• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.224-229
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• 2009

Partial safety factors(PSFs) for Level I reliability based design of caisson type quay walls were calculated. First order reliability method(FORM) based PSFs are the functions of sensitivities of limit state function with respect to design random variables, target reliability index, characteristic values and first moment of random variables. Modified PSFs for water level and resilient water level are newly defined to keep consistency with the current design code. In the numerical example, PSFs were calculated by using a target reliability index. Seismic coefficient is defined to show extreme distribution. It was found that PSFs for seismic coefficient becomes smaller as the return period for design seismic coefficient grows longer.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.213-224
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• 2001

확률론적 구조설계 최적화는 구조물의 역학적 특성이나 하중의 불확실성이나 임의성과 같은 변동성을 정량적이고 합리적으로 고려할 수 있다는 점에서 기존의 전통적인 확정론적 최적화와 비교된다. 확률론적 최적화의 방법론으로는 개선된 일계이차모멘트법을 이용하는 신뢰도지수에 기반한 접근법(MPFP search)이 널리 알려져 있으며, 최근 목표성능치에 기반한 접근법(MPTP search)이 새롭게 제안되었다. 본 논문에서는 이들 두 가지 접근법에 대한 정식화를 수행하고, 특히 탐색과정에서 소모적인 반복계산을 발견하고 제거하는 알고리즘을 제시하였다. 예제에서 두 접근법에 의한 확률론적 최적화를 수행하고 구조설계 최적화의 관점에서 두 접근법의 장단점을 비교·검토하였다.

• Geotechnical Engineering
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.15-24
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• 1988

To identify the stability of cantilever retaining wall in safe state by the deterministic method, these potential modes of such geotechnical failures as bearing capacity, horizontal sliding and overturning are analysed using Advanced First Order Second Moment (AFOSM) method. All design variables are assumed of the normal distribution and to be statistically independent. Considering the correlations between the single modes, structural system reliability index is 2. 05. Even if the safety factors are larger than the required value in the codes' by the conventional deterministic method, the system reliability of this structure may not be Judged to be safe state since the system reliability index is much lower than general value of 3.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.85-90
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• 2010

This paper presents a technique to evaluate the reliability of customers in Community Energy System(CES). Operators of the CES are responsible for a reliable energy supply to their customers. Due to the strategy of the priority on their customers, the restoration process of DGs should be reordered when system outage happens. The previous study has proposed the technique in the distribution system in which one operator owns all DGs. Case studies in Bus 2 of Roy Billinton Test System(RBTS) verify that the accuracy of the proposed technique is comparable to that of previous technique, and the distribution system divided into several CESs changes the reliability index of customers in the CESs.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.25-36
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• 1995

The application of the reliability analysis is investigated as a probabilistic approach to the assessment of ship's structural strength and to the establishment of design format for longitudinal strength. Reliability analyses are carried out for 34 ships of tankers and bulk carriers built in HHI for some failure modes such as tensile yielding, compressive buckling and ultimate strength of hull girder. The safety assessment of each ship, the calculation of sensitivity factors and the derivation of target reliability index are performed. As results. the difference of reliability indices among ships is great for all modes. To provide more uniform levels of safety the establishment of new strength criteria using partial safety factors is performed. The partial safety factors for the design format are obtained according to the AFOSM method and the reliability-conditioned(RC) method. Finally, a design format using partial safety factors has been proposed. We could find out that new strength criteria can produce consistent reliability indices which are close to the target value.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.21 no.11
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• pp.2191-2198
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• 2017

The PME(precision measurement equipment) used in the measurement to check the performance of the equipment in military weapon system is periodically calibrated to maintain measurement reliability during the life cycle. Previous studies suggest that reliability models are determined by considering sample size and characteristics of equipment. However, it may not be fit well to apply a single model assuming the same characteristic distribution for the maintenance date of many kinds of PMEs. This paper proposes that the most suitable calibration interval for maintenance data is selected through the F-test and the performance index evaluation among the calibration intervals estimated from the measurement reliability models assuming the characteristic of the bath-tub curve during the life cycle of various PMEs. The research results show that the reliabilities of various types of equipment are maintained during calibration intervals.

• Tunnel and Underground Space
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.275-281
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• 2014

The performance criteria of rockfall protection fence and reliability index were investigated considering characteristic of rockfall energy occurred at 160 cut slopes in national highway. As a result of study on statistic of variables that decide rockfall energy using Monte-Carlo simulation, the degree of slope was normal distribution type, mass of rockfall and height of slope was lognormal distribution type. The rockfall energy follows lognormal distribution because of statistical characteristic of mass of rockfall. The reliability index of rockfall protection fence was 0.678 and the failure probability of was very high as 24.9%. Proposed performance criteria of rockfall protection fence considering the scale of domestic rockfall energy is maximum 500 kJ and the range of reliability index was from 1.028 to 1.956. the failure probability of rockfall protection fence was from 14.8 to 2.5 percent if applying the performance criteria using the reliability index.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1993.04a
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• pp.294-300
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• 1993

어떤 무기체계의 임무신뢰도분석에 베이지안기법을 사용하는데 있어 고장율이 주어졌을 때 고장간 시간이 지수분포를 따른다는 가정하에 이의 Conjugate Prior인 감마분포의 추정문제를 다룬다. 임무별 고장간시간에 대한 예측분포를 유도하였으며, 실제 측정된 기존의 임무별 고장간시간이 이 예측분포를 따른다는 전제하에 비선형 최소자승법을 이용하여 감마분포의 두 파라메터를 추정하는 방안을 제시하였다. 또한 대상 무기체계의 실제 고장자료를 이용하여 추정치를 구하였다.

• Journal of Energy Engineering
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.583-591
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• 1999

this paper proposes a new approach for calculating the reliability indices of generation system, such as interruption frequency and duration, by using the moment matching technique Two separate expressions are derived, one for the loss of load expectation(LOLE) and the other for the loss of load frequency (LOLF). These expressions are combination of exponentials and are therefore easily integrable and can be readily evaluated. In this paper, the parameters of the distribution functions of the LOLE and LOLF are evaluated by using Genetic Algorithm and Complex Method, and the proposed approach is quite comparable with the other methods at the aspect of accuracy and efficiency.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.2
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• pp.201-210
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• 2010

In this study, new methodology to estimate the reliability of a water distribution system using HSPDA model is suggested. In general, the reliability of a water distribution system can be determined by estimating either the ratio of the required demand to the available demand or the ratio of the number of nodes with sufficient pressure head to the number of nodes with insufficient pressure head when the abnormal operating condition occurs. To perform this approach, hydraulic analysis under the abnormal operating condition is essential. However, if the Demand-Driven Analysis (DDA) which is dependant on the assumption that the required demand at a demand node is always satisfied regardless of actual nodal pressure head is used to estimate the reliability of a water distribution system, the reliability may be underestimated due to the defect of the DDA. Therefore, it is necessary to apply the Pressure-Driven Analysis (PDA) having a different assumption to the DDA's which is that available nodal demand is proportion to nodal pressure head. However, because previous study used a semi-PDA model and the PDA model which had limited applicability depending on the characteristics of a network, proper estimation of the reliability of a water distribution system was impossible. Thus, in this study, a new methodology is suggested by using HSPDA model which can overcome weak points of existing PDA model and Available Demand Fraction (ADF) index to estimate the reliability. The HSPDA can simulate the hydraulic condition of a water distribution system under abnormal operating condition and based on the hydraulic condition simulated, ADF index at each node is calculated to quantify the reliability of a water distribution system. The suggested model is applied to sample networks and the results are compared with those of existing method to demonstrate its applicability.