• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• v.26 no.5D
• /
• pp.861-867
• /
• 2006

The objective of this study is to analyze the landslide hazard areas by combining LRA (Lgistic Regression Analysis) and AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Program) methods with Remote Sensing and GIS data in Anseong-si. In order to classify landslide hazard areas of seven levels, six topographic factors (slope, aspect, elevation, soil drain, soil depth, and land use) were used as input factors of LRA and AHP methods. As results, high-risk areas for landslide (1 and 2 levels) by LRA and AHP of its own were classified as 46.1% and 48.7%, respectively. A new method by applying weighting factors to the results of LRA and AHP was suggested. High-risk areas for landslide (1 and 2 levels) form the new method was classified as 58.9%.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
• /
• v.26 no.5
• /
• pp.506-513
• /
• 2020

Due to climate change, there is an increasing risk of complex (hybrid) disasters, comprising rising sea-levels, typhoons, and torrential rains. This study focuses on Marine City, Busan, a new residential city built on a former landfill site in Suyeong Bay, which recently suffered massive flood damage following a combination of typhoons, storm surges, and wave overtopping and run-up. Preparations for similar complex disasters in future will depend on risk impact assessment and prioritization to establish appropriate countermeasures. A framework was first developed for this study, followed by the collection of data on flood prediction and socioeconomic risk factors. Five socioeconomic risk factors were identified: (1) population density, (2) basement accommodation, (3) building density and design, (4) design of sidewalks, and (5) design of roads. For each factor, absolute criteria were determined with which to assess their level of risk, while expert surveys were consulted to weight each factor. The results were classified into four levels and the risk level was calculated according to the sea-level rise predictions for the year 2100 and a 100-year return period for storm surge and rainfall: Attention 43 %, Caution 24 %, Alert 21 %, and Danger 11 %. Finally, each level, indicated by a different color, was depicted on a complex disaster risk map.

• 해운
• /
• s.84
• /
• pp.10-16
• /
• 2011

2002년 이후 지속되어온 미국의 재정적자가 금융위기 중 확대되면서 미국 국가채무가 2012년에는 GDP를 초과할 것으로 전망된다. 미 의회는 5개월 이상 협상을 지속한 결과 2011년 8월 1일 국가채무 한도 상향조정을 포함한 예산통제법을 통과시켜 국가부도사태는 발발하지 않았다. 이러한 미 의회의 국가채무 한도 상향 조정에도 불구하고, S&P는 지난 8월 3일 미국의 국가신용등급을 AAA에서 AA+로 강등하였으며, 주식시장의 경우도 미국의 재정지출 감축으로 인한 경기회복지연, 신용등급 강등 영향으로 인한 국제금융시장의 위험자산 회피현상으로 급락하였다. 미국 재정지출 감축과 위험자산 회피현상에 따른 우리나라의 국내총생산 감소는 미미할 것으로 분석되지만, 재정긴축 계획으로 향후 5년 동안 미국 경제에 평균 -0.5%정도의 GDP 감소 효과가 있으며, 우리나라 GDP도 평균적으로 -0.02% 정도 감소시킬 것이다. 이에 따라 우리나라 기업들도 미국 재정긴축 및 신용등급 강등으로 인하여 발생할 수 있는 사항들을 다각적으로 분석하여 대처를 할 필요성이 제기되고 있다. 다음은 대외경제정책연구원에서 발표한 "미국 재정긴축 및 신용등급 강등의 효과분석"의 주요 내용을 정리 요약한 것이다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
• /
• 2022.10a
• /
• pp.105-106
• /
• 2022

본 연구는 급경사지 정비 사업 이후 현장을 재평가하고, 등급을 산정할 때 보강시설로 인한 등급 하락의 효과성을 검증하기 위해 역량 지표를 추가하여 12명의 전문가와 15개 지점에 대한 현장평가를 실시하였다. 15개 지점 중 11개소에서 점수가 변화되었으며, 6개의 지점에서 등급이 하락하였다. 등급의 변화가 크지 않아 개선해야 할 점이 있지만 본 연구는 향후 급경사지 등급 조정 연구에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• v.26 no.2B
• /
• pp.187-195
• /
• 2006

A bridge scour management system is developed to evaluate the vulnerability of bridge piers to scour and to help establish effective disaster measures, taking into account the locality and scour characteristics in Korea. This system is programmed using the techniques of the geographical information system(GIS) for the storage, retrieval, and display of information regarding to bridge scour. The system functions are basically divided into two parts; prioritization and maintenance. Bridges are initially screened and prioritized for bridge scour inspection and evaluation using the basic information which is obtained from the office review. The bridge scour evaluation including site investigation is performed and the vulnerability of bridge piers is categorized into six groups taking into account the local scour depth, foundation bearing capacity, foundation type, foundation depth, and present scour condition. The system tabulates and plots all the data and the results.

• Fire Science and Engineering
• /
• v.29 no.5
• /
• pp.88-95
• /
• 2015

We propose a weather-related service for fire risk assessment in order to increase fire safety awareness in everyday life. The proposed service offers a fire risk assessment level according to weather forecasts and a degree of fire risk according to fire factors under certain weather conditions. In order to estimate the fire risk, we produced a risk matrix through data mining with a decision tree using investigation data and weather data. Through the proposed service, residents can calculate the degree of fire risk under certain weather conditions using the fire factors around them. In addition, they can choose from various solutions to reduce fire risk. In order to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed services, we developed a system that offers the services. Whenever weather forecasting is carried out by the Korea Meteorological Administration, the system produces the fire risk assessment levels for seven major cities and nine provinces of South Korea in an online process, as well as the fire risk according to fire factors for the weather conditions in each region.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.21 no.1
• /
• pp.21-40
• /
• 2003

A traffic accident analysis method was developed and tested based on the highway alignment risk indices using geographic information systems(GIS). Impacts of the highway alignment on traffic accidents have been identified by examining accidents occurred on different alignment conditions and by investigating traffic accident risk indices(TARI). Evaluative criteria are suggested using geometric design elements as an independent variable. Traffic accident rates were forecasted more realistically and objectively by considering the interaction between highway alignment factors and the design consistency. And traffic accident risk indices and risk ratings were suggested based on model estimation results and accident data. Finally, forecasting traffic accident rates, evaluating the level of risk and then visualizing information graphically were combined into one system called risk assessment system by means of GIS. This risk assessment system is expected to play a major role in designing four-lane highways and developing remedies for highway sections susceptible to traffic accidents.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2019.05a
• /
• pp.293-293
• /
• 2019

최근 도심지 침수예방을 위해 구조적 비구조적인 대책 등이 수행되어 왔으나, 도심지의 국지성 호우의 발생빈도가 증가함에 따라 단시간의 도심지 침수예측의 중요성이 다시 대두되고 있다. 이에 도심지 침수 예측을 위해서는 수치모의 프로그램을 사용한 연구가 진행되어 왔으나, 국지성 호우에 의한 침수를 막을 만킁의 실시간 위험예측은 아직까지 힘든 실정이다. 한편 해양재난의 침수를 예방하기 위해서 국립재난안전연구원(2017)에서는 과학적 보간법을 적용한 침수예측 모형인 SIND(Scientific Interpolation for Natural Disaster) Model을 개발한 바 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 SIND Model을 도심지 침수예측에 적용하여 집중호우와 같은 단기간의 침수를 예방하고자 한다. SIND Model은 기 구축된 침수예상도를 활용하여 모든 시나리오에 대한 침수 위험도 등급을 실시간으로 평가하는 모형이다. 국토부에서 제공하는 국가홍수위험지도와 내수침수지도를 활용하였고, SIND Model은 Comsol Multyphisic를 활용하여 침수예측지도를 생성하였다. 기존에 해양재난 예측을 위해 사용하였던 Risk Grade 방정식에 시간 항(time term)과 도심지의 최초 침수 발생위치에 생성 항(source term)을 추가하여 도심지 침수특성을 반영하였다. 결과를 평가하기 위하여 CRITIC(CRiteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation) 방법을 활용한 형상유사도를 산출하였다. 그 결과, 기 구축된 홍수위험지도와 형상유사도는 전체 구역 중 80%의 구역이 0.8 이상의 값을 나타내었다. 20%의 구역에서는 복잡한 도심지의 건물, 구조물 등의 침수특성을 반영하지 못하여 형상유사도가 낮게 평가된 것으로 판단되며, 향후 위험도 예측을 위해 배수시스템 등의 영향인자를 고려한다면 위험도 등급 예측의 정확도를 높일 수 있을 것이라 기대된다.

• Fire Science and Engineering
• /
• v.15 no.3
• /
• pp.49-54
• /
• 2001

Recently, intentional arsons for exploitation and wildland fire caused by abnormal change of weather are increasing as well as the damage scale due to such fire in the world. The number of such big wildland fire is also increasing in Korea these days. Fire prevention activity can be said as more important than fire putting-out activity after a fire occurrence for the most effective way to cope with wildland fire, and the research on wildland fire prevention system is what we need to do urgently, In this study I examined and analyzed the experiments and data about the factors influencing wildland fire and stated the dangerousness of each factor for all of the 6 factors and set up the general dangerousness rating applying each factor's contribution to the dangerousness.

• Fire Science and Engineering
• /
• v.23 no.5
• /
• pp.66-71
• /
• 2009

In this study, I evaluated toxicity that analyze performance of flame-retardant about flame-retardant painting wood and combustion gas that is based on the toxicity index. Processing condition of flame retardant solution and treatment method of samples didn't affect greatly to performance of flame retardant. Occurrence of combustion gas showed a almost similar result from the sample which spraying flame retardant solution and toxicity corresponds to high level, Hazard Class III, and the flame retardant solution saturation sample which makes put out Hazard Class II which is a low toxicity relatively.