산량을 활용하여 산정하는 상향식 접근법을 활용하였다. 1980년대부터 2014년까지 쌀 외 18개 품목에 대한 농산물 생산의 물발자국을 산정한 결과, 전체 물발자국은 평균 90억$m^3$으로 추정되었다. 한편, 2차 산업의 물발자국은 산업연관분석을 활용하여 산정하였다. 산업연관분석을 위하여 한국은행의 산업연관표와 경제총조사의 용수비 항목을 활용하였다. 2차 산업의 총 물발자국을 산정한 결과, 60억 $m^3$으로 추정되었다. 3차 산업의 물발자국도 이와 동일한 방식으로 산업연관표를 활용하여 산정하였다. 산업연관분석을 활용한 3차 산업의 물발자국 산정한 결과, 숙박 및 음식점업에서의 물발자국이 가장 큰 것으로 산정되었다. 이에 따라 Case Study로서 국내 워터파크 대상으로 물발자국을 산정하였다. 자료가 없는 부분을 제외하고 연간 총 840만 $m^3$의 물발자국을 가지는 것으로 나타났으며, 이 중 직접수는 70만 $m^3$, 간접수는 770만 $m^3$으로 간접수의 비율이 92%를 차지하였다.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.685-693
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• 2021

This study examined the fire risk of the region in Goyang City using the spatial information data of buildings. The economic damage by industry was assessed according to the probability of fire risk. The study area was confined to Goyang-si, Gyeonggi-do, and the same fire risk reduction rate was applied to each region for the convenience of analysis. The possibility of fire was derived based on the buildings' density and usage in the area by National GIS building-integrated information standard data. The calculation of economic damage by industry in Goyang City due to the fire risk was calculated by combining the Goyang-si industry-related model produced by matching with 30 industrial categories in Input-Output Statistics of Korea Bank and 20 industrial categories in the Goyang-si business survey and the possibility of fire. The basic scenario of production impossibility during six months and business loss due to fire was established and analyzed based on the supply model. The analysis showed that Ilsan-dong-gu, Ilsan-seo-gu, and Deokyang-gu suffered the most economic damage. The "electricity, gas, steam, and water business" showed the greatest loss by industry.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.11
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• pp.340-347
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• 2016

Since the 1970s, manufacturing has been one of the key driving forces that has led to Korea's economic growth. However, this growth rate has been reduced significantly since the 2000s, and shows that revenues and employment are steadily decreasing. In addition, while manufacturing investment in Korea has dropped sharply, the United States, Germany, Japan, and other major countries have increased investment in manufacturing. These countries have promoted manufacturing innovation strategies that include the convergence of information and communications technologies (ICT) and manufacturing. For manufacturing innovation, it is important for time and cost savings required for product development to be achieved by changes in the production process, especially product design. Modeling and simulation (M&S) is a process that replaces physical product design, mockup making, and testing, with virtual product creation (modeling) and engineering analysis (simulation). In this paper, we analyze the economic ripple effect of supercomputing M&S using an input-output model technique based on the input-output tables published by the Bank of Korea. When we set the M&S budget (about US$16 million for the last 10 years) of the Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information (KISTI) as input coefficients, the effect on production inducement, value-added inducement, and employment inducement was analyzed to be US$24 million, US$13.4 million, and 267, respectively.

• Land and Housing Review
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.9-19
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• 2018

The purpose of the study is to show the possibility of the enlargement of land banking types through employment of the French land bank case. For sustainable urban regeneration projects, it is necessary to improve the land banking system with comprehensive land banking types. There are a total of 35 land banking agencies in France, which are made according to the needs of the municipality. The main function of these institutions is to perform functions such as land acquisition, management, division, land maintenance(decontamination, etc.), land use plan review and so on. In the 1960s and 1970s, mainly purchase and maintenance of land mainly focused on Brownfield and idle land, but since 2000 the land purchase business is mainly for the supply of social rental housing which is missing It was. The use of land banks is most frequently mentioned as a way of how to supply land at a low price in urban renewal projects. To that end, it is necessary to revise related laws, even if the law is revised so that land for urban regeneration projects can be secured, due to the limit of financial resources, land for the urban regeneration project nationwide secured It will not be easy without policy judgment of a positive nation. Therefore, securing land reserve resources for urban regeneration projects utilizing residential district funds and municipal maintenance funds is essential. In addition, even on a small scale, it is necessary to consider the banking of land for regional capitalization at the local government level.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.187-214
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• 2012

Korea's national income statistics have been compiled by the Bank of Korea since 1953. However, there is a break in the time series. The current time series (1970 onward) is based on the '1993 SNA (System of National Accounts)' suggested by the UN, and the previous time series (1953~1970) was based on the '1953 SNA'. The difference between the previous and current time series is 4.8% in 1970 when the two series overlap. The difference is even greater in terms of comparisons across industries. In addition, it has now become even more difficult to connect the current and the previous time series because, in 2009, the Bank of Korea introduced a chain weighted method for calculating the current time series (1970 onward). Under the chain weighted method, the time series underwent substantial modification; for instance, the economic growth rate during 1970~2005 is 0.9%p higher than the rate under the general method. This paper applies chain weighted values and the '1993 SNA' to the previous time series (1953~1970) by utilizing various national account manuals published by the UN and previous Korean input-output tables in order to calculate a long term time series from 1953 to 2010 based on the same criteria as the current time series (1970 onward). In the revised time series, it appears that 1953 GDP at current basic prices is 3.5% higher and the growth rate for the period of 1953~1970 is 1.5%p higher each year than under the previous time series. Under the revised time series the size of the Korean economy as of 2010 is 50-fold bigger than that of 1953. In terms of industries, manufacturing and SOC show significant expansion whereas the extent of that of the service industry is relatively small.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.19 no.12
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• pp.303-309
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• 2021

This study examines the effects of CBDC(Central Bank Digital Currency) on the Korean economy in the digital currency era and discusses the response strategies for CBDC. With the review of the definition and the development status of digital currency, we explore the characteristics and current status of CBDC in Korea as well as the possibility for internationalization of CBDC. The result shows that CBDC can reduce credit risk, improve transaction transparency compared to cash, and increases monetary policy capacity. Meanwhile, the credit and intermediary function of financial institutions may be weakened, and side effects such as financial alienation may occur. Nevertheless, as the issuance of CBDC is an important opportunity to enhance the possibility of internationalization of Korean Won, preemptive measures are required to keep pace with the competition and cooperation with each country toward the digital key currency. We need to accelerate the digital financial environment through Korea's comparative advantage, and develop a strategy to achieve the internationalization of the financial industry and the Korean Won through CBDC issuance. From the early stage of CBDC designing, it is necessary to achieve international agreements through cooperation with other central banks and to develop policies suitable for the transition to digital currency.

• Journal of Life Science
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• v.31 no.10
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• pp.960-968
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• 2021

Since microalgae research started on late 18 century, they have been recognized as one of the most important bioresources used in bioindustry. Owing to the large efforts paid to industrial application of this microorganisms, their importance on food/feed and bioactive compounds has been further extending into the environmental research areas including alternative energy resources, mitigation of the carbon emission, and waste-water treatment. However, despite the importance on their industrial application, the fundamental research field related to the long-term preservation of microalgae culture has not received much attention. However, a less labor intensive and cost-efficient preservation technology enabling biologically active and stable microalgae-culture provides a key success factor in the biotechnological application. Therefore, this study investigated various cutting-edge microalgae cryopreservation technologies currently developed so far, mainly targeting Chlorophyta, which occupies the largest taxon in the classification system of microalgae. In addition, for the development of successful cryopreservation technique, the key factors such as temperature control effect and preservative effect during cryopreservation of microalgae culture were investigated. In addition, the problems with current preservation technology that is being used in Korean domestic biological resource banks and the international microalgal resource banks are described. According to our investigation, currently no standard method for long-term preservation of microalgae is available due to their various morphological and physiological characteristics. To overcome such issues, much more efforts on fundamental research area on the identification of specific biomarker used for microalgae taxonomical classification and further systemic approaches based on strain-specific cryopreservation methods needed.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.38 no.6
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• pp.1021-1028
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• 2018

As entering the international construction market became more difficult than the past, ODA projects can be a breakthrough for domestic engineering companies to enter the international market. However, since many companies compete for limited projects, it is necessary to reinforce the competitiveness of bidding success. The competitiveness is the result of accumulating experience, reputation, and networking through partnering. Therefore, depending on which partnering strategy has been taken over a long period, the bidding success is decided. The objective of this study is to identify the effective partnering strategy for bidding success. For this, the World Bank bid results, focusing on consulting projects in Vietnam, are collected. Using the bid results, inter-firm network representing the partnering relationship is constructed and the Social Network Analysis is conducted. After then, by conducting the Logistic Regression Analysis, effective partnering strategies are suggested. The result shows that the diversification strategy is advantageous for transportation and city development projects and the concentration strategy is advantageous for water projects. The partnering strategy for the consulting project proposed in this study will be used as a reference for the domestic engineering companies to enter the Vietnam construction market in the future.

• Analyses & Alternatives
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.147-178
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• 2023

While most of countries today are opposing the issuance of private-led cryptocurrency, nevertheless they are actively jumping into the issuance of government-led digital currency such as CBDC. This article aims to find an answer to this dual attitude of countries. To achieve the purpose, this article finds out the characteristics of political power and economic interest that digital currency has and applies it to the international dimension of the Bretton Woods II System. Then come up to the conclusion that the answer can be found in the fact that the current dual attitude of countries is closely related to the crisis of the international monetary order. The Bretton Woods II System, which led the world economy through reckless monetary expansion based on credit currency, exposed its limitations through the 2008 global financial crisis and put countries into difficulties. In this situation, the cryptocurrency, which appeared by raising the issue of the monopoly power of the central authority in issuing currency, had no choice but to act as an opportunity to drive countries further and further into a corner. This article views CBDC as a national response to address these issues. In other words, countries maintain their monetary power by absorbing the challenge of private digital currency at the government level through CBDC, and use this as a stepping stone to reorganize the international monetary order in crisis with the intention to use it as a means to their advantage. That is what this article is trying to argue.