• Title/Summary/Keyword: 와이블 분석

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Field data analyses for repairable products (수리가능한 제품의 사용현장 데이터 분석)

  • 배도선;윤형제;최인수
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 1995
  • This paper is concerned with the method of estimating lifetime distribution from field data for repairable products with multiple modes of failure, and is an extension of Bai et al.(1995). The log linear function is considered as a model for describing the relation between failure time of a product and covariates. Using the nonhomogeneous poisson process, general methods for obtaining pseudo maximum likelihood estimators(PMLEs) for the parameters are outlined and specific formulas for Weibull distribution are obtained. Effects of follow-up percentage on the PMLEs are investigated. Extension to case-cohort design is also considered.

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Analysis of Insulating Reliability in Epoxy Composites using Weibull Distribution Equation (와이블 분포식을 이용한 에폭시 복합체의 절연 신뢰도 분석)

  • Park, No-Bong;Lim, Jung-Kwan;Park, Yong-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.813-816
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    • 2003
  • The dielectric breakdown of epoxy composites used for transformers was experimented and then its data were applied to Weibull distribution probability. First of all, speaking of dielectric breakdown properties, the more hardener increased, the stronger breakdown strength became at low temperature because of cross-linked density by the virtue of ester radical. The breakdown strength of specimens with filler was lower than it of non-filler specimens because it is believed that the adding filler forms interface and charge is accumulated in it, therefore the molecular motility is raised and the electric field is concentrated. In the case of filled specimens with treating silane, the breakdown strength become much higher. Finally, according to Weibull distribution analysis, reducing breakdown probability of equipment insulation lower than 0.1 % level requires the allowable field intensity values to be kept under 21.5 MV/cm.

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The Analysis of Weibull Distribution on the Diagnosis Technology of Used Power Cable (운용된 전력케이블의 진단기술에 대한 와이블 분포해석)

  • Lim, Jang-Seob;Noh, Sung-Ho;Kim, Ji-Sun;Lee, Jae-Bong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.47-47
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    • 2010
  • 배전계통의 사고예방 기술은 전력수요 및 증설이 증가하고 있는 상황에서 시급히 확립되어야 한다. 특히 현장에서 시공되는 케이블은 시공과정의 관리가 쉽지 않을 뿐 아니라, 시공 중 발생될 수 있는 결함들을 검출하는 방법도 제한되어 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내에 도입된 진단방법을 통계적 방법으로 분석하고 효과적으로 점검할 수 있는 방법에 관한 검토하고자 한다.

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A comparison of opimum constant stress and step stress accelerated life tests (일정형 가속수명시험과 계단형 가속수명시험의 비교 : 최적설계를 중심으로)

  • 배도선;김명수;전영록
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.53-73
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    • 1996
  • This paper compares two accelerated life for Weibull distribution. One is the optimum constant stress accelerated life test which minimizes the asymptotic variance of maximum likelihood estimator of a specified quantile at design stress, and the other is corresponding simple step stress test. The models and optimum designs of constant stress and step stress tests are reviewed. Behaviors of asymptotic variances, effects of design parameters to optimum tests, and expected numbers of failures and expected test times of the two tests are investigated. The efficiency of step stress test relative to constant stress test is studied in terms of variance ratio, and robustness to preestimates of design parameters are investigated.

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Analyzing of the Time varying failure rate of components of power distribution system using Weibull distribution (와이블 분포를 이용한 배전설비기기의 시변 고장률 분석)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Kim, Jae-Chul;Mon, Jong-Fil;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.272-274
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    • 2003
  • Distribution system reliability evaluation estimates by approach methods such as Makove modelling or Monte Carlo simulation, equation of state and failure rate that is on one basic data used to these assessment technique is described as probability of average value. because average failure rate equipment device is aged as time goes by but there is shortcoming that such used failure rate does not evaluate thing which is correct in reliability change hereafter. In this paper, failure rate displayed that apply aging to basis equipment device by passing time using Weibull distribution one of life evaluation method and for express aging of component from utility's failure database.

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Development of Carbon Nitride Coating for High Wear Resistant Rolling Element (내마모 전동체 제조를 위한 질화탄소코팅의 개발)

  • Choi, Byung-Young;Umehara, Noritsugu
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.243-247
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    • 1999
  • Carbon nitride coatings on the substrates of 0.55wt% C - 1.68wt% Mn induction-hardened rolling elements were prepared by ion beam assisted deposition. It was found through metallographic observation that the carbon nitride coatings appeared lamellar-type repeated layers parallel to the surface of substrate. Surface roughness of the coated specimens was improved in comparison with that of the substrates. Wear resistance of the coatings was evaluated using Polymet RCF-1 machine with a constant supply of lubricant followed by Weibull statistical analysis and scanning electron microscopy. the results indicated failure due to old-age wear-out of the coatings was mainly caused by numerous micropits formed on the wear track during repeated rolling contact.

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The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using ARIMA AR(1) (ARIMA AR(1) 모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2008
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. The used software failure time data for forecasting failure time is random number of Weibull distribution(shaper parameter 1, scale parameter 0.5), Using this data, we are proposed to ARIMA(AR(1)) and simulation method for forecasting failure time. The practical ARIMA method is presented.

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Analysis of Software Reliability Growth Model with Gamma Family Distribution (감마족 분포를 이용한 소프트웨어 신뢰 성장 모형의 분석)

  • Kan, Kwang-Hyun;Jang, Byeong-Ok;Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.9 no.2 s.17
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2005
  • Finite failure NHPP models proposed in the literature exhibit is either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. For the sake of proposing shape parameter of the Gamma family distribution, used the special pattern. Data set, where the underlying failure process could not be adequately described by the knowing models, which motivated the development of the Gamma or Weibull model and Gompertz model. Analysis of failure data set that led us to the Gamma or Weibull model and Gompertz model using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests was presented in this Paper.

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Effects of specimens dimension on the flexural properties and testing reliability of dental composite resin (치과용 복합레진의 굽힘 특성과 시험 신뢰도에 미치는 시편 크기의 영향)

  • Im, Yong-Woon;Hwang, Seong-sig;Kim, Sa-hak;Lee, Hae-Hyoung
    • Korean Journal of Dental Materials
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.273-280
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    • 2017
  • The aim of the present study was to investigate the effects of specimen dimension on the flexural properties and testing reliability of dental composite resin. The composite resin was prepared experimentally by mixing a resin matrix with silanated micrometer glass filler at 50 vol%. Flexural specimens with various dimension in specimen's width were fabricated by light curing using a split metal mold; $25{\times}2{\times}2mm$, $25{\times}2{\times}4mm$, $25{\times}2{\times}6mm$ in length ${\times}$ height ${\times}$ width. The flexural strength and modulus were determined according to ISO 4049 test protocol at a span length of 20 mm (normal-flexural strength; NFS). Another flexural test was conducted using mini-sized specimens ($12{\times}2{\times}2mm$, $12{\times}2{\times}4mm$, $12{\times}2{\times}6mm$) from the broken specimens at a span length of 10 mm (mini-flexural strength; MFS). Data were analyzed with ANOVA and Duncan's post-hoc test and the test reliability was evaluated by Weibull analysis. Results showed that there are generally no significant difference in flexural strength with the increase in the specimen width in NFS and MFS tests. However, the test reliability of flexural strength based on Weibull analysis was largely changed with the variables in the dimension of width and span length. The flexural modulus of NFS was increased as the dimension of specimens width increased while there was no trend in flexural modulus of MFS test. Overall results recommend that the evaluation of flexural properties and the reliability of dental composite resins should be performed with more than one test method.

The Study on the Mean Residual Life Estimation of Reliability Data under Random Censoring (임의절단 하에서 신뢰성 자료의 평균잔여수명 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Mi-Sook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.1997-2003
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    • 2010
  • Mean Residual Life (MRL) function plays a very important role in the area of engineering, medical science, survival studies, social sciences, and many other fields. Specially, in the reliability study of technical systems, the MRL estimation of a component is very important because the sudden stop of a system brings a serious problem. So, many simulation studies of MRL estimation have been done considering various situation variables. In this paper, four estimators of MRL are proposed under random censoring and their performances re compared through bias and Mean Square Error (MSE) by Monte Carlo simulation.