• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
• /
• v.28 no.5
• /
• pp.265-276
• /
• 2016

The 2011 Tohoku, Japan Tsunami, which occurred on March 11, 2011, reached the Korean Peninsula and was recorded at numerous tide stations. In the records of the north-eastern tide stations, tsunami forerunners were found in only about a few minutes after the earthquake, which was much earlier than the expected arrival time based on a numerical simulation. Murotani et al. (2015) found out that the bathymetry effect is related to the tsunami forerunners observed in Japan and Russia. In this study, the tsunami forerunners observed in Korea were well reproduced by a numerical simulation considering the bathymetry effect. This indicates that it is important to consider the bathymetry effect for a tsunami caused by an earthquake on shallowly dipping fault plane(e.g. 2011 Tohoku, Japan Earthquake). However, since the bathymetry effect requires additional computation time, it is necessary to examine the problems that results from applying the bathymetry effect to the tsunami warning system.

• Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
• /
• v.31 no.8
• /
• pp.445-452
• /
• 2004

Zoning technology of disk improved the performance of disk subsystem with increase of storage capacity and average transfer bandwidth. SCAN disk scheduling with double buffering is used to utilize the performance of zoned disk in multimedia system. However, this method has a problem that generates jitter when the number of steams increases. In this article, we propose the novel approach, pre-buffering policy, to overcome this problem. Pre-buffering avoids jitter by buffering the lack of data before starting service, which is estimated from the current cycle length and the maximum cycle length. We can calculate cycle length, data sire needed in each cycle and the possible lack of data caused by the increase of the number of streams using the numerical model of disk subsystem. Pre-buffering can be applied for multimedia systems and contribute to provide clients with high quality service without jitter.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2021.06a
• /
• pp.450-450
• /
• 2021

기후변화 보고서에 따르면 집중 호우의 강도 및 빈도 증가가 향후 몇 년동안 지속될 것이라 제시하였다. 이러한 집중호우가 빈번히 발생하게 된다면 강우 침식성이 증가하여 표토 침식에 더 취약하게 발생된다. Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) 입력 매개 변수 중 하나인 강우침식능인자는 토양 유실을 예측할때 강우 강도의 미치는 영향을 제시하는 인자이다. 선행 연구에서 USLE 방법을 사용하여 강우침식능인자를 산정하였지만, 60분 단위 강우자료를 이용하였기 때문에 정확한 30분 최대 강우강도 산정을 고려하지 못하는 한계점이 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 강우침식능인자를 이전의 진행된 방법보다 더 빠르고 정확하게 예측하는 머신러닝 모델을 개발하며, 총 월별 강우량, 최대 일 강우량 및 최대 시간별 강우량 데이터만 있어도 산정이 가능하도록 하였다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 강우침식능인자의 산정 값의 정확도를 높이기 위해 1분 간격 강우 데이터를 사용하며, 최근 강우 패턴을 반영하기 위해서 2013-2019년 자료로 이용했다. 우선, 월별 특성을 파악하기 위해 USLE 계산 방법을 사용하여 월별 강우침식능인자를 산정하였고, 국내 50개 지점을 대상으로 계산된 월별 강우침식능인자를 실측 값으로 정하여, 머신러닝 모델을 통하여 강우침식능인자 예측하도록 학습시켜 분석하였다. 이 연구에 사용된 머신러닝 모델들은 Decision Tree, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, Gradient Boosting, eXtreme Gradient Boost 및 Deep Neural Network을 이용하였다. 또한, 교차 검증을 통해서 모델 중 Deep Neural Network이 강우침식능인자 예측 정확도가 가장 높게 산정하였다. Deep Neural Network은 Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) 와 Coefficient of determination (R²)의 결과값이 0.87로서 모델의 예측성을 입증하였으며, 검증 모델을 테스트 하기 위해 국내 6개 지점을 무작위로 선별하여 강우침식능인자를 분석하였다. 본 연구 결과에서 나온 Deep Neural Network을 이용하면, 훨씬 적은 노력과 시간으로 원하는 지점에서 월별 강우침식능인자를 예측할 수 있으며, 한국 강우 패턴을 효율적으로 분석 할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다. 이를 통해 향후 토양 침식 위험을 지표화하는 것뿐만 아니라 토양 보전 계획을 수립할 수 있으며, 위험 지역을 우선적으로 선별하고 제시하는데 유용하게 사용 될 것이라 사료된다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
• /
• 2003.04a
• /
• pp.109-111
• /
• 2003

클러스터 시스템의 성능 향상을 위해서는 컴퓨팅 자원을 효과적으로 사용하여야 한다. 과거에는 전체 시스템 자원을 효과적으로 사용하기 위해 각 노드들의 부하를 균등하게 하는 방향으로 연구가 진행되어 왔으나, 부하 분산 시스템이 작업의 자원 요구 형태를 고려하여 작업을 배치하는 경우 성능을 더욱 향상시킬 수 있다. 현재까지는 이런 자원 요구 형태에 대한 선행지식을 과거 작업 실행 기록에 기반하여 유추해내는 방법을 많이 사용하였으나 이 방법은 잘못된 예측을 가져와 실행시간을 증가시킬 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이를 해결하기 위해 유효 작업수라 불리는 새로운 노드의 부하 측정 척도를 제시한다. 유효 작업수를 이용한 부하 분산 시스템은 작업의 자원 요구 사항을 알지 못하더라도 부하 분산 과정에서 작업이 잘못 배치되어 실행시간이 증가하는 경우를 방지한다. 성능분석 결과는 과거 자료에 의한 예측을 사용하는 기존 방법에 비해 전체 실행시간의 감소로 성능이 향상되었음을 보여준다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• /
• v.25 no.2
• /
• pp.80-98
• /
• 2023

This study explores the effectiveness of various data preprocessing algorithms for improving subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) climate predictions from six climate forecast models and their Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) using a deep learning-based postprocessing model. A pipeline of data transformation algorithms was constructed to convert raw S2S prediction data into the training data processed with several statistical distribution. A dimensionality reduction algorithm for selecting features through rankings of correlation coefficients between the observed and the input data. The training model in the study was designed with TimeDistributed wrapper applied to all convolutional layers of U-Net: The TimeDistributed wrapper allows a U-Net convolutional layer to be directly applied to 5-dimensional time series data while maintaining the time axis of data, but every input should be at least 3D in U-Net. We found that Robust and Standard transformation algorithms are most suitable for improving S2S predictions. The dimensionality reduction based on feature selections did not significantly improve predictions of daily precipitation for six climate models and even worsened predictions of daily maximum and minimum temperatures. While deep learning-based postprocessing was also improved MME S2S precipitation predictions, it did not have a significant effect on temperature predictions, particularly for the lead time of weeks 1 and 2. Further research is needed to develop an optimal deep learning model for improving S2S temperature predictions by testing various models and parameters.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.57 no.5
• /
• pp.333-346
• /
• 2024

High-resolution medium-range streamflow prediction is crucial for sustainable water quality and aquatic ecosystem management. For reliable medium-range streamflow predictions, it is necessary to understand the characteristics of forcings and to effectively utilize weather forecast data with low spatio-temporal resolutions. In this study, we presented a comparative analysis of medium-range streamflow predictions using the distributed hydrological model, WRF-Hydro, and the numerical weather forecast Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) in the Geumho River basin, Korea. Multiple forcings, ground observations (AWS&ASOS), numerical weather forecast (GDAPS), and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), were ingested to investigate the performance of streamflow predictions with highresolution WRF-Hydro configuration. In terms of the mean areal accumulated rainfall, GDAPS was overestimated by 36% to 234%, and GLDAS reanalysis data were overestimated by 80% to 153% compared to AWS&ASOS. The performance of streamflow predictions using AWS&ASOS resulted in KGE and NSE values of 0.6 or higher at the Kangchang station. Meanwhile, GDAPS-based streamflow predictions showed high variability, with KGE values ranging from 0.871 to -0.131 depending on the rainfall events. Although the peak flow error of GDAPS was larger or similar to that of GLDAS, the peak flow timing error of GDAPS was smaller than that of GLDAS. The average timing errors of AWS&ASOS, GDAPS, and GLDAS were 3.7 hours, 8.4 hours, and 70.1 hours, respectively. Medium-range streamflow predictions using GDAPS and high-resolution WRF-Hydro may provide useful information for water resources management especially in terms of occurrence and timing of peak flow albeit high uncertainty in flood magnitude.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.33 no.4
• /
• pp.505-515
• /
• 2000

THe purpose of this study is to forecast of runoff hydrographs according to rainfall event in a stream. The neural network theory as a hydrologic blackbox model is used to solve hydrological problems. The Back-Propagation(BP) algorithm by the Levenberg-Marquardt(LM) techniques and Radial Basis Function(RBF) network in Neural Network(NN) models are used. Runoff hydrograph is forecasted in Bocheongstream basin which is a IHP the representative basin. The possibility of a simulation for runoff hydrographs about unlearned stations is considered. The results show that NN models are performed to effective learning for rainfall-runoff process of hydrologic system which involves a complexity and nonliner relationships. The RBF networks consist of 2 learning steps. The first step is an unsupervised learning in hidden layer and the next step is a supervised learning in output layer. Therefore, the RBF networks could provide rather time saved in the learning step than the BP algorithm. The peak discharge both BP algorithm and RBF network model in the estimation of an unlearned are a is trended to observed values.

• Journal of KIISE
• /
• v.42 no.3
• /
• pp.281-288
• /
• 2015

A volcano disaster damage prediction system supports decision making for counteracting volcanic disasters by simulating meteorological condition and volcanic eruptions. In this system, a program called Fall3D generates predicted results for the diffusion of ash after a volcanic eruption on the basis of meteorological information. The relevant meteorological information is generated by a weather numerical prediction model known as Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF). In order to reduce the entire processing time without modifying these two simulation programs, pipelining can be used by partly executing Fall3D whenever the hourly (partial) results of WRF are generated. To reduce the processing time, successor programs such as Fall3D require that certain features be suspended until the part of the results that is based on prior calculation is generated by a predecessor. Even though Fall3D does not have a suspend or resume feature, pipelining effect can be produced by using the program's restart feature, which resumes simulation from the previous session. In this study, we suggest a workflow that can control the execution type.

• Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
• /
• autumn
• /
• pp.49-52
• /
• 2001

부산지역 청소년 음성의 지속시간, 피치주파수 포만트 주파수 특성을 연령별, 성별로 분석하였다. 실제 발음 환경에서의 음성 패턴은 발성화자 개인 및 화자별로 다양하게 변화한다. 이를 모델 화하기 위해서는 다량의 음성 데이터로부터 통계적 방법에 의한 변화 요인별 파라미터 분석이 선행되어야 할 것이다. 실험에 사용된 데이터는 부산지역에 거주하는 청소년(초등학생, 중학생, 고등학생)들이 연령별로 3회 발성한 우화의 일부와 단모음(/아/,/이/,/우/,/에/,/오/)이다 실험 결과로부터 얻어진 지속시간, 주파수 특성 변화 패턴을 연령별, 성별로 구분하여 통계적으로 분석한 뒤 이를 정량화 하였다. 실험 결과로부터 부산 지역 청소년 음성의 지속시간, 주파수 특성은 예측된 바와 같이 기 연구된 성인 음성과 많은 차이를 보였으며 이는 부산 지역 방언의 DB 구축 시 설계자가 고려해야 할 기초자료로 활용 될 수 있을 것이다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• v.38 no.5
• /
• pp.671-683
• /
• 2018

The flood damage caused by heavy rains in urban watershed is increasing, and, as evidenced by many previous studies, urban flooding usually exceeds the water capacity of drainage networks. The flood on the area which considerably urbanized and densely populated cause serious social and economic damage. To solve this problem, deterministic and probabilistic studies have been conducted for the prediction flooding in urban areas. However, it is insufficient to obtain lead times and to derive the prediction results for the flood volume in a short period of time. In this study, IDNN, TDNN and NARX were compared for real-time flood prediction based on urban runoff analysis to present the optimal real-time urban flood prediction technique. As a result of the flood prediction with rainfall event of 2010 and 2011 in Gangnam area, the Nash efficiency coefficient of the input delay artificial neural network, the time delay neural network and nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs are 0.86, 0.92, 0.99 and 0.53, 0.41, 0.98 respectively. Comparing with the result of the error analysis on the predicted result, it is revealed that the use of nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs must be appropriate for the establishment of urban flood response system in the future.