• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험비용

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An Approach to Risk Assessment of City Gas Pipeline (도시가스 배관의 위험평가 방법론 제시)

  • Park Kyo-Shik;Lee Jin-Han;Jo Young-Do;Park Jin-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.7 no.1 s.18
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2003
  • In this work, a novel approach was introduced to assess cost of loss resulting from risk as well as to help deciding inspection period through quantifying risk. In order to quantifying risk of city gas pipeline, frequency and consequence analysis were required. The main causes of city gas accident were analyzed to be digging, external corrosion, ground movement, and equipment failure. Tools to evaluate frequency of each cause was also suggested. Among city gas accidents, fire damage is the dominant one and mainly discussed; fatality, burning injury, and damage to building were estimated using the consequence model suggested. By combining frequency and consequence analysis, evaluating cost of risk management together with calculating example. This work could be applicable for city gas companies to plan how to manage risk most effectively.

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Economic Impact Analysis of Disaster Mitigation Projects in Hazardous Areas (자연재해위험지구 정비사업의 투자효과분석)

  • Heo, Bo-Young;Yu, Soonyoung;Kim, Sung-Wook
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.247-256
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    • 2013
  • In order to improve the quality assurance of the disaster mitigation projects, the economic effect of these projects in the hazardous areas was analysed. Eight project sites were selected for analyses based on the disaster data during the previous 10 years, and the investment effect was evaluated using a benefit cost ratio (B/C). The benefit was estimated using the historical disaster data and presumed to continue for 30 years, while the cost was assumed with the total project cost. Analysis results indicate the B/C ratio is larger than 1 in the difference range, depending on factors such as impact areas and discount rates. According to the analysis results, the average B/C of the eight projects is 4.1 with assuming the discount rate of 4% and the impact diameter of 5 km, which implies that a disaster management project in hazardous areas will give the positive investment effects.

An Influence of Korean National Image on Japanese Consumer's Perceived Quality, Risk and Information Cost Saving: focused on Mediating Role of Brand Credibility (한국의 국가이미지가 일본소비자의 지각된 품질과 위험, 그리고 정보비용절약에 미치는 영향: 브랜드신뢰성의 매개적 역할을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jang Hyun;Bae, Il Hyun
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.315-339
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    • 2011
  • As the Korean economy grows, the brand value of Korean companies such as Samsung, LG and Hyundai Motor has been elevated greatly. Compared to the brand value of Korean companies, Korea's national image is very lowly ranked. In addition Korea's national brand is undervalued compared to economic volume. So, the purpose of this study is to find way to enhance the Korea's national brand in Japanese Market through brand credibility. The results as follows. First, this study find that brand credibility is consist of expertise and trustworthiness in Japanese market. Second Korea national image positive impact on brand credibility. Third, brand credibility positive impact on perceived quality and information cost saving. Finally, brand credibility negative impact on perceived risk. In conclusion, all hypothesis are significant. So these results are very useful to Korea government and Korean companies.

Analysis on the Procurement Hedging Strategies for Bituminous Coal Considering Multiple Risk Factors (복수의 위험요인을 고려한 유연탄 조달헤징전략 분석)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol;Sonn, Yang-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.855-872
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    • 2007
  • This study suggests an imported coal procurement model that simultaneously considers the risk factors of coal price, ocean freight rate and foreign exchange rate. In addition, it quantitatively analyses the superiority of this model compared to the previous one m terms of procurement cost saving and stabilization. According to the empirical results, a separate hedging could stabilize the procurement cost flow, but this is not the end of story. That is, a complex hedging would reduce the standard deviations of cost flow. Thus, one could improve hedging effects by fully considering the inherent variance-covariance relationship among coal price, ocean freight rate and foreign exchange.

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A Study on Risk Analysis Methode Using Case-Based Reasoning (사례기반 추론을 이용한 위험분석방법 연구)

  • Lee, Hyeak-Ro;Ahn, Seong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 2008
  • The risk enlargement of cyber infringement and hacking is one of the latest hot issues. To solve the problem, the research for Security Risk Analysis, one of Information Security Technique, has been activating. However, the evaluation for Security Risk Analysis has many burdens; evaluation cost, long period of the performing time, participants’ working delay, countermeasure cost, Security Management cost, etc. In addition, pre-existing methods have only treated Analyzing Standard and Analyzing Method, even though their scale is so large that seems like a project. the Analyzing Method have no option but to include assessors’ projective opinion due to the mixture using that both qualitative and quantitative method are used for. Consequently, in this paper, we propose the Security Risk Analysis Methodology which manage the quantitative evaluation as a project and use Case-Based Reasoning Algorithm for define the period of the performing time and for select participants.

Optimal Fiscal Budget Allocation of Oil Crisis Strategies Using Portfolio Approach (포트폴리오 기법을 활용한 유가대응 대안별 최적 예산배분)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol;Sonn, Yang-Hun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.719-749
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    • 2008
  • Using the cost-risk portfolio approach, this study suggests a fiscal budgeting model that provide a measure to allocate fiscal budget among the strategies responding to oil crisis. In addition, it calculates the appropriate fiscal distribution among policy measures for the 2000 to 2006 fiscal years. According to the empirical results, a certain amount of budget should be allocated to the option using futures markets. The strategic stockpiling option turns out be hard to be included in the policy portfolio due to its costs much higher that the other options. Oil well development option should take more than half of total budget since its expenses are assumed to be relatively low.

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A Development of Risk Performance Index for Mega-project Performance Measurement in view of the integrated Cost/Schedule/Risk (비용/공정/위험 통합 관점에서 메가 프로젝트 성과측정을 위한 위험성과지수 개발)

  • Kim, Seon-Gyoo;Park, Kyoo-Young;Yu, Young-Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2009
  • Recently, a research of the urban regeneration has been performed very actively. This is one of the efforts to resolve various social and economic problems coming from the existing deteriorated building and facilities by new urban development or redevelopment. However, an urban regeneration has a characteristic to be unable to ensure the project performance due to the exposed numerous risks coming from the various and complex stake-holders, and its mega sizes. This paper proposes the method of risk performance index in order to improve an efficiency of performance measurement expanding to the risk view point from the existing integrated cost/schedule performance measurement. A risk performance index is compatible with the existing EVMS, and can make the performance measurement in 3 dimensions of the integrated cost/schedule/risk with 18 sub-indexes and variables.

Analysis of Loss Costs and Risk Reserve due to Risk Events for Aircraft Runway Construction (활주로 건설공사의 위험사건에 따른 손실비용 및 위험예비비 분석)

  • Kang, Hyun Wook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to derive risk events that occurred during aircraft runway construction and analyze loss costs for project participants. For this purpose, design change data, contracted statement and completed statement were investigated. The results of this study are as follows: There were 12 risk events in the process of construction, 5 design errors and 7 construction errors. The increased construction costs due to such risk events were calculated as KRW 726 million. Of the KRW 726 million that was increased due to risk events, about 52.57% was spent by the ordering agency, and about 47.43% contractors. The increased construction costs due to such risk events are about 4.86% of the direct construction costs of KRW 14.9 billion. Based on the results derived from these case studies, a method for estimating reserve costs and construction costs considering risk events is presented.

The Inflation Effect on Optimal Bank Capital Structure and Asset Riskiness (인플레이션이 은행(銀行)의 재무구조(財務構造)와 자산위험도(資産危險度)에 미치는 영향(影響))

  • Oh, Young-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.155-177
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    • 1991
  • 기업의 재무구조와 인플레이션과의 관계는 세율에 대한 다양한 형태의 가정을 통하여 연구, 분석되어 왔으나, 이 문제를 확실히 해결하지는 못하였다. 근자에 A. Marcus(1983)가 미국의 은행의 재무구조를 대상으로 한 시계열분석 결과에 의하면 명목이자율의 상승이 미국은행의 부채 대비 자본금 비율을 하락시키는 절대적 요인이 되었다고 한다. 본 연구의 목적은 인플레이션과 은행의 부채 대비 자본금 비율의 상관관계, 더욱 나아가서 은행자산의 위험도가 이 상관관계에 미치는 영향을 분석코자 한다. 본고는 은행규제기관(FDIC 등)의 부채비율과 은행자산(포트폴리오)의 위험도에 대한 규제하에서 은행이 부채(예금)와 자본금의 가치를 극대화하고자 하는 모델을 설정하여 기대 인플레이션 수준이 은행의 적정 자본비율과 자산의 위험도와 어떤 관계가 있는가를 밀러의 균형모델(Miller Equilibrium Model)을 원용하여 분석하였다. 밀러의 균형모델하에서는 기업의 재무구조는 기업가치와 무관한 것으로 나타나고 있다. 즉, 부채를 통한 자금조달에 의해 발생되는 한계세금혜택은 균형하에서는 사라진다는 이론이다. 따라서 인플레이션은 적정 재무구조에는 영향을 미치지 못하게 된다. 왜냐하면 인플레이션은 기업의 세후 부채조달비용과 회사채 투자자 수익에 동일한 영향을 미치기 때문이다. 그러나 은행의 경우 일반 기업과는 달리 은행규제기관의 부채비율 및 자산위험도에 대한 규제압력이 소위 암묵적 규제비용으로 작용하여 은행의 적정자본금비율은 부채(예금)를 통한 자금조달의 한계세금혜택과 이에 따른 한계규제바용이 동일하게 되는 경우에 결정된다. 밀러의 단순균형 모델하에서 한계세금혜택이 없는 것과는 달리 은행의 부채조달에 따른 한계규제비용이 존재하는 이유로 균형조건으로 한계세금이익이 존재하게 된다. 이 경우 인플레이션은 예금자의 실질 세후 예금이자를 상승시키는 것 이상으로 은행의 실질 세후 예금이자 지급비용을 하락시키게 되어 은행의 부채비율을 더욱 높이게 되는 원인이 된다. 또한 은행의 부채비율이 인플레이션과 정(正)의 관계에 있다면 은행규제의 강도에 따라 이 상관계수는 은행자산의 위험도와도 역시 정(正)의 관계에 있게 된다. 미국은행을 대상으로 한 회귀분석에서도 그들의 부채(예금)비율이 기대 인플레이션과 정(正)의 상관관계가 있음이 나타났고 그 상관계수는 은행자산의 위험도와 동일 방향으로 움직임이 판명되었다.

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The Impact of Corporate's Name Change on Cost of Capital (상호변경이 내재자본비용에 미치는 영향)

  • Yu, Soon-Mi
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.21-38
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates whether and how a firm's cost of equity is influenced by the extent of a firms's name change. Even though corporate name change doesn't give any benefit to investors, it can be a signaling about firm's future valuation. And also, if that signaling has high credibility, it can be decrease information cost and the firm's cost of equity. on the contrary to this, if corporate name change is kind of break with the past and corporate image laundering, it is bad signaling to investors. So it can be increase information risk and the firm's cost of equity. Using yearly cross-sectional regressions of the cost of equity on our proxies for corporate name change, size, beta, market-to-book ratio and other innate risk factor over the 2005-2010, we find that the cost of capital is positively associated with corporate name change after controlling for all other factors. This result implies that corporate name change increase information risk of the business, and thus increase information asymmetries between managers and outside investors with respect to a firm's true future value. This increases information risk, and creates an adverse selection problem, on the part of outside investors. Rational investors therefore demand a premium for bearing this corporate name change-related information risk, which in turn leads us to observe a positive relation between the intensity of corporate name change and the cost of equity.

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