• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시장 동태성

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Analysis on Recent Changes in the Covered Interest Rate Parity Condition (글로벌 금융위기 전후 무위험 이자율 평형조건의 동태성 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Jung Sung;Kang, Kyu Ho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.103-136
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    • 2014
  • The covered interest rate parity condition (CIRP) has been widely used in open macroeconomic analysis, risk management, exchange rate forecasts, and so forth. Due to the recent global financial crises, there have been remarkable changes in the financial markets of the emerging markets. These changes possibly influenced the dynamics of the covered interest rate parity condition. In this paper, we investigate whether the CIRP dynamics has changed, and what is the nature of the regime changes. To do this, we propose and estimate multiple-state Markov regime switching models using a Bayesian MCMC method. Our estimation results indicate that the default risk or the deviation from the CIRP has been decreased after the crisis. It seems to be associated with the more active interaction between the short-term bond market and the short-term foreign exchange market than before. The tightened relation of these two financial markets is caused by the arbitrage transaction of foreign investors.

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Dynamics of Consumer Preference in Binary Probit Model (이산프로빗모형에서 소비자선호의 동태성)

  • Joo, Young-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.210-219
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    • 2010
  • Consumers differ in both horizontally and vertically. Market segmentation aims to divide horizontally different (or heterogeneous) consumers into more similar (or homogeneous) small segments. A specific consumer, however, may differ in vertically. He (or she) may belong to a different market segment from another one where he (or she) belonged to before. In consumer panel data, the vertical difference can be observed by his (or her) choice among brand alternatives are changing over time. The consumer's vertical difference has been defined as 'dynamics'. In this research, we have developed a binary probit model with random-walk coefficients to capture the consumer's dynamics. With an application to a consumer panel data, we have examined how have the random-walk coefficients changed over time.

Impacts of Capabilities on International Performance in Korean Small Venture Firms : Moderating Effects of Market and Technology Turbulence (한국 중소벤처기업의 역량이 해외진출성과에 미치는 영향: 시장동태성과 기술동태성의 조절효과)

  • Jeong, So Won;Won, Jong-Hyeon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to investigate the impacts of small venture firms' capabilities on their international performance and the role of environmental dynamics in these relationships. Specifically, the study examines how international marketing, technology, and network capabilities of small venture firms influence their international performance and how market and technology turbulences moderates these relationships. Employing 162 small venture firms in Korea, the result of multiple regression analysis found that marketing capability did not affect international performance while technology and network capabilities had positive, significant impacts on international performance. Market turbulence was found to have a negative moderation effect on the relationship of network capability and international performance. Technology turbulence had a negative moderation effect on the relationship of technology capability and international performance and a positive moderation effect on the relationship of network capability and international performance. The findings confirm the importance of capabilities in improving the international performance of small venture firms and generate strategic implications for their international success by emphasizing the effect of environmental dynamics.

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Analyzing Dynamics of Korean Housing Market Using Causal Loop Structures (주택시장의 동태성 분석을 위한 시스템 사고의 적용에 관한 연구 - 인과순환지도를 중심으로 -)

  • Shin Hye-Sung;Sohn Jeong-Rak;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.3 s.25
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    • pp.144-155
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    • 2005
  • Since 1950s, the Korean housing market has continually experienced the chronicle lack of housing stock because of lower housing investment in comparison with a population explosion, prompt urbanization and rapid restructuring of family. The Korean housing market have thus been driven not by the pricing model by housing demand-supply chain but by the Korean housing policies focusing on the increase of housing supply and the living stability of the middle or low-income bracket. After all, repetitive economic vicious circle of housing price and the increase of unsold apartments aggravated the malfunction of the Korean housing market. Meanwhile, the Korean construction firms have exacerbated their profitability. Such terrible situations are mainly triggered by the Korean construction firms that weighed on the short-term profits and quick response of the government policy alterations rather than the prospect of housing market Therefore, this research focusing on the dynamics of housing market identified and classified the demand and supply elements that consist not only of housing system structures but also of the environmental elements that affect the structures. Based on the system thinking and traditional theory of consumer's choice, the interactions of these elements were constructed as a causal loop diagram that explains the mutual influences among housing subsystems with feedback loops. This paper describes and discusses about the causes of the dynamic changes in the Korean housing market. This study would help housing suppliers, including housing developers, construction firms, etc., to form a more comprehensive understanding on the fundamental issues that constitute the Korean housing market and thereby increasing their long term as well as minimizing the risk involved in the housing supply businesses.

고객만족, 상표전환 및 기업 성과의 동태성 분석(이동통신 사업자를 중심으로)

  • 박상현;김상욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.33-56
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    • 2002
  • 오늘날 급격한 경영환경의 변화와 공급 주도에서 수요 중심으로의 시장환경 변화, 그리고 고객 욕구의 다양화, 복잡화로 인하여 치열해진 경쟁상황 속에서 많은 기업이 그들의 생존전략으로 고객만족경영에 주력하고 있다. 특히, 이동통신서비스 산업은 다른 산업에 비해 상표전환비율이 높고 이미 시장이 포화되어 경쟁이 치열하기 때문에 이동통신 사업자의 고객 만족도 제고를 통한 기존 고객유지 및 신규 고객 확보 노력은 기업 생존의 필수적인 전략이라 할 수 있다. 그러나 고객만족에 영향을 미치는 요소나 변수는 너무나 다양하고 복잡하여 어느 특정 변수 하나만을 독립적으로 분리할 수 없으며 더군다나 고객만족의 결과가 단기에 나타나는지 아니면 장기에 걸쳐 나타나는지 또는 직접적인지 아니면 간접적인지에 따라 고객만족이 지니는 의미와 기업 전략에 미치는 영향은 판이하게 달라질 것이지만 이에 대한 해답을 줄 수 있는 연구는 아직 미흡한 실정이다. 이에 따라 본 연구는 이동통신 시장에서의 고객만족과 상표전환 및 기업성과간의 동태적 특성을 복잡한 문제를 이해하는데 용이한 시스템 다이내믹스 방법론에 근거한 인과 모델을 이용하여 분석하여 보았으며 정부의 시장점유율 제한규제의 효과와 이에 따른 시장 변화를 현 이동통신 3사간의 경쟁 모형을 시뮬레이션하여 살펴보았다.

The Influence of Environmental Dynamism on Opportunism in Terms of Control Mechanism and Bureaucratic Structuring (환경의 동태성이 통제 메커니즘과 관료적 구조화를 매개로 기회주의에 미치는 영향)

  • Seol, Do-Won;Oh, Se-Jo;Sung, Min
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the direct and indirect modes of influences environmental dynamism exerts on opportunism, one of important relationship factors. This study particularly delves into the indirect modes of influence in terms of control strategy (control mechanism) and control structure (bureaucratic structuring). To this end, a survey research has been conducted of 200 suppliers in business relationships with Korean hypermarket retailers. An analysis of the collected data indicates that while environmental dynamism has a positive influence on the control mechanisms such as monitoring and incentives, it does not have a negative influence on the control structure such as participation. And then it has a positive influence on the opportunism of suppliers. In addition, participation has a negative influence on the opportunism, but monitoring and incentives do not have a negative influence on it. This study discusses how both retailers and their suppliers should respond to the domestic retail business environment with highly dynamic characteristics, in order to achieve a long-term win-win partnership with one another. It also presents ideas to retailers with regard to what kinds of management strategies and management efforts required to effectively control the opportunism of suppliers.

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Analysis of Dynamic Relationship between Changes in Domestic and Overseas Orders and Insolvency of Construction Companies (국내외 수주동향과 건설업체 부실화 간의 동태성 분석)

  • Jang, Sewoong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to analyze the relationship. The study applies EDF (Expected Default Frequency) as a variable that indicates management status of a construction company. To analyze changes in business structure of construction companies, the study refers to the amounts of domestic and overseas project orders as variables. The data was retrieved from TS2000 established by Korea Listed Companies Association (KLCA), Statistics Korea and International Contractors Association of Korea. The analysis period is between first quarter of 2001 and fourth quarter of 2010. The analysis results showed that as more domestic and overseas orders rolled in for domestic companies, their business conditions improved as the hypothesis suggested. However, the level of improvement varied. Further, when construction companies' business slowed down, the proportion of overseas projects tended to rise, while the ratio of domestic business decreased.

A Study on Burger King The Growth Mechanism: Toward The Dynamism of Corporate Success and Failure (기업성패 동태적 모형에 따른 버거킹 성장 매커니즘에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Choong-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.51-67
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    • 2014
  • Looking at the case of countries or companies, the success and failure can be found a certain repetitive 'Pattern'. In this paper, global franchise company factors determine the success or failure of the Burger King on the market dynamism perspective, and looked to discuss its implications. The success or failure of a company in a country like pattern of the growth and erosion and stagnation and decline, and the pursuit of sustainable growth through relentless improvement reactivated. Burger King has more to strengthen brand equity oriented by the world's best restaurant through the development of aggressive marketing activities in the global market to regain its former glory.

Analysis on the Business Strategy of Mobile Telecommunications in Europe (유럽 이동통신의 사업전략 분석)

  • O, Jang-Gyun
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.11 no.4 s.42
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 1996
  • 유럽의 이동통신시장은 통신기술의 진보에 힘입어 발전을 거듭하고 있으며, 자유화계획의 실현으로 치열한 경쟁이 나타날 것으로 전망된다. 따라서 본 고는 유럽 이동통신시장의 동향을 분석하고, 경쟁적 시장동태성을 파악하여 전략적 시장쟁점을 도출하며, 그 전략적 의미를 분석하여 미래의 시장추세를 예측함으로써 우리나라 이동통신 사업자에게 전략적 시사점을 제시하였다.

The Influence of Environmental Dynamism on Opportunism in Terms of Control Mechanism and Bureaucratic Structuring (환경의 동태성이 통제 메커니즘과 관료적 구조화를 매개로 기회주의에 미치는 영향)

  • Seol, Do-Won;O, Se-Jo;Seong, Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean DIstribution Association Conference
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    • 2007.08a
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    • pp.159-186
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    • 2007
  • In today's world, the ability to adapt to the rapidly changing environment is fundamental to the survival and success of any organizations. This is particularly true for the Korean retailing industry which is in the throe of sweeping developments. Against the backdrop of an increasing importance of the environmental factors, it is imperative to look into what efforts are required of corporate enterprises in order to achieve successful long-term partnerships between and among the parties involved in the retail value chain. In spite of the critical importance of the need to understand the environmental factors and their influences on the retail value chain, a serious theoretical and empirical study into this subject has never been conducted. Moreover, previous research has overlooked the various mechanisms influencing the value chain in terms of ,control strategy' and 'control structure'. The purpose of this study is to investigate the direct and indirect modes of influences environmental dynamism exerts on opportunism, one of important relationship factors. This study particularly delves into the indirect modes of influence in terms of control strategy (control mechanism) and control structure (bureaucratic structuring). To this end, a survey research has been conducted of 200 suppliers in business relationships with Korean hypermarket retailers. The survey results show that environmental dynamism has a positive correlation with the opportunism of suppliers. In addition, the control mechanisms such as monitoring and incentives employed by retailers, in turn, have an indirect influence on the opportunism of suppliers. In other words, the monitoring of retailers has a positive correlation with the opportunism of suppliers, while the use of bureaucratic structuring has a negative correlation with opportunism. This study discusses how both retailers and their suppliers should respond to the domestic retail business environment with highly dynamic characteristics, in order to achieve a long-term win-win partnership with one another. It also presents ideas to retailers with regard to what kinds of management strategies and management efforts required to effectively control the opportunism of suppliers.

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