• Title/Summary/Keyword: 신뢰성 성장(reliability growth)

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A Reliability Growth Prediction for a One-Shot System Using AMSAA Model (AMSAA 모델을 이용한 일회성 체계의 신뢰도성장 예측)

  • Kim, Myung Soo;Chung, Jae Woo;Lee, Jong Sin
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.225-229
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    • 2014
  • A one-shot device is defined as a product, system, weapon, or equipment that can be used only once. After use, the device is destroyed or must undergo extensive rebuild. Determining the reliability of a one-shot device poses a unique challenge to the manufacturers and users due to the destructive nature and costs of the testing. This paper presents a reliability growth prediction for a one-shot system. It is assumed that 1) test duration is discrete(i.e. trials or rounds); 2) trials are statistically independent; 3) the number of failures for a given system configuration is distributed according to a binomial distribution; and 4) the cumulative expected number of failures through any sequence of configurations is given by AMSAA model. When the system development is represented by three configurations and the number of trials and failures during configurations are given, the AMSAA model parameters and reliability at configuration 3 are estimated by using a reliability growth analysis software. Further, if the reliability growth predictions do not meet the target reliability, the sample size of an additional test is determined for achieving the target reliability.

Sensitivity analysis of software reliability metric estimator for Software Reliability Growth Models (신뢰성 성장모형에 대한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 메트릭 추정량의 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Dae-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.33-38
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    • 2009
  • When we estimate the parameters of software reliability models, we usually use maximum liklihood estimator(MLE). But this method is required a large data set. In particular, when we want to estimate it with small observed data such as early stages of testing, we give rise to the non-existence of MLE. Therefore, it is interesting to look into the influence of parameter estimators obtained using MLE. In this paper, we use two non-homogenous poisson process software reliability growth model: delayed S-shaped model and log power model. In this paper, we calculate the sensitivity of estimators about failure intensity function for two SRGMs respectively.

A study of evaluation reliability growth for Korea-Automated Guideway Transit system (한국형경량전철시스템(K-AGT) 신뢰성 성장 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Han Seok-Youn;Lee Ahn-Ho;Ha Chen-Soo;Lee Ho-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.8 no.6 s.31
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    • pp.597-601
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    • 2005
  • Korea Railroad Research Institute(KRRI) developed the Driverless Rubber Tired Korea-AGT(Model: K-AGT) from 1999 to 2004. We have finished the safety and performance tests of K-AGT. Data obtained from this testing can be used to evaluate the growth of reliability. The most widely used traditional growth tracking model is included as IEC International standard. With the tracking model all corrective actions are incorporated during test, called test-fix-test. In the test-fix-test strategy problem modes are found during testing and corrective actions for these problems are incorporated during testing. In this paper, we demonstrated reliability analysis using growth model of driverless rubber tired K-AGT system to prove reliability of development system. Therefore, we introduce the well-known NHPP model and analyze a reliability growth using ReliaSoft's RGA software.

A Parameter Estimation of Software Reliability Growth Model with Change-Point (변화점을 고려한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형의 모수추정)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon;Park, Chun-Gun;Nam, Kyung-H.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.813-823
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    • 2008
  • The non-homogeneous Poisson process(NHPP) based software reliability growth models are proved quite successful in practical software reliability engineering. The fault detection rate is usually assumed to be the continuous and monotonic function. However, the fault detection rate can be affected by many factors such as the testing strategy, running environment and resource allocation. This paper describes a parameter estimation of software reliability growth model with change-point problem. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) and least square estimate(LSE), and compare goodness-of-fit.

An Analysis of the Growth Factors of Local Food (로컬푸드의 성장요인 분석: 완주 로컬푸드의 신뢰성향상을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Jangwon;Song, Jaehoon
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to identify the success factor of local food markets compared to other types of markets such as large discount stores. Methods: SWOT analysis was conducted. In addition to the analysis, we also have interviewed the local farmers and retailers to elaborate the analysis results. Results: The study shows the success factors to the local markets are minimizing the stages of distribution channels, shortening the travel distance from producers to consumers, providing fresh foods, maintaining small amount of production system, and supporting customers. Conclusion: Customer satisfaction is one of the key factors for the successful growth of local food markets. It is strongly recommend to find strategic ways of meeting customer needs since the local food markets are facing tough competition form the large retail stores armed with huge amount of capitals and infrastructures.

The Effect of Abnormal Intermetallic Compounds Growth at Component on Board Level Mechanical Reliability (컴포넌트에서의 비정상적인 금속간화합물 성장이 보드 레벨 기계적 신뢰성에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Jae-Hoon;Ham, Hyon-Jeong;Hwang, Jae-Seon;Kim, Yong-Hyun;Lee, Dong-Chun;Moon, Jeom-Ju
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we studied how and why did abnormal IMC growth at component affect on board level mechanical reliability. First, interfacial reactions between Sn2.5Ag0.5Cu solder and electrolytic Ni/Au UBM of component side were investigated with reflow times and thermal aging time. Also, to compare mechanical reliability of component level, shear energy was evaluated using the ball shear test conducted with variation of shear tip speed. Finally, to evaluate mechanical reliability of board level, we surface-mounted component fabricated with each condition on PCB side. After conducting of 3 point bending test and impact test, we confirmed solder joint crack mode using cross-sectioning and dye & pry penetration method.

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Reliability Growth Planning for a Military System Using PM2-Continuous Model (예측방법론 기반 연속형 계획 모델을 적용한 무기체계의 신뢰도 성장 계획)

  • Seo, Yangwoo;Park, Eunshim;Kim, Youngkuk;Lee, Kwanyoung;Kim, Myungsoo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: To develop the reliability growth planning for a subsystem of guided weapon system using PM2-Continuous model. Methods: The target MTBF of the subsystem is set by allocating the system target MTBF to the lower level, where ARINC method is applied. Other model parameters such as initial MTBF, management strategy ratio and average fix effectiveness factor are chosen from historical growth parameter estimates. Given the values of model parameters, the reliability growth planning curve using PM2-Continuous model is constructed and the sensitivity analyses are performed for the changes of model parameters. Results: We have developed the reliability growth plan for a subsystem of guided weapon system using PM2-Continuous model. It was found that the smaller the ratio of initial MTBF to target MTBF, the smaller the management strategy ratio, the smaller the average fix effectiveness factor, and the shorter the development test period, the higher reliability growth is required. Conclusion: The result of this study will be used as a basis for establishing the reliability growth plan, the test period setting and the budget appropriation for the similar system entering the system development stage in the future.

A Method of Reliability Growth Management Test Design for Continuous System (연속형 시스템의 신뢰성 성장 관리 시험 설계 방안)

  • Seo, Yang Woo;Yoon, Jung Hwan;Lee, Seung Sang;Um, Chun Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2020
  • In this paper we proposed the test design method of reliability growth management. First, we presented the process for establishing the reliability growth management test design considering the number of failures and the termination test time. Reliability growth analysis of continuous system was performed in accordance with the test design process presented. In case the reliability test result is not met with the reliability target value after more than three failures occurred, the required test times were analyzed that 1,725 hrs for one corrective action, 1,950 hrs for two corrective actions. If the number of failures is less than three, design a reliability demonstration test according to confidence level 80% and 90% was performed using RGA 11 Software. As a result, it is possible to establish the reliability growth management test design with sufficient use of available resources. The results of this study can be used when establishing a test design for assessment of reliability growth management of all continuous systems.

Reliability Growth Management in the Development and Initial Production of a System (시스템의 개발 및 초기생산 단계에서의 신뢰성 성장관리)

  • Jung Won;Lee Hwan-Tae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.187-192
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    • 2005
  • Under development program for a complex system, the total system or major subsystems are tested to failure, system failure modes are analyzed, and design and engineering changes are made to eliminate these failure modes. If this TAAF(test-analyze-and-fix) process is continued, and modifications are made in a competent manner, then the system reliability increase. This paper presents the reliability growth theory and applies it to some subsystems during their development and initial production testing. The application of these techniques is a part of the product assurance function that plays an important role in product reliability improvement. In addition, the EN 50126 requires essentially reliability growth for RAM growth monitoring.

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A Study on an Evaluation of Software Reliability with Test (테스트 단계를 고려한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 유창열;권대고
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 1998
  • The evaluation of reliability is very important in the development process of software. There may be lack of trustfulness on the results that come from the analysis and evaluation of reliability of softwares which do not divide the test phases. At this point, this article studies how to evaluate the reliability dividing the test phases in order to settle the these problems. In doing so, I apply the fault data to be found in Unit Test, Integration Test, Validation Test and System Test to SRGM(Software Reliability Growth Model), Exponential SRGM, Delayed S-shaped SRGM and Inflection S-shaped SRGM. The result is that Inflection S-shaped is best suitable with Unit Test Delayed S-shaped is best suitable with Integration and Validation Test, and Exponential SRGM is best suitable with System test. In this respect, I can show that the results of this study on parameter estimation, difference square summation, number of fault remained is superior to the established methods.

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