• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위기신호

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상태-공간 모형을 이용한 한국 주식시장의 합리적 거품규모 추정

  • 도소희;김동석;김인준;이회경
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.375-378
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    • 2001
  • 현재까지 행해진 주식시장 거품에 관한 연구들은 주가를 형성하는 근본요인으로서 현금배당만을 고려하고 있다. 그러나 현금배당은 경영자에 의해 조정가능하므로 진정한 기업가치를 나타내는 신호로 보기 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기업가치를 더 정확히 반영하기 위하여 기업의 자본상에 나타나는 자금변동을 고려한 '순현금배당'을 도입한다. 상태-공간 모형과 칼만필터링 추정법을 이용하여 KOSPI 시장 자료에 대해 실증분석한 결과, 현금배당만 고려할 때와 '순현금배당'을 고려했을 때 추정된 거품이 매우 다른 양상을 보였다. 특히 한국의 금융위기시점을 고려하여 볼 때 '순현금배당'을 이용한 것이 실제 현상과 더 잘 부합하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 주식시장의 거품을 연구하는데 있어 현금배당과 자금변동을 함께 고려하는 것이 더 정확한 추정결과를 얻을 수 있음을 시사한다.

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Abnormal Sound Detection and Identification in Surveillance System (감시 시스템에서의 비정상 소리 탐지 및 식별)

  • Joo, Young-min;Lee, Eui-jong;Kim, Jeong-sik;Oh, Seung-geun;Park, Dai-hee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.592-595
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 감시카메라 환경에서 취득한 오디오 데이터를 입력으로 하여, 비정상 상황을 인식하는 시스템을 제안한다. 제안된 시스템은 단일클래스 SVM의 대표적인 모델인 SVDD와 최근 얼굴 인식 분야에서 성공적인 업적을 보여주고 있는 신호 처리 분야의 SRC를 계층적으로 결합한 구조로써, 첫 번째 계층에서는 SVDD로 비정상 소리를 신속하게 탐지하여 관리자에게 알람 경고하고, 두 번째 계층의 SRC는 탐지된 비정상 소리를 유형별로 세분화 식별하여 관리자에게 비상 상황을 보고함으로써 관리자의 위기 상황 대처를 돕는다. 제안된 시스템은 실시간 처리가 가능하며, 점증적 갱신의 학습 능력으로 인하여 비정상 오디오 데이터베이스의 변화에도 능동적으로 적응할 수 있다. 실험을 통하여 제안된 시스템의 성능을 검증한다.

A Case of Glutaric Aciduria Type I with Macrocephaly (Glutaric Aciduria Type I 1례)

  • Shin, Woo Jong;Moon, Yeo Ok;Yoon, Hye Ran;Dong, Eun Sil;Ahn, Young Min
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.295-301
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    • 2003
  • Glutaric aciduria type 1(GA1) is an autosomal recessive disorder of the lysine, hydroxylysine and tryptophan metabolism caused by the deficiency of mitochondrial glutaryl-CoA dehydrogenase. This disease is characterized by macrocephaly at birth or shortly after birth and various neurologic symptoms. Between the first weeks and the 4-5th year of life, intercurrent illness such as viral infections, gastroenteritis, or even routine immunizations can trigger acute encephalopathy, causing injury to caudate nucleus and putamen. But intellectual functions are well preserved until late in the disease course. We report a one-month-old male infant with macrocephaly and hypotonia. In brain MRI, there was frontotemporal atrophy(widening of sylvian cistern). In metabolic investigation, there were high glutarylcarnitine level in tandem mass spectrometry and high glutarate in urine organic acid analysis, GA1 was confirmed by absent glutaryl-CoA dehydrogenase activity in fibroblast culture. He was managed with lysine free milk and carnitine and riboflavin. He developed well without a metabolic crisis. If there is macrocephaly in an infant with neuroradiologic sign of frontotemporal atrophy, GA1 should have a high priority in the differential diagnosis. Because current therapy can prevent brain degeneration in more than 90% of affected infants who are treated prospectively, recognition of this disorder before the brain has been injured is essential for treatment.

China's Economic Slow-down and the Middle-Income Trap Controversy (중국의 저성장과 '중진국함정론'에 근거한 위기요인 분석)

  • Kim, Eui-Dong
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.113-140
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    • 2016
  • This paper first extracts the main basis for the Middle-Income Trap(MIT) to apply these grounds to reality of the Chinese economy. And then confirmed crisis factors of China economy. Also discussed then the economic reforms of China in order to not fall into the MIT. After reviewing previous research extracted six factors the results will correspond to comply with the Chinese economy. Those are 'Over-investment', 'excess capacity' 'reduction of TFP continued,' 'disappearance and the aging of the population bonus', 'excessive debt and structural adjustment and financial instability of the company', 'income unequal expansion', 'low financial and information infrastructure accessibility', and 'low transparency index'. China's policy direction to avoid the MIT generally set properly, but proof that implementation process not easy, was appearing everywhere. After all, China economy should be modified now to a reforms of 'government failure' and promotion of function for ongoing restructuring system in the market. Because of the SDR incorporation from 2015, it is inevitable to face major constraints in the external aspects.

Application of Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) for Satellite-based Agricultural Drought Monitoring in South Korea (위성영상기반 농업가뭄 모니터링을 위한 Evaporative Stress Index (ESI)의 적용)

  • Yoon, Dong-Hyun;Nam, Won-Ho;Lee, Hee-Jin;Tadesse, Tsegaye;Wardlow, Brian D.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.405-409
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    • 2018
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 기온, 강수량 등 농업에 직접적인 영향을 주는 환경요인의 변화가 급격하게 진행되고 있으며, 식량농업기구 (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAO)는 기후변화로 인해 전 세계적인 식량위기가 발생할 가능성이 크다고 경고하고 있다. 농업 시스템의 생산 능력을 확보하기 위해 수자원의 효율적인 공급 및 분배, 수확량 예측, 토지 특성 파악 등 농업 생산 제한요소에 대한 빠른 정보수집이 요구되고 있다. 재해관리 분야에서 원격탐사 기술은 재해 발생을 인지하고 발생지역의 재해 진행과 피해 정도를 신속하게 제공할 수 있다는 점에서 효용성이 높다. 또한 위성 영상을 이용할 경우 접근이 용이하지 못한 지역의 조사가 수월하며, 장기적인 변화관측이나 환경감시 등 광역적 접근이 가능하다. 최근 위성영상을 통한 다양한 신호의 데이터 취득 및 가공이 가능하게 됨에 따라 주기적이고 동일한 정확도로 지상자료의 획득이 가능하다는 측면에서 인공위성을 활용한 농업 분야에서의 가뭄 분석 연구의 필요성이 대두되었다. 위성영상 신호를 통해 농업 가뭄에 활용되고 있는 지표로는 정규식생지수 (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI) 및 식생상태지수 (Vegetation Condition Index, VCI), 식생가뭄반응지수(Vegetation Drought Response Index, VegDRI) 등이 있다. 잠재 증발산과 실제 증발산의 비를 이용한 위성영상기반의 가뭄지수인 Evaporative Stress Index (ESI)는 일반적으로 사용되는 가뭄지수인 표준강수지수(Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI), 파머가뭄심도지수 (Palmer Drought Severity Index, PDSI) 등과 비교하였을 때, 가뭄에 더 민감하고 빠른 반응을 보인다는 연구 결과로부터 짧은 기간의 급속하게 발생하는(rapid-onset) Flash drought의 가뭄판단지표로 활용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 과거 우리나라에 발생했던 극심한 가뭄 사상을 대상으로 ESI의 가뭄분석을 통해 타 지표와의 차별성을 확인하고 농업 가뭄 모니터링의 새로운 지표로써 적용성을 검토하고자 한다.

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Shell Valve Movement of Pacific Oysters, Crassostrea gigas, in Response to Low Salinity Water (저염수에서 이매패류 참굴(Crassostrea gigas)의 패각운동)

  • Moon, Suyeon;Oh, Seok Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.684-689
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    • 2017
  • We examined the possibility of developing an early monitoring system using the shell valve movement activity of Pacific oyster (Crassostrea gigas) for early detection of low salinity water in coastal areas. At salinity levels of 30 psu and 20 psu, SVMs were detected $7.32{\pm}3.21times/hr$ and $7.11{\pm}3.90times/hr$, respectively, The patterns and times of SVMs were not significantly different between the two experiment phases. However, at 10 psu and 5 psu, shell valves were observed to be permanently closed in all experiments. Under combined condition (Group 1: temperature $15^{\circ}C$ ${\times}$ salinity 15 psu), SVMs were observed from 20 psu to 30 psu over a 2 - 3 hr period, and then remained closed. In Group 2 (temperature $30^{\circ}C$ ${\times}$ salinity 15 psu), SVMs were observed, which indicated that the physiological condition of the oysters reached a critical point. Thus, it may be possible to utilize SVMs as an early warning signal for low salinity water.

Development of an Electro Impedance Spectroscopy device for EDLC super capacitor characterization in a mass production line (EDLC 슈퍼 캐피시터 특성 분석을 위한 양산용 전기화학 분석 장치 개발)

  • Park, Chan-Hee;Lee, Hye-In;Kim, Sang-Jung;Lee, Jung-Ho;Kim, Sung-Jin;Lee, Hee-Gwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.5647-5654
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we developed an electro impedance spectroscopy (EIS) device, which are primarily used for the analysis of fuel cells or batteries, to widen its coverage to the next generation super capacitor EDLC characterization. The developed system was composed of a signal generator that can generate various signal patterns, a potentiostatic generator, and a high speed digital filter for signal processing and measurement program. The developed system is portable, which is not only suitable laboratory use but also for mass production line. The special features of the system include a patterned output signal from 0.01 to 20 kHz, and a fast Fourier transform (FFT) analysis of current signals, both of which are acquired simultaneously. Our tests showed similar results after comparing the analysis from our newly-developed device showing the characteristics of EDLC complex impedance and the analysis from an equivalent impedance which was applied to an equivalent circuit. Now, we can expect a fast inspection time from the application of the present system to the super capacitor production line, based on time-varying changes in electrochemical impedance.

Detecting Weak Signals for Carbon Neutrality Technology using Text Mining of Web News (탄소중립 기술의 미래신호 탐색연구: 국내 뉴스 기사 텍스트데이터를 중심으로)

  • Jisong Jeong;Seungkook Roh
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2023
  • Carbon neutrality is the concept of reducing greenhouse gases emitted by human activities and making actual emissions zero through removal of remaining gases. It is also called "Net-Zero" and "carbon zero". Korea has declared a "2050 Carbon Neutrality policy" to cope with the climate change crisis. Various carbon reduction legislative processes are underway. Since carbon neutrality requires changes in industrial technology, it is important to prepare a system for carbon zero. This paper aims to understand the status and trends of global carbon neutrality technology. Therefore, ROK's web platform "www.naver.com." was selected as the data collection scope. Korean online articles related to carbon neutrality were collected. Carbon neutrality technology trends were analyzed by future signal methodology and Word2Vec algorithm which is a neural network deep learning technology. As a result, technology advancement in the steel and petrochemical sectors, which are carbon over-release industries, was required. Investment feasibility in the electric vehicle sector and technology advancement were on the rise. It seems that the government's support for carbon neutrality and the creation of global technology infrastructure should be supported. In addition, it is urgent to cultivate human resources, and possible to confirm the need to prepare support policies for carbon neutrality.

Development of Data Acquisition System to Obtain Vessel and Weather Information in Around Mokpo Harbor Bridge (목포대교 주변의 선박 항행 정보 및 기상 정보 획득 시스템 개발)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • This paper describes the development of Data Acquisition System (DAS) to obtain the vessel and weather information needing to evaluate collision risks levels between Mokpo harbor bridge and passing vessels. DAS consists of Signal Receiving and Processing Unit to obtain the data sets of passing vessels and weather status, Networking Unit to transmit and distribute the acquisition data sets and Data Management Unit. Through the field tests on the deck of shuttle car ferry between Mokpo Port Passenger Terminal and An-Jua island, Sinan-Gun, we found that the DAS can provide useful data sets for adequate the collision risk evaluation. In addition, the noise-like data sets appeared in the weather data can be suppressed fully using 5-th order Butterworth digital filter.

Construction of the Electrochemical Impedance Measurement System Using Fourier Transform (푸리에 변환을 이용한 전기화학적 임피던스 측정 시스템 제작)

  • Hwang, Eui-Jin;Oh, Sang-Hyub
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.713-719
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    • 1991
  • Electrochemical impedance measurement system using Fourier transform was constructed in the range of the frequencies up to 100 kHz. This system consists of pseudo-random noise generator, specially designed potentiostat, fast data acquisition system, system controller, and computer interface. The performance of the constructed system was found to be almost same as the commercially available system using lock-in amplifier. Measuring time was significantly reduced because the minimum time for the measurement depended on one cycle of the lowest frequency used. It would be possible to study time-varying electrochemical impedance systems such as the initial stages of corrosion processes using this system.

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