• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위기성 평가

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Strategy of Critical Materials Management in the World (세계(世界) Critical materials 관리(管理)를 위한 전략(戰略))

  • Kim, Yu Jeong
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2013
  • It is necessary to manage risk of metals which are has rigid supply structures and expected demand expansion, considering to industry structure and resource securing capacity of each country. Countries conducted various criticality analyses and selected mainly rare metals as critical materials(or Critical metals or Critical raw materials). This study examined cases of metals risk evaluation and management which are based on technology changes and imbalance supply-demand. EU and U.S.A evaluated risk on metals needed as supply expansion of renewable energy. Japan forecasted demand of rare metals needed in Japan's growth engine industry. U.K analyzed criticality of metals, considering environmental burden occurred from mining to refining. Critical materials has features such as weak price signal, inelastic supply structure, demand volatility in technology change.

소형 해상 부유체의 위기허용수준 결정을 위한 최적의 누적확률분포함수 선정에 관한 연구

  • Im, Jeong-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2013.06a
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    • pp.474-476
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    • 2013
  • 위기허용수준(RAC)은 시스템의 안전성 평가를 위한 확률적인 기준으로, 소형 해상 부유체의 롤, 피치, 히브 등 세 가지 동적운동의 위험수준 평가에 적용할 수 있다. 부유체의 동적운동 값들은 모델을 통해서 획득한 후, 이에 관한 누적확률분포함수를 추론하여 상대적인 위기수준을 결정하게 된다. 이 연구는 모델에서 획득한 세가지 동적운동에 대한 최적의 누적확률분포함수 선정에 관한 것이 목적이다. Exponential, Extreme Value, Gamma, Lognormal, Normal, Poisson 등 6가지 대표적인 누적확률분포함수를 세가지 동적운동에 적용하여 평가한 결과, 롤과 히브 운동의 경우는 Beta 누적분포함수가 최적임을 나타냈고, 피치 운동의 경우는 Gamma 누적분포함수로 대표하는 것이 최적임을 나타냈다. 아울러 향후 본 연구 결과의 적용방법에 대해서도 검토하였다.

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Study on Crisis Conflict Culture Communication : Focusing on Information Specificity in SNS (위기갈등문화에 대한 소통방식 연구 :SNS 메시지 구체성을 중심으로)

  • Li, Xiao-Fan;Kim, Jung Kyu
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.251-256
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    • 2020
  • Based on the development of SNS in Mobile and Internet, crisis management is regarded as an important issue that determines the rise and fall of businesses. This study aims to contribute to more efficient implementation of crisis management messages by examining the relationship between the strategy of crisis management communication and the level of specificity of the message. The study found that consumers evaluated the crisis-hit company's acceptance communication strategy to show a higher level of integrity, reliability and appropriateness than the defensive strategy. However, this main effect is mediated by the specificity (high specificity vs. low). Specifically, consumers' assessment of crisis management messages and information-seeking behavior were found to be most favorable when used in a mixture of acceptance strategies and high specificity. Conversely, the lowest effect was the combination of defense strategy and high specificity. Based on these results, the theoretical discussions is described for crisis management practitioners of enterprises and organizations.

Determining the Number of Risk Level Using Real-time Sensitivities in the Probabilistic Maritime Risk Evaluation (확률기반 해상위기평가에서 실시간 민감도를 이용한 위기수준의 단계 구분 수 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Gang, Sang-Guen
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.685-691
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    • 2014
  • The result of probabilistic maritime risk evaluation is represented by the probability(P=0.0~1.0) These results are shown by an index using Risk Acceptance Criteria(RAC) to base the evaluation generally to know the risk level easily. Current RAC is divided into 3 steps, 5 steps, 7 steps, etc. Despite need to evaluate whether the number of RAC for risk evaluation is reasonable, there is not a related research yet. In this study, It was proposed the evaluation method to determine the optimum index number of RAC using the Sensitivity distribution characteristics and the Sensitivity by the index number of RAC. As application result from the proposed method for probabilistic risk evaluation data obtained from the prior studies, It could be determined the optimum index number of RAC by Sensitivity below 10 times and confirmed that the proposed method is reasonable by this study.

Probability Based Risk Evaluation Techniques for the Small-Sized Sea Floater (소형 해상 부유체의 확률 기반 위기평가기법)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.795-801
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    • 2012
  • This paper describes theoretical approach methodology for the Probability based risk Evaluation Techniques (PET) to monitor the risk levels of small-sized sea floater as like a yacht pier. The risk decision-making process by risk criteria with five-step scales is the core concepts of PET. These five-step scales are calculated from cumulative probability distribution of response functions for the sea floater motions using closed-form expressions. In addition, The risk decision-making process of PET with the risk criteria is proposed in this work. To verify the usability of PET, simulation experiments are carried out using mimic signals with the electrical specifications of ADIS16405 sensor that is to be use as measurement tool for the floater motions. As results from experiments, the risk evaluation error by PET shows 0.38 levels in maximum 5.0 levels. These results clearly shown that the proposed PET can be use as the monitoring techniques.

Development of Quantitative Risk Assessment Methodology for the Maritime Transportation Accident of Merchant Ship (상선 운항 사고의 양적 위기평가기법 개발)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes empirical approach methodology for the quantitative risk assessment of maritime transportation accident (MTA) of a merchant ship. The principal aim of this project is to estimate the risk of MTA that could degrade the ship safety by analyzing the underlying factors contributing to MTA based on the IMO's Formal Safety Assessment techniques and, by assessing the probabilistic risk level of MTA based on the quantitative risk assessment methodology. The probabilistic risk level of MTA to Risk Index (RI) composed with Probability Index (PI) and Severity Index (SI) can be estimated from proposed Maritime Transportation Accident Model (MTAM) based on Bayesian Network with Bayesian theorem Then the applicability of the proposed MTAM can be evaluated using the scenario group with 355 core damaged accident history. As evaluation results, the correction rate of estimated PI, $r_{Acc}$ is shown as 82.8%, the over ranged rate of PI variable sensitivity with $S_p{\gg}1.0$ and $S_p{\ll}1.0$ is shown within 10%, the averaged error of estimated SI, $\bar{d_{SI}}$ is shown as 0.0195 and, the correction rate of estimated RI, $r_{Acc}$(%), is shown as 91.8%. These results clearly shown that the proposed accident model and methodology can be use in the practical maritime transportation field.

해양사고 예방을 위한 분석과 평가 기법 조사 연구

  • Jeong, Bo-Yeong;Yang, Won-Jae;Im, Jeong-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2013.06a
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    • pp.465-467
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    • 2013
  • 해양사고 예방을 위해서는 과학적이고 체계적인 해양사고 분석과 평가 및 예측이 우선 필요하다. 이 논문에서는 기존에 연구 개발된 다양한 해양사고 분석과 평가 방법을 검토하였다. 연구결과, 구체적이고 실행 가능한 연구접근 방법과 다양한 분석과 평가기법이 개발되어 있음을 알았다. 특히, IMO의 공식안전성평가(FSA) 절차가 세계적으로 표준화된 규준으로 자리매김하고 있다. 특히, 미국의 유명한 선급 ABS와 노르웨이의 선급 DNV에서 다양한 분석과 평가기법을 보고하였다. 특히, 불확실성이 배제된 위기허용기준(Risk Acceptance Criteria)의 개발이 가장 중요한 요소임을 확인하였다. 향후 해양사고 예방에 적용할 수 있는 고도의 분석과 평가 기법 실용화를 지속 연구할 예정이다.

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Comprehensive Crisis Management System of Operational Continuity Management (운영연속성관리(OCM)관점에서 위기관리통합시스템 구축)

  • Kang, Heau-Jo
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2010
  • The process for establishment of Operational Continuity Management Plan is organized repeatedly of Business Risk Assessment, Crisis Analysis, Business Impact Analysis, Establishing Business Recovery Strategies, Detailed Planning, Plan Execution, Test and Maintenance(Including Monitoring). Therefore, in this paper in response to global environmental change and the construction and operation of social security systems to maximize operational continuity management, crisis management and crisis management systems, building integrated systems for building technology in general and operational continuity management within an organization to understand developed to provide a framework for implementing operational continuity management in terms of crisis management has proposed to build an integrated system.

An Evaluative Study on the School-Based Post-Suicide Crisis Intervention Program for Adolescents (청소년 자살 사후 학교중심 위기개입 프로그램에 대한 평가연구)

  • Choi, Meehee;Kwon, Jisung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.5-34
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the school-based post-suicide crisis intervention program for adolescents. Researchers implemented the post-suicide crisis intervention program for all the students, classmate students, teachers and staff members in seven middle/high schools where the suicidal accident happened. Researchers collected data from the three participant groups using open and closed questionnaires and documents, and analysed the data applying mixed evaluative methods. Main results were as follows; First, classmates in two classrooms responded that this crisis intervention program was useful for expressing the sad feeling and mourning their friend. Second, consciousness for life respect of classmates in four classrooms increased. Third, the meaning such as the change of consciousness for life respect and psychological stability was drawn from analysis of categorizing the responses to open questionnaires. Teachers and staffs in six schools responded to questionnaires that post-suicide crisis intervention was helpful for classmate students. Based on the results, practical guidelines were suggested.

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The Neccesity of Evaluation Criteria Selections for Korean Rare and Endangered Plant Species (우리나라의 희귀 및 멸종위기식물 평가기준 선정의 필요성)

  • 김용식
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1994
  • Present problems of the Korean rare and endangered plant species evaluations are discussed. It is proposed that the evaluation criteria for Korean rare and endangered are urgently needed in the future. The translation of new proposed criteria into Korean should be discussed in order to avoid confusion in the future. The draft of a new criteria system for rare and endangered plant species. prepared by the S. S. C. (Species Survival Commission) of I. U. C. N (International Union of Conservation of Nature) are introduced. The proposed draft for the criteria being developed by the S. S. C. of I. U. C. N. are Extinct, Extinct in the Wild, Critical, Endangered, Vulnerable, Susceptible, Safe /Low Risk, Insufficiently Known, and Not Evaluated. It is expected to take the more time to be technically developed further and also officially recognized by the I. U. C. N. for the practical use in the future.

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