• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오차추정

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Reliability and utility of a Dry Test Bench for testing the acoustic output from a ballistic shock wave therapeutic device (탄도형 충격파 치료기의 음향 출력 시험을 위한 Dry Test Bench의 신뢰성 및 유용성)

  • Jeon, Sung Joung;Lee, Min Young;Kwon, Oh Bin;Kim, Jong Min;Choi, Min Joo
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.589-600
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    • 2022
  • In order to verify the reliability of Dry Test Bench (DTB) used for testing the output energy from ballistic extracorporeal shock wave therapeutic devices, the measurements with DTB were compared with the acoustic energy measured with a Laser Doppler Vibrometer (LDV) for a commercial ballistic ESWT device. It was shown that the mechanical energy detected with DTB had variability maintained within 5 % at the same output power setting and also had a linear correlation (adj. R2 = 0.991) with the acoustic energy measured with the LDV for the entire output power settings. Using the correlation between the two methods and the correlation on the acoustic energy measured in between air and water with the LDV, the DTB measurement can be used to estimate the energy flux density in water with an average error of 7.85 % for the entire output power settings of the ballistic shock wave generator considered in the experiment. DTB provides information limited to the output mechanical energy and therefore it is not suitable for testing the various acoustic output parameters required in IEC61846 and IEC63045. However, DTB that is simple in measurement principles and easy to use is expected for manufacturers and clinical users to monitor the performance of ballistic Extracorporeal Shock Wave Therapy (ESWT) devices.

A Study on Forecasting Industrial Land Considering Leading Economic Variable Using ARIMA-X (선행경제변수를 고려한 산업용지 수요예측 방법 연구)

  • Byun, Tae-Geun;Jang, Cheol-Soon;Kim, Seok-Yun;Choi, Sung-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.214-223
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to present a new industrial land demand prediction method that can consider external economic factors. The analysis model used ARIMA-X, which can consider exogenous variables. Exogenous variables are composed of macroeconomic variable, Business Survey Index, and Composite Economic Index variables to reflect the economic and industrial structure. And, among the exogenous variables, only variables that precede the supply of industrial land are used for prediction. Variables with precedence in the supply of industrial land were found to be import, private and government consumption expenditure, total capital formation, economic sentiment index, producer's shipment index, machinery for domestic demand and composite leading index. As a result of estimating the ARIMA-X model using these variables, the ARIMA-X(1,1,0) model including only the import was found to be statistically significant. The industrial land demand forecast predicted the industrial land from 2021 to 2030 by reflecting the scenario of change in import. As a result, the future demand for industrial land was predicted to increase by 1.91% annually to 1,030.79 km2. As a result of comparing these results with the existing exponential smoothing method, the results of this study were found to be more suitable than the existing models. It is expected to b available as a new industrial land forecasting model.

Calculation of surface image velocity fields by analyzing spatio-temporal volumes with the fast Fourier transform (고속푸리에변환을 이용한 시공간 체적 표면유속 산정 기법 개발)

  • Yu, Kwonkyu;Liu, Binghao
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.933-942
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    • 2021
  • The surface image velocimetry was developed to measure river flow velocity safely and effectively in flood season. There are a couple of methods in the surface image velocimetry. Among them the spatio-temporal image velocimetry is in the spotlight, since it can estimate mean velocity for a period of time. For the spatio-temporal image velocimetry analyzes a series of images all at once, it can reduce analyzing time so much. It, however, has a little drawback to find out the main flow direction. If the direction of spatio-temporal image does not coincide to the main flow direction, it may cause singnificant error in velocity. The present study aims to propose a new method to find out the main flow direction by using a fast Fourier transform(FFT) to a spatio-temporal (image) volume, which were constructed by accumulating the river surface images along the time direction. The method consists of two steps; the first step for finding main flow direction in space image and the second step for calculating the velocity magnitude in main flow direction in spatio-temporal image. In the first step a time-accumulated image was made from the spatio-temporal volume along the time direction. We analyzed this time-accumulated image by using FFT and figured out the main flow direction from the transformed image. Then a spatio-temporal image in main flow direction was extracted from the spatio-temporal volume. Once again, the spatio-temporal image was analyzed by FFT and velocity magnitudes were calculated from the transformed image. The proposed method was applied to a series of artificial images for error analysis. It was shown that the proposed method could analyze two-dimensional flow field with fairly good accuracy.

Development of a Light Extinction Coefficient Change Model according to the Growth Stage of Cucumber in a Greenhouse (온실 내 백다다기 오이의 생육단계에 따른 흡광계수 변화 모델 개발)

  • Ki Beom Jeon;Jong Hwa Shin
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2023
  • Understanding the light environment in greenhouse cultivation and the light utilization characteristics of crops is important in the study of photosynthesis and transpiration. Also, as the plant grows, the form of light utilization changes. Therefore, this study aims to develop a light extinction coefficient model reflecting the plant growth. To measure the extinction coefficient, five pyranometers were installed vertically according to the height of the plant, and the light intensity by height was collected every second during the entire growing season. According to each growth stage in the early, middle, and late stages, the difference between the top and bottom light intensity tended to increase to 69%, 72%, and 81%. When leaf area index and plant height increased, the extinction coefficient decreased, and it showed an exponential decay relationship. Three-dimensional model reflecting the two growth indexes, the paraboloid had the lowest RMSE of 1.340 and the highest regression constant of 0.968. Through this study, it was possible to predict the more precise light extinction coefficient during the growing period of plants. Furthermore, it is judged that this can be utilized for predicting and analyzing photosynthesis and transpiration according to the plant height.

Estimation of the Input Wave Height of the Wave Generator for Regular Waves by Using Artificial Neural Networks and Gaussian Process Regression (인공신경망과 가우시안 과정 회귀에 의한 규칙파의 조파기 입력파고 추정)

  • Jung-Eun, Oh;Sang-Ho, Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.315-324
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    • 2022
  • The experimental data obtained in a wave flume were analyzed using machine learning techniques to establish a model that predicts the input wave height of the wavemaker based on the waves that have experienced wave shoaling and to verify the performance of the established model. For this purpose, artificial neural network (NN), the most representative machine learning technique, and Gaussian process regression (GPR), one of the non-parametric regression analysis methods, were applied respectively. Then, the predictive performance of the two models was compared. The analysis was performed independently for the case of using all the data at once and for the case by classifying the data with a criterion related to the occurrence of wave breaking. When the data were not classified, the error between the input wave height at the wavemaker and the measured value was relatively large for both the NN and GPR models. On the other hand, if the data were divided into non-breaking and breaking conditions, the accuracy of predicting the input wave height was greatly improved. Among the two models, the overall performance of the GPR model was better than that of the NN model.

Mid-Term Container Forecast for Pusan Port (부산항 컨테이너 물동량의 중간예측)

  • Gu, J.Y.
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1997
  • The conventional methods of container forecasting is done through regression methods based on GNP growth trends and by other forecasting methods proposed by several authors. However these efforts prove to be inadequate with visible weakness and a more reasonable approach need to be determined. The succeeding sections elaborate the methodology and approach adopted. The results are then compared through a case study involving the forecast figures derived by the Pusan Port Authority and the values obtained by MRCS model introduced in this paper.

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Ordinary Kriging of Daily Mean SST (Sea Surface Temperature) around South Korea and the Analysis of Interpolation Accuracy (정규크리깅을 이용한 우리나라 주변해역 일평균 해수면온도 격자지도화 및 내삽정확도 분석)

  • Ahn, Jihye;Lee, Yangwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.51-66
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    • 2022
  • SST (Sea Surface Temperature) is based on the atmosphere-ocean interaction, one of the most important mechanisms for the Earth system. Because it is a crucial oceanic and meteorological factor for understanding climate change, gap-free grid data at a specific spatial and temporal resolution is beneficial in SST studies. This paper examined the production of daily SST grid maps from 137 stations in 2020 through the ordinary kriging with variogram optimization and their accuracy assessment. The variogram optimization was achieved by WLS (Weighted Least Squares) method, and the blind tests for the interpolation accuracy assessment were conducted by an objective and spatially unbiased sampling scheme. The four-round blind tests showed a pretty high accuracy: a root mean square error between 0.995 and 1.035℃ and a correlation coefficient between 0.981 and 0.982. In terms of season, the accuracy in summer was a bit lower, presumably because of the abrupt change in SST affected by the typhoon. The accuracy was better in the far seas than in the near seas. West Sea showed better accuracy than East or South Sea. It is because the semi-enclosed sea in the near seas can have different physical characteristics. The seasonal and regional factors should be considered for accuracy improvement in future work, and the improved SST can be a member of the SST ensemble around South Korea.

A Study on the Characteristics of Global FDI on China's Balanced Development Strategy : Focusing on Korean FDI Characteristics by Major Cities in China (중국지역균형발전전략에 미치는 글로벌 FDI 특성에 관한 연구 :중국주요도시별 한국FDI 특성을 중심으로)

  • Ryoo, Sung-Woo;Mun, Cheol-Ju
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.155-175
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    • 2018
  • This study estimates the technical efficiency and total factor productivity(TFP) of and analyzes the relationship between TFP and exports for Korean manufacturing companies from 2000 to 2016. Specially, TFP is decomposed into Technical Change(TC), Technical Efficiency Change (TEC), and Sale Effect(SE), and compared between large and small enterprises. First, in the case of technical efficiency, the Korean economy has been very vulnerable to external shocks, such as the sharp decline following the 2008 financial crisis. The efficiency of the electronics, automobile, and machinery sectors is low and needs to be improved. In addition, the technological efficiency of large enterprises is higher than that of SMEs in most manufacturing sub-sectors except for non-ferrous metals. In the case of TFP, most changes are due to TC, and the effective combination of labor, capital and the effect of scale have little effect, suggesting that improvement of internal structure is urgent. In addition, volatility due to the impact of the financial crisis in 2008 was much larger in SMEs than in large companies, so external economic impacts are more greater for SMEs than large enterprises. The relationship between TFP decomposition factors and exports shows that TC has a positive effect only on exports of SMEs. Therefore, in order to increase exports, in the case of SMEs, R&D support to promote technological development is needed. In the case of large companies, it is necessary to establish differentiated strategies for each export market, competitor company, and item to link efficiency and scale effect of exports.

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Analysis of groundwater withdrawal impact in the middle mountainous area of Pyoseon Watershed in Jeju Island using LSTM (LSTM을 활용한 제주도 표선유역 중산간지역의 지하수 취수영향 분석)

  • Shin, Mun-Ju;Moon, Soo-Hyoung;Moon, Duk-Chul;Koh, Hyuk-Joon;Kang, Kyung Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.267-267
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    • 2021
  • 제주도는 화산섬의 지질특성상 강수의 지표침투성이 높아 지표수의 개발이용여건이 취약한 관계로 용수의 대부분을 지하수에 의존하고 있다. 따라서 지하수의 보전관리는 매우 중요한 사항이며 특히 지하수의 안정적인 이용을 위해서는 지하수 취수가 주변지역 지하수위에 미치는 영향 분석이 반드시 필요하다. 본 연구는 딥러닝 알고리즘인 Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)를 활용하여 제주도 남동쪽 표선유역 중산간지역에 위치한 2개 지하수위 관측정을 대상으로 지하수 취수영향을 분석하였다. 입력자료로써 인근 2개 강우관측소의 일단위 강수량자료와 인근 6개 취수정의 지하수 취수량자료 및 연구대상 관측정의 지하수위 자료(2001. 2. 11. ~ 2019. 10. 31.)를 사용하였다. 지하수위 변동특성을 최대한 반영하기 위해 LSTM의 예측일수를 1일로 설정하였다. 보정 및 검증 기간을 사용하여 매개변수의 과적합을 방지하였으며, 테스트 기간을 사용하여 LSTM의 예측성능을 평가하였다. 평가지수로써 Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency(NSE)와 평균제곱근오차(RMSE)를 사용하였다. 그리고 지하수 취수가 주변 지하수위 변동에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위해 취수량을 최대취수량인 2,300 m3/일, 최대취수량의 2/3인 1,533 m3/일 및 0 m3/일로 설정하여 모의하였다. 모의결과, 2개 감시정의 보정, 검증 및 예측기간에 대한 NSE는 최대 0.999, 최소 0.976의 범위를 보였으며, RMSE는 최대 0.494 m, 최소 0.084 m를 보여 LSTM은 우수한 예측성능을 나타내었다. 이것은 LSTM이 지하수위 변동특성을 적절히 학습하였다는 것을 의미하며 따라서 추정된 매개변수를 활용하여 지하수 취수영향을 모의 및 분석하였다. 그 결과, 지하수위 하강량은 최대 0.38 m 였으며 이것은 대상지점에 대한 취수량은 지하수위 하강에 거의 영향을 주지 않는다는 것을 의미한다. 또한 취수량과 지하수위 하강량과의 관계는 한 개 관측정에 대해 선형적인 관계를 보인 반면 나머지 한 개 관측정에 대해서는 비선형적인 관계를 나타내는 것을 확인하였다. 따라서 LSTM 알고리즘을 활용하여 제주도 표선유역 중산간지역의 지하수위 변동특성을 분석할 수 있다.

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Chemical characteristics and sources of fine ambient particulate matter from the third and fourth industrial complex area of Daejeon city, Korea (대전 3, 4 공단지역의 미세분진에 대한 화학적 특성과 오염원 연구)

  • Lim, Jong-Myoung;Lee, Jin-Hong;Chung, Yong-Sam
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2007
  • This study centered on the quantitative analysis of about 27 trace elements including toxic ones using instrumental neutron activation analysis of fine ambient particulate matter in the third and fourth industrial complex area of Daejeon city, Korea. For analytical quality control, the certified reference material (NIST, the National Institute of Standards and Technology, U.S.A., SRM 2783, air particulate on filter media) was used. The errors relative to SRM values of Sb, Mn, V, Mg, Na, K, Ti, Co, Zn, and Sm fell below 5%, while those of Cr, Fe, Ba, Th, Ce, Al, and Cu were less than 10%. From the results of the quantitative analysis, the concentration of toxic metals such as As, Mn, Se, V, and Zn were $3.26{\pm}2.72$, $9.86{\pm}4.71$, $2.18{\pm}1.25$, $4.91{\pm}2.41$, $158{\pm}78ng/m^3$, respectively. And the results of factor analysis indicated that there are no more than six factors of sources of fine ambient particulate with statistical significance in the study area.