• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험도 등급

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A Study on National Mining Investment Security Analysis for the Overseas Mineral Resources Investment Business (해외 광물자원 투자 사업을 위한 국가위험도 분석 연구)

  • Ko, Eun-Mi;Choi, Soen-Gyu;Kim, Chang-Seong;Kim, Seong-Yong;Pak, Sang-Joon
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.475-484
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we analyzed national mining investment security and country risk, and suggested a new index for exploration and development investment for mining projects in abroad by an analysis of relationship between these grades and mineral resource development investment. For this, potential risks for mining in mineral-rich countries are assessed, and the risk of the exploration and development investment for mining projects is relatively evaluated by OECD country risk. It is noted that countries of the lower ranks in OECD are consistently good agreement with the high grade in Behre Dolbear Group Inc. for favorable mineral exploitation, whereas the higher ranks have shown diverse and high risks for the mining investigation and development. Consequently, it is necessary that assessment of the relationship between mineral resource index and country risk for mining projects to be investigated and developed in future should be applied before business decision of mineral investigation projects in abroad.

Linkage of Numerical Analysis Model and Machine Learning for Real-time Flood Risk Prediction (도시홍수 위험도 실시간 표출을 위한 수치해석 모형과 기계학습의 연계)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun;Kim, Tae Hyung;Choi, Kyu Hyun;Cho, Hyo Seop
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.332-332
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    • 2021
  • 도시화가 상당히 이뤄지고 기습적인 폭우의 발생이 불확실하게 나타나는 시점에서 재산 및 인명피해를 야기할 수 있는 내수침수에 대한 위험도가 증가하고 있다. 내수침수에 대한 예측을 위하여 실측강우 또는 확률강우량 시나리오를 참조하고 연구대상 지역에 대한 1차원 그리고 2차원 수리학적 해석을 실시하는 연구가 오랫동안 진행되어 왔으나, 수치해석 모형의 경우 다양한 수문-지형학적 자료 및 계측 자료를 요구하고 집약적인 계산과정을 통한 단기간 예측에 어려움이 있음이 언급되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 위와 같은 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 단일 도시 배수분구를 대상으로 관측 강우 자료, 1, 2차원 수치해석 모형, 기계학습 및 딥러닝 기법을 적용한 실시간 홍수위험지도 예측 모형을 개발하였다. 강우자료에 대하여 실시간으로 홍수량을 예측할 수 있도록 LSTM(Long-Short Term Memory) 기법을 적용하였으며, 전국단위 강우에 대한 다양한 1차원 도시유출해석 결과를 학습시킴으로써 예측을 수행하였다. 침수심의 공간적 분포의 경우 로지스틱 회귀를 이용하여, 기준 침수심에 대한 예측을 각각 수행하였다. 홍수위험 등급의 경우 침수심, 유속 그리고 잔해인자를 고려한 홍수위험등급 공식을 적용하여 산정하였으며, 이 결과를 랜덤포레스트(Random Forest)에 학습함으로써 실시간 예측을 수행할 수 있도록 개발하였다. 침수범위 및 홍수위험등급에 대한 예측은 격자 단위로 이뤄졌으며, 검증 자료의 부족으로 침수 흔적도를 통하여 검증된 2차원 침수해석 결과와 비교함으로써 예측력을 평가하였다. 본 기법은 특정 관측강우 또는 예측강우 자료가 입력되었을 때에, 도시 유역 단위로 접근이 불가하여 통제해야 할 구간을 실시간으로 예측하여 관리할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Development and Validation of Situation Awareness Tests for Commercial Drivers (사업용 운전자를 위한 상황인식 검사의 개발과 타당화)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Su;Gang, Ui-Jin;Park, Sang-Hyeok;Jeong, Hye-Seung;Lee, Yong-Chan;Son, Yeong-U
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2011
  • This research aimed to investigate whether commercial drivers' situation awareness ability is related to their frequency and magnitude of caused accidents and penalty points. For the purpose of measuring drivers' situation perception and interpretation capacities, two tests named 'situation awareness test' and 'hazard perception test' were developed. The tests were based on the data from 299 commercial drivers (test drivers) using a driving simulator. The outcome of drivers' performance on situation awareness and hazard perception tests was designed to be categorized into 5 grades, classifying the best as grade 1 and the worst as grade 5. As the result, low grades on situation awareness test had positive relationship with accumulated penalty points, frequency of accidents and safety index. Grades on hazard perception test were also positively correlated with accident frequency and safety indices. This suggests situation awareness ability of commercial drivers is significantly related to traffic violations and accident causing tendencies.

A Study on Integrated Assessment of Baekdu Mountain Volcanic Aisaster risk Based on GIS (GIS기법을 이용한 백두산 화산재해 종합평가 연구)

  • Xiao-Jiao, Ni;Choi, Yun Soo;Ying, Nan
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2014
  • Recently there are many disasters caused by volcanic activities such as the eruptions in Tungurahua, Ecuador(2014) and $Eyjafjallaj\ddot{o}kull$, Iceland(2010). Therefore, it is required to prepare countermeasures for the disasters. This study analyzes the Baekdu Mountain area, where is the risky area because it is active volcano, based on the observed data and scientific methods in order to assess a risk, produce a hazard map and analyze a degree of risk caused by the volcano. Firstly, it is reviewed for the research about the Baekdu mountain volcanic eruption in 1215(${\pm}15$ years) done by Liu Ruoxin. And the factors causing volcanic disaster, environmental effects, and vulnerability of Baekdu Mountain are assessed by the dataset, which includes the earthquake monitoring data, the volcanic deformation monitoring data, the volcanic fluid geochemical monitoring data, and the socio-economic statistics data. A hazard, especially caused by a volcano, distribution map for the Baekdu Mountain Area is produced by using the assessment results, and the map is used to establish the disaster risk index system which has the four phases. The first and second phases are very high risky area when the Baekdu Mountain erupts, and the third and fourth phases are less dangerous area. The map shows that the center of mountain has the first phase and the farther area from the center has the lower phase. Also, the western of Baekdu Mountain is more vulnerable to get the risk than the eastern when the factors causing volcanic disasters are equally applied. It seems to be caused by the lower stability of the environment and the higher vulnerability.

Prediction and Evaluation of Landslide Hazard Based on Regional Forest Environment (지역산림환경을 기반으로 한 산사태 발생 위험성의 예측 및 평가)

  • Ma, Ho-Seop;Kang, Won-Seok;Lee, Sung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.103 no.2
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2014
  • This study was carried out to propose the criteria for the prediction of landslide occurrence through analysis the influence of each factor by using the quantification theory. The results obtained from this study are summarized as follows. From a stepwise regression analysis between the landslide area($m^2$) and environmental factors, the factors strongly affecting the landslide sediment($m^2$) were the Parents rock (igneous), cross slope(complex), coniferous forests (forest type) and slope gradient ($21{\sim}30^{\circ}$). According to the range, it was shown in order of Cross slope (0.2922), Parents rock (0.2691), Forest type (0.2631) and Slope gradient (0.2312). The range of prediction score of landslide occurrence has been distributed between score 0 and score 1.0556, the median value was score 0.5278. The prediction for class I was over 0.7818, for class II was 0.5279 to 0.7917, for class III 0.2694 to 0.5278 and for class IV was below 0.2693. The prediction on landslide occurrence appeared relatively high accuracy rate as 72% for class I and II. Therefore, this score table for landslide will be very useful for judgement of dangerous slope.

A Study on Reliability Analysis and Quantitative Risk Analysis for Liquefied Petroleum Gas Station (LPG 충전시설에 대한 신뢰도 분석과 정량적 위험성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim In-Won;Jin Sang-Hwa;Kim Tea-Woo;Kim In-Tae;Yeo Yeong-Koo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.5 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 2001
  • For a Liquified Petroleum Gas(LPG) station, the reliability analysis, such as Fussell-Vesely importance, risk decrease factor and risk increase factor, was carried out and the risk ranks of events were determined. In order to confirm the degree of the risks identified in the reliability analysis, the quantitative risk analysis was done for the equipments which had the large values of risk ranks. As a result of the importance analysis for the LPG station, the external event was identified as the most riskful event. The defect of construction structure and the pipe corrosion were riskful as well. The result of quantitative risk analysis showed that the length of 46.3 meters were estimated to damage the process equipments by the thermal flux from the catastrophic rupture of storage tank in Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion.

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전기기기의 본질안전화에 의한 방폭기술 개발

  • 최상원;이형수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2000
  • 국내에서 사용되고 있는 가연성 가스$\cdot$증기를 대상으로 한 전기기기의 방폭화 기술은 9가지 중에서 대부분 내압 방폭구조 및 안전증 방폭구조를 채용하고 있는 바 이의 단점 때문에 무겁거나 신뢰성이 약한 편이다. 또한 노동부 고시 제93-19호에서 내압 방폭구조는 방폭지역의 위험등급 (0, 1, 2종)중 1종 장소에서 사용하며, 안전증 방폭구조는 2종 장소에서만 사용할 수 있기 때문에 위험등급이 높은 0종 장소에서는 사용할 수 없다. (중략)

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Explosion Hazard Assessment of Pharmaceutical Raw Materials Powders (원료의약품 분진의 폭발 위험성 평가)

  • Lee, Joo Yeob;Lee, Keun Won;Park, Sang Yong;Han, In Soo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.600-608
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    • 2017
  • Hazard risk of explosion on pharmaceutical raw materials dust in pharmaceutical industry often exists when it is handled or processed in the industrial sites, and explosion accident is caused by this. In this study, the dust explosion characteristics of the three pharmaceutical raw materials samples were measured. The main explosion characteristics are as follows: $P_{max}$, MIE and MIT of loxoprofen acid having $5.31^{\circ}C$ of median diameter are obtained 8.4 bar, 1 mJ < MIE < 3 mJ and $550^{\circ}C$. $P_{max}$, MIE and MIT of camphorsulfonate having $95.63^{\circ}C$ of median diameter are obtained 7.9 bar, 30 mJ < MIE < 100 mJ and $510^{\circ}C$. $P_{max}$, MIE and MIT of rifampicine having $26.48^{\circ}C$ of median diameter are obtained 7.9 bar and 1 mJ < MIE < 3 mJ and $470^{\circ}C$. The deflagration index ($K_{st}$) and the explosion index (EI) were obtained by using these data. The explosion hazard assessment of pharmaceutical raw materials dust was compared and examined. As a result, the explosion hazard assessment according to deflagration index and explosion index were the explosion class with St 2 and the explosion hazard rating of severe for loxoprofen acid & rifampicine and St 1 and strong for clopidogrel camphorsulfonate, respectively.