• Title/Summary/Keyword: 신뢰도분석

Search Result 4,703, Processing Time 0.032 seconds

Study on Reliability Target Proving Process for Advanced EMU (차세대전동차 목표신뢰도 추종방안 연구)

  • Joung, Eui-Jin;Kim, Gil-Dong;Hong, Jae-Seong;Lee, Jang-Mu;Lee, Han-Min
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05b
    • /
    • pp.775-777
    • /
    • 2012
  • 차세대전동차는 직접구동모터(DDM : Direct Drive Motor) 방식으로 기존에 사용하던 기어박스를 없애는 등, 연결부품을 제거함으로써 고장률을 줄여 기존차량 대비 30% 이상 신뢰도를 향상하도록 개발하였다. 그러나, 단순히 모터 자체 만을 변경함으로써 신뢰도를 향상시켰다고 보기는 어렵고, 시스템 차원에서 전동차 내 타 구성품과의 인터페이스를 살펴보고, 정량적인 분석을 통해서 신뢰도가 어느 정도 향상되었는지 살펴볼 필요가 있다. 신규차량일 경우, 기존차량대비 어느 정도로 신뢰도가 향상되었는지를 입증하고자 주행시험을 실시하는데 전동차에 신뢰성 이론을 적용하기 위해서는 크게 목표설정, 신뢰도예측, 신뢰도입증의 3단계 작업이 진행되며, 신뢰도 예측은 주요장치를 구성하고 있는 부품단위의 고장률을 이용하여 시스템의 신뢰도를 예측하고, 신뢰도 목표치를 만족하는지를 분석하는 것이며, 신뢰도 입증은 예측한대로 시스템이 구축되었는지 확인하는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 차세대 전동차에서 설정한 목표신뢰도를 만족시키기 위해 수행한 업무에 대하여 논하고자 한다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Reliability Evaluation of Long-Term Power System using MEXICO model (MEXICO 전산모형을 이용한 우리나라 장기 전력계통 공급신뢰도 전망)

  • Kim, Jin-Yi;Ryu, Heon-Su;Kim, Tae-Hoon;Lee, Jo-Lyeon;Park, Marn-Geun;Cho, Kang-Wook
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2007.11b
    • /
    • pp.81-83
    • /
    • 2007
  • 본 논문은 제3차 전력수급기본계획을 토대로 2010년부터 2020년도까지 우리나라 장기전력계통의 공급신뢰도를 MEXICO 모형을 이용해 전망한 결과를 분석한 것이다. 지금까지 전력계통 신뢰도에 대한 연구들은 주로 발전계통을 대상으로 한 결정론적 신뢰도 산정을 다루었던 반면 MEXICO 모형을 이용한 분석은 발전설비와 송전선로의 불확실성까지 고려한 복합 전력계통을 대상으로 실질적인 신뢰도 평가를 수행하였다는 점에서 의미가 있다. 주요 검토 내용으로는 2010년, 2012년, 2014년, 2020년도에 대한 공급지장에너지 및 공급지장비용분석 등을 다루고 있으며 이번 논문에서 사용된 신뢰도 평가방법은 향후 전력설비(발전 및 송전 설비계획의 복합 부분)의 확충계획 수립에 환웅이 가능할 것이다.

  • PDF

A Selection Methodology for Reliability Allocation Models to Minimize the Operating Cost (운영유지비용을 고려한 신뢰도 할당 모형의 선정)

  • Park, Jong-Hwa;Kim, Ki-Tae;Jeon, Geon-Wook
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.35 no.3
    • /
    • pp.31-45
    • /
    • 2009
  • Reliability should be done from the initial stage of development to secure performance and safety of system. To establish and achieve target reliability of a system, reliability should be allocated into the subsystems. In the acquisition and development of a system, frequent failures will cause a negative effect on performing mission and occurs increasing operating cost. This study reviewed and evaluated the existing reliability allocation models using operation and maintenance costs to find the correlation between reliability allocation models and its operating cost. A target system reliability on the diesel engine to be developed for naval vessels is allocated into its subsystem based on the existing reliability allocation models. A selection methodology for reliability allocation models was made to minimize operating cost by using simulation based on the given operating diesel engine data for naval vessels.

Fuzzy System Reliability Analysis With Weighted Components Based on Fuzzy Numbers (퍼지숫자를 기반으로 가중 구성요소를 갖는 퍼지시스템의 신뢰도분석)

  • Cho, Sang-Yeop
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.99-107
    • /
    • 2007
  • In general, the reliabilities of the fuzzy system are represented and analyzed by real numbers between zero and one, fuzzy numbers, intervals of confidence, interval-valued fuzzy sets, vague sets, etc. This paper addresses the method to analyze the reliability of the fuzzy system for the weighted components with the weights reflected on the importance of weighted components in an system. The reliabilities and the weights of the weighted components in a fuzzy numbers and considers the weights of the weighted components in a fuzzy system, therefore, its execution is faster and more flexible than the conventional methods.

  • PDF

An analysis of the factors influencing satisfaction, reliance, and loyalty to the life insurance companies (생명보험회사에 대한 만족도, 신뢰도, 충성도에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Kang, Jung-Chul;Jung, Se-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.713-717
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyse the factors influencing satisfaction, reliance, and loyalty to the life insurance companies. The factors are divided into two categories: the characteristics of life insurance companies and sellers. Factor analysis and multiple regression is employed. Two factors are found in the analysis of the characteristics of life insurance companies. Those are quality and social liability of life insurance companies. One factor are extracted from the analysis of the characteristics of sellers. We also find each one factor in the factor analysis of satisfaction, reliance, and loyalty. The findings are summarized as follows. Firstly, the role of sellers are very important for the three performance variables, namely satisfaction, reliance, and loyalty. Secondly, the factor for social liability of life insurance companies is statistically significant to the satisfaction performance. Finally, The three explaining variables are statistically significant to the reliance and loyalty performance.

  • PDF

A Method for Reliability Analysis of Armored Fighting Vehicle using RBD based on Integrated Hit Probabilities of Crews and Components (통합 피격 확률 분석을 이용한 RBD 기반의 전차 신뢰도 분석 방법)

  • Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Kang, Ji-Won;Lee, Jang-Se
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.20 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1040-1048
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recently, the studies of integrated reliability analysis for combat systems are actively progressing. Especially, the research of integrated reliability analysis is emphasized to overcome limitations of the previous studies. In this paper, we propose a calculation technique for integrated hit probability based on front and side hit probabilities that analyzed in previous studies to improve the time-effectiveness. Also, we find out the integrated reliability of each component based on the integrated hit probability which is calculated, and we propose the method which applied the reliability block diagram technique to analyze the whole combat system of the reliability by function kills. For verifying the proposed method, we applied the proposed method to armored fighting vehicle model. The proposed method considers crew which does not considered the element in the previous study and expects to enhance the accuracy of reliability analysis and the time-effectiveness compared with the previous study.

A Study on the Equipment Allocation using Reliability Optimization with Discrete Functions (이산함수를 사용한 신뢰도 최적화에 의한 장치 선택에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo Yeong-Koo;Jin Sang-Hwa;Song Kwang Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.6 no.1 s.17
    • /
    • pp.86-91
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study introduces a method that selects equipments, so as to reach the reliability level, carrying out an optimization analysis which considers the reliability data and cost of the equipments. A more practical optimization problem has been formed using the object function based on the discrete function and the constraints. The jacked reactor being the subject, an optimization analysis was performed on equipments that have different failure rates depending on costs in order to reach the target reliability level required by the system. The mixed-integer programming (MIP) was used for this optimization analysis. When the jacked reactors target level of reliability was $1.65{\times}10^{-4}$, the result of the analysis showed the equipments with high cost and low failure rate were selected. However when the target level of reliability was low, the result showed that by choosing the equipments with lower cost and reliability over the more expensive one, the desired target level could be reached.

  • PDF

Reliability Analysis Modeling of Communication Networks Considering Rerouting (재경로 설정을 고려한 통신망의 신뢰도 분석 모델링)

  • Ro, Cheul-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.45-52
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this paper, we develop queueing network models of communication networks with reliability model considering link failures. The reliability of a communication network with a virtual connection exposed to link failures is analyzed. Stochastic Reward Nets (SRN) is an extension of stochastic Petri nets and provides compact modeling facilities for system analysis. To get the performance index, appropriate reward rates are assigned to its SRN. It is shown that SRN modeling is well suited to specify, automatically generate and solve for reliability under rerouting. Markov models using SRN are developed and solved to depict various rerouting caused by link failures and reliability analysis in communication networks.

Analysis of Failutr Count Data Based on NHPP Models (NHPP모형에 기초한 고장 수 자료의 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Hui;Jeong, Hyang-Suk;Kim, Yeong-Sun;Park, Jung-Yang
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.395-400
    • /
    • 1997
  • An important quality characteristic of a software reliability.Software reliablilty growh models prvied the tools to evluate and moniter the reliabolty growth behavior of the sofwate during the testing phase Therefore failure data collected during the testing phase should be continmuosly analyzed on the basis of some selected software reliability growth models.For the cases where nonhomogeneous Poisson proxess models are the candiate models,we suggest Poisson regression model, which expresses the relationship between the expeted and actual failures counts in disjonint time intervals,for analyzing the failure count data.The weighted lest squares method is then used to-estimate the paramethers in the parameters in the model:The resulting estimators are equivalent to the maximum likelihood estimators. The method is illustrated by analyzing the failutr count data gathered from a large- scale switchong system.

  • PDF

A Study on Integrated Reliability Analysis for Fossil Power Plant (화력발전 플랜트의 신뢰도 산정기법에 관한 기초연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Chul;Park, Kyung-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 1999.11b
    • /
    • pp.178-180
    • /
    • 1999
  • 본 연구는 발전소의 신뢰도 산정을 보다 정확히 하기 위한 기초를 마련하기 위해 수행되었다. 많은 설비들로 구성된 발전소의 전체 신뢰도 계산에 대한 정확한 이론체계가 아직까지 확립되지 않았고 고장의 발생빈도도 적어 신뢰도 분석의 정확도에 한계가 있다. 또한 발전소의 기기수리 및 정기적인 전체정비가 신뢰도에 미치는 영향도 신뢰도 산정시 고려해야한다. 본 연구에서는 전형적인 국내발전소의 실제 고장정지와 수리 데이터에 기초하여 발전소의 고장시간 분포와 수리시간 분포 분석의 예를 보였고 적은 표본수로도 분포 parameter들의 계산이 가능한 Weibull 분포의 적용 가능성을 제시하였다. 또한 고장수리 및 전체정비가 신뢰도에 미치는 영향을 반영하기 위해 stochastic renewal process에 기초한 availability의 적용을 제안하고 그 예를 보였다.

  • PDF