• Title/Summary/Keyword: 업데이트

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A Study on the War Simulation and Prediction Using Bayesian Inference (베이지안 추론을 이용한 전쟁 시뮬레이션과 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Lyong;Yoo, Byung Joo;Youn, Sangyoun;Bang, Sang-Ho;Jung, Jae-Woong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2021
  • A method of constructing a war simulation based on Bayesian Inference was proposed as a method of constructing heterogeneous historical war data obtained with a time difference into a single model. A method of applying a linear regression model can be considered as a method of predicting future battles by analyzing historical war results. However it is not appropriate for two heterogeneous types of historical data that reflect changes in the battlefield environment due to different times to be suitable as a single linear regression model and violation of the model's assumptions. To resolve these problems a Bayesian inference method was proposed to obtain a post-distribution by assuming the data from the previous era as a non-informative prior distribution and to infer the final posterior distribution by using it as a prior distribution to analyze the data obtained from the next era. Another advantage of the Bayesian inference method is that the results sampled by the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method can be used to infer posterior distribution or posterior predictive distribution reflecting uncertainty. In this way, it has the advantage of not only being able to utilize a variety of information rather than analyzing it with a classical linear regression model, but also continuing to update the model by reflecting additional data obtained in the future.

IBN-based: AI-driven Multi-Domain e2e Network Orchestration Approach (IBN 기반: AI 기반 멀티 도메인 네트워크 슬라이싱 접근법)

  • Khan, Talha Ahmed;Muhammad, Afaq;Abbas, Khizar;Song, Wang-Cheol
    • KNOM Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2020
  • Networks are growing faster than ever before causing a multi-domain complexity. The diversity, variety and dynamic nature of network traffic and services require enhanced orchestration and management approaches. While many standard orchestrators and network operators are resulting in an increase of complexity for handling E2E slice orchestration. Besides, there are multiple domains involved in E2E slice orchestration including access, edge, transport and core network each having their specific challenges. Hence, handling of multi-domain, multi-platform and multi-operator based networking environments manually requires specified experts and using this approach it is impossible to handle the dynamic changes in the network at runtime. Also, the manual approaches towards handling such complexity is always error-prone and tedious. Hence, this work proposes an automated and abstracted solution for handling E2E slice orchestration using an intent-based approach. It abstracts the domains from the operators and enable them to provide their orchestration intention in the form of high-level intents. Besides, it actively monitors the orchestrated resources and based on current monitoring stats using the machine learning it predicts future utilization of resources for updating the system states. Resulting in a closed-loop automated E2E network orchestration and management system.

Analysis and Prediction Methods of Marine Accident Patterns related to Vessel Traffic using Long Short-Term Memory Networks (장단기 기억 신경망을 활용한 선박교통 해양사고 패턴 분석 및 예측)

  • Jang, Da-Un;Kim, Joo-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.780-790
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    • 2022
  • Quantitative risk levels must be presented by analyzing the causes and consequences of accidents and predicting the occurrence patterns of the accidents. For the analysis of marine accidents related to vessel traffic, research on the traffic such as collision risk analysis and navigational path finding has been mainly conducted. The analysis of the occurrence pattern of marine accidents has been presented according to the traditional statistical analysis. This study intends to present a marine accident prediction model using the statistics on marine accidents related to vessel traffic. Statistical data from 1998 to 2021, which can be accumulated by month and hourly data among the Korean domestic marine accidents, were converted into structured time series data. The predictive model was built using a long short-term memory network, which is a representative artificial intelligence model. As a result of verifying the performance of the proposed model through the validation data, the RMSEs were noted to be 52.5471 and 126.5893 in the initial neural network model, and as a result of the updated model with observed datasets, the RMSEs were improved to 31.3680 and 36.3967, respectively. Based on the proposed model, the occurrence pattern of marine accidents could be predicted by learning the features of various marine accidents. In further research, a quantitative presentation of the risk of marine accidents and the development of region-based hazard maps are required.

An Approach Using LSTM Model to Forecasting Customer Congestion Based on Indoor Human Tracking (실내 사람 위치 추적 기반 LSTM 모델을 이용한 고객 혼잡 예측 연구)

  • Hee-ju Chae;Kyeong-heon Kwak;Da-yeon Lee;Eunkyung Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2023
  • In this detailed and comprehensive study, our primary focus has been placed on accurately gauging the number of visitors and their real-time locations in commercial spaces. Particularly, in a real cafe, using security cameras, we have developed a system that can offer live updates on available seating and predict future congestion levels. By employing YOLO, a real-time object detection and tracking algorithm, the number of visitors and their respective locations in real-time are also monitored. This information is then used to update a cafe's indoor map, thereby enabling users to easily identify available seating. Moreover, we developed a model that predicts the congestion of a cafe in real time. The sophisticated model, designed to learn visitor count and movement patterns over diverse time intervals, is based on Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) to address the vanishing gradient problem and Sequence-to-Sequence (Seq2Seq) for processing data with temporal relationships. This innovative system has the potential to significantly improve cafe management efficiency and customer satisfaction by delivering reliable predictions of cafe congestion to all users. Our groundbreaking research not only demonstrates the effectiveness and utility of indoor location tracking technology implemented through security cameras but also proposes potential applications in other commercial spaces.

Literature Review of Commercial Discrete-Event Simulation Packages (상용 이산사건 시뮬레이터 패키지들에 대한 선행연구 분석)

  • Jihyeon Park;Gysun Hwang
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • Smart factory environments and digital twin environments are established, and today's factories accumulate vast amounts of production data and are managed in real time as visualized results suitable for user convenience. Production simulation techniques are in the spotlight as a way to prevent delays in delivery and predict factory volatility in situations where production schedule planning becomes difficult due to the diversification of production products. With the development of the digital twin environment, new packages are developed and functions of existing packages are updated, making it difficult for users to make decisions on which packages to use to develop simulations. Therefore, in this study, the concept of Discrete Event Simulation (DES) performed based on discrete events is defined, and the characteristics of various simulation packages were compared and analyzed. To this end, studies that solved real problems using discrete event simulation software for 10 years were analyzed, and three types of software used by the majority were identified. In addition, each package was classified by simulation technique, type of industry, subject of simulation, country of use, etc., and analysis results on the characteristics and usage of DES software were provided. The results of this study provide a basis for selection to companies and users who have difficulty in selecting discrete event simulation package in the future, and it is judged that they will be used as basic data.

A Study on the Analysis of Marine Accidents on Fishing Ships Using Accident Cause Data (사고 데이터의 주요 원인을 이용한 어선 해양사고 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Sang-A Park;Deuk-Jin Park
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2023
  • Many studies have analyzed marine accidents, and since marine accident information is updated every year, it is necessary to periodically analyze and identify the causes. The purpose of this study was to prevent accidents by identifying and analyzing the causes of marine accidents using previous and new data. In marine accident data, 1,921 decisions by the Korea Maritime Safety Tribunal on marine accidents on fishing ships over 16 years were collected in consideration of the specificity of fishing ships, and 1,917 cases of accident notification text history by the Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries over 3 years were collected. The decision data and text data were classified according to variables and quantified. Prior probability was calculated using a Bayesian network using the quantified data, and fishing ship marine accidents were predicted using backward propagation. Among the two collected datasets, the decision data did not provide the types of fishing ships and fishing areas, and because not all fishing ship accidents were included in the decision data, the text data were selected. The probability of a fishing ship marine accident in which engine damage would occur in the West Sea was 0.0000031%, as calculated by backward propagation. The expected effect of this study is that it is possible to analyze marine accidents suitable for the characteristics of actual fishing ships using new accident notification text data to analyze fishing ship marine accidents. In the future, we plan to conduct research on the causal relationship between variables that affect fishing ship marine accidents.

Analysis of Transfer Learning Effect for Automatic Dog Breed Classification (반려견 자동 품종 분류를 위한 전이학습 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Dongsu;Park, Gooman
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 2022
  • Compared to the continuously increasing dog population and industry size in Korea, systematic analysis of related data and research on breed classification methods are very insufficient. In this paper, an automatic breed classification method is proposed using deep learning technology for 14 major dog breeds domestically raised. To do this, dog images are collected for deep learning training and a dataset is built, and a breed classification algorithm is created by performing transfer learning based on VGG-16 and Resnet-34 as backbone networks. In order to check the transfer learning effect of the two models on dog images, we compared the use of pre-trained weights and the experiment of updating the weights. When fine tuning was performed based on VGG-16 backbone network, in the final model, the accuracy of Top 1 was about 89% and that of Top 3 was about 94%, respectively. The domestic dog breed classification method and data construction proposed in this paper have the potential to be used for various application purposes, such as classification of abandoned and lost dog breeds in animal protection centers or utilization in pet-feed industry.

UX Design of Mobile Banking Usage Improvement for Seniors (시니어들을 위한 모바일 뱅킹 이용률 개선을 위한 UX 디자인)

  • Jongbin Lee;Homin Boun
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.325-332
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    • 2023
  • Currently, the world's population has already entered a super-aging era, and the rate is expected to increase rapidly to about 40% by 2050. However, the rapid development of automation technology and the online service sector, the main technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, are still further isolating them in a world where many inconveniences and development technologies are applied. As such, alienation in daily life is widely expanded in various fields, but the financial service sector is one of the must-use areas regardless of age because of its strong nature in the public service sector, and is a very important factor in the period when branches are rapidly decreasing. However, the current utilization rate of mobile banking services is not around 5%, so users over 60 are rarely able to use them. The UX design of the most frequently used remittance service screen in mobile banking services was proposed, and the difficulty of trying to find the preferred bank among 56 or more banks was solved by analyzing the usage rate of each bank and dividing it into three stages by age group from 50 or older. In addition, it was designed to strengthen customized services by showing their recently used banks as the top priority. The design proposed in this study obtained an average of 4.8 points or more out of 5 points as a result of usability satisfaction through interviews with less than 50 senior groups. This study is believed to help each bank upgrade its different mobile banking designs in a unified manner.

Creation of Crack BIM in Bridge Deck and Development of BIM-FEM Interoperability Algorithm (교량 바닥판의 균열 BIM 생성 및 BIM-FEM 상호 연계 알고리즘 개발)

  • Yang, Dahyeon;Lee, Min-Jin;An, Hyojoon;Jung, Hyun-Jin;Lee, Jong-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.689-693
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    • 2023
  • Domestic bridges with a service life of more than 30 years are expected to account for approximately 54% of all bridges within the next 10 years. As bridges rapidly deteriorate, it is necessary to establish an appropriate maintenance plan. Recent domestic and international research have focused on the integration of BIM to digitize bridge maintenance information and then enhance accessibility and usability of the information. Accordingly, this study developed a BIM-FEM interoperability algorithm for bridge decks to convert maintenance information into data and efficiently manage the history of maintenance. After creating an initial crack BIM based on an exterior damage map, bridge specification and damage information were linked to a numerical analysis that performs damage analysis considering damage scenarios and design loads. The spread of cracks obtained from the analysis results were updated into the BIM. Based on the damage spread information on the BIM, an automated technology was also developed to assess both the current and future condition ratings of the bridge deck. This approach can enable an efficient maintenance of the deck using the history data from bridge inspection and diagnosis as well as future information on cracks and defects. The expected early detection and prevention would ultimately improve the lifespan and safety of bridges.

Scale Development of Family Strength for Dual-Earner Families with Children (자녀가 있는 맞벌이가정의 건강성 척도 개발 연구)

  • Song, Hyerim;Koh, Sun-Kang;Kang, Eunju
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to develop a family strength scale for dual-earner families with young children. Based on existing theories of family strength and a review of related literature, we draw on 80 items to measure the strength of dual-earner families. Using a sample of 747 people, all members of dual-earner families with young children, we examined the items' factor structures. Using the statistical method, we checked the validity and reliability of these items. The final scale consisted of four domains with a total of 49 items : basic foundation (basic structure, economic life, and resource management), parenting, social interest and participation (citizenship, volunteer, leisure, network), work-life balance (balance between work and family, sharing the family role, equal division of role). The developed scale can be used in the field, such as in the Healthy Family Support Center or Family Center, in the context of education, counseling, or consulting for dual-earner families. In order to enhance the usefulness and efficiency of the scale, the adequate education system for the professionals who handle this scale in the field and updated data are required.