• Title/Summary/Keyword: 앙상블 기계학습

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Classifying the severity of pedestrian accidents using ensemble machine learning algorithms: A case study of Daejeon City (앙상블 학습기법을 활용한 보행자 교통사고 심각도 분류: 대전시 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kang, Heungsik;Noh, Myounggyu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2022
  • As the link between traffic accidents and social and economic losses has been confirmed, there is a growing interest in developing safety policies based on crash data and a need for countermeasures to reduce severe crash outcomes such as severe injuries and fatalities. In this study, we select Daejeon city where the relative proportion of fatal crashes is high, as a case study region and focus on the severity of pedestrian crashes. After a series of data manipulation process, we run machine learning algorithms for the optimal model selection and variable identification. Of nine algorithms applied, AdaBoost and Random Forest (ensemble based ones) outperform others in terms of performance metrics. Based on the results, we identify major influential factors (i.e., the age of pedestrian as 70s or 20s, pedestrian crossing) on pedestrian crashes in Daejeon, and suggest them as measures for reducing severe outcomes.

Vacant Technology Forecasting using Ensemble Model (앙상블모형을 이용한 공백기술예측)

  • Jun, Sung-Hae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.341-346
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    • 2011
  • A vacant technology forecasting is an important issue in management of technology. The forecast of vacant technology leads to the growth of nation and company. So, we need the results of technology developments until now to predict the vacant technology. Patent is an objective thing of the results in research and development of technology. We study a predictive method for forecasting the vacant technology quantitatively using patent data in this paper. We propose an ensemble model that is to vote some clustering criteria because we can't guarantee a model is optimal. Therefore, an objective and accurate forecasting model of vacant technology is researched in our paper. This model combines statistical analysis methods with machine learning algorithms. To verify our performance evaluation objectively, we make experiments using patent documents of diverse technology fields.

A Study on Adaptive Learning Model for Performance Improvement of Stream Analytics (실시간 데이터 분석의 성능개선을 위한 적응형 학습 모델 연구)

  • Ku, Jin-Hee
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.201-206
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    • 2018
  • Recently, as technologies for realizing artificial intelligence have become more common, machine learning is widely used. Machine learning provides insight into collecting large amounts of data, batch processing, and taking final action, but the effects of the work are not immediately integrated into the learning process. In this paper proposed an adaptive learning model to improve the performance of real-time stream analysis as a big business issue. Adaptive learning generates the ensemble by adapting to the complexity of the data set, and the algorithm uses the data needed to determine the optimal data point to sample. In an experiment for six standard data sets, the adaptive learning model outperformed the simple machine learning model for classification at the learning time and accuracy. In particular, the support vector machine showed excellent performance at the end of all ensembles. Adaptive learning is expected to be applicable to a wide range of problems that need to be adaptively updated in the inference of changes in various parameters over time.

Development of Product Recommender System using Collaborative Filtering and Stacking Model (협업필터링과 스태킹 모형을 이용한 상품추천시스템 개발)

  • Park, Sung-Jong;Kim, Young-Min;Ahn, Jae-Joon
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2019
  • People constantly strive for better choices. For this reason, recommender system has been developed since the early 1990s. In particular, collaborative filtering technique has shown excellent performance in the field of recommender systems, and research of recommender system using machine learning has been actively conducted. This study constructs recommender system using collaborative filtering and machine learning based on stacking model which is one of ensemble methods. The results of this study confirm that the recommender system with the stacking model is useful in aspects of recommender performance. In the future, the model proposed in this study is expected to help individuals or firms to make better choices.

Evaluation of a Thermal Conductivity Prediction Model for Compacted Clay Based on a Machine Learning Method (기계학습법을 통한 압축 벤토나이트의 열전도도 추정 모델 평가)

  • Yoon, Seok;Bang, Hyun-Tae;Kim, Geon-Young;Jeon, Haemin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2021
  • The buffer is a key component of an engineered barrier system that safeguards the disposal of high-level radioactive waste. Buffers are located between disposal canisters and host rock, and they can restrain the release of radionuclides and protect canisters from the inflow of ground water. Since considerable heat is released from a disposal canister to the surrounding buffer, the thermal conductivity of the buffer is a very important parameter in the entire disposal safety. For this reason, a lot of research has been conducted on thermal conductivity prediction models that consider various factors. In this study, the thermal conductivity of a buffer is estimated using the machine learning methods of: linear regression, decision tree, support vector machine (SVM), ensemble, Gaussian process regression (GPR), neural network, deep belief network, and genetic programming. In the results, the machine learning methods such as ensemble, genetic programming, SVM with cubic parameter, and GPR showed better performance compared with the regression model, with the ensemble with XGBoost and Gaussian process regression models showing best performance.

Ensemble Model Based Intelligent Butterfly Image Identification Using Color Intensity Entropy (컬러 영상 색채 강도 엔트로피를 이용한 앙상블 모델 기반의 지능형 나비 영상 인식)

  • Kim, Tae-Hee;Kang, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.972-980
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    • 2022
  • The butterfly species recognition technology based on machine learning using images has the effect of reducing a lot of time and cost of those involved in the related field to understand the diversity, number, and habitat distribution of butterfly species. In order to improve the accuracy and time efficiency of butterfly species classification, various features used as the inputs of machine learning models have been studied. Among them, branch length similarity(BLS) entropy or color intensity entropy methods using the concept of entropy showed higher accuracy and shorter learning time than other features such as Fourier transform or wavelet. This paper proposes a feature extraction algorithm using RGB color intensity entropy for butterfly color images. In addition, we develop butterfly recognition systems that combines the proposed feature extraction method with representative ensemble models and evaluate their performance.

Cognitive Impairment Prediction Model Using AutoML and Lifelog

  • Hyunchul Choi;Chiho Yoon;Sae Bom Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2023
  • This study developed a cognitive impairment predictive model as one of the screening tests for preventing dementia in the elderly by using Automated Machine Learning(AutoML). We used 'Wearable lifelog data for high-risk dementia patients' of National Information Society Agency, then conducted using PyCaret 3.0.0 in the Google Colaboratory environment. This study analysis steps are as follows; first, selecting five models demonstrating excellent classification performance for the model development and lifelog data analysis. Next, using ensemble learning to integrate these models and assess their performance. It was found that Voting Classifier, Gradient Boosting Classifier, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Extra Trees Classifier, and Random Forest Classifier model showed high predictive performance in that order. This study findings, furthermore, emphasized on the the crucial importance of 'Average respiration per minute during sleep' and 'Average heart rate per minute during sleep' as the most critical feature variables for accurate predictions. Finally, these study results suggest that consideration of the possibility of using machine learning and lifelog as a means to more effectively manage and prevent cognitive impairment in the elderly.

A Study on the Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast(HQPF) based on Machine Learning for Rainfall Impact Forecasting (호우 영향예보를 위한 머신러닝 기반의 수문학적 정량강우예측(HQPF) 연구)

  • Choo, Kyung-Su;Shin, Yoon-Hu;Kim, Sung-Min;Jee, Yongkeun;Lee, Young-Mi;Kang, Dong-Ho;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.63-63
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    • 2022
  • 기상 예보자료는 발생 가능한 재난의 예방 및 대비 차원에서 매우 중요한 자료로 활용되고 있다. 우리나라 기상청에서는 동네예보를 통해 5km 공간해상도의 1시간 간격 초단기예보와, 6시간 간격 정량강우예보(Quantitative Precipitation Forecast, QPF)의 단기예보 정보를 제공하고 있다. 그러나 이와 같은 예보자료는 강우량의 시·공간변화가 큰 집중호우와 같은 기상자료를 활용한 수문학적인 해석에는 한계가 있다. 예보자료를 수문학에 활용하기 위한 시·공간적 해상도 개선뿐만 아니라 방대한 기상 및 기후 자료의 예측성능을 개선하기 위한 다양한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기상청이 제공하는 지역 앙상블 예측 시스템(Local ENsemble prediction System, LENS)와 종관기상관측시스템(ASOS) 및 방재기상관측시스템(AWS) 관측 데이터 및 동네예보에 기계학습 방법을 적용하여 수문학적 정량적 강수량 예측(Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast, HQPF) 정보를 생산하였다. 전처리 과정을 통해 모든 데이터의 시간해상도와 공간해상도를 동일한 해상도로 변환하였으며, 예측 변수의 인자 분석을 통해 기계학습의 예측 변수를 도출하였다. 기계학습 방법으로는 처리속도와 확장성을 고려하여 XGBoost(eXtreme Gradient Boosting) 방식을 적용하였으며, 집중호우에서의 예측정확도를 높이기 위해 확률매칭(PM) 방식을 적용하였다. 생산된 HQPF의 성능을 평가하기 위해 2020년에 발생한 14건의 호우 사상을 대상으로 태풍형과 비태풍형으로 구분하여 검증을 수행하였다.

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EUS SVMs: Ensemble of Under-Sampled SVMs for Data Imbalance Problems (데이터 불균형 해결을 위한 Under-Sampling 기반 앙상블 SVMs)

  • Gang Pil-Seong;Jo Seong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.291-298
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    • 2006
  • 패턴인식 문제에서 한 범주에 속한 데이터의 수가 다른 범주에 속한 데이터의 수보다 극히 많거나 적으면 데이터 불균형이 발생했다고 한다. Support Vector Machine(SVM)은 다른 기계 학습 알고리즘들과 마찬가지로 학습에 사용되는 데이터의 범주간 비율이 거의 비슷하다는 가정 하에서 학습을 하고 예측 결과를 도출하게 된다. 그러나 실제 문제에서는 데이터의 불균형이 발생하는 경우가 매우 빈번하며, 이러한 경우에는 모델의 성능이 매우 저하되는 문제점이 발생한다. 본 논문에서는 실제로 데이터 불균형이 SVM의 분류 결과에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지를 2차원 인공 데이터를 통하여 알아본다. 그리고 이러한 데이터 불균형을 해소하기 위하여 Under-Sampling 기반 앙상블 SVM을 제안하였다. 제안된 방법을 두 가지 인공 데이터에 적용하여 본 결과, 제안된 방법은 데이터 불균형을 해소하기 위해 사용되는 기존의 방법들에 비하여 소수 범주에 속하는 데이터의 수가 매우 적고 데이터의 불균형이 매우 심한 경우에도 높은 성능과 안정성을 갖는 효과적인 방법이라는 것이 입증되었다.

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