• Title/Summary/Keyword: 연쇄

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Analysis of the Korean Baseball League using a Markov Chain Model (마르코프 연쇄를 이용한 한국 프로야구 경기 분석)

  • Moon, Hyung Woo;Woo, Yong Tae;Shin, Yang Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.649-659
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    • 2013
  • We use a Markov chain model to analyze the Korean Baseball League. We derive the distributions of the number of runs scored and the number of batters that complete their turn at bat in a baseball game using the time inhomogeneous Markov chain. The model is tested with real data produced from the 2011 Korean Baseball League.

Detection of Theileria sergenti in Bovine Lymphocyte by Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR 기법을 이용한 소 Lymphocyte 내 Theileria sergenti의 검출)

  • 박진호;이승옥;권오덕;이주묵
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.146-150
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    • 1998
  • 소 림프구내의 Theileria sergenti감염을 확인하기 위하여 T. sergenti감염혈액에서 림프구를 분리한 후 중합효소연쇄반웅을 실시하였다. 또한,분리한 림프구내의 T. sergenti감 염을 증명하기 위하여 IFA test와 acridine orange stain을 실시하였다. 그 결과 다음과 같은 성적을 얻을 수 있었다. T. sergenti 감염헐액의 전혈과 림프구를 각각 생리식염수로 2배율 연 속회석하여 중합효소연쇄반응을 실시한 결과, 림프구내에서는 1,024배 회석배율까지 T. sergenti의 genomic DNA가 중폭되었으며, 전혈내에서는 256배 회석배율까지 증폭되었다. 그리 고 중합효소연쇄반응으로 T. sergenti 감염이 확인된 림프구를 이용하여 IFA test와 acridine orange 염색을 실시한 결과, 림프구내에 T. sergenti가 존재하는 것을 증명할 수있었다. 한편, 중합효소연쇄반응을 이용한 림프구내의 T. sergenti 감염의 진단 유용성을 확인하기 위하여 전 북지역에서 사육중인 소 16두를 대상으로 이들의 혈액으로 PCR 증폭을 실시하였다. 그 결과 전혈에서 genomic DNA를 취한 경우에는 3두(18.8%)만이, 그리고 림프구에서 genomic DNA를 취한 경우에는 11두(68.8%)의 소에서 T. sergenti DNA의 증폭을 관찰할 수 있었다.

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A Use of Expectation Maximization Clustering for Constructing a Markov Chain of Human Mobility Model (기대치 최대화 기반의 군집화를 통한 인간 이동 패턴의 마르코프 연쇄모델 도출)

  • Kim, Hyunuk;Song, Ha Yoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2012.04a
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    • pp.864-867
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    • 2012
  • 사람들이 휴대용 위치정보 수집 장비나 혹은 스마트폰을 사용하면서 사람의 이동 정보인 위치정보들을 모으는 일이 가능해 졌다. 이러한 위치정보들을 가지고 본 논문에서는 사람의 이동 모델을 나타내고자 하였다. 이동 정보들은 머물러 있는(Stay)상태와 이동하는(Moving) 상태로 나눌 수 있는데 이러한 상태 중 머물러 있는 상태가 군집화가 되어 연쇄 모델속의 하나의 상태(State)로 나타나 질 수 있다. 물론 이동 정보들을 통해 연쇄모델 속 각 상태간의 전이 확률 또한 계산 할 수 있다. 이러한 일련의 과정을 본 논문에서는 기대치 최대화 기반 군집화 과정을 통해 연속시간 연쇄 모델의 형태로 인간의 이동성을 표현하였다. 또한 이러한 모델에서 대표 군집(macro)과 그 부속 군집(micro)을 표현할 수 있었고 이러한 모습은 대표적인 큰 군집 속의 작은 군집의 형태로 나타나게 된다.

Collapse Simulations of High-Rise RC Building Using ELS Software and Application of Explosive Demolition Methods to Transition Process Analysis from Local Damage to Progressive Collapse (ELS를 이용한 고층 RC 빌딩의 붕괴해석 및 발파해체해석 기법의 국부손상-연쇄붕괴 전이과정 해석에 응용)

  • Kim, Hyon-Soo;Park, Hoon;Kim, Seung-Kon;Lee, Yeon-Gyu;Cho, Sang-Ho
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2011
  • Progressive collapse analyses of high-rise buildings subjected to abnormal loading such as fires, impacts, earthquakes, typhoon, bomb blasts etc. are intended. However it is difficult to perform collapse experiments of the real scale building to determine the capacity of the structure under an extreme loading events. In this study, collapse behavior of a 15 story RC structure building loaded by external explosion pressures were simulated using Extreme Loading Structures (ELS) software. The standoff distance between the RC building and explosives of 1500 kg was 1, 2, 5, 10, and 15 meters. The explosive demolition analysis techniques based on removal of partial support structures following blast scenario was adapted to investigate the transition process of progressive collapse-local damage.

Introduction to Subsurface Inversion Using Reversible Jump Markov-chain Monte Carlo (가역 도약 마르코프 연쇄 몬테 카를로 방법을 이용한 물성 역산 기술 소개)

  • Hyunggu, Jun;Yongchae, Cho
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.252-265
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    • 2022
  • Subsurface velocity is critical for the accurate resolution geological structures. The estimation of acoustic impedance is also critical, as it provides key information regarding the reservoir properties. Therefore, researchers have developed various inversion approaches for the estimation of reservoir properties. The Markov chain Monte Carlo method, which is a stochastic method, has advantages over the deterministic method, as the stochastic method enables us to attenuate the local minima problem and quantify the uncertainty of inversion results. Therefore, the Markov chain Monte Carlo inversion method has been applied to various kinds of geophysical inversion problems. However, studies on the Markov chain Monte Carlo inversion are still very few compared with deterministic approaches. In this study, we reviewed various types of reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo applications and explained the key concept of each application. Furthermore, we discussed future applications of the stochastic method.

Analysis of the Case with Serial Killer Young Cheol Yoo (유영철 연쇄살인사건 분석)

  • Lee, Jin-Dong;Lee, Sang-Han
    • Journal of forensic and investigative science
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.32-51
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    • 2007
  • Serial violent crimes have occurred more frequently. Additional attention is paid to relevant areas in which discussions has also increased. This study analyzed Young-cheol Yoo, serial killer case. Two of Yoo's crimes were studied for modus operandi. The cases selected were the premeditated break-in homicide of upper-class elderly people and the impulsive homicide of the Hwanghak-Dong street vendor. Crime motives, targets, times, places, means and methods were analyzed. Profiling techniques in Young-cheol Yoo cases were evaluated and the problems discovered during investigation were discussed. The followings are the findings of the analysis of the serial killer Yoo cases. Yoo exhibited a hatred toward the rich, the elderly, and women as well as a fear of diseases and death. Yoo's crime targets were the elderly residing in wealthy houses, street vendors and prostitutes. The numbers of victims were: 3 men and 5 women victims in 4 homicide cases involving the elderly residents in wealthy houses; one man in 1 street vendor homicide case 11 women in 11 prostitute homicide cases, so total 20 persons were murdered in 16 cases. The time of the crimes were between 10 am and noon in the homicide cases of the elderly and very late at night or early in the morning in the prostitute homicide cases. Means and methods facilitated include the use of a knife as a threat and a hammer made by Yoo to strike the head and face of victims. In the homicide cases involving the elderly, he attempted to disguise the crime scene as a burglary or committed arson to destroy the evidence; in the prostitute homicide cases, bodies were mutilated and buried in secret. 1) Generally each serial killer case has different characteristics, motives, and purposes; while some serial killer cases involve similar methods, others use different methods. Unlike other crimes, serial killers' characteristics and tastes are very different, so it is difficult to explain serial killings based on a specific model. It is important to accurately capture modus operandi of each serial killing and for detectives to familiarize themselves with them. The process of tracing and use of imagination which follows a serial killer's psychology and thought must be used to find out what kind of thoughts pushed the killer to commit the crime. In order to investigate and research difficult subjects such as serial killing, various methods, skills, and relevant knowledge should be studied, and institutional endeavors should go hand in hand with individual efforts.

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The study on the causal agent of Streptococcicosis (Lactococcus garvieae), isolated from cultured marine fishes (해산 양식어류로부터 분리된 연쇄구균증의 원인균, Lactococcus garvieae에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Deok-Chan;Lee, Jae-Il;Park, Chan-Il;Park, Soo-Il
    • Journal of fish pathology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the microbiological characteristics and the distributions of the bacteria causing streptococcicosis occurred in marine fish farm, Korea. Many kinds of cultures fishes suffered from the disease accompanied with typical symptoms, including darkening of the skin, exophthalmia, petechiae inside of the opercula and distended abdomen. The isolates from the diseased fishes were compared with Lactococcus garvieae by biochmical, biophysical and serological methods and polymerase chain reaction(PCR) assay. We isolated 35 strains of the geuns Streptococcus from the diseased olive flounder, Paralichthys olivaceus, yellow tail, Seriola quinqueradiata and Korean rockfish, Sebastes schlegeli. 15 strains out of the isolates were identified to L. garvieae and the others were not because of their different biochemical and biophysical charateristics. Seven strains of the isolates were agglutinated by rabbit serum raised against L. garvieae $KG^+$ phenotypic cells(ATCC49156)as a reference strain. Twenty-one strains of the isolates identified to L. garvieae since they were formed the expected band through performing PCR assay using specific primers, pLG-1(5'-CATAACAATGAGATCGC-3') and pLG-2(5'-GCACCCCGCGGTTG-3'). In the present study, it showed that L. garvieae was a dominant strain causing streptococcicosis in the tested area due to occurrence of 21 strains as L. garvieae out of all the isolates, 9 atrains as Streptococcus sp. and 5 strains as Enterococcus sp.

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Base Location Prediction Algorithm of Serial Crimes based on the Spatio-Temporal Analysis (시공간 분석 기반 연쇄 범죄 거점 위치 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hong, Dong-Suk;Kim, Joung-Joon;Kang, Hong-Koo;Lee, Ki-Young;Seo, Jong-Soo;Han, Ki-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.63-79
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    • 2008
  • With the recent development of advanced GIS and complex spatial analysis technologies, the more sophisticated technologies are being required to support the advanced knowledge for solving geographical or spatial problems in various decision support systems. In addition, necessity for research on scientific crime investigation and forensic science is increasing particularly at law enforcement agencies and investigation institutions for efficient investigation and the prevention of crimes. There are active researches on geographic profiling to predict the base location such as criminals' residence by analyzing the spatial patterns of serial crimes. However, as previous researches on geographic profiling use simply statistical methods for spatial pattern analysis and do not apply a variety of spatial and temporal analysis technologies on serial crimes, they have the low prediction accuracy. Therefore, this paper identifies the typology the spatio-temporal patterns of serial crimes according to spatial distribution of crime sites and temporal distribution on occurrence of crimes and proposes STA-BLP(Spatio-Temporal Analysis based Base Location Prediction) algorithm which predicts the base location of serial crimes more accurately based on the patterns. STA-BLP improves the prediction accuracy by considering of the anisotropic pattern of serial crimes committed by criminals who prefer specific directions on a crime trip and the learning effect of criminals through repeated movement along the same route. In addition, it can predict base location more accurately in the serial crimes from multiple bases with the local prediction for some crime sites included in a cluster and the global prediction for all crime sites. Through a variety of experiments, we proved the superiority of the STA-BLP by comparing it with previous algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy.

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Monitoring of Pulmonary Tuberculosis by Polymerase Chain Reaction After Antituberculous Treatment (항결핵제 투여후 중합효소연쇄반응으로 추적한 폐결핵 환자들의 치료반응 관찰)

  • Jeon, Chang-Ho;Suh, Hun-Suk;Lee, Sang-Chae;Hyun, Dae-Sung;Ahn, Wook-Su
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.935-941
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    • 1998
  • Background: As living and dead Mycobacteria could be amplified by polymerase chain reaction(PCR), it was considered that PCR was inappropriate for the monitoring of pulmonary tuberculosis after treatment. But we found negative conversion of PCR after successful treatment. We would like to know about the negative conversion rate of PCR and its conversion time after antituberculous treatment. Methods: We collected 113 sputums from the 16 patients of pulmonary tuberculsosis visiting Catholic University Hospital of Taegu Hyosung. We consecutively tested AFB smear, AFB culture and PCR by 2 to 4 weeks after antituberculous therapy. The patients were classified according to the chest X ray findings. Results: We detected negative conversion of PCR from all 16 patients of the pulmonary tuberculosis within 30 weeks after treatment. The average negative conversion time was $16{\pm}8$ weeks. The conversion time according to the chest X -ray findings were as follows : For the 8 cases of minimum were $9{\pm}5$ weeks, 4 cases of modreate advanced were $20{\pm}8$ weeks, and 4 cases of far advanced were $23{\pm}2$ weeks. The product of PCR was gradually decreased according to the duration of treatment. Conclusions: From the results of our study, we could utilize M. tubercuosis PCR for the prediction of therapy response and monitoring of the patient with pulmonary tuberculosis after treatment.

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Evaluation for Progressive Collapse Resistance of a RC Flat Plate System Using the Static and Dynamic Analysis (정적 및 동적 해석을 통한 철근콘크리트 무량판 구조의 연쇄 붕괴 저항 성능 평가)

  • Lee, Seon-Woong;Shin, Sung-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.245-252
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    • 2011
  • Currently, the design guidelines for the prevention of progressive collapse are not available in Korea due to the lack of study efforts in progressive collapse resistance evaluation of RC flat plate system. Therefore, in this study, three types of analysis were conducted to evaluate the progressive collapse resistance of a RC flat plate system. A linear static analysis was carried out by comparing the demand-capacity ratio (DCR) differences of the systems using the alternate load path method, which is the guideline of GSA. A dynamic behavior was investigated by checking the vertical deflection after removal of the column using the linear dynamic analysis. Lastly, a maximum load factor was investigated using the nonlinear static analysis. The finite element (FE) analyses were conducted using various parameters to analyze the results obtained using effective beam width (EB) model and plate element FEM (PF) model. This study results showed that the strength contributions of the slab in the EB models are underestimated compared to those obtained from the PF models. Therefore, a detailed FE analysis considering the slab element is required to thoroughly estimate the progressive collapse resisting capacity of flat plate system. The scenario of the corner column (CC) removal is the most dangerous conditions where as the scenario of the inner column (IC) removal is the least dangerous conditions based on the consideration of various parameters. The analysis results will allow more realistic evaluations of progressive collapse resistance of RC flat plate system.