• Title/Summary/Keyword: 온실가스모형

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An Assessment of Energy and Environmental Impacts of Fuel Cell Generation (연료전지를 이용한 발전기술의 에너지-환경 파급효과)

  • Kim, Ho-Seok;Kim, Jeong-In;Choo, Min-Jeong
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.268-272
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    • 2005
  • 현재 국내 수소 관련 연구는 생산, 운반, 저장 등 공급과정의 기술과 발전, 수송 등 이용기술을 중심으로 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 현재 개발 중인 MCFC 발전설비에 대한 기술 및 비용 특성을 이용하여 LEAP모형시스템 기반의 ROK2003-H2 모형을 구축하고 정부의 '제2차 신재생에너지 기술개발 및 이용보급 기본계획$(2003\~2012)$'의 계획에 따른 수소에너지(연료전지) 보급의 에너지/환경부문 파급효과를 분석한다. 분석 대상이 되는 기술은 Molten Carbonate 연료전지를 이용한 2MW급 발전기술로, 2008년 70MW가 설치되기 시작하여 2011년까지 매년 100MW증설되어 2011년 전체 설비가 370MW에 이르는 것으로 시나리오를 구축한다. 설비의 에너지효율성은 연료전지 발전설비가 처음 도입된 2008년에는 $45\%$로 가정하고 2009년-2011년 간에 $5\%$씩 상승되어 2011년에는 $60\%$에 이를 것으로 전망한다. 분석결과에 의하면 2011년에 연료전지의 발전설비를 370MW로 확대하는 경우에 CO를 비롯한 대부분의 대기오염배출량이 감소하며, 온실가스 배출량 역시 35,433백만tC로 약 295백만tC가 감소한다.

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Application of AIM(Asia-Pacific Integrated Model)/Material to Korea : A Study on Effects of CO2 Emission Reduction (우리나라의 폐기물처리 통합분석모형 개발과 이산화탄소 배출저감 연구)

  • Jo, Sunghan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.419-445
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    • 2005
  • In 2002, the waste was generated about 277,533tons per day. The treatments of waste were recycling, which had accounted for almost 70%, landfill, which had accounted for 19.8%, and incineration, which had accounted for 6.5%. The energy recovery from incineration has been increased since 1995. The portion of waste in the renewable energy has been increased. Waste incineration heating system generates total 134TOE of $CO_2$ as compared to 6,800TOE of GHG from LNG boiler centralized heating system to bring 98% reduction rate of GHG emissions. We need the integrated model to examine the impacts of waste managements on economy and environments. The Asia-Pacific Integrated Model is introduced as the example of the integrated model.

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Prediction of future potential hydropower in Asia based on AR5 climate scenarios (AR5 시나리오 기반 미래 아시아 수력 발전 가능량 전망)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;Shin, Hong-Jun;Kim, Jin-Hoon;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.70-70
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    • 2020
  • 기후변화 대응을 위해 파리기후협약에서는 온실가스 배출량 감축을 위한 구체적인 목표를 제시하였다. 에너지 분야는 온실가스가 가장 많이 배출되는 분야 중 하나이며, 온실가스 감축 방안으로 신재생 에너지에 대한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 특히 수력에너지는 신재생 에너지 중 가장 현실적이고 많이 활용되는 에너지원으로 각광받고 있다. 아시아 지역은 개발도상국이 다수 위치하고 있고 미개발된 잠재 수력에너지가 풍부한 지역으로 국내 기업의 진출 가능성이 높은 지역이다. 수력에너지 개발을 위해서는 수력 발전 가능량 평가가 필수적이며, 수력 발전 가능량은 기후, 수문조건에 민감하게 반응하기 때문에 기후변화에 따른 수력 발전 가능량의 변동 가능성이 있다. 본 연구에서는 아시아 지역에 대한 AR5 기후변화 시나리오 기반 수력 발전 가능량을 전망하고 분석하고자 하였다. 수력 발전 가능량 산정을 위한 수문 자료 생성은 지표수문해석 모형 VIC (Variable Infiltration Capacity)를 이용하였으며, 모형 입력 자료로 APHRODITE (Asian Precipitation -Highly Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation of water resources) 기상 자료, USGS (U.S. Geological Survey) 수치지형도, FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization) 토양도, NCC (Norwegian Climate Centre) NorESM 기후변화 시나리오를 활용하였다. 분석결과 수력 발전 가능량은 과거 및 미래 기간에 동남아시아, 남아시아 지역에 풍부한 것으로 나타났다. 동남아시아는 유출량이 풍부하며, 남아시아는 유역별 낙차가 크기 때문에 수력 발전 가능량이 풍부한 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 동남아시아 지역의 수력 발전 가능량이 남아시아에 비해 기후변화의 영향을 크게 받는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 미래 기후변화로 인해 유출량의 변동 폭이 더욱 넓어져 발전 효율이 감소하는 것으로 나타나 수력발전의 안정성이 감소하였다. 본 연구는 아시아 지역의 수력 발전 가능량을 산정하고 특징을 분석하였다는 점에서 의미가 있다.

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Analysis of statistical models on temperature at the Suwon city in Korea (수원시 기온의 통계적 모형 연구)

  • Lee, Hoonja
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1409-1416
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    • 2015
  • The change of temperature influences on the various aspect, especially human health, plant and animal's growth, economics, industry, and culture of the country. In this article, the autoregressive error (ARE) model has been considered for analyzing the monthly temperature data at the Suwon monitoring site in Korea. In the ARE model, five meteorological variables, four greenhouse gas variables and five pollution variables are used as the explanatory variables for the temperature data set. The five meteorological variables are wind speed, rainfall, radiation, amount of cloud, and relative humidity. The four greenhouse gas variables are carbon dioxide ($CO_2$), methane ($CH_4$), nitrous oxide ($N_2O$), and chlorofluorocarbon ($CFC_{11}$). And the five air pollution explanatory variables are particulate matter ($PM_{10}$), sulfur dioxide ($SO_2$), nitrogen dioxide ($NO_2$), ozone ($O_3$), and carbon monoxide (CO). Among five meteorological variables, radiation, amount of cloud, and wind speed are more influence on the temperature. The radiation influences during spring, summer and fall, whereas wind speed influences for the winter time. Also, among four greenhouse gas variables and five pollution variables, chlorofluorocarbon, methane, and ozone are more influence on the temperature. The monthly ARE model explained about 43-69% for describing the temperature.

A Study on Greenhouse Gas Emissions Estimation based on Mileage Through Accumulation of Activity Databases (활동자료 구축을 통한 주행거리 기반의 온실가스 배출량산정방법에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Bo Ram;Kim, Gyeong Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2014
  • The tier 3 methodology used in estimation of greenhouse gas emissions from road sectors is based on mileage data. However, such data can neither accurately represent the mileage of regional unit nor have sufficient integrated data reflecting the characteristics by region, vehicle type, fuel type and road type. Such estimation of greenhouse gas emissions is not reliable. Accordingly, the purpose of this study is, firstly to accumulate activity data based on distance traveled which enables us to accurately estimate the amount of green gas emitted by regional unit(emission point), and secondly, to develop a methodology for estimation of greenhouse gas emissions using these data. To do this, the study utilizes the mileage data of Korea Transportation Safety Authority(TS), statistics of registered motor vehicles, statistical yearbook of traffic volume from the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport(MLIT), the Korea Transport Database of the Korea Transport Institute(KOTI), and average road speed by local government. Methodology for estimation by local government level(emission point) is meaningful, because it reflects traffic pattern data including flow in and out and internal traffics. Finally, to verify the methodology presented in this study, it is applied to Seoul. Both greenhouse gas estimates, one by multiplying the average mileage and the number of registered vehicles and the other by multiplying traffic volume and road extension, are less than the amount estimated by the methodology presented in this study.

Study of fuel cell CHP-technology on electricity generation sector using LEAP-model (LEAP 모형을 이용한 연료전지 열병합발전설비 도입에 따른 온실가스배출저감 잠재량 분석)

  • Shin, Seung-Bok;Jun, Soo-Young;Song, Ho-Jun;Park, Jong-Jin;Maken, Sanjeev;Park, Jin-Won
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.230-238
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    • 2009
  • We study about small gas engine and fuel cell CHP (Combined Heat and Power) as the technologies for energy conservation and $CO_2$ emissions reduction. Korea government plans to use them in near future. This study quantitatively analyzed energy consumption and $CO_2$ emissions reduction potential of small CHP instead of existing electric power plant (coal steam, combined cycle and oil steam) using LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternative Planning system) as energy-economic model. Three future scenarios are discussed. In every scenario similar condition for each CHP is used. Alternative scenario I: about 6.34% reduction in $CO_2$ emissions is observed in 2019 due to increase in amount of gas engine CHP and fuel cell CHP while coal use in thermoelectric power plant is almost stagnant. In alternative scenario II: a small 0.8% increase in $CO_2$ emission is observed in 2019 keeping conditions similar to alternative scenario I but using natural gas in combined cycle power plant instead of coal. During alternative scenario II overall $CO_2$ emission reduction is observed in 2019 due to added heat production from CHP. Alternative scenario III: about 0.8% reduction in $CO_2$ emissions is observed in 2019 using similar CHP as AS I and AS II. Here coal and oil are used in thermoelectric power plant but the quantity of oil and coal is almost constant for next decade.

Evaluation of GHG Emission in Local Governments using GEBT Model (GEBT를 활용한 지자체 온실가스 배출량 산정 연구 - 시흥시를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Bong Seok;Yun, Seong Gwon;Lee, Dong Eun;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2013
  • After establishing national greenhouse gas emission reduction goals, the South Korean government has been pursuing sector- and industry-specific greenhouse gas emission reduction measures; in support of which, metropolitan city / state governing entities, such as Gyeonggi Province, etc., have been in lock steps by establishing and executing climate change measures that are appropriate for the regional characteristics. However, in the case of local governments, difficulties abound due to the fact that the per-unit greenhouse gas emission amounts and the future emission estimates for establishing reduction targets are not clear. In order to establish correct climate change measure policies, the policy directions and the assessment of verified greenhouse gas emission amounts would need to serve as the basis, and along with the national level climate change effect and vulnerability assessment, there's a need to develop methodologies that take into consideration the local characteristics and conditions. To this end, this study calculated the greenhouse gas emission amounts of the City of Siheung, a basic local government in Gyeonggi Province, by using the GEBT (Greenhouse gas Emission Business-as-usual Tool) developed by the National Institute of Environmental Research to facilitate easy calculations of BAU (business-as-usual) emission quantities by local governing entities.

Development of an Input File Preparation Tool for Offline Coupling of DNDC and DSSAT Models (DNDC 지역별 구동을 위한 입력자료 생성 도구 개발)

  • Hyun, Shinwoo;Hwang, Woosung;You, Heejin;Kim, Kwang Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.68-81
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    • 2021
  • The agricultural ecosystem is one of the major sources of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In order to search for climate change adaptation options which mitigate GHG emissions while maintaining crop yield, it is advantageous to integrate multiple models at a high spatial resolution. The objective of this study was to develop a tool to support integrated assessment of climate change impact b y coupling the DSSAT model and the DNDC model. DNDC Regional Input File Tool(DRIFT) was developed to prepare input data for the regional mode of DNDC model using input data and output data of the DSSAT model. In a case study, GHG emissions under the climate change conditions were simulated using the input data prepared b y the DRIFT. The time to prepare the input data was increased b y increasing the number of grid points. Most of the process took a relatively short time, while it took most of the time to convert the daily flood depth data of the DSSAT model to the flood period of the DNDC model. Still, processing a large amount of data would require a long time, which could be reduced by parallelizing some calculation processes. Expanding the DRIFT to other models would help reduce the time required to prepare input data for the models.

Efficiency Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Reduction according to Local Eco-friendly Housing Development Planned Element Using DEA Models (DEA모형을 이용한 지역별 친환경주택단지계획 요소에 따른 온실가스 감축 효율성 분석)

  • Hong, Ha-Yeon;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2013
  • This study which are recognized that the lack of empirical research about the efficiency of the elements of environmentally friendly housing development planned presented housing design elements and policies to revitalize for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by analyzing the effectiveness of reduction of greenhouse gas output. In addition, it used various models of DEA which are accepted until now effective technique to evaluate the performance of the organization. In conclusion, there are effective 5 regionals which are Seoul, Incheon, Ulsan, South Chungcheong Province, South Gyeongsang Province. other regionals was analyzed to be inefficient. The conclusion from this study are as follows: First, in case of 11 regionals which are analyzed to be inefficient, they have to difference plan elements to make up. So each region should establish strategy to complement vulnerability. Second, not only internal architectural factors but institutional, and external environmental factors also affect the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. And weighted scores also were moderately high. But levels of weighted scores still less than the ratio of Good quality housing. So it can be determined that evaluation of individual architecture still considered important. It need to pay more attention to the operating system and the external environmental factors.

Economic Impacts of Carbon Reduction Policy: Analyzing Emission Permit Price Transmissions Using Macroeconometric Models (탄소감축 정책의 경제적 영향: 거시계량모형에 기반한 배출권가격 변동 효과 분석)

  • Jehoon Lee;Soojin Jo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2024
  • The emissions trading system stands as a pivotal climate policy in Korea, incentivizing abatement equivalent to 87% of total emissions (as of 2021). As the system likely has a far-reaching impact, it is crucial to understand how the real economic activity, energy sector, as well as environment would be influenced by its implementation. Employing a macroeconometric model, this paper is the first study analyzing the effects of the Korean emissions trading policy. It interconnects the Korean Standard Industrial Classification (Economy), Energy Balance (Energy), and National Inventory Report (Environment), enhancing its real-world explanatory power. We find that a 50% increase in emission permit price over four years results in a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions (-0.043%) and downward shifts in key macroeconomic variables, including real GDP (-0.058%), private consumption (-0.003%), and investment (-0.301%). The price increase in emission permit is deemed crucial for achieving greenhouse gas reduction targets. To mitigate transition risk associated with price shocks, revenue recycling using auction could ensure the sustainability of the economy. This study confirms the comparative advantage of expanded current transfers expenditure over corporate tax reduction, particularly from an economic growth perspective.