• Title/Summary/Keyword: 온천법

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Traffic Forecasting Model Selection of Artificial Neural Network Using Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC(AKaike's Information Criterion)을 이용한 교통량 예측 모형)

  • Kang, Weon-Eui;Baik, Nam-Cheol;Yoon, Hye-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.7 s.78
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    • pp.155-159
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    • 2004
  • Recently, there are many trials about Artificial neural networks : ANNs structure and studying method of researches for forecasting traffic volume. ANNs have a powerful capabilities of recognizing pattern with a flexible non-linear model. However, ANNs have some overfitting problems in dealing with a lot of parameters because of its non-linear problems. This research deals with the application of a variety of model selection criterion for cancellation of the overfitting problems. Especially, this aims at analyzing which the selecting model cancels the overfitting problems and guarantees the transferability from time measure. Results in this study are as follow. First, the model which is selecting in sample does not guarantees the best capabilities of out-of-sample. So to speak, the best model in sample is no relationship with the capabilities of out-of-sample like many existing researches. Second, in stability of model selecting criterion, AIC3, AICC, BIC are available but AIC4 has a large variation comparing with the best model. In time-series analysis and forecasting, we need more quantitable data analysis and another time-series analysis because uncertainty of a model can have an effect on correlation between in-sample and out-of-sample.

Evaluation of Incident Detection Algorithms focused on APID, DES, DELOS and McMaster (돌발상황 검지알고리즘의 실증적 평가 (APID, DES, DELOS, McMaster를 중심으로))

  • Nam, Doo-Hee;Baek, Seung-Kirl;Kim, Sang-Gu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.7 s.78
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2004
  • This paper is designed to report the results of development and validation procedures in relation to the Freeway Incident Management System (FIMS) prototype development as part of Intelligent Transportation Systems Research and Development program. The central core of the FIMS is an integration of the component parts and the modular, but the integrated system for freeway management. The whole approach has been component-orientated, with a secondary emphasis being placed on the traffic characteristics at the sites. The first action taken during the development process was the selection of the required data for each components within the existing infrastructure of Korean freeway system. After through review and analysis of vehicle detection data, the pilot site led to the utilization of different technologies in relation to the specific needs and character of the implementation. This meant that the existing system was tested in a different configuration at different sections of freeway, thereby increasing the validity and scope of the overall findings. The incident detection module has been performed according to predefined system validation specifications. The system validation specifications have identified two component data collection and analysis patterns which were outlined in the validation specifications; the on-line and off-line testing procedural frameworks. The off-line testing was achieved using asynchronous analysis, commonly in conjunction with simulation of device input data to take full advantage of the opportunity to test and calibrate the incident detection algorithms focused on APID, DES, DELOS and McMaster. The simulation was done with the use of synchronous analysis, thereby providing a means for testing the incident detection module.

A Rapid Method for the Measurement of $^{222}Rn$ in Groundwater and Hot Spring Water using Ultra Low-Level Liquid Scintillation Counter and Pulse Shape Analysis (극저준위 액체섬광계수기와 파형분석법을 이용한 지하수 및 온천수중 $^{222}Rn$의 신속측정법)

  • Kim, Chang-Kyu;Kim, Cheol-Su
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.103-115
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    • 1995
  • For the determination of $^{222}Rn$ in water by a very simple and time saving liquid scintillation counting method that does not require any chemical separation, an optimum analytical condition has been investigated. The optimum pulse shape analysis(PSA) level for the measurement of $^{222}Rn$ using LKB 1220 Quantulus liquid scintillation counter was 110 for Optiphase HiSafe3 cocktail and 90 for toluene-based cocktail. The counting efficiencies of $^{222}Rn$ in the window covering u spectra using Optiphase HiSafe3 cocktail were 282.2% for glass vial and 271.6% for Teflon vial, whereas the counting efficiencies in toluene-based cocktail were 262.3% and 247.5% for glass and Teflon vials, respectively. The minimum detectable activity(MDA) in the u window for a 60-min measurement with a Teflon vial using Optiphase HiSafe3 cocktail was $0.30Bq/{\iota}$. The analytical method studied from this work was also applied to the determination of $^{222}Rn$ in some groundwater and hot spring water samples.

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The Community Structure of Plant at the Edge of the Oncheon River in Busan (부산광역시 온천변 식물상의 군집구조에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Sung-Gi;Huh, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.924-930
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    • 2008
  • Community structure refers to the number of species in a community and the pattern of distribution of individuals among those species. The purpose of this paper was to describe a statistical analysis for detecting a ecological biodiversity which is valid even though the assumption at the different sampling points is not violated spatial randomness of species. Counts and cover were determined from 10 ($20\;m{\times}20\;m$) plots in five sites of the Oncheon River which is located in Busan, Korea. Total 95 taxa (85 species, 9 varieties, and one form) were identified and measured in edge sides of this river. These were a total of present in the five sites. Overall across the fragments, mean number of species per plot differed significantly among the five sites (F=7.75, p<0.01). Shannon-Wiener functions differed significantly among plots (F=4.12, p<0.05), with the St. 1 having significantly higher value (2.380) than the others (2.206 for St. 2, 2.116 for St. 3, 2.069 for St. 4, and 0.637 for St. 5). The richness indices, R1 decreased from the upper stream of the Oncheon River to the lower stream. We used a novel way of representing community structure to show that abundance within closely related pairs of co-occurring species in the Oncheon River. The differences between the distributions for of congeners and pairs of non-congeners showed at the largest difference of the cumulative fractions of the data sets (x=0.85).

Preconcentration and Determination of Copper(II) Using Octadecyl Silica Membrane Disks Modified by 2-Propylpiperidine-1-carbodithioate and Flame Atomic Absorption Spectrometry (2-Propylpiperidine-1-carbodithioate로 수식화한 Octadecyl 실리카 막으로 구리(II)의 예비농축 및 불꽃 원자흡수분광법으로의 정량)

  • Moghimi, Ali;Mossalayi, Haydar
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.148-154
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    • 2008
  • A simple and fast method for extraction and determination of trace amounts of copper(II) ions using octadecyl-bonded silica membrane disks modified with 2-propylpiperidine-1-carbodithioate (PPCD)I and atomic absorption spectrometry (AAS) is introduced. Extraction efficiency and the influence of flow rates, pH, and type and smallest amount of stripping acid were investigated. Maximum capacity of the membrane disks modified with 2 mg of the anthraquinone derivative used was found to be 425μg Cu2+. The limit of detection of the proposed method is 7 ng/ml. The method is applied to the recovery of Cu2+ from different synthetic samples and a spring water sample.

Development of Stereoscopic Surface Image Velocimetry using Photogrammetric Techniques (사진 측정 기법을 이용한 스테레오 표면영상유속계의 개발)

  • Yu, Kwon-Kyu;Kim, Dae-Gon;Yoon, Byung-Man
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1799-1803
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    • 2008
  • 표면영상유속계는 하천 표면의 영상을 분석하여 유속을 산정하는 매우 실용적이며 간편한 장비이다. 그러나, 표면영상유속계를 이용하여 유량을 산정하고자 할 경우, 하천 표면의 평면 측량 자료와 하천의 단면 측량 자료가 반드시 필요하다. 이 때문에 표면영상유속계의 간편성과 유용성에도 불구하고, 이용자들이 쉽게 이용하기 어렵다는 그릇된 인식을 줄 수 있다. 만일 효율적이고 간편하게 하천의 단면을 추정할 수 있다면, 표면영상유속계를 마치 일반적인 프로펠러 유속계처럼 쉽게 이용할 수 있을 것이다. 이 연구는 일반적인 평면 측량없이, 두 대의 비디오 카메라로 이루어진 표면 영상 유속계를 이용하여 하천 평면을 계측하는 방법을 개발하는 것이다. 이를 통하여 표면 영상 분석 과정을 반자동화할 수 있게 된다. 두 대의 카메라를 이용한 평면 측량은 사진 측량 분야이나 컴퓨터 비전 분야에서 오랫 동안 연구되어 왔다. 이 기법을 표면영상유속계에 적용함으로써 간단하게 하천의 평면 좌표를 구할 수 있도록 하였다. 두 대의 카메라에 대해서는 직접 선형 변환법을 이용하여 내부 표정과 외부 표정을 수행하여 변환의 매개 변수들을 추정하였다. 추정된 변수들과 공간 전방 교회법을 이용하여 하천의 고정된 기준점들의 좌표를 측정한다. 측정된 좌표점들은 기울어진 영상을 연직으로 사영된 평면으로 변환하는 데 이용되며, 이 과정을 통하여 번거로운 하천의 평면 측량 과정을 생략할 수 있게 되었다. 온천천에 실제 적용하여 본 결과, 결과는 아직은 만족할 만한 정도는 아니나, 보다 정밀한 카메라의 보정 등을 통하여 보다 나은 결과를 도출할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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A Study on the Environmental Changes of Coastal Area in Oncheon Gun of Pyeongnam Province by Neural Network Classification Using Satellite Images, West Coast of North Korea (위성영상의 신경망 분류에 의한 평안남도 온천군 해안지역의 환경 변화 연구)

  • Lee, Min-Boo;Kim, Nam-Shin;Lee, Gwang-Ryul;Han, Uk
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.278-290
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    • 2005
  • This study deals with the geomorphic, environmental and land use changes by comparative analysis using Landsat TM images of 1988 year and ETM ones of 2002 year, partly together with the new Quick Bird images having 60cm resolution for more detail analysis, focusing on the Oncheon gun(county) in Pyeongnam Province, west coast zone of North Korea. The main analysis methodology is neural network classification, which is more advanced techniques for the classification of land cover and land use, with higher accuracy rate and lower errors. The TM images of 1988 year show, mainly, the on-construction tide embank for the reclamation at Gwangryangman bay and salt farm on the reclaimed tidal flat. But, ETM images of 2002 year present stabilized reclaimed land, salt farm and rice field, recently transformed from salt farm. Especially, new tidal land has been naturally developed on the coastal shallow out of tide embank and salt farm. The results of the study may help to database coastal environmental changes and to support for reasonable and productive land use of North Korea, and to manage and plan unified national land in the near future.

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Runoff Analysis Using the Discrete, Linear, Input-Output Model (선형 이산화 입력-출력 모형에 의한 유출해석)

  • Kwak, Ki Seok;Kang, In Shik;Jeong, Yeon Tae;Kang, Ju Bok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.859-866
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    • 1994
  • It is difficult to make an exact estimate of the peak discharge or the runoff depth of flood and establish the proper measure for the flood protection since the water stage or discharge has been nearly measured at most medium or small river basins. The objective of this study is to estimate parameters of the discrete, linear, input-output model for medium or small river basin. The On-Cheon River basin in Pusan was selected for the study area. The runoff data used in the study has been observed since June 1993, and the effective rainfall was determined using the storage function method. The parameter sets of the discrete, linear, input-output model were estimated using the least squares method and the correlation function method, respectively. The calculated hydrographs by the discrete, linear, input-output model regenerated the observed outflow hydrographs well, and also the simulated flood hydrograph was comparable to the observed one. Therefore, it is believed that the discrete, linear, input-output model is simpler than other runoff analysis methods, and can be applied to a medium or small river basin.

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Comparison of Runoff Models for Small River Basins (소하천 유역에서의 유출해석모형 비교)

  • 강인식
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.209-221
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    • 1996
  • It may be difficult to make exact estimates of peak discharge or runoff depth of a flood and to establish the proper measurement for the flood protection since water stages or discharges have been rarely measured at small river basins in Korea. Three small catchments in the Su-Young river basin in Pusan were selected for the study areas. Various runoff parameters for the study areas were determined, and runoff analyses were performed using three different runoff models available in literatures; the storage function method, the discrete, linear, input-output model, and the linear reservoir model. The hydrographs calculated by three different methods showed good agreement with the observed flood hydrographs, indicating that the models selected are all capable of sucessfully modeling the flood events for small watersheds. The storage function method gave the best results in spite of its weakness that it could not be applicable to small floods, while the linear reservoir model was found to provide relatively good results with less parameters. The capabilities of simulating flood hydrographs were also evaluated based on the effective rainfall from the storage function parameters, the $\Phi$-index method, and the constant percentage method. For the On-Cheon stream watershed, the storage function parameters provided better estimates of effective rainfall for regenerating flood hydrographs than any others considered in the study. The $\Phi$-index method, however, resulted in better estimates of effective rainfall for the other two study areas.

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A Review of Magnetic Exploration in Korea (한국의 자력탐사)

  • Park, Yeong-Sue;Lim, Mu-Taek;Rim, Hyoung-Rae;Koo, Sung-Bon
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2008
  • Magnetic method is rapid, cheap and simple geophysical exploration technique, and has wide range of applications such as resources prospecting, geological structure investigation and even geotechnical and environmental problems. Documents during Japanese occupation says that magnetic method was used for exploring metallic ore deposits and hot spring, and that a geomagnetic observatory was operated. From mid 1950's, magnetic explorations for natural resources such as metallic ore, uranium, coal, and groundwater were intensively executed for industrialization. Magnetic survey techniques were rapidly advanced during 1970's and 1980's with improvements of instruments, growth of geophysical manpower, and availability of computers. Decline of mining industry since mid 1980's moved the exploration objects from traditional resources to new ones such as groundwater and geothermal resources. Recently appeared applications such as natural hazard assessment, and engineering and environmental studies increased the magnetic method's utility in the realm of exploration.

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