• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.46-48
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• 2001

웹 캐슁은 캐쉬 액새스턱 통해 웹 서버와 네트워크의 부하를 감소시켜 웹 응용을 가속화하는 중요한 기술이다. 전통적인 데이타 캐슁과 마찬가지로, 웹 캐슁은 캐쉬 일관성 유지라는 문제를 안고 있다. 그러나, 기존의 캐슁과는 달리 웹 캐슁에서는 웹 서버 데이타 갱신을 지연하여 반영하는 약 일관성이 허용된다. 이러한 조건은 TTL(time-to-live, 캐쉬 서버가 캐쉬된 데이타 아이템이 유효하다고 기대하는 시간)이 일관성 유지를 위해 사용되는 것을 허용한다. 이것은 효과적인 TTL 추정방법의 개발이 필요하도록 하였다. 그러나, 현재가지 소개된 두 가지 추정 방법(고정 TTL방법과 휴리스틱 방법)은 직관적 해석이 어렵고, 이론적인 추정근거가 빈약하다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 단점을 보완하기 위하여 확률적 분석에 기 반하여 정형적이고, 직관적인 의미를 갖는 위험도 기반 TTL 설정 방법을 제안한다. 이 방법에서는 위험도를 TTL 이내에 원본 데이타가 갱신될 확률로 정의하고, 갱신분포를 포아송 과정으로 가정한 후, 주어진 위험도를 TTL 식을 유도한다. 위험도 기반 TTL 설정 방법은 기존방법과 비교하여 위험도란 개념을 통하여 보다 직관적이고, 확률적 유도를 통하여 TTL 설정방법은 기존방법과 비교하여 위험도란 개념을 통하여 보다 직관적이고, 확률은 유도를 통하여 TTL 설정에 대한 이론적인 근거를 제공한다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.200-208
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• 2024

The occurrence a fire on a training ship with a large number of people on board can lead to severe casualties. Hence the Seafarers' Act and Safety Life At Sea(SOLAS) emphasizes the importance of the abandon ship drill. Therefore, in this study, the training ship of Mokpo National Maritime University, Segero, which has a large number of people on board, was selected as the target ship and the likelihood and severity of fire accidents on each deck were predicted through the preliminary hazard analysis(PHA) qualitative risk assessment. Additionally, assuming a fire in a high-risk area, a simulation of evacuation time and population density was performed to quantitatively predict the risk. The the total evacuation time was predicted to be the longest at 501s in the meal time scenario, in which the population distribution was concentrated in one area. Depending on the scenario, some decks had relatively high population densities of over 1.4pers/m², preventing stagnation in the number of evacuees. The results of this study are expected to be used as basic data to develop training scenarios for training ships by quantifying evacuation time and population density according to various evacuation scenarios, and the research can be expanded in the future through comparison of mathematical models and experimental values.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.6
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• pp.457-464
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• 2009

This paper proposes methodologies for analyzing the accuracy of the proportional hazards model in predicting consecutive break times of water mains and estimating the time interval for economical water main replacement. By using the survival functions that are based on the proportional hazards models a criterion for the prediction of the consecutive pipe breaks is determined so that the prediction errors are minimized. The criterion to predict pipe break times are determined as the survival probability of 0.70 and only the models for the third through the seventh break are analyzed to be reliable for predicting break times for the case study pipes. Subsequently, the criterion and the estimated lower and upper bound survival functions of consecutive breaks are used in predicting the lower and upper bounds of the 95% confidence interval of future break times of an example water main. Two General Pipe Break Prediction Models(GPBMs) are estimated for an example pipe using the two series of recorded and predicted lower and upper bound break times. The threshold break rate is coupled with the two GPBMs and solved for time to obtain the economical replacement time interval.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.21-28
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• 2016

Numeric weather prediction is important to prevent meteorological disasters such as heavy rain, heat wave, and cold wave. The Korea meteorological administration provides a realtime special weather report and the rural development administration demonstrates information about 2-day warning of agricultural disasters for farms in a few regions. To improve the early warning systems for meteorological hazards, a nation-wide high-resolution dataset for weather prediction should be combined with web-based GIS. This study aims to develop a web service prototype for early warning of meteorological hazards, which integrates web GIS technologies with a weather prediction database in a temporal resolution of 1 hour and a spatial resolution of 1 km. The spatially and temporally high-resolution dataset for meteorological hazards produced by downscaling of GME was serviced via a web GIS. In addition to the information about current status of meteorological hazards, the proposed system provides the hourly dong-level forecasting of meteorologic hazards for upcoming seven days, such as heavy rain, heat wave, and cold wave. This system can be utilized as an operational information service for municipal governments in Korea by achieving the future work to improve the accuracy of numeric weather predictions and the preprocessing time for raster and vector dataset.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.111-114
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• 2010

With the rise of green technology, the environmental question causes people’s attention more and more, based on objective of the sustainable development, the green risk has already begun to appear. In the paper the definition of the green risk of construction project is given, it analyzes and identifies the green risk of construction project from three aspects, based on BIM, the relation with green risk was found. Though the relation, the management of green risk was analyzed and we may take some measures to reduce the unnecessary risk and waste.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.69-78
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• 2010

In this study, Fire Hazards were evaluated through computer simulation using FDS program for an apartment fire accident. The results of fire simulation showed that the maximum heat release rate in the case of no sprinklers activation was 7,700 kW which was about 16 times of that in the case of sprinklers activation, 497 kW and there was a very high fire hazard due to the backdraft phenomenon when the door of fire room was forced to open. Regarding the hazard time of fire room temperature and detection time of detectors, available evacuation time was 32.5 seconds of minimum to 53.5 seconds of maximum. In the case of sprinklers activation, fire hazard in the apartment was showed to be very low due to the fire control by the spray cooling of sprinklers. This study shows that what a important function for fire safety is the activations of fire sprinkler system and emergency alarm system and what a large loss can cause if these systems don’t activate in fire accidents.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.50 no.11
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• pp.735-743
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• 2017

With growing concerns about ever-increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, it is crucial to enhance preparedness for unprecedented extreme weathers that can bring catastrophic consequences. In this study, we proposed a stochastic framework that considers uncertainty in weather forecasts for flood analyses. First, we calibrated a simple rainfall-runoff model against observed hourly hydrographs. Then, using probability density functions of rainfall depths conditioned by 6-hourly weather forecasts, we generated many stochastic rainfall depths for upcoming 48 hours. We disaggregated the stochastic 6-hour rainfalls into an hourly scale, and input them into the runoff model to quantify a probabilistic range of runoff during upcoming 48 hours. Under this framework, we assessed two rainfall events occurred in Bocheong River Basin, South Korea in 2017. It is indicated actual flood events could be greater than expectations from weather forecasts in some cases; however, the probabilistic runoff range could be intuitive information for managing flood risks before events. This study suggests combining deterministic and stochastic methods for forecast-based flood analyses to consider uncertainty in weather forecasts.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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• v.12C no.7 s.103
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• pp.989-998
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• 2005

Information systems are today becoming larger and mostly broadband-networked. This exposes them at a higher risk of intrusions and hacking than ever before. Of the technologies developed to meet information system security needs, risk analysis is currently one of the most actively researched areas. Meanwhile, due to the extreme diversity of assets and complexity of network structure, there is a limit to the level of accuracy which can be achieved by an analysis tool in the assessment of risk run by an information system. Also, the results of a risk assessment are most oftennot up-to-date due to the changing nature of security threats. By the time an evaluation and associated set of solutions are ready, the nature and level of vulnerabilities and threats have evolved and increased, making them obsolete. Accordingly, what is needed is a risk analysis tool capable of assessing threats and propagation of damage, at the same time as security solutions are being identified. To do that, the information system must be simplified, and intrusion data must be diagrammed using a modeling technique this paper, we propose a modeling technique information systems to enable security risk analysis, using SPICE and Petri-net, and conduct simulations of risk analysis on a number of case studies.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.190-190
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• 2019

호우로 인해 도시지역에 발생하는 홍수의 대표적인 특성은 도로와 저지대의 내수침수라고 할 수 있다. 이러한 침수현상을 모의하고 예측하기 위해서는 일반적으로 도시유출해석 모형과 연계된 2차원 침수해석 모형을 활용한다. 다만, 이러한 물리적, 수치해석 도구들은 공간적인 해상도가 높고, 대상영역이 넓을수록 많은 연산시간이 소요되므로 집중호우와 같이 단시간에 많은 비가 발생하는 경우 홍수예보에 활용하는데 한계가 있다. 따라서 시나리오 기반의 침수위험 정보를 사전에 정의하나, 위험기준을 정의하는 방법에 따라 위험지역과 위험도가 달라질 수 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 시공간적으로 상세한 침수 예상 정보를 빠르고, 정확하게 제공하기 위해서 침수시나리오 기반의 침수위험 예보 기준 지도를 작성하고, 기준 지도 작성 시 위험기준 요소의 정의를 다양하게 적용하여 서울시의 침수위험 지역과 위험도의 변화를 분석하고자 한다. 여기서 침수시나리오는 76개 강우 시나리오와 SWMM모형, 2차원 침수해석모형(GIAM)을 활용하여 생산한 결과를 활용하였다. 생산된 침수시나리오는 6m 시공간 해상도를 갖지만, 예측강우를 활용한 돌발홍수예보 프로토타입의 기준 격자망을 고려하여 500m 해상도로 변환하여 분석에 활용한다. 본 연구에서는 침수위험의 유무, 위험 정도를 분류하는 위험기준을 영역 내 최대침수심, 평균침수심, 침수면적 비율 등으로 다양화하고, 각 위험기준 요소별 침수위험 예보 기준 지도를 작성한다. 또한, 실제 침수발생 사례에 작성한 침수위험 예보 기준 지도를 적용하여, 침수위험 지역과 위험도를 가장 적합하게 구현한 위험기준을 찾고자 한다.

• KOREAN POULTRY JOURNAL
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• v.15 s.162
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• pp.28-31
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• 1983

공업과는 달리 농업부문은 생산성향상을 위해 막대한 투자와 장구한 시간을 필요로 한다. 따라서 생산성향상을 위한 여건조성의 시간적 여유를 주지않고 생산성이 낮으니 수입을 자유화해 외국산 농축산물로 수요를 충당하는 것은 매우 위험스러운 접근이다.