• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.380-388
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• 2014

Annual average daily traffic(AADT) serves as important basic data in the transportation sector. AADT is used as design traffic which is the basic traffic volume in transportation planning. Despite of its importance, at most locations, AADT is estimated using short term traffic counts. An accurate AADT is calculated through permanent traffic counts at limited locations. This study dealt with estimating AADT using various models considering both the spatial correlation and time series data. Kriging models which are commonly used spatial statistics methods were applied and compared with each model. Additionally the External Universal kriging model, which includes explanatory variables, was used to assure accuracy of AADT estimation. For evaluation of various kriging methods, AADT estimation error, proposed using national highway permanent traffic count data, was analyzed and their performances were compared. The result shows the accuracy enhancement of the AADT estimation.

• 한국도로학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2004.10a
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• pp.355-362
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• 2004

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.13-20
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• 2007

For calculating the number of lane, it is essential to gain the 30th or 100th highest design hourly volume. The design hourly volume obtained from AADT multiplied by design hour factor. In this paper, we developed the regression models fur estimating the 30th highest hour volume and 100th highest hour volume as defined by AADT 50,000 criterion based on the data obtained the 34 monitoring sites in highway. By comparing the performance of the proposed models and conventional models using MAPE, the proposed model for 30th highest design hourly volume reduced the estimator error of 11.83% than that of conventional methods for less than AADT 50,000 and decreased estimation error of 22.17% than that of conventional method for more than AADT 50,000. Moreover, the proposed model for 100th highest design hourly volume reduced the estimator error of 8.16% than that of conventional methods for less than AADT 50,000 and decreased estimation error of 15.25% than that of conventional method for more than AADT 50,000.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.459-473
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• 2007

In this paper, we suggest a spatial regression model to predict AADT. Although Euclidian distances between one monitoring site and its neighboring sites were usually used in the many analysis, we consider the shortest travel path between monitoring sites to predict AADT for unmonitoring site using spatial regression model. We used universal Kriging method for prediction and found that the overall predictive capability of the spatial regression model based on shortest travel path is better than that of the model based on multiple regression by cross validation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.79-88
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• 2007

Design Hourly Volume (DHV) is the hourly volume used for designing a section of road. DHV is also used to estimate the expected number of vehicles to pass or traverse the relevant section of road in a future target year. The Design Hour Factor (DHF) is defined as the ratio of DHV to Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT). In addition to high precision of predicted traffic volume, in order to design a roadway to be the proper scale, applying appropriate DHFs considering traffic flow characteristics and type of area which surrounds the relevant roadway is important. This study categorizes sections of expressway (Suh Hae An Expressway) according to their area type and estimates DHFs utilizing traffic data obtained from a vehicle detection system (VDS). This study shows that DHFs calculated using VDS data are different from those using traffic data acquired from a coverage survey. While AADTs from both data show similar values, peak hour volumes from both data show significant differences especially for recreational areas. DHFs from the coverage survey are quite different from the values provided by the Korean design guide or previous research results and DHFs for urban areas are higher than recreational areas. However, DHFs from VDS shows similar values to previous research results. The result of this study suggests that using VDS for estimating DHFs is more reliable than using a coverage survey.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.1-14
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• 2013

Annual average daily traffic (AADT) serves the important basic data in transportation sector. Despite of its importance, AADT is estimated through permanent traffic counts (PTC) at limited locations because of constraints in budget and so on. At most of locations, AADT is estimated using short-term traffic counts (STC). Though many studies have been carried out at home and abroad in an effort to enhance the accuracy of AADT estimate, the method to simplify average STC data has been adopted because of application difficulty. A typical model for estimating AADT is an adjustment factor application model which applies the monthly or weekly adjustment factors at PTC points (or group) with similar traffic pattern. But this model has the limit in determining the PTC points (or group) with similar traffic pattern with STC. Because STC represents usually 24-hour or 48-hour data, it's difficult to forecast a 365-day traffic variation. In order to improve the accuracy of traffic volume prediction, this study used the geostatistical approach called co-kriging and according to their reports. To compare results, using 3 methods : using adjustment factor in same section(method 1), using grouping method to apply adjustment factor(method 2), cokriging model using previous year's traffic data which is in a high spatial correlation with traffic volume data as a secondary variable. This study deals with estimating AADT considering time and space so AADT estimation is more reliable comparing other research.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.28 no.6D
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• pp.759-766
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• 2008

Road classification system is the first step for determining the road function and design standards. Currently, roads are classified by various indices such as road location and function. In this study, we classify road using various traffic indices as well as to identify traffic characteristics for each type of road. To accomplish the objectives, mixture model was applied for classifying road and analyzing traffic characteristics using traffic data that observed at permanent traffic count stations. A total of 8 variables were applied: annual average daily traffic(AADT), $K_{30}$ coefficient, heavy vehicle proportion, day volume proportion, peak hour volume proportion, sunday coefficient, vacation coefficient, and coefficient of variation(COV). A total of 350 permanent traffic count points were categorized into three groups : Group I (Urban road), Group II (Rural road), and Group III (Recreational road). AADT were 30,000 for urban, 16,000 for rural, and 5,000 for recreational road. Group III was typical recreational road showing higher average daily traffic volume during Sunday and vacational periods. Group I showed AM peak and PM peak, while group II and group III did not show AM peak and PM peak.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.406-414
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• 2015

Existing relative researches for traffic were studied under favorable weather or excluding impact of weather. This study present traffic volume variation according to rainfall intensity in national highway provincial road and rainfall-factor. Continuous traffic count section match AWS after selecting to analyze provincial road 256 section. Weekdays ADT(Average Daily Traffic) and rainfall-factor are influenced by rainfall a little because of business travel. But non-weekdays ADT and rainfall-factor are influenced much more than weekdays because of leisure travel. Estimated AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) by adjusting rainfall-factor is lower MAPE than non-adjusting rainfall factor. So, rainfall have to be considered when estimating AADT. ADT decrease according to rainfall intensity, continuous studies considered rainfall intensity are needed when road design and operation.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.20 no.6
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• pp.203-213
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• 2021

A vehicle crash occurs due to various factors such as the geometry of the road section, traffic, and driver characteristics. A safety performance function has been used in many studies to estimate the relationship between vehicle crash and road factors statistically. And depends on the purpose of the analysis, various characteristic variables have been used. And various characteristic variables have been used in the studies depending on the purpose of analysis. The existing domestic studies generally reflect the average characteristics of the sections by quantifying the traffic volume in macro aggregate units such as the ADT, but this has a limitation that it cannot reflect the real-time changing traffic characteristics. Therefore, the need for research on effective aggregation units that can flexibly reflect the characteristics of the traffic environment arises. In this paper, we develop a safety performance function that can reflect the traffic characteristics in detail with an aggregate unit for one hour in addition to the daily model used in the previous studies. As part of the present study, we also perform a comparison and evaluation between models. The safety performance function for daily and hourly units is developed using a negative binomial regression model with the number of accidents as a dependent variable. In addition, the optimal negative binomial regression model for each of the hourly and daily models was selected, and their prediction performances were compared. The model and evaluation results presented in this paper can be used to determine the risk factors for accidents in the highway section considering the dynamic characteristics. In addition, the model and evaluation results can also be used as the basis for evaluating the availability and transferability of the hourly model.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.106-118
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• 2020

This study examined the impact of COVID-19 on traffic demand (Average Daily Traffic : ADT) by analyzing the available data on highway traffic volume and the spread of COVID-19 cases in Korea. This study used the data from 228 permanent traffic counts (PTCs) on highways from January to May of 2019 and 2020 to analyze the change in ADT. The first cases of infection in Korea occurred on January 20, 2020, and the maximum daily number of infections was 909 on February 29. On April 30, 2020, the daily number of infections decreased to four. The ADT decreased by 3.3% due to the impact of COVID-19. Considering that the traffic volume has increased 2.3% annually over the past decade, the actual decrease in ADT due to the COVID-19 is estimated to be 5.6% (3.3% + 2.3%). The ADT for weekends decreased significantly, compared to during the week. An analysis of the changes in ADT according to the road type revealed decreases in the following: urban roads -4.6%, rural roads -3.2%, and recreational roads -0.7%. Urban roads decreased the most, and tourist roads decreased the least.