• Title/Summary/Keyword: 영확률

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조석영향 구간의 일유량 산정방법 평가

  • Hwang, Seok-Hwan;Kim, Chi-Yeong;Jo, Hyo-Seop;Jeong, Seong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.433-433
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    • 2011
  • 수자원 계획 및 관리를 위한 지표 자료로서 일유량은 매우 유용하기 때문에 정확한 일유량 산정의 문제는 매우 중요하다. 그러나 우리나라의 경우 조석이나 배수 갑문 혹은 보 등에 의한 배수 영향으로 인해 수위-유량관계곡선식만으로 정상적인 유량산정이 어려운 지점이 다수 존재한다. 특히, 한강대교 지점과 같이 조석영향 구간에서 수위-유량관계곡선식에 의해 산정된 일유량은 자료에 대한 곡선식의 적합도 문제로 그 정확도가 매우 낮았다. 최근 자동유량측정에 의해 시간단위 이하의 실시간 유량이 생산되고 있고 이를 이용하여 일유량을 환산하고 있어 과거에 비해 보다 정확한 일유량 산정이 가능해 졌다. 그러나 신뢰도 있는 일유량을 안정적으로 제공하기 위해서는 보다 다양한 조건을 고려한 비교 검증 연구가 요구되는 실정이다. 이러한 배경에서 본 연구에서는 한강대교 지점과 같이 조석영향을 받는 지점의 일유량 산정방법 및 산정개념에 따른 유황의 차이와 적정성을 평가하여 보았다. 각 산정방법 및 산정개념 별로 산정된 일유량을 통해 유황을 산정하여 한강대교 지점의 일유량 산정방법에 대한 적정성을 평가하고 적절한 유황산정을 위한 목적별 대안을 제시하였다. 산정방법 별로는 기존의 수위-유량관계 곡선식으로 변환된 자료, 자동유량측정자료, 그리고 자동유량측정자료에서 조석성분을 제거한 순수 유출성분자료를 이용하여 일유량을 산정하였고, 이를 이용하여 산정된 유황에 대한 비교 분석을 실시하였다. 수위-유량관계곡선식에 의한 일유량은 수문조사연보의 자료를 이용하였고 자동유량자료를 이용한 일유량은 시자료를 평균하여 일유량으로 환산하는 방법을 사용하였다. 자동유량 자료에서 조석성분을 제거한 순수 유출성분의 추출은 웨이블릿 변환(wavelet transform)을 이용하였다. 각 방법별로 산정된 일유량을 비교한 결과 수위-유량관계곡선식에 의해 산정된 일유량이 자동 유량자료로 산정된 일유량에 비해 전반적으로 크게 나타났고, 2009년 한해 동안의 유출용적을 비교해 본 결과 18%정도 더 크게 산정되었다. 산정개념에 따른 비교에서는 조석성분 유량의 유효성 여부에 따른 유황을 비교하였으며, 조석성분 유량도 실효적 유량으로 간주한 경우 이론적 확률 분포형에 적합시켜 산정한 평균 갈수량은 15.7 ��/s(동절기 이상 거동기간인 2009년 11월 17일-12월 12일 기간을 제외하고 산정된 결과이나 불확실성은 잔존)에서 $53.2m^3/s$로 증가하였다. 따라서 유지유량의 목적상 경관용수나 생태용수가 중요한 지점으로 조석성분 유량이 이에 유효하다면, 유황산정을 위한 한강대교 지점의 일유량 산정방법은 다양한 목적에 비추어 추가적인 분석 검토가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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Design of Dual Network Topology and Redundant Transmitting Protocol for High Survivability of Ship Area Network (SAN) (네트워크 생존성을 고려한 선박 통신망(SAN)의 이중화 네트워크 토폴로지 및 중복 전송 프로토콜의 설계)

  • Son, Chi-Won;Shin, Jung-Hwa;Jung, Min-Young;Moon, Kyeong-Deok;Park, Jun-Hee;Lee, Kwang-Il;Tak, Sung-Woo
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.17C no.1
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    • pp.119-128
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    • 2010
  • In the shipbuilding industry, due to the global trends where the number of IT (Information Technology) devices of a smart ship have been increased rapidly, the need to develop a new shipboard backbone network has recently emerged for integrating and managing the IT devices of a smart ship efficiently. A shipboard backbone network requires high survivability because it is constructed in automatic and unmanned smart ships where a failure of the backbone network can cause critical problems. The purpose of this paper thus is to study SAN (Ship Area Network) as a efficient shipboard backbone network, considering particularity of shipboard environment and requirement of high survivability. In order to do so, we designed a dual network topology that all network nodes, including the IT devices installed in a smart ship, are connected each other through dual paths, and reuding tht IT devices pnstalles supporices network survivability as well as t Iffic efficiency for the dual network topology. And then, we verified the performance of the suggested SAN by theoretical and practical analysis including the graph theory, the probability theory, implemental specifications, and computer simulations.

Measurement of the Tibial Plateau Angle in Normal Small Breed Dogs (정상 소형 견에서 경골 고평부각의 측정)

  • Kim, Choong-sup;Heo, Su-Young;Seol, Jae-Won;Kim, Min-Su;Lee, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Nam-Soo;Lee, Hae-Beom
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.231-234
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    • 2015
  • This study measured the tibial plateau angle (TPA), a value that predicts cranial cruciate ligament rupture (CCLR) and a prerequisite for dynamic stabilization, in small breed dogs. The cadavers of 32 skeletally mature small breed dogs without CCLR were used to measure TPA. Differences were evaluated between males and females, left and right limbs, and among breeds. The mean TPA of all dogs was $26.13^{\circ}{\pm}2.33^{\circ}$. The mean TPAs of left and right limbs were $26.00^{\circ}{\pm}2.23^{\circ}$ and $26.26^{\circ}{\pm}2.45^{\circ}$, respectively, which was not a significant difference. The mean TPAs of male and female dogs were $26.01^{\circ}{\pm}1.57^{\circ}$ and $26^{\circ}.22{\pm}2.80^{\circ}$, respectively, which was also not significant difference. The mean TPAs in Maltese, Poodle, Shih Tzu, and Yorkshire terrier were $26.06^{\circ}{\pm}2.96^{\circ}$, $25.21^{\circ}{\pm}1.38^{\circ}$, $26.65^{\circ}{\pm}2.96^{\circ}$, and $26.27^{\circ}{\pm}1.61^{\circ}$, respectively. Differences in these means were not statistically significant. The TPA measured from this study could provide important information for further investigation of the pathogenesis of and surgical techniques for CCLR in small breed dogs.

Prediction of Potential Habitat of Japanese evergreen oak (Quercus acuta Thunb.) Considering Dispersal Ability Under Climate Change (분산 능력을 고려한 기후변화에 따른 붉가시나무의 잠재서식지 분포변화 예측연구)

  • Shin, Man-Seok;Seo, Changwan;Park, Seon-Uk;Hong, Seung-Bum;Kim, Jin-Yong;Jeon, Ja-Young;Lee, Myungwoo
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.291-306
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    • 2018
  • This study was designed to predict potential habitat of Japanese evergreen oak (Quercus acuta Thunb.) in Korean Peninsula considering its dispersal ability under climate change. We used a species distribution model (SDM) based on the current species distribution and climatic variables. To reduce the uncertainty of the SDM, we applied nine single-model algorithms and the pre-evaluation weighted ensemble method. Two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5) were used to simulate the distribution of Japanese evergreen oak in 2050 and 2070. The final future potential habitat was determined by considering whether it will be dispersed from the current habitat. The dispersal ability was determined using the Migclim by applying three coefficient values (${\theta}=-0.005$, ${\theta}=-0.001$ and ${\theta}=-0.0005$) to the dispersal-limited function and unlimited case. All the projections revealed potential habitat of Japanese evergreen oak will be increased in Korean Peninsula except the RCP 4.5 in 2050. However, the future potential habitat of Japanese evergreen oak was found to be limited considering the dispersal ability of this species. Therefore, estimation of dispersal ability is required to understand the effect of climate change and habitat distribution of the species.

Forecasting of Probability of Accident by Analizing the Traffic Accident Data : Main Intersections on Arterial Roads in Busan (교통사고 데이터분석을 통한 교통사고 위험도 산정 : 부산시 주간선도로 주요교차로를 대상으로)

  • Jung, Kun Young;Bae, Sang Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of forecasting the traffic accident is to reduce the traffic accident. Therefore, the goal of this study is to provide severity of the accident by Forecasting of Probability of Accident. In Korea, accident data are distributed to the public via internet that includes numbers of accident and fatality as well. And crude level of accident severity in accordance with weather information for metropolitan city level are available by weekly. However, It can not reflect personal needs at specific origin of the travel for a certain traveller. This study aims to consider 68 major intersections with precipitation data, and eventually introduces link based accident severity. In estimating the accident severity both dynamic data such as drivers' characteristics, driving conditions and static data such as geometry of road, intersection characteristics are considered. Also, we identifies accident severity according to the accident type - 'vehicle to vehicle,' 'vehicle to person.' Finally, the outcomes of this study suggests taylor-made accident severity information for a specific traveller for a certain route.

Evaluation of Excess Lung Cancer Risk in Korean due to Indoor Exposure to Natural $^{222}Rn$ Progenies (한국인의 실내 라돈-222 자핵종 피폭으로 인한 초과 폐암위험)

  • Chang, Si-Young;Ha, Chung-Woo;Lee, Byung-Hun
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 1992
  • An excess risk of lung cancer mortality among Koreans, attributable to indoor $^{222}Rn$ daughters exposure, were quantitatively evaluated by applying a stochastic health risk projection model on the radiation exposure. The lung cancer rate in Korean males and females, based on the 1989 demographic data, were estimated to be $22.4/10^5-y\;and\;9.5/10^5-y$, respectively The lifetime baseline lung cancer risks, deduced from these rates, appeared to be 0.047 and 0.019 for males and females, respectively, and were lower than the corresponding 1984 values of 0.067 and 0.025 in the U.S.A. The excess risk coefficients, derived by modified relative risk projection model of the BEIR-IV Committee under the US National Academy of Science, per annual 1.0 WLM of exposure to indoor radon daughters were estimated to be 0.022/WLM for males, 0.009/WLM for females, and 0.017/WLM for both sexes. The resulting annual frequency of excess lung cancer mortality for the life expectancy in the Korean population appeared to be 230/10^6-WLM, which was an approximate median of $120{\sim}450/10^6-WLM$ reported so far in the world.

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Convergence Education Effect of Donning and Doffing Personal Protective Equipment for Non-medical Personnel to the New Infectious Disease (신종감염병 대응 비의료인 전담요원 개인보호구 착탈의 융합 교육 효과)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun;Kim, Sun-Ae;Jeon, In-Young;Kim, Jong-Im
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.353-361
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: This study was attempted to confirm the convergence education effect of donning and doffing Personal Protective Equipment(PPE) for Non-medical Personnel. Method: Three training sessions in 2018 were conducted for 28 dedicated staff who met Level D personal protective equipment. After the training, the scores of PPE donning and doffing were collected. Friedman and Wilcoxon's Signed-Ranks Tests were performed. Results: As the number of training increased, the score of doffing PPE increased significantly. And the differences by frequency, the score of the donning PPE was significantly increased in the 3rd rather than the 1st. However, the score of doff was increased in the first to third cases, but it was not significant. Conclusion: The results of this study found that the effect of doffing PPE education was relatively lower than that of donning practice. so the increase in the number of training sessions or the periodic training is important.

Speaker-Independent Korean Digit Recognition Using HCNN with Weighted Distance Measure (가중 거리 개념이 도입된 HCNN을 이용한 화자 독립 숫자음 인식에 관한 연구)

  • 김도석;이수영
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.1422-1432
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    • 1993
  • Nonlinear mapping function of the HCNN( Hidden Control Neural Network ) can change over time to model the temporal variability of a speech signal by combining the nonlinear prediction of conventional neural networks with the segmentation capability of HMM. We have two things in this paper. first, we showed that the performance of the HCNN is better than that of HMM. Second, the HCNN with its prediction error measure given by weighted distance is proposed to use suitable distance measure for the HCNN, and then we showed that the superiority of the proposed system for speaker-independent speech recognition tasks. Weighted distance considers the differences between the variances of each component of the feature vector extraced from the speech data. Speaker-independent Korean digit recognition experiment showed that the recognition rate of 95%was obtained for the HCNN with Euclidean distance. This result is 1.28% higher than HMM, and shows that the HCNN which models the dynamical system is superior to HMM which is based on the statistical restrictions. And we obtained 97.35% for the HCNN with weighted distance, which is 2.35% better than the HCNN with Euclidean distance. The reason why the HCNN with weighted distance shows better performance is as follows : it reduces the variations of the recognition error rate over different speakers by increasing the recognition rate for the speakers who have many misclassified utterances. So we can conclude that the HCNN with weighted distance is more suit-able for speaker-independent speech recognition tasks.

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A Comparative Study of Mathematics Curriculum among the United States, Singapore, England, Japan, Australia and Korea (수학 교육과정 국제 비교 분석 연구 - 미국, 싱가포르, 영국, 일본, 호주의 중학교와 고등학교 교육과정을 중심으로 -)

  • Chong, Yeong Ok;Chang, Kyung-Yoon;Kim, Gooyeon;Kwon, Na Young;Kim, Jin Ho;Seo, Dong-Yeop;Kang, Hyun-Young;Park, Sunhwa;Ko, Ho Kyoung;Nam, Jin Young;Tak, Byungjoo
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.371-402
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study is to compare mathematics curriculum among the United States, Singapore, England, Japan, Australia and Korea and offer suggestions to improve mathematics curriculum of Korea in the future. In order to attain these purposes, the analysis was conducted in many aspects including mathematics education system, mathematics courses, mathematics contents, assessment syllabus for university entrance examination and the construction principles of mathematics curriculum. In the light of the results of this study, our suggestions for improving mathematics curriculum of Korea are as follows: revising the contents of analysis, geometry, probability and statistics strands; organizing curriculum based on spiral construction principle; providing various opportunities to select mathematics courses according to students'career; reflecting the contents of their courses in university entrance examination.

An Intra Prediction Method and Fast Intra Prediction Method in Inter Frames using Block Content and Dependency Probabilities on neighboring Block Modes in H.264|AVC (영상 내용 특성과 주위 블록 모드 상관성을 이용한 H.264|AVC 화면 간 프레임에서의 화면 내 예측 부호화 결정 방법과 화면 내 예측 고속화 방법)

  • Na, Tae-Young;Lee, Bum-Shik;Hahm, Sang-Jin;Park, Chang-Seob;Park, Keun-Soo;Kim, Mun-Churl
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.611-623
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    • 2007
  • The H.264|AVC standard incorporates an intra prediction tool into inter frame coding. However, this leads to excessive amount of increase in encoding time, thus resulting in the difficulty in real-time implementation of software encoders. In this paper, we first propose an early decision on intra prediction coding and a fast intra prediction method using the characteristics of block contents and the context of neighboring block modes for the intra prediction in the inter frame coding of H.264/AVC. Basically, the proposed methods determine a skip condition on whether the $4{\times}4$ intra prediction is to be used in the inter frame coding by considering the content characteristics of each block to be encoded and the context of its neighboring blocks. The performance of our proposed methods is compared with the Joint Model reference software version 11.0 of H.264|AVC. The experimental results show that our proposed methods allow for 41.63% reduction in the total encoding time with negligible amounts of PSNR drops and bitrate increases, compared to the original Joint Model reference software version 11.0.