• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.38 no.4
• /
• pp.87-106
• /
• 2022

Uncertainties in the energy market are increasing due to technology developments (shale revolution), trade wars, COVID-19, and the Russia-Ukraine war. Especially, since 2020, the risk of international trade in the energy market has increased significantly due to changes in the supply chain of transportation and due to prolonged demand reduction because of COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukraine war. Considering these points, this study analyzed connectedness between energy price, tanker index, and uncertainty to understand the connectedness between international trade in the energy market. Main results are summarized as follows. First, as a result of analyzing stable period and unstable period of the energy price model using the MS-VAR model, it was confirmed that both the crude oil market model and the natural gas market model had a higher probability of maintaining stable period than unstable period, increasing volatility by specific events. Second, looking at the results of the analysis of the connectedness between stable period and unstable period of the energy market, it was confirmed that in the case of total connectedness, connectedness between variables was increased in the unstable period compared to the stable period. In the case of the energy market stable period, considering the degree of connectedness, it was confirmed that the effect of the tanker freight index, which represents the demand-side factor, was significant. Third, unstable period of the natural gas market model increases rapidly compared to the crude oil market model, indicating that the volatility spillover effect of the natural gas market is greater when uncertainties affecting energy prices increase compared to the crude oil market.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2017.05a
• /
• pp.408-408
• /
• 2017

기후변화에 따른 극한 기후의 시 공간적 변동성과 패턴의 이상변화가 가속화되고 있으며, 이에 따른 물 순환 특성의 변화는 이수, 치수, 환경 그리고 친수 등 다양한 분야에서도 예측할 수 없는 결과를 초래하고 있다. 특히, 치수 및 이수 등 국내 수자원 관리의 대부분을 담당하고 있는 다목적댐 운영에서도 기후변화에 따른 유입량의 불확실성 증가로 안정적인 용수공급에 대한 어려움이 점차 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 유역 내의 수문학적 반응은 기상 및 지표 수문 인자의 물리적 상호메카니즘에 의해 발생하게 된다. 특히, 강우, 기온, 습도, 바람 등 기상학적 인자들은 유역 내의 수문 변동성에 직 간접적으로 영향을 주는 대표적인 인자이며, 이들 기상인자의 변동 특성을 반영하기 위한 기후지수(Climate Index, CI)는 지표수문인자인 유출과의 상관관계 분석에 유용하게 활용될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 유역 다목적댐을 대상으로 AR5 RCP 시나리오 기반의 기상인자에 대한 기후지수(CI)를 산정하고 다목적댐 유입량과의 상관성을 분석하였다. 대상유역의 기상 및 유입량 관측자료(1976-2005)는 기상청과 국가수자원관리종합정보시스템(WAMIS)를 이용하였으며, AR5 RCP 시나리오 기반의 유입량 자료(2005-2099)는 통계적 기법(QDM)으로 상세화된 기상자료를 입력인자로 수문모형(PRMS)을 통해 산정하였다. 또한, 기후지수(CI)와 유출지수(Standardized Streamflow Index, SSI)의 상관성 분석을 위해 Pearson 적률상관 분석방법을 적용하였으며, 통계적 유의성 검증은 Student t 검정방법을 적용하였다. 본 연구의 방법론과 결과는 기후변화에 따른 다목적댐 안정적인 용수공급을 위한 다양한 기술개발 시 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
• /
• v.52 no.4
• /
• pp.71-90
• /
• 2018

The importance of citation measures has been increasing in the evaluation of scholarly journals and it becomes a major issue for Korean Citation Index (KCI) journals. The Journal Impact Factor (JIF), a widely used measure for academic journals, has a problematic issue that it does not include the number of citations for a paper immediately made in the year in which the cited paper was published. On the contrary, the Diachronous Impact Factor (IMP) includes the number of citations made in the published year, but IMP is a measure for papers published a few years ago, not in the last year. It does not represent the recent value of journals effectively. To overcome these problems, Total Impact Factor (TIF) and Mean Impact Factor (MIF) are proposed as new journal citation indicators. This study calculated the performance of proposed indicators experimentally on KCI data. The result shows that TIF is a promising measure for the multidimensional evaluation of humanities and social sciences journals in Korea because it has high stability by year and includes the immediate citations of the published year.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
• /
• v.18 no.4
• /
• pp.405-414
• /
• 2008

When we evaluate slope stability, we regard the slope homogeneous and evaluate slope stability at the most dangerous portion of slope. However, since conditions and properties of rock mass/soil are different from one location to another within a single slope, slope stability evaluated by current concept can not represent slope correctly. This also result in over-reinforcement at the portion where reinforcement is not necessary. In order to solve these problems, we suggest a cell unit evaluation method in which we apply small rectangular cells in a slope and regard each cell as a single slope. In this method, slopes are classified into soil slope and rock slope depending on materials. Strength of rock, volumetric joint count, spacing of joints, condition of joints, ground water condition and so on are examined and SMR and condition index values are calculated. Finally, all data and results are presented as contour maps. We apply the cell unit evaluation method into 3 cut slopes. SMR values estimated by the new method are larger than those by current concept at most portions of slope, indicating that the new method suggested by this research represent slope stability more correctly than methods which were used. This method will prevent over-reinforcement at the portion of slope where reinforcement is not necessary.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2020.06a
• /
• pp.90-90
• /
• 2020

상수관망시스템은 관할 지역 내 생활 및 공업용수를 공급하기 위한 사회기반시설물로써, 비상시에도 사용자의 용수 수요를 충족하기 위한 안정적인 성능이 요구된다. 이러한 상수관망시스템의 용수공급능력은 비상시 용수공급가능량, 공급수압 등 여러 가지 수리해석 결과를 통해 판단할 수 있다. 그러나, 시스템의 설계 및 운영 과정에서 다양한 성능들을 시간·공간적으로 모두 고려하는 것은 매우 복잡한 과정을 거치므로, 복합적인 용수공급 성능을 집약적으로 평가하기 위한 신뢰도 지수들이 개발되었다. 여기서 신뢰도 지수들은 각각의 이론적 접근방법에 따라 시스템의 특정 성능에 다소 편중된 평가 결과를 갖는 것으로 알려져 있으며, 따라서 상수관망시스템의 설계 및 운영 시, 목적과 특성에 맞는 적합한 신뢰도 지수를 선정하고, 적용하기 위한 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 상수관망시스템의 구조적 특성 및 핵심 성능에 따른 신뢰도 지수별 적용성을 평가하기 위해, 다양한 형태의 네트워크에서 몇 가지 공급부하 시나리오를 바탕으로 수리해석 결과와 신뢰도 지수 간의 상관성을 분석하였다. 또한, 다기준 분석기법을 통해 종합적인 시스템 핵심 성능에 대한 신뢰도 지수의 상관성을 분석함으로써, 시스템 전반에 대한 신뢰도 지수별 적용성을 함께 평가하였다. 본 연구 결과는 향후 상수관망시스템의 설계 또는 기존 시스템의 보강 및 운영계획 수립 등을 위한 연구에서 폭넓게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
• /
• v.10 no.7
• /
• pp.47-54
• /
• 2019

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of visual conditions on the static balance of stable and unstable surfaces. Thirty healthy adults participated in this study (13 men, 17 women). Visual conditions were set as vertical, horizontal, and diagonal. It was performed on the pad to measure the balance on the unstable support surface. Using the balance measuring instrument, the General Stability Index, Weight Distribution Index, and Weight Distribution was measured. Paired t-tests were used for ground-based comparisons and one-way ANOVAs were used for comparisons within the same ground. The general stability index showed a significant difference according to the horizontal and vertical line directions on the stable support surface(p<.05). According to the comparison between the grounds, the weight distribution index on the unstable support surface showed a significant difference(p<.05). Weight distribution showed significant differences between the left and right eyes on the support surface with the stable and the unstable horizontal visual condition(p<.05). In static balance training, vertical and diagonal visual direction conditions are predicted to be helpful for training.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
• /
• v.12 no.1
• /
• pp.123-131
• /
• 1995

다주파수 입력을 갖는 강한 비선형 시스템의 유사주기 (quasi-periodic) 해를 해석하기 위하여 개선된 고정 점법(FPA:Fixed Point Alogrithm)을 개발하였다. 안정성 및 천이 특성을 판별하기 위하여 사용되어지는 Floquest 지수인 해석적 자코비언을 구하기 위하여 Poincare 맵상에서 이산 적분법을 새로이 고안, 사용하였다. 본 방법의 우수성을 입증하기 위하여 2개의 주파수 입력을 갖는 선형 시스템과 비선형 시스템을 예로 사용하였다. 본 방법을 이용하여 비선형 시스템에서 발생한 복잡한 chaos 현상을 체계적으로 해석하였다.

• Journal of Labour Economics
• /
• v.41 no.3
• /
• pp.129-159
• /
• 2018

The foremost aim of the paper is to evaluate the flexibility and stability of the Korean labor market through a cross-country comparison with OECD countries. Evaluating by the OECD Employment Protection Legislation Index, the flexibility of permanent job layoff in Korea is close to the average of OECD countries. Employment of temporary workers appears to be relatively flexible allowing for effective indicators such as the proportion of temporary workers among paid employees. As regards security, the levels of job security, income security and combination security are all far below the OECD average. A panel data analysis of OECD countries reveals that labor productivity increases as regulations on permanent job layoff become looser and regulations on temporary employment become more rigorous.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
• /
• 2003.09a
• /
• pp.399-403
• /
• 2003

해안의 연약지반에 건설되는 폐기물 매립지는 매립지의 안정성 평가를 위하여 하부기초지반의 침하거동 특성에 대한 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 현장 침하계측자료를 이용하여 현장 간극비와 현장 압축지수를 역산하여 그 특성을 분석하였다. 그 결과 매립초기에는 상부하중에 의한 유효응력증가가 미소하여 하부기초지반은 과압밀 특성을 나타내고 현장 압축지수 변화가 미소하였으나, 매립이 진행될수록 상부하중이 선행압밀하중을 초과하여 정규압밀영역으로 변화함에 따라 큰 폭의 증가를 보였다.

• Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
• /
• v.18 no.2
• /
• pp.119-128
• /
• 2016

In a performance-based design, the structural safety is estimated from pre-defined damage states and corresponding damage indices. Both damage states and damage indices are well defined for above-ground structures, but very limited studies have been performed on underground structures. In this study, we define the damage states and damage indices of a cut-and-cover box tunnel which is one of typical structures used in metro systems, under a seismic excitation from a series of inelastic frame analyses. Three damage states are defined in terms of the number of plastic hinges that develop within the structure. The damage index is defined as the ratio of the elastic moment to the yield moment. Through use of the proposed index, the inelastic behavior and failure mechanism of box tunnels can be simulated and predicted through elastic analysis. In addition, the damage indices are linked to free-field shear strains. Because the free-field shear strain can be easily calculated from a 1D site response analysis, the proposed method can be readily used in practice. Further studies are needed to determine the range of shear strains and associated uncertainties for various types of tunnels and site profiles. However, the inter-linked platform of damage state - damage index - shear wave velocity - shear strain provides a novel approach for estimating the inelastic response of tunnels, and can be widely used in practice for seismic designs.