• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.41-72
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• 2013

In this study, a comparison has been made among the countries regarding recent ICT practices being performed based on the measures of relative efficiency and productivity growth that use multiple inputs and outputs. Efficiency measures a country's ICT performance relative to a benchmark at a given point of time and productivity measures a country's performance over a period of time. An output-oriented Data Envelopment Analysis and Malmquist Index has been used for comparison among 28 countries over the period 2008-2011 by incorporating 9 variables. The empirical findings disclose gross inefficiencies in national ICT practices, which show that there is room for enhancing output gains through increased efficiency in their operations. In addition, 13 countries have performed better than others in total factor productivity mainly because of their improvement in the underlying technological progress in ICT. For those technically inefficient countries, however, technical inefficiency may hamper the growth of total factor productivity of ICT practices.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.75-80
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• 2012

The aim of this paper is to draw out the connection strategies between port and city functions. The case study was made on the port city of Incheon using Multidimensional Statistics(MDS) which groups 18 port cities targeted into two or more categories. The used factors inserted into the methodology were container cargo volumes, population, area of the city, number of liner calling, Relative Concentration Index(RCI). As results, Yokohama was identified as the best port city which can possibly give the meaningful guideline to Incheon port. The port-city is superior to that of Incheon in the area of port hinterland and varieties of business models. The port-city also has consistent policies on improvement of port and city functions.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.38 no.3
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• pp.105-131
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• 2022

Even after the improvement in 2019, UNCTAD's Liner Shipping Connectivity Index (LSCI), which evaluates the performance of the global container port market, has limited use. In particular, since the liner shipping connectivity index evaluates the performance based only on the distance of the relationship, the performance index combining the port attractiveness of calling would be more efficient. This study used the modified Huff model, the hub-authority algorithm and the eigenvector centrality of social network analysis, and correlation analysis for 2007, 2017, and 2019 data of Ocean-Commerce, Japan. The findings are as follows: Firstly, the port attractiveness of calling and the overall performance of the port did not always match. However, according to the analysis of the attractiveness of a port calling, Busan remained within the top 10. Still, the attractiveness among other Korean ports improved slowly from the low level during the study period. Secondly, Global container ports are generally specialized for long-term specialized inbound and outbound ports by the route and grow while maintaining professionalism throughout the entire period. The Korean ports continue to change roles from analysis period to period. Lastly, the volume of cargo by period and the extended port connectivity index (EPCI) presented in this study showed a correlation from 0.77 to 0.85. Even though the Atlantic data is excluded from the analysis and the ship's operable capacity is used instead of the port throughput volume, it shows a high correlation. The study result would help evaluate and analyze global ports. According to the study, Korean ports need a long-term strategy to improve performance while maintaining professionalism. In order to maintain and develop the port's desirable role, it is necessary to utilize cooperation and partnerships with the complimentary port and attract shipping companies' services calling to the complementary port. Although this study carried out a complex analysis using a lot of data and methodologies for an extended period, it is necessary to conduct a study covering ports around the world, a long-term panel analysis, and a scientific parameter estimation study of the attractiveness analysis.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.35 no.6
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• pp.1209-1218
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• 2015

As the drought disasters are increased in the world, the need of study using satellite image data is on the rise. This study is conducted to analyze the drought in the region using satellite image, and to analyze the correlation with the standard precipitation index (SPI) and the actual drought cases. We selected Dongducheon and Taebaek region for domestic major drought (2001, 2008-2009). The correlation with the SPI and the observed water level data was analyzed using the $0.05^{\circ}$ spatial resolution and 8days MODIS DSI (Drought Severity Index). In Dongducheon, 6-months DSI has a correlation of 0.71 with the SPI (30). In Taebaek, the correlation between 6-months DSI and SPI (90) was a 0.40 and showed an average hit ratio of 65.7% in comparing with the observed water level of study area. In summary, this study showed a limited correlation between DSI based on satellite images and meteorological drought index SPI and confirmed the possibility of using DSI for the domestic study.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.22-22
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• 2015

가뭄은 적시에 경보해야 하는 홍수와 달리 진행속도가 느리고 시간적으로 대처할 여유가 있어 진행중일지라도 미리 감지만 한다면 그 피해를 최소화할 수 있다. 이로 인해 미국 등 수문기상 선진국에서는 수문기상 장기예보자료로부터 가뭄전망정보 생산기술을 개발하였으며, 특히 가뭄전망의 정확도 향상을 위해 여러 통계적 보정기법을 적용하고 있다. 국내의 경우 기상청에서 가뭄전망을 목적으로 2011년에 수치예보모델을 이용하여 가뭄전망정보를 생산한바 있으나, 전망정보의 불확실성 문제로 가뭄예보에 활용하는데 한계가 있어 이를 개선할 수 있는 기술개발이 요구되는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 기후예측자료를 이용하여 가뭄전망정보 생산기술을 개발하고 정확도 개선을 위해 베이지안 기법을 연계하였다. GloSea5 (Global Seasonal forecast model 5) 장기예보자료를 이용하였으며, 베이지안 기법을 통해 과거 관측자료에 대한 사전분포, 모델의 전망정보로부터 우도함수를 유도하여 최종 사후분포를 추정하였다. 베이지안 기법 적용 전 후에 따른 가뭄지수를 산정하였다. 관측자료 기반의 가뭄지수와의 비교분석을 통해 선행기간 및 계절별 가뭄예측 성능을 평가하였으며, 실제 가뭄기간 동안에 가뭄의 재현성을 지역별로 분석하였다. 장기예보자료만을 활용한 기존 가뭄전망에서는 관측 자료가 포함된 1개월 전망에서도 불확실성이 매우 높았지만 베이지안 기법 적용으로 가뭄전망의 정확도가 크게 개선되었다. 특히, 1, 2개월 전망의 시계열 가뭄지수가 관측기반의 가뭄지수의 거동과 매우 유사하게 나타났으며, 지역별로도 베이지안 기법 적용시 실제 가뭄피해 상황을 적절히 재현하는 것으로 나타났다. 국내 가뭄예보에 있어 기후예측정보를 단순활용하기 보다는 베이지안과 같은 통계적 보정기법을 이용하여 가뭄전망정보를 생산하는 것이 바람직하며, 본 연구에서는 가뭄예보업무에 활용될 수 있도록 베이지안 기법에 대한 검증 및 평가를 지속적으로 수행할 계획이다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.397-397
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• 2020

가뭄을 전망하는 방법으로는 통계적 방법과 물리적 방법으로 구분할 수 있다. 통계적 방법은 과거의 기상 및 수문현상이 미래에도 재현될 수 있다는 전제하에 미래 가뭄상황을 전망하는 방법이다. 그러나 이 방법은 예측된 결과들이 모두 과거의 경향에 국한됨에 따라 최근에 급변하는 수문기상의 특성을 고려하는데 한계가 있다(Trenberth, 1994). 물리적 방법은 주어진 초기 수문기상조건으로부터 역학적 알고리즘이 탑재된 기상 및 수문모형의 연계모의를 통하여 미래 가뭄을 전망하는 방법으로 모형에 따른 불확실성이 발생할 수 있으나 최근 수문순환의 변화를 예측가능하다는 장점이 있어 활용도가 높다. 본 연구에서는 기상예보자료와 지표수문모형을 연계한 물리적 기반의 수문학적 가뭄전망정보를 산정하고, 활용성을 평가하였다. 기상예보자료는 기상청 현업예보 모델인 GloSea5로부터 생산된 자료를 이용하였으며, 수문학적 가뭄전망을 위해 MSWSI (Modified Surface Water Supply Index)를 활용하였다. 수문학적 가뭄전망정보는 현재의 수문조건이 지속된다는 가정하에 예보선행시간 3개월까지 산정하였다. 2015~16년 기간에 중권역별 가뭄전망정보를 산정하였으며, 전망정보의 예측성은 통계분석을 이용하여 정량적으로 평가하였다. 금회 제시한 연구방법은 현재의 수문조건이 지속될 시 기상예보에 따른 중권역별 수문학적 가뭄을 예측할 수 있다는 점에서 활용성이 높을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.37 no.10
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• pp.799-812
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• 2004

Conjunctive use of surface and ground water has drawn much attention as a promising means to solve water shortage problems. Characterized by its maximum utilization of regional resources and environmental friendliness, conjunctive use is expected to contribute to the integrated water resources management in the coming era. This paper examines the applicability of the methodology for conjunctive use developed in the companion paper (this issue). The method consists of the entire process of conjunctive use, including site assessment using analytic hierarchy process, management scenario development based on drought analysis, and evaluation of benefits obtained. Sokcho City was chosen as the study area, and the application of derived operation scenarios for surface and subsurface reservoirs revealed that water of 4.9∼7.4 million cubic meters a year can be attainable additionally. The developed methodology enables one to devise management schemes and to quantify their effectiveness, which makes the method useful for water resources planners as well as practitioners.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.263-284
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• 2017

The purpose of this research is to analyze the performance of national R&D projects and to find out measures to improve the performance indicators, focusing on energy HRD projects. The main analysis target is 86 energy manpower projects supported since 2010. The performance indicators of the energy HRD projects are related to the research capacity, the number of emission workers, industry-university linkage, job creation and so on, and analyzed by using the 11 indicators of human resource performance index called KPI index. As a result of analyzing the attainment level of the proposed target by task, the index with the highest achievement level is the corporation linkage rate, and the index with the lowest achievement level is the participating company employment. As a result of examining the effects of job creation in company - linked activities, it was found that the greater the number of participating companies in the business, the greater the employment creation effect of the number of internships. As a result of the above analysis, the following policy alternatives are proposed. First, it is necessary to consider adding indicators that can express the quality performance of the business and performance indicators that can express actual business linkages. Second, it is necessary to strengthen the management of differentiated performance indicators according to policy performance targets and major target groups. Third, it is necessary to improve information input and accumulation system along with improvement of performance index.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.313-313
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• 2022

일반적으로 가뭄은 특정지역에서 평균 이하의 강수량이 발생되는 현상으로, 강수량이 감소되면 토양수분, 하천수 수위, 저수지 수위, 지하수위 등이 순차적으로 감소한다. 수문학적 가뭄은 기상학적 가뭄 및 농업 가뭄에 비해 늦게 발현되는데, 이는 강수량의 부족이 토양수분, 하천수량, 지하수 및 저수지 수위 등과 같은 수문학적 시스템에 전이되는 시간이 소요되기 때문이다. 따라서, 가뭄 피해를 경감하기 위해 지하수위 변동성을 이용하여 지하수 함양량을 추정함으로써 효율적인 수자원 관리의 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 지하수위는 농촌 지하수 개발, 가뭄 및 홍수 예측 등 다양한 분야에 활용되며, 강수량에 의한 변화가 지표수에 비해 느리게 나타나고 토양을 통과하는 특성으로 인해 단기 및 장기간의 변화 경향이 나타난다. 미국 지질조사국 (United States Geological Survey)에서는 지하수위를 월 단위로 보통 이하 (Below-normal), 보통 (Normal), 보통 이상 (Above-normal) 3단계로 구분하여 분포도를 작성하고 전체 관측기간 중 25% 이상에서 보통 이하 (Below-normal)로 나타나면 가뭄으로 판단한다. 우리나라의 경우 지형, 유역을 고려한 지하수 수위 및 수질 현황과 변동성을 파악하기 위하여 전국 지하수위 관측망 688개소를 설치하고 운영 중에 있다. 또한, 농촌진흥청에서는 전국 농업기상대와 연계하여 토양수분관측망 (soil moisture monitoring network)을 구축하였으며, 표토 10 cm에 토양수분센서를 전국 168 지점에 설치하여 운영하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 강수량을 기반으로 산정한 표준강수지수 (Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)와 지하수위를 기반으로 산정한 표준지하수위지수 (Standardized Groundwater Level Index, SGI), 토양수분관측망의 토양수분의 상관 분석을 수행하고자 한다. 밭작물 가뭄의 중요 요소인 토양수분 함량은 강수에 즉각적으로 반응하는 반면 지표수 및 지하수는 상대적으로 장기간의 강수에 영향을 받기 때문에, 본 연구의 결과는 향후 밭작물 지역의 가뭄 취약성을 관리하는 지표로 활용이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.43 no.1
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• pp.30-40
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• 2022

Wildfires, which occur sporadically and irregularly worldwide, are distinct natural disturbances in combustible vegetation areas, important parts of the global carbon cycle, and natural disasters that cause severe public emergencies. While many previous studies have investigated the variability and changes in wildfires globally based on fire emissions, burned areas, and fire weather indices, studies on East Asia are still limited. Here, we explore the characteristics of variability and changes in wildfire danger over East Asia by analyzing the fire weather index for the 40 years-1981-2020. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode of fire weather index variability represents an increasing trend in wildfire danger over most parts of East Asia over the last 40 years, accounting for 29% of the total variance. The major contributor is an increase in the surface temperature in East Asia associated with global warming and multidecadal ocean variations. The effect of temperature was slightly offset by the increase in soil moisture. The second EOF mode exhibits considerable interannual variability associated with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, accounting for 17% of the total variance. The increase (decrease) in precipitation in East Asia during El Nino (La Nina) increases (decreases) soil moisture, which in turn reduces (increases) wildfire danger. This dominant soil moisture effect was slightly offset by the temperature increase (decrease) during El Nino (La Nina). Improving the understanding of variability and changes in wildfire danger will have important implications for reducing social, economic, and ecological losses associated with wildfire occurrences.