• Title/Summary/Keyword: 안전사고 위험지수

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Development of Risk Assessment Models for Railway Casualty Accidents (철도 사상사고 위험도 평가 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chan-Woo;Wang, Jong-Bae;Kim, Min-Su;Choi, Don-Bum;Kwak, Sang-Log
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.190-198
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    • 2009
  • This study shows the developing process of the risk assessment models for railway casualty accidents. To evaluate the risks of these accidents, the hazardous events and the hazardous factors were identified by the review of the accident history and engineering interpretation of the accident behavior. The frequency of each hazardous event was evaluated from the historical accident data and structured expert judgments by using the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) technique. In addition, to assess the severity of each hazardous event, the ETA (Event Tree Analysis) technique and other safety techniques were applied. The risk assessment models developed can be effectively utilized in defining the risk reduction measures in connection with the option analysis.

Strategy for Information Merging and Utilization for Comprehensive Risk Analysis on Regional Societal Disasters (지역 사회재난 위험분석을 위한 정보 융합 및 활용 방안)

  • Shin, Hee-Young;Cha, Areum;Kim, Kyoungjun;Jeong, Jae-Hak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.148-149
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문에서는 지역별로 발생 양상이 다른 사회재난의 종합적 위험분석을 위한 정보활용 방안 및 전략을 제안한다. 사회재난은 재난유형이 매우 다양하며, 각기 다른 발생 및 전파양상을 가지고 있어 전문성을 기반으로 관계하고 있는 개별부처에서 각각 관리되고 있다. 재난이 발생 후 대응, 수습 및 복구에 이르는 활동은 대표적인 현장대응 부처인 행정안전부, 경찰청, 소방청 등에서 주로 담당하고 있으나, 예방 및 대비 활동은 각 부처에서 개별법령에 의한 제도 및 정책에 의해 위험요소를 저감하기 위한 활동으로 진행된다. 예를 들어 화학사고의 경우 화학사고예방관리계획서, 장외영향평가, 화재는 방화지구, 화재경계지구, 산불은 산불취약지수 등 각각의 물리적 매커니즘을 적정히 고려하는 이론적 근거의 의해 사전에 그 위험을 평가하고 있으나 재난관리 예방을 담당하는 부처에 까지 연속성을 가지고 그 결과들이 적극적으로 활용되고 있지 못하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 각 부처에서 개별법령에 의해 평가되는 공신력 있는 자료들의 융합적 해석에 근거한 종합위험 평가 개념을 정립하고 실제 활용 가능성에 대해 논하고자 한다.

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Experimental Investigation of Macroscopic Analysis of Traffic Safety Using Meta Analysis Focused on Busan Metropolitan City (메타분석을 이용한 교통안전성의 거시적 분석에 대한 실험적 고찰 : 부산광역시를 중심으로)

  • Park, Jongseo;Oh, Yun Pyo;Kim, Hoe Kyoung;Ahn, Woosung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.1339-1345
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    • 2015
  • Korean government annually estimates and reports the traffic safety index to evaluate the traffic safety of 228 Gu Gun. However, since the traffic safety index is derived from the spatially macroscopic perspective based on collected relative data, there are a couple of problems such as inability to investigate the individual traffic accidents on the spot, insecurity of accuracy and reliability of traffic safety index estimation method, and absence of establishing temporal relationship of traffic accidents. Thus, this study investigated temporal traffic safety in macroscopic manner for Gu Gun in Busan depending on the installation of the traffic safety facility (i.e., urban median), employing meta analysis. As a result, all Gu Gun in Busan except Saha, Buk, Dong, and Busanjin experienced more traffic accidents after installing the urban median, indicating that there are more rooms for improvement of macroscopic traffic safety evaluation.

A Study on Development of Safety Index for Evaluating Railway Safety (철도안전도 평가지표 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Bo-Young;Moon, Dae-Seop;Lee, Dong-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.443-449
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    • 2009
  • This study propose a model for railway safety evaluation with which the safety of whole railway system can be evaluated. The evaluation model is to generate a safety index which quantitatively represent the degree of railway safety. Safety index is proposed a function of three indexes; an accident index, safety management index, and safety culture index. This paper describes the first result from the study on the safety target which will be a key starting point toward the development of safety evaluation model. It is recommended that the safety target be composed of several sub-targets that are apportioned to constituent components. It is coneluded that the classification of safety target influence on deciding components or attributes that constitute each sub-indexes; an accident index, safety management index, and safety culture index.

The Hazardous Expressway Sections for Drowsy Driving Using Digital Tachograph in Truck (화물차 DTG 데이터를 활용한 고속도로 졸음운전 위험구간 분석)

  • CHO, Jongseok;LEE, Hyunsuk;LEE, Jaeyoung;KIM, Ducknyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 2017
  • In the past 10 years, the accidents caused by drowsy driving have occupied about 23% of all traffic accidents in Korea expressway network and this rate is the highest one among all accident causes. Unlike other types of accidents caused by speeding and distraction to the road, the accidents by drowsy driving should be managed differently because the drowsiness might not be controlled by human's will. To reduce the number of accidents caused by drowsy driving, researchers previously focused on the spot based analysis. However, what we actually need is a segment (link) and occurring time based analysis, rather than spot based analysis. Hence, this research performs initial effort by adapting link concept in terms of drowsy driving on highway. First of all, we analyze the accidents caused by drowsy in historical accident data along with their road environments. Then, links associate with driving time are analyzed using digital tachograph (DTG) data. To carry this out, negative binomial regression models, which are broadly used in the field, including highway safety manual, are used to define the relationship between the number of traffic accidents on expressway and drivers' behavior derived from DTG. From the results, empirical Bayes (EB) and potential for safety improvement (PSI) analysis are performed for potential risk segments of accident caused by drowsy driving on the future. As the result of traffic accidents caused by drowsy driving, the number of the traffic accidents increases with increase in annual average daily traffic (AADT), the proportion of trucks, the amount of DTG data, the average proportion of speeding over 20km/h, the average proportion of deceleration, and the average proportion of sudden lane-changing.

Analysis of Train Delay in Daejeon Metro (대전도시철도의 열차 지연운행 분석연구)

  • Kwon, Young-Seok;Lee, Jin-Sun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2017
  • This study investigated the causes and problems of train operation impediments through the statistics analysis of 8 years'internal data of Daejeon Metropolitan Express Transit. By evaluating the risks regarding the system, equipment, and parts of high risk group, this study measured the Risk Index Severity, and applied the $5{\times}5$ Risk Assessment Matrix which is a method of risk management to calculate the scale of risk to analyze the safety level and allowance range. As a result, the car sector, the most serious risk, followed by machinery and equipment sector showed that the inherent risk. In particular, the door broken and the door rail signaling and control devices due to defects of the vehicle is high, but also the severity, and frequency are showing very frequent additional potential accidents. PSD also had defects in the machinery sector appeared to be the most dangerous of the PSD poor safety gates, it was found that the glass also involve the risk of mishandling and breakage of the PSD. This study intended to contribute to the transportation benefits through the safety and stable operation of Metropolitan Express Transit.

Development and Validation of Situation Awareness Tests for Commercial Drivers (사업용 운전자를 위한 상황인식 검사의 개발과 타당화)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Su;Gang, Ui-Jin;Park, Sang-Hyeok;Jeong, Hye-Seung;Lee, Yong-Chan;Son, Yeong-U
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2011
  • This research aimed to investigate whether commercial drivers' situation awareness ability is related to their frequency and magnitude of caused accidents and penalty points. For the purpose of measuring drivers' situation perception and interpretation capacities, two tests named 'situation awareness test' and 'hazard perception test' were developed. The tests were based on the data from 299 commercial drivers (test drivers) using a driving simulator. The outcome of drivers' performance on situation awareness and hazard perception tests was designed to be categorized into 5 grades, classifying the best as grade 1 and the worst as grade 5. As the result, low grades on situation awareness test had positive relationship with accumulated penalty points, frequency of accidents and safety index. Grades on hazard perception test were also positively correlated with accident frequency and safety indices. This suggests situation awareness ability of commercial drivers is significantly related to traffic violations and accident causing tendencies.

Development of Spatial River Recreation Index (SRRI) Using Fuzzy Synthetic Evaluation Method and Hydrodynamic Model (퍼지합성법과 동수역학 모형을 이용한 공간적 하천친수지수 (SRRI)의 개발)

  • Siyoon Kwon;Il Won Seo;Byunguk Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.501-501
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    • 2023
  • 하천에서의 여가활동에 대한 수요가 증가함에 따라 각종 친수활동에 대한 안전도 평가가 사고예방을 위해 중요해지고 있다. 친수 활동의 안전은 수리 및 수질 인자에 크게 영향을 받지만 기존 친수지수는 수질 인자에만 집중되어 개발되어왔다. 하지만, 세일링, 패들링, 저동력보트 등 입수형 친수활동의 경우, 다양한 수리 현상에 큰 영향을 받기 때문에 유속, 흐름 방향, 수심 및 수면 폭 등의 수리인자를 친수지수에 반영할 필요가 있다. 또한, 친수활동에 위험이 되는 수리적 조건은 유량 조건과 하천의 평면적 공간에 따라 상이하게 발생하기에 이를 공간적으로 평가하는 것 역시 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 수리학적 요소를 기반으로 하천 친수 활동에 대한 안전도를 평가하기 위해 공간적으로 친수활동의 안정성을 평가할 수 있는 SRRI (Spatial River Recreation Index)를 제안하였다. SRRI의 개발을 위해 1단계에서는 다양한 유량 조건에서 EFDC 동수역학모형을 이용하여 수리 인자들의 공간적 분포를 재현한 후, 2단계에서는 퍼지합성법 (FSE)를 적용하여 수리인자의 모든 소속도와 가중치를 종합하여 하천 지점별 하천친수지수를 산정하였다. 개발한 SRRI를 낙동강-금호강 합류부에 적용한 결과, 유량 및 지형 조건에 따라 각 수리인자가 친수활동 안전성에 미치는 영향이 공간적으로 매우 상이하게 나타났다. 유향(흐름 방향)은 합류지점 부근에서 친수활동의 위험성을 크게 증가시키는 반면, 사행구간에서는 수심이 중요한 요인으로 나타났다. 고유량 조건에서는 유속이 세일링 및 패들링에서 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 요소로 작용하였다. 특히 세일링은 유량 변화에 민감하여 고유량시에는 주흐름부와 합류부 부근을 제외하고 일부 공간에서만 안전하게 이용이 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 반면 무동력 및 저동력보트는 유량 변화에 덜 민감하여 고유량 조건에서도 부분적으로 허용될 수 있었지만 사행구간의 고수심부에서는 위험 등급으로 권고되었다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 SRRI는 다양한 수리학적 조건을 기반으로 공간적 안전정보를 제공함으로써 많은 이용자들이 하천에서 보다 안전한 친수활동을 즐기는 데에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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A Study on Ship's Safety Performance for A Navigation Safety Monitoring System in Shore Side (항해안전 감시시스템을 위한 선박안전성능 평가방안 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-Tae;Lee, Dae-Hak;Park, Cheol-Min;Lee, Eun-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2017.11a
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    • pp.8-10
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    • 2017
  • 최근 빈번한 항해 사고에 대응하여 항해 안전에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있으며 특히 항해중인 선박의 안전 항해에 대한 육상 감시기술 개발에 많은 노력이 기울려 지고 있다. 이러한 육상용 항해안전 감시시스템은 항만 교통 번잡도에 따른 조종 위험성 평가 기능 및 해양기상에 따른 선박 안전성능 평가 기능 등으로 구성되며, 선박 안전성능 평가를 위하여 선박에서 전송되는 AIS정보를 운항정보로 변환하여 구축된 선박별 동특성 정보와 연결한 후 안전성능지수를 도출하는 기술 구현이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 항해안전 감시시스템 개발을 위하여 환경 요인에 의한 항해중 선박의 위험 요소를 분석, 항해안전 평가 모델을 개발한 후 개발된 평가 모델에 대한 평가 기준을 제시하였고 각 평가 모델의 결과를 정량적 지수형태로 도출하여 안전항해 감시시스템의 정량적 평가 기능을 지원하였다.

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A modification of the rip current warning system utilizing real-time observations: a database function of likelihood distributions (실시간 관측정보를 이용한 이안류 경보체계 개선 연구: 발생정도 DB함수의 활용)

  • Choi, Junwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.10
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    • pp.843-854
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    • 2022
  • For the rip current warning system to reduce rip-current accidents, the implementation method producing the risk index was modified. To produce fast response from the warning system based on real-time observations, the method employed the numerical results (i.e., rip current likelihoods according to the possible scenario) obtained in advance. In this study, instead of using the empirical curve-fitting functions of the previous method, the present modification utilized two-dimensional distributions (i.e., wave height and period, wave height and tidal elevation, wave height and direction, wave height and spreading of frequency-directional spectrum) of rip current likelihoods stacked in a database of the system. The wave and tidal observations in 2021 at the Haeundae coast were applied to the modified system, and its performances at several real events recorded in CCTV images were presented.